Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Hawthorne
Thursday - July 18, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HAW-1   WIN (2/8/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/8/6)-(2/8/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/8/6)-(2/8/6)-(2/8/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/8/6)-(2/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/8/6)-(2/4/6)-(4/5/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
HAW-2   WIN (2/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/6)-(2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/6)-(4/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/4/6)-(4/5/2)-(2/3/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
HAW-3   WIN (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/2)-(4/5/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/5/2)-(4/5/3/2)-(4/5/3/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/5/2)-(2/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/5/2)-(2/3/6)-(1/2/10) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
HAW-4   WIN (2/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/6)-(2/3/7/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/3/6)-(2/3/7/6)-(2/3/7/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/3/6)-(1/2/10) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/3/6)-(1/2/10)-(4/2/3/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-5   WIN (1/2/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/10)-(1/2/10) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/10)-(1/2/10)-(1/2/10) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/10)-(4/2/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/10)-(4/2/3/6)-(6/11/8/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-6   WIN (4/2/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/3/6)-(4/2/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/3/6)-(4/2/3/6)-(4/2/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/2/3/6)-(6/11/8/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/2/3/6)-(6/11/8/7)-(2/3/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-7   WIN (6/11/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/11/8/7)-(6/11/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/11/8/7)-(6/11/8/7)-(6/11/8/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/11/8/7)-(2/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/11/8/7)-(2/3/7)-(5/4/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-8   WIN (2/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/7)-(2/3/9/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/7)-(2/3/9/6/7)-(2/3/9/6/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/3/7)-(5/4/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
HAW-9   WIN (5/4/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/8)-(5/4/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/8)-(5/4/8)-(5/4/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HAW-1   07/18/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RIGHTEOUS FREEDOM Jun16 May25 Mar16 Feb24 Aug02 (roussel j)FELIX E 122 4.50    
2  ARTHURIAN Jun29 Jun08 Apr27 Apr13 Mar23 (rosin coty)GALLARDO EDUARDO 122 1.80 66% 0.50    
3  OSCAR NOMINEE Jun01 May18 May04 Apr20 Aug29 (retana gabe)ARRIETA REYNIER 118 20.00    
4  MALIGATOR Jun30 Jun09 Apr27 Mar30 Feb15 (reid r)COLON H 122 12.00    
SCR  WHATDOYOUTHINKMARK May18 Aug26 Jul01     (rivelli larry)COHEN DAVID 118 4.00    
6  BALADINE Jun22 May26 May12 Apr21 Mar24 (poulos dee)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  SECESSION Jun30 May11 Apr28 Mar21 Mar01 (rodriguez jo)GILES EMMANUEL 122 8.00    
8  A P BLAZING GREEN Jun15 May25 May11 Apr13 Aug20 (zawitz joel)REYES FRANK 122 6.00 8% 11.90    
SCR  I'M YOUR CAPTAIN Jul11 Jun29 Jun08 May14 Apr27 (zawitz joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 20.00    
 
HAW-2   07/18/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR FROST Jul11 Jun22 Jun01 Nov04 Oct10 (bahena fern)BLANCHE RISHAWN 115 12.00    
2  ITWASTHISBIG Jun23 May27 May18 Apr27 Apr06 (arnett g)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 3.00 35% 1.80    
3  SLAVA UKRAINI Jun30 Jun23 Jun08 May26 May05 (rosas rigo)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 4.00    
4  HANDSOFFTHEGOODS Jun30 Jun08 May26 May05 Nov14 (moreno irvin)REYES FRANK 124 2.50 18% 4.40    
5  ROCKET HOTSHOT Jun30 Jun02 May11 Apr27 Apr14 (rodriguez jo)GILES EMMANUEL 122 3.50    
6  JET FLIGHT Jun30 Jun08 May04 Apr21 Apr06 (perez manny)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
HAW-3   07/18/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DASH TO THE CASH Jun29 Aug30 Aug09 Jul19 Jun07 (lindsay rick)GILES EMMANUEL 122 8.00    
2  VERRAZANOINTHESKY Jun29 Jun02 Feb08 Jan20 Jan06 (winebaugh chery)REYES FRANK 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  ANDTHETHUNDERROLLS Jul06 Jun22 Jun08 May25 May11 (quinonez max)COLON H 122 5.00 ★    
4  JOE THE TAILOR Jun29 May25 Apr21 Jan12 Nov07 (catalano wayne )COHEN DAVID 118 1.20 59% 0.70    
5  GOD GUNS N GUTS Jun29 May28 May04 Apr13 Mar23 (rodriguez )MOLINA F 122 4.50 17% 5.00    
6  SILVER CHILLER Jun22 Jun01 May04 Apr21 Mar24 (spagnola id)BLANCHE RISHAWN 115 15.00    
7  STANCE Jun11 May18 May04 Mar23 Nov07 (wainwright )ARRIETA REYNIER 118 10.00    
 
