Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Horseshoe Indianapolis
Thursday - August 22, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

IND-1   WIN (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/2)-(3/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/2)-(3/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/2)-(3/6/1)-(2/7/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
IND-2   WIN (3/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/1)-(3/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/1)-(3/6/1)-(3/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/1)-(2/7/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/1)-(2/7/1/6)-(5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
IND-3   WIN (2/7/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/1/6)-(2/7/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/1/6)-(2/7/1/6)-(2/7/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/1/6)-(5/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/7/1/6)-(5/4)-(4/5/3/8) 32 $1.00 $16.00 
IND-4   WIN (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/4)-(5/1/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/4)-(5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (5/4)-(4/5/3/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/4)-(4/5/3/8)-(11/8/12/7/5) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
IND-5   WIN (4/5/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/3/8)-(4/5/3/1/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/5/3/8)-(4/5/3/1/8)-(4/5/3/1/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/5/3/8)-(11/8/12/7/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/5/3/8)-(11/8/12/7/5)-(1/6/4/9) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
IND-6   WIN (11/8/12/7/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/8/12/7/5)-(11/8/12/7/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/8/12/7/5)-(11/8/12/7/5)-(11/8/12/7/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (11/8/12/7/5)-(1/6/4/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (11/8/12/7/5)-(1/6/4/9)-(1/3/9/7/2) 100 $1.00 $50.00 
IND-7   WIN (1/6/4/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/4/9)-(1/6/4/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/4/9)-(1/6/4/9)-(1/6/4/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/4/9)-(1/3/9/7/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/6/4/9)-(1/3/9/7/2)-(4/6/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
IND-8   WIN (1/3/9/7/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/3/9/7/2)-(1/3/9/7/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/3/9/7/2)-(1/3/9/7/2)-(1/3/9/7/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/3/9/7/2)-(4/6/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
IND-9   WIN (4/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/1)-(4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
IND-1   08/22/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36K) 2 ALL PT- 2:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  AMIGOMEISTER         (eggleston tim)MORALES EDGAR 120 4.50    
  (by ADIOS CHARLIE out of BIEN AMIE by BODEMEISTER)
ROKA DURA         (garcia israe)TERRAZA GERMAN 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WAR DANCER out of MY PEG by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
JAZZOLE Jul29         (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 115 0.80 58% 0.70    
  (by MITOLE out of KISSES FROM KATE by MORE PLEASURE)
TAP TAP TAP IT IN         (eggleston)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 3.50    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of DREAMS ON TAP by TAPIT)
COW CREEK KID Jul29         (morrison mike)DOYLE SOPHIE 120 15.00    
  (by BUCCHERO out of SPELLCHICK by ALPHABET SOUP)
SCR  LOGICAL SONG         (west aaro)BERMUDEZ E 117 10.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSONG out of HIGHER LOGIC by HIGH FLY)
 
IND-2   08/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($23.12K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAKE IT SPEND IT Jul15 May19 Apr26 Feb11 Oct12 (asmussen ste)BURGOS ALBERTO 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
NATIVE MOONSHINE Aug10 Jul31 Jul20 Jul10 Jun29 (smith mike )MIRANDA ROGELIO 124 5.00    
BYE BYE LIAM Feb18 Jan13 Dec08 Oct29 Sep29 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 113 1.60 67% 0.50    
HILTON HEAD Aug06 Jul15 Jun17 Feb08 Jan12 (gonzalez li)ROMERO M 115 10.00    
WOODY'S CHOICE Jul27 Jul11 Mar10 Jan20 Dec13 (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 122 4.00    
NOTORIOUS SIXOHTWO Jul13 Jun15 May26 Apr27 Feb18 (brownfiel)BERMUDEZ E 118 3.00 9% 10.00    
 
IND-3   08/22/2024 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HUMBLE WARRIOR Aug06 Jul11 Jun08 May22 May16 (granitz a)BERMUDEZ E 122 6.00 11% 8.40    
CHISEL Aug08 Jul18 Jul03 Jun18 May01 (klopp randy)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 1.60 36% 1.80    
JAMMIN JUSTICE Aug05 Jun18 May29 May08 Apr24 (murphy conor)CANNON DECLAN 118 4.50    
SCR  SECRET RENDEZVOUS Jul29 Jul18 May27 May14 Aug30 (lauer micha)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 3.00    
REVS MEDAL Jul10 Jul03 May28 May07 Apr24 (phillips terry)PARKER L 122 12.00    
INDIGO RICH Aug01 Jul13 Jun18 May30 May20 (riley donna)CALLEJA ANDRES 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
MR CORN Jul30         (dobbsjr r)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 8.00 28% 2.60    
 
