Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Fort Erie
Sunday - June 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FE-1   WIN (3/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/4)-(3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/4)-(6/2/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FE-2   WIN (6/2/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/5/1)-(6/2/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/5/1)-(6/2/5/1)-(6/2/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/2/5/1)-(3/5/6/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FE-3   WIN (3/5/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/6/1)-(3/5/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/6/1)-(3/5/6/1)-(3/5/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/6/1)-(3/4/6/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FE-4   WIN (3/4/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/6/8)-(3/4/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/6/8)-(3/4/6/8)-(3/4/6/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/6/8)-(7/3/4/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FE-5   WIN (7/3/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/4/2)-(7/3/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/4/2)-(7/3/4/2)-(7/3/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/3/4/2)-(5/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FE-6   WIN (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/1)-(5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FE-7   WIN (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/1)-(5/4/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/4/1)-(5/4/7/1)-(5/4/7/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/4/1)-(7/8/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FE-8   WIN (7/8/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/2/5)-(7/8/2/6/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/8/2/5)-(7/8/2/6/5)-(7/8/2/6/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FE-1   06/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.6K) 3UP M/F PT-12:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHES HOT TO TROT May28 Oct22 Sep20 Sep12 Aug28 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 122 10.00    
  (by JU JITSU JAX out of BLANCHE THE FLIRT by SHARP HUMOR)
KNOTTY AND NICE May28 Jul16 Jun25 Jun03 May05 (robillar)BUCHANAN Z 122 2.50    
  (by BIG SCREEN out of KNOTTY PINE by PIVOTAL (GB))
AMI'S GIRL May28 May12 Apr28 Dec16 Nov25 (butt)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 1.20 38% 1.60    
  (by AMI'S HOLIDAY out of RAILTOWN GIRL by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
AMONG THE ROSES May28 Dec02 Oct14     (humber)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CURLIN out of PRIVATE CLIENT by KITTEN'S JOY)
TACHYON SPEED Jun02 May10 Dec14 Nov26 Nov11 (capi m)SINGH S 122 3.00 20% 4.00    
  (by SOUPER SPEEDY out of MY CHRISTINI by FLATTER)
 
FE-2   06/16/2024 4620ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP M/F PT-12:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EYE GOT IT GOOD May28 Nov04 Oct26 Oct12 Sep26 (humbe)GASKIN ZAVIER 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
SPRING HIGH May28 May14 Sep26 Sep04 Aug25 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 122 3.50 17% 4.80    
SILENT BUT VIOLENT Sep25 Sep14 Aug01 Jul11 Oct24 (robillard jos)PINTO MELANIE 120 4.00    
DOODLE DANDY May28 May11 Oct16 Oct03 Sep12 (hoad lin)BUCHANAN Z 122 10.00    
STOLE THE RING Jun11 May28 Dec01 Nov16 Oct19 (chudob)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 120 3.00 9% 10.40    
PERFECT PROVISION May28 May11 Dec14 Nov23 Jul13 (agos)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 2.50 42% 1.40    
SEEDS OF GRANDEUR Jun04 Sep25 Aug29 Jul11 Jun26 (cathcart ste)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 115 8.00    
 
FE-3   06/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP M/F PT-12:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FRESH DREAMS Nov30 Oct26 Oct09 Oct02 Sep07 (cohen michael)JOHNSON KIRK 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
KATCHY NAME Nov30 Nov11 Oct28 Oct13 Sep14 (voyc)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 124 1.80    
REMEMBEROLDTYMES Jun04 Feb08 Jan25 Dec03 Oct16 (robillard jo)HUSBANDS TERRY 124 2.50 37% 1.70    
LOUEMMA Jun04 Oct09 Sep19 Sep05 Aug22 (blake michael)PINTO MELANIE 122 5.00    
A GAL FOR T J Jun04 May14 Feb07 Nov16 Sep28 (robillar)BUCHANAN Z 122 3.50 23% 3.40    
PACENZA Jun04 Nov30 Nov05 Oct17 Oct02 (humbe)GASKIN ZAVIER 117 10.00 12% 7.10    
EASY ACCESS Jun04 Oct17 Oct09 Sep25 Sep05 (keen howard)WOLFE TENECA 122 15.00    
 
FE-4   06/16/2024 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALWAYS MY FAULT Nov05 Oct12       (robi)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 8.00    
  (by BIG SCREEN out of TELL NO ONE by EL PRADO (IRE))
THIRSTY DATE Mar02 Feb18 Feb07 Jan20 Dec30 (wri)DENNIS JEREMIAH 112 4.00    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of DIAL A DATE by ARTIE SCHILLER)
WAR VOW Jan01 Dec13 Nov18 Nov09 Oct21 (powell dale )SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 3.00 39% 1.60    
  (by ARPISTA out of DYNASHEALS by DONERAILE COURT)
TANGERINE TWIST Dec14 Nov17 Oct26 Oct13 Oct03 (robillard jul)PINTO MELANIE 122 3.50 32% 2.20    
  (by RELOAD out of SNAPALICIOUS by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
GAMBLER'S POSE May28 Oct26 Oct13 Aug26 Aug18 (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 122 6.00    
  (by GAMBLE'S EXCHANGE out of TREE POSE by OLD FORESTER)
LOTS OF LEGACIES         (benne)GASKIN ZAVIER 117 15.00 7% 12.60    
  (by NAUGHTY NEW YORKER out of BEWITCHING LADY by SCAT DADDY)
ROYAL CHROME Dec14 Nov30 Nov10 Jul01 Dec10 (newland )BUCHANAN Z 122 5.00    
  (by POOL PLAY out of LYNNESSA by OLD FORESTER)
SUGAR DROP Oct19 Jul01 May21     (humber)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of SUGAR SHACK by SHACKLEFORD)
 
FE-5   06/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SANTIAGO SALSA Jun04 Oct17 Oct10 Oct03 Sep11 (keen howard)HUSBANDS TERRY 122 12.00    
GLORIOUS TRIBUTE Jun04 Feb21 Jan24 Dec31 Oct24 (bailey j)MAILHOT P 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
WILBERFORCE Jun04 May12 Apr28 Sep25 Sep04 (ceccat)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 4.00 15% 5.70    
BAJAN BULLET Jun04 May24 Nov16 Oct20 Oct10 (squires )BUCHANAN Z 124 3.00 12% 7.60    
I LIVE BY FAITH Dec08 Nov17 Oct16 Oct10 Sep18 (humbe)GASKIN ZAVIER 117 12.00    
MAD MOCHA Nov12 Oct06 Sep16 Aug13 Jun04 (gilifo)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 2.00    
JUSTIN'S WAY Oct16 Sep25 Sep14 Aug22 Jul16 (fournier mark)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 6.00 53% 0.90    
GRAND AMBITION Jun11 Nov16 Oct29 Oct06 Sep22 (adamo anthony)JOHNSON KIRK 122 8.00    
 
FE-6   06/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC11 FAST Longrun Thoroughbred Retirement Purse ($30K) 3UP C/G PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NIKOLAOU May04 Feb23 Sep04 Aug21 Aug01 (buttig)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 4.50 5% 19.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of DRUIDESS by MALIBU MOON)
SOUPER DORMY Jul01 Jun