Handicappers' Racing Form

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Colonial Downs
Thursday - August 15, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CNL-1   Win (7/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CNL-2   Win (4/8/3/10/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CNL-3   Win (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CNL-4   Win (6/9/1/5/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CNL-5   Win (9/6/11) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CNL-6   Win (8/9/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CNL-7   Win (11/13) 2 $2.00 $4.00
CNL-8   Win (9/2/7/8/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CNL-9   Win (7/3/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CNL-10   Win (10/3/12/4/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
CNL-1   08/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STREET EARNINGS Jul27 May23 Apr20 Feb04 Dec31 (casse mark)GALLARDO A 118 1.80 24% 3.20    
KISTLER Aug03         (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
COACH CAMPBELL Jul27 Jul06 Jun08 May17 May04 (desormeaux keith)RIQUELME J 118 4.50    
LORD OF MISCHIEF Aug03 Oct20 Sep30 Sep08 Aug19 (munoz carlos)CONNER TYLER 124 20.00    
REBEL'S MEMORY Jul13         (allen ferris)KARAMANOS A 124 30.00    
SCR  KHOOLZAN Jul13 Nov11 Oct14 Sep02 Jul22 (smith g)FUENTES MARIO 118 8.00    
SCR  RIVER RIDGE Jul13 Jun09 May04 Apr13   (campbell mich)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 1.60 51% 1.00    
MR CLAUSE Aug03 Jul13 May30     (munoz carlos)ASHTON GAVIN 118 15.00    
 
CNL-2   08/15/2024 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 F PT- 1:59
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAVALLA Jul13         (campbell mich)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 8.00    
SEGER SONGS         (brion keri)CARRASCO R 119 6.00    
UNSHAKABLE         (schuh tim)ALLEN D 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
GIVE LIFE         (correas ignacio)KARAMANOS A 119 3.50 35% 1.80    
SCR  LOVE MUSIC         (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 119 3.00    
OK BY ME Jul13         (werneth robert )FUENTES MARIO 119 20.00    
GO ISHLA Aug01         (rodriguez an)HERNANDEZ MAIKOL 119 20.00    
LAWS OF A NATION Jul27         (desormeaux keith)RIQUELME J 119 6.00 33% 2.10    
KATARZYNA         (godsey den)CONNER TYLER 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  CAROLINA D'ORO         (azpurua ed)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
11  SWEET AMBITION Jul26         (casse mark)ASHTON GAVIN 119 15.00    
SCR  CAPRICHOSAINFRONT         (mcgoey monica)CASIQUE UBARDO 119 20.00    
SCR  WYNSOME CAT         (delacour arn)SANCHEZ J 119 4.50    
SCR  BAJA DE ORO         (munoz carlos)PANAIJO JORGE 119 30.00    
 
CNL-3   08/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:29
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DATE NIGHT KISSES May24 Mar09 Feb01 Dec20 Jul14 (allen fe)GALLARDO A 123 5.00 27% 2.70    
DIVINELY BOLT Aug03 Jul03 Jun05 May09 Apr11 (simms jr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 4.00    
ARGAN Jul20 Jun15 Apr27 Apr13 Mar23 (gutierrez faustio)JARAMILLO E 122 8.00    
OVERWISH Jul21         (russell brittan)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 2.00 51% 0.90    
RUNAWAY DIVA Jul27 Apr07 Mar15 Jan13 Dec20 (hemingway miche)SILVERA RUBEN 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
MORENA DANCER Aug03 Jul18 May31 May10 Apr27 (marrero nestor)JIMENEZ MANNY 123 30.00    
CARROLL GIRL Jul14 Jun26 Jun01 Apr26 Apr14 (gorham e)ROCCO S 123 12.00    
ATALANTA ALEXANDRA Jul07 May05 Mar31 Feb22 Feb03 (baxter geo)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 123 10.00    
SCR  KRICKLE Jun28 May30 May09 Jan26 Dec29 (holsapple h)CARRASCO R 120 20.00    
SCR  PISTOL LIZ ABLAZEN Jul13 Jun09 Apr26 Mar26 Feb27 (gaudet lacey)SANCHEZ J 123 8.00    
 
CNL-4   08/15/2024 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 F PT- 2:59
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GREEN GODDESS Jul21         (gaudet lacey)ROSADO JOHAN 119 10.00 7% 12.40    
MAGIC FRONT         (huffman kenneth)FUENTES MARIO 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
SEA LION Jul11         (danner kelsey)CONNER TYLER 119 6.00    
DISCO RULES         (mott riley)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 8.00    
ALICE'S MOON Jul18         (figgins l)SILVERA RUBEN 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
LET THESUNSHINE IN Jul11         (trombetta micha)KARAMANOS A 119 3.50 40% 1.50    
JUICE         (saville niall)CURTIS BEN 119 8.00    
SET ABLAZE         (godsey karen)SANCHEZ J 119 6.00    
NEW BOOTS         (russell brittan)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 2.50 27% 2.80    
10  WING QUEEN         (schultz lindsay)ASHTON GAVIN 119 20.00    
 