IND-4   08/22/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONEPARTICULRHARBOR Jul04 May24 Apr27 Mar27 Mar15 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 116 2.50    
NACHO CHROME Jul28 May24 Apr19 Mar29 Feb25 (van thom)MORALES EDGAR 121 2.00    
MIDNIGHT TIL DAWN Jul30 Jul09 Jun17 Mar13 Feb11 (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 6.00    
RARE N READY Jul29 May21 Mar27 Mar06 Jan11 (greenhi)DE CRUZ 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
FIERCE ASSAULT Jul29 Jul02 May21 Mar15 Feb23 (eggleston)BERMUDEZ E 121 4.50 57% 0.70    
JUDO Jul28 Jun27 Feb28 Jan24 Dec29 (fosdick steve)ROMAN A 121 5.00    
 
IND-5   08/22/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36K) 2 F PT- 4:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAMA'S THE CAUSE Jul29 Jun25       (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 119 8.00    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
HAZEL MY CANDY Aug01 Jul05       (silva miguel)BURGOS ALBERTO 119 15.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of DANDY CANDY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
HAPPY MATCH         (gorham m)PEREZ E 119 6.00 6% 15.10    
  (by TAPITURE out of WILL IT BE LOVE by WILL TAKE CHARGE)
ROYAL JUSTICE Aug01 Jul05 Jun11     (medina to)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 2.50 36% 1.80    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of GOLDEN PIONEER by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
MY STRONG HEART Aug01 Jul05       (gonzale)DE CRUZ 119 1.80 36% 1.80    
  (by BUCCHERO out of CELTIC EMBRACE by HARLINGTON)
CHARMING TALISMAN Jul30 Jul05       (gonza)ULLOA PATRICIO 119 20.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of TALE by TALE OF THE CAT)
JULY FOUR         (cunningham t)MORALES JOSHUA 119 15.00    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of TWIRLING HEARTS by TWIRLING CANDY)
COPPER CHROME         (cunningha)BERMUDEZ E 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by COPPER BULLET out of PROPHESY by PULPIT)
MOLLY'S LEGACY Aug01 Jul05       (garcia gen)VILLARREAL OSCAR 112 12.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of MOLLY SLEW by CURLIN)
 
IND-6   08/22/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($29.92K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BERN N ASH Jul20 Jun11 Feb09 Jan10 Dec16 (dunn st)DE CRUZ 122 8.00    
PAPA YO Aug05 May18 Mar20 Jan25 Jan06 (davis christop)DOYLE SOPHIE 118 5.00    
SUCCESSION GOLD Aug01 Jun27 May29 Aug18   (lobo h)ROMAN A 120 12.00    
SCR  CHEESESTEAK Jul31 Jul15 Apr25 Mar13 Feb09 (davis jose)VILLARREAL OSCAR 111 30.00    
DIRBAS Aug05 Jun26 May29 Apr20 Mar02 (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
MISTER MOSCATO Jul31 Nov10 Sep25 Sep08 Aug11 (lauer mic)BERMUDEZ E 122 30.00    
TRACK TYRANT Jan04         (drury thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 15.00 6% 16.10    
BACKYARD JUSTICE Jun26 Jun10 May08 Oct28 Sep21 (grani)ULLOA PATRICIO 119 4.00 26% 2.90    
EAST FROM WEST Jul29 Jun23 Jun08 May08 Apr13 (garcia genar)TERRAZA GERMAN 118 20.00    
10  CAUSE A RUCKUS Jul29 Jun17 Jun05 Mar15 Jan31 (gonzalez lil)BURGOS ALBERTO 118 15.00    
11  HASKELLED Jul28 Jul20 May25 May14 Apr27 (van thoma)MACHADO LUAN 122 2.50 30% 2.30    
12  HEEDING Jun06 May03 Mar22 Mar07 Aug28 (corrigan jim)MURGIA A 122 12.00 15% 5.80    
 