HAW-4   07/18/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ICE SHARD Jul06 May19 May04 Apr06 Oct09 (perez manny)BLANCHE RISHAWN 115 12.00    
2  CATEGORY TEN Jun29 Jun02 May18 Apr27 Apr07 (meraz antonio)HERNANDEZ K 122 1.60 63% 0.60    
3  EXECUTIVE ACTION Jun29 May25 Oct09 Oct01 Sep16 (tracy tanner)MOJICA O 122 4.00 9% 10.30    
4  BAHAMIAN NATIVE Jun23 May27 May07 Mar06 Feb23 (granitz an)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 113 8.00    
5  MOHAAFETH Oct08 Sep14 May22 May06 Jan21 (dorochenko genn)COHEN DAVID 122 5.00    
6  BOURBON LIFE Jun29 Jun23 Jun01 May04 Apr25 (meraz antonio)FELIX E 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  PATH TO SUCCESS Jul11 Jun23 Jun02 May18 Apr27 (reavis micha)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 4.50 ★    
 
HAW-5   07/18/2024 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CADET CORPS Jun08 May16 Feb24 Feb08 Jan24 (winebaugh cheryl)MOJICA O 122 5.00 38% 1.60    
2  BANDIT SWANSON Apr16 Mar23 Feb04 Jan04 Nov24 (hernandez arman)REYES FRANK 122 10.00 28% 2.60    
3  SOUL COAXING Jun15 May26 Apr26 Feb08 Jan11 (robertson hugh)COHEN DAVID 122 4.50    
4  CANTSTEALMYTHUNDER Jun02 May19 Apr28 Mar13 Jan26 (haran john)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 15.00    
5  POLICY OPTION Sep03 Jul30 Jun24 Jun01 May13 (villa francisc)COLON H 122 4.00    
SCR  MCMONEY May18 Apr27 Mar22 Feb18 Jan21 (winebaugh chery)REYES ANGEL 122 12.00    
SCR  RED DANGER May25 Apr02 Feb04 Dec26 Nov27 (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 122 8.00    
SCR  REMEMBER THE MAINE Jul07 Jun22 Jun09 Jun02 May04 (castro isidro)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 30.00    
SCR  SAILING SOLO Jun15 Dec22 Nov23 Aug16 Jun15 (roussel j)FELIX E 122 3.50    
10  NOVGOROD THE GREAT Jun09 May19 Aug17 Jul20 Jun09 (block chris)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
HAW-6   07/18/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOT VERY GENTLE Jun23 May26 May05 Aug30 Aug13 (haran john)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 12.00    
2  FIRST MASAMUNE Jul06 Jun23 Jun15 May25 May12 (ramirez ca)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 5.00 15% 5.70    
3  TWO COOKIE RULE Jul11 Jun22 Dec10 Nov27 Nov18 (zawitz joel)REYES FRANK 122 15.00 14% 6.10    
4  KHOZAN'S SUCCESS Jun13 May26 Apr14 Mar31 Jan07 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 1.60 37% 1.70    
5  FLYING SAMURAI Jul06 Jun15 May26 May11 Apr27 (ryan chris )BLANCHE RISHAWN 115 10.00    
6  ZARMAE Nov18 Nov11 Oct21 Oct03 Sep16 (bahena fernand)COLON H 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  BLURT Jun15 Jun02 May11 Apr28 Mar24 (rodriguez edu)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 4.50    
8  IZEONDEC May26 May11 Apr20 Mar31 Mar08 (rodriguez eduar)COHEN DAVID 122 6.00    
 