CNL-5   08/15/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:27
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IDA BOSS Jul26 Jul03 Jun09 Aug24 Aug04 (bailes robert)BOYCE FOREST 120 4.50    
OSA Aug02 Jul13 Aug18 Jul15 May26 (morgan carla)SILVERA RUBEN 123 20.00    
BYRD OF EDEN Jul19 Jun16 May25 Jan10 Nov09 (allen ferris)KARAMANOS A 118 10.00    
BACHELORETTE Aug02 Jul19 Jan24 Jan12 Dec16 (mccutchen jason)JARAMILLO E 123 12.00    
LUCEVAN LA STELLE Jul07 Jun23 May11 Apr18 Mar29 (haynes russell)CURTIS BEN 118 15.00    
LOVE RHAPSODY Jul12 May10 Apr12 Mar22 Feb14 (crichton roha)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 3.50 11% 8.50    
SCR  HURRICANE BON Jul26 Jul08 Jun13 May15 Apr08 (lawrence jam)SANCHEZ J 118 12.00    
SATISFIED Jul26 Jul13 Jun16 Jun06 Jan03 (allen ferris)RUIZ JORGE 123 30.00    
TRES FRANCAIS Jul26 Jun19 May25 Apr26   (delacour ar)CARRASCO R 118 4.00 65% 0.50    
10  WILMA FLINTSHIRE Jul25 Jun22 May27 Nov10 Oct20 (bailes w)ARAUJO VICENTE 120 5.00    
11  KATAKANA Jul25 Jul06       (figgins l)ROSADO JOHAN 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
12  JASSAI Jul25 Feb28 Feb09 Jan31 Jan13 (ochoa gera)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 118 30.00    
 
CNL-6   08/15/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:57
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REBEL CONSORT Jul25 Jul13 Jun26 Jun07 Apr05 (werneth robert )FUENTES MARIO 122 6.00    
MEGEEZER Aug01 Jul20 Apr18 Jul22 Jun23 (huffman kenneth )ASHTON GAVIN 122 20.00    
GOOD ACCELEBRATE Jul13 Oct18 Sep21 Sep09 Aug26 (williams g)GALLARDO A 122 8.00    
MARIANO Jul25 Jun02 Feb22 Feb02 Jan01 (trombetta mi)SANCHEZ J 122 4.50    
HOPEFUL CURE May18 Oct19 Oct06 Sep22 Sep09 (ashby lynn)ROCCO S 122 30.00    
SCR  THAT GIRL ARTEMUS Jun23 Nov04 Oct06 Sep10 Aug13 (schoenthal ph)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
AFTERNEATH Jul25 Jul18 Jun28 May11 Oct11 (gorham michael )KARAMANOS A 118 12.00    
LADY ENSIGN Jul18 Jun28 Jun02 Nov19 Oct27 (trombetta m)CARRASCO R 122 1.80 72% 0.40    
ABSTRACT MOMENT Jul25 Jun28 Jun02 Nov03 Sep08 (payne beale)CONNER TYLER 120 5.00 5% 18.90    
10  BEAUTIFUL GORGEOUS Jul19 Jun01 May16 Oct14 Sep22 (george laird)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 10.00    
 
CNL-7   08/15/2024 5940ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:28
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIN PERMISO Jul27 Jul06 Jun21 May26 Mar10 (salazar marco)KARAMANOS A 119 20.00    
TIGGEROO Jul11 Jun18 Apr21 Jan19 Dec10 (danner kel)GALLARDO A 119 10.00    
SCR  GRUNION Jul11 Apr06 Oct13 Sep29 Sep14 (foley barry)CURTIS BEN 124 12.00    
SCR  RUM TUM TUGGER Aug14 Jul25 Jun20 Jun08 May21 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 119 3.50    
STARFORCE Aug01 Jul11 Jun25 Jun06 Dec29 (hendriks j)RUIZ JORGE 124 10.00    
BURROUGHS CAY Jul28 Jun14 May27 Nov11   (meyers f)ROSADO JOHAN 119 30.00    
THIRD DEGREE Jul11 Jun13 Mar04     (cruz jesus)FUENTES MARIO 124 20.00    
BOURBON STRAIT Aug03 Jul18 Aug25 Aug10 Sep07 (kingsley archiba)ASHTON GAVIN 124 20.00    
PEYTON'S DAY Jul26 Jul11 Jun01 Apr27 Mar23 (rodriguez an)HERNANDEZ MAIKOL 119 30.00    
10  ICANDOTHAT Jul18 Jun29 Jun08 Sep20 Sep01 (mcdermott sean)ROCCO S 124 10.00    
11  GANADO Mar03 Jan07       (morris r)CONNER TYLER 124 2.50 76% 0.30    
12  BRITISH SEA Jul20 Jun22 Jun14 Apr28 Dec15 (brion keri)CARRASCO R 119 4.00    
13  SPUNS SON Jul31 Jul09 Jun17 Jun05 May01 (hill f)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
14  NANGA PARBAT (GB) Jul11 Jun20 May29 May16 Apr27 (saville niall)CURTIS BEN 124 6.00    
 