IND-7   08/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEAUTIFUL TEMPLE Jul30 Jul05 May30 May21 May01 (labra roge)VILLARREAL OSCAR 114 3.00 33% 2.00    
ECONOMIC HANGOVER Jun25 Mar15 Feb16 Feb03 Dec15 (davis j)DE CRUZ 121 6.00    
SCR  TAYA ALLDAYA Aug14 Jun10 Jul18 Jun27 May31 (douglass devar)HUGHES CARLY 124 30.00    
Z ZS RED Jul05 Jun25 Jun10 May30 Apr23 (haran john)ROMAN A 118 12.00 19% 4.30    
SCR  WORLD OF WONDER May06 Feb15 Jan12 Dec21 Nov27 (klopp randy)LEAHEY HANNAH 121 4.00    
TAKING CHARGE DESI Jul30 Jul05 May30 Apr06 Mar22 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 116 3.50 20% 4.00    
SPIRITCATCHER Dec08 Nov02 Oct11 Aug24 Aug04 (garcia genar)TERRAZA GERMAN 121 10.00    
WILD TAPIT Jul05 May21 May01 Apr23 Nov15 (klopp randy)BURGOS ALBERTO 121 12.00    
LANFRANKOPHILE Jul30 Jul05 May30 Jul27 Jul12 (paye )ULLOA PATRICIO 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  MOON OVER TUSCANY Nov10 Sep19 Aug22 Aug02 Aug08 (elliott mic)ROMERO M 114 30.00    
 
IND-8   08/22/2024 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($23.12K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MERLIN'S MAGIC Aug14 Sep14 Aug31     (nihei mi)RODRIGUEZ A 120 3.50 33% 2.10    
THREE POINT STRUT Jul15 Jun22 May16 Apr17 Mar15 (camejo m)PRESCOTT R 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
HYPERBOLIZE Jul03 Jun13       (west ethan)VILLARREAL OSCAR 113 8.00 15% 5.70    
CADE'S GOAL Mar29 Mar06 Jan11 Nov30 Nov01 (elliott mic)ROMERO M 117 30.00    
SPLENDID DRAMA Jul30 Jul15 Jun13     (sprag)ULLOA PATRICIO 120 30.00    
JACKS R WILD Jul31 Jun26 Jun05     (loveland )BEALMEAR C 113 30.00    
READY TO REIGN Jun18 May06       (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 120 6.00 9% 10.10    
SCR  SEA THE SKIES Mar25 Mar11       (west w)ACHARD ALEX 124 10.00    
D DAY REUNION Jul11         (cox h)TERRAZA GERMAN 120 4.50 14% 6.10    
10  ACCONA Aug10 Jul15 Jun10 May19 Apr10 (camejo jose )BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 2.50    
 
IND-9   08/22/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STARSPANGLEDIMAGE Oct04 Aug29 Aug03 Nov21   (brown and)BERMUDEZ E 124 8.00 6% 15.80    
  (by READY'S IMAGE out of STARSPANGLEDDANCER by FLARE DANCER)
C V RONIN LEGACY May13 Nov25       (gonzalez a)VILLARREAL OSCAR 117 20.00    
  (by VICTOR'S CRY out of MSPREACHERSLILGIRL by STORMIN FEVER)
THREE TWO RUN Apr16 Nov17 Nov09 Oct09 Nov01 (anthony davi)MORALES JOSHUA 124 20.00    
  (by NOTIONAL out of CHANTILLY'S FRIEND by CRAFTY FRIEND)
CHARMING FOR SURE         (eggleston tim)MORALES EDGAR 120 4.50 47% 1.10    
  (by CHARMING KITTEN out of LUANDO by BERTRANDO)
SCR  CREEK VALLEY Aug05 Jun20 Jun08 May21 Apr30 (elliott)DE CRUZ 120 0.60    
  (by SKYLORD out of ANNA CREEK by LONHRO (AUS))
HUMOR'S IMAGE Jul06 Jun08 May21 Apr30   (duran anton)ROMERO M 113 6.00 26% 2.80    
  (by READY'S IMAGE out of INFINITY OF HUMOR by GOT THE LAST LAUGH)
MISTER EZRA Jun20 Sep27 Sep13     (elliott mich)CALLEJA ANDRES 113 15.00    
  (by TURBO COMPRESSOR out of FLEET ENCOUNTER by INTIDAB)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.