HAW-7   07/18/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RICKY'S BEST Jun29 Dec30       (mitchell a)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 117 15.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of SMILING GAMBLER by WILD GAMBLER)
SCR  PILKINGTON Jun29 May30 Apr24 Mar24 Nov08 (catalano wayne )COHEN DAVID 124 2.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of STORMIN ELLE by STORMELLO)
SCR  CUPID'S WAR Jun22 May25       (lopez elias)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 20.00    
  (by CUPID out of WAR ANGEL by DECLARATION OF WAR)
SCR  BERNIN TUNE Aug27         (morey e)FELIX E 120 10.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of DISTORTED MUSIC by DISTORTED HUMOR)
5  WOLF HUNTER Jun29 Jun08 May18 Apr13 Mar23 (perez manny)BLANCHE RISHAWN 117 6.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of QUEEN DIDO by THUNDER GULCH)
6  SPINNING HEART Jun08 Mar07 Jan21 Dec24 Oct20 (robertson )HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 120 4.50 47% 1.10    
  (by HARD SPUN out of STREETWITHNONAME by STREET SENSE)
7  ALL ABOUT TONITE Jun16 Jun02 May18 Apr13 Mar21 (rodriguez eduardo)EMIGH A 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of CATCHY TUNE by BERNSTEIN)
8  GIANNO Jul07 May25 Apr13 Mar23 Nov24 (meraz antonio)HERNANDEZ K 120 12.00 8% 11.90    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of SETHNA by DISCREET CAT)
9  LICENSE TO STEAL Jun29 Jun02       (block chris)MOJICA O 120 5.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of APRIL FIFTEENTH by FORT PRADO)
10  ILLEGAL ICE Sep11 Aug27 Aug12     (banks chris)REYES FRANK 120 30.00    
  (by KEEN ICE out of LA BELLE EPOQUE by TAPIT)
11  CAT ON TIME Jun15 May27 Apr30     (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 124 4.00 10% 9.30    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of BIG CAT WALKS LATE by STORMY ATLANTIC)
SCR  I O FEDRO         (block chris)CENTENO ALEXIS 120 5.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of I O IRELAND by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
 
HAW-8   07/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOLY STAR Jun23 Apr20 Apr06 Mar23 Aug27 (weir l)COHEN DAVID 124 30.00    
2  PEGGY'S WAY Jun02 May18 Apr20 Oct27 Sep27 (hernandez armando)MOJICA O 120 1.60 60% 0.70    
3  IRISH SPARK Jun01 May18 May03     (divito james )SANTOS ADEMAR 120 3.00 17% 4.90    
4  FEATURED POWER Jun23 May26 Nov14 Oct03 Sep19 (rodriguez hugo)COLON H 124 30.00    
5  ARRINGTON Jun23 Jun08 May21 Apr25 Apr06 (meraz antonio)LOPEZ A 124 12.00    
6  LOST SUNSET Jun29 Jun08 May05     (kirby j)EMIGH A 124 5.00 ★    
7  BABAS GAL Jun29 Jun08 May26 May05 Apr06 (bahena fer)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  MISS MADALINE Jun29 Jun23 Jun09 May26 May12 (spagnola id)BLANCHE RISHAWN 113 20.00    
9  SWEET SMILA Jun29 Jun02 May18 Aug10 Jul23 (robertson )SLEVINSKY RACHEL 113 6.00 ★    
 
HAW-9   07/18/2024 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SHE'S INTHEARMYNOW May16 Mar30 Feb07 Oct02 Aug17 (catalano wayne )COHEN DAVID 122 5.00    
SCR  ROAR OF SILENCE Jun30 Jun15       (block chris)FELIX E 120 6.00    
SCR  PROBLEMATICA Jul06 May04 Apr07 Feb25 Feb04 (rodriguez edu)HERNANDEZ K 118 15.00    
4  MS KS DYNASTY Jul07 Jun08 May12 Apr28 Dec01 (banks chris)EMIGH A 118 8.00 21% 3.80    
5  DIAMONDS JOY Jul06 Jun09 May12 Apr06 Jan26 (block chris)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 2.00 37% 1.70    
6  PACIFIC VIEW Jun08 May26 May12 Apr07 Mar31 (clay pat)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 12.00    
7  GETOUTOFMYKITCHEN Jul11 Jun30 May29 May03 Apr07 (perez manny)BLANCHE RISHAWN 117 8.00    
8  ANNA AFTER MIDNITE Jun29 Jun08 May12 Apr20 Mar23 (meraz anto)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 111 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LEIPZIG Jul07 Jun08 May12 Jul15 May26 (rodriguez hugo)COLON H 122 12.00    
SCR  HIGHWOOD Jun02 May17 Apr20 Jul02   (tracy tanner)MOJICA O 118 10.00    
SCR  ENZI Apr27 Apr12 Mar23 Feb14 Jan24 (berndt joe)GALLARDO EDUARDO 118 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.