CNL-8   08/15/2024 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 F PT- 4:58
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIL SWEEZEY Jul19 Jun01       (sweezey kent)RUIZ JORGE 119 4.50    
BEYOND QUESTION Jul11 Jun01       (trombetta mi)SANCHEZ J 119 2.50 24% 3.10    
SECURE'S HOPE Jul11 Jun29       (meyers f)CRUZ ANGEL 119 10.00    
BELLA BLUEGRASS         (godsey den)ASHTON GAVIN 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
TAMMY'S MAGIC         (keefe l)BOYCE FOREST 119 6.00    
GREEK SING         (cibelli jane)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 20.00    
LOST RIVER Jul11 Jun08       (morgan carla)KARAMANOS A 119 8.00 8% 11.00    
HOLY JOANIE Jul27         (clement roland)CASIQUE UBARDO 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
DRINK DEEPLY Jul11         (danner kel)GALLARDO A 119 3.50 38% 1.60    
10  HALE BOP         (lawrence james )SILVERA RUBEN 119 20.00    
 
CNL-9   08/15/2024 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($34.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:29
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WRITEITONTHEICE Jul14 Jun30 Jun02 May18 May01 (zook w)CURTIS BEN 123 8.00    
INVECTIVE Jun28 May25 May10 Nov03 Oct13 (george laird)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 12.00    
OPPOSITES ATTRACT Jul26 Jun08 May11 Apr19 Mar20 (bowersock maria)JARAMILLO E 123 2.50 21% 3.80    
RAPPER ZAPPER Jul05 Feb11 Dec03 Nov19 Oct22 (gaudet lacey)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 123 20.00 8% 11.10    
BALLYHOO PRINCE Jul07 May26 Oct28 Sep17 Aug11 (nuesch patrick)KARAMANOS A 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FLEETS BAY Jul19 Jul03 Jun11 May27 Nov04 (boniface kev)SANCHEZ J 123 15.00    
ENAHM Jul21 May04 Jan14 Jan07 Dec03 (thomas jonathan)ASHTON GAVIN 123 1.80 46% 1.20    
MY GREAT ILLUSION Jun08 Apr24 Mar17 Mar01 Feb04 (crichton r)GALLARDO A 118 4.00    
MY WAY OR NO WAY Jul11 May01 Apr19 Mar15 Mar01 (munoz carlos)PANAIJO JORGE 123 30.00    
 
CNL-10   08/15/2024 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VALLEY STAR Aug01 Jun06 May10 May03 Apr12 (salazar marco)FUENTES MARIO 119 30.00    
CHANGE ORDER Jul26 Dec03 Nov09     (gardea abraham)SILVERA RUBEN 119 12.00    
SHE'S ARODEOQUEEN Jul25 May16 Mar06 Jan10 Dec13 (tomlinson michael )RIQUELME J 119 2.50 24% 3.20    
ENKINDLE Jul20 Jun21 Jun08 May10 Apr13 (godsey den)ASHTON GAVIN 124 20.00 9% 10.40    
RENDEZVOUS Jul26 Jul02 Jun06 May25 Sep02 (cooney susan )MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
MAS VICTORIA Aug01 Jul20 Sep22 Sep08   (munoz carlos)CONNER TYLER 119 15.00    
LORRAINE'S WAY Jul13 Jun22 Jun07 Apr05 Mar16 (milosevic milan)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 10.00    
DOGWOODS JUNE Jul25 Jul13       (huffman kennet)CASIQUE UBARDO 119 20.00    
TINS Jul25 Jun19 Feb28 Feb21 Jan05 (ochoa gerard)RUIZ JORGE 119 6.00    
10  DIGITAL TRADE Feb21 Jan10 Dec14 Nov17 Oct13 (azpurua ed)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 124 3.00 30% 2.30    
11  MRS BRADSTREET Jul21 Jul07 Jun20 Apr28 Apr10 (lusk bria)BRAVO MISAEL 119 15.00    
12  BOLD LOOK Jul25 May12 Apr05 Mar13 Feb04 (valvo zo)ARAUJO VICENTE 119 8.00 15% 5.50    
SCR  STORM CREED Jul25 Jun21 Mar13 Feb25 Feb14 (munoz carlos)ASHTON GAVIN 124 10.00    
SCR  GREYGRAZIE Aug01 Jul20       (huffman kennet)CASIQUE UBARDO 119 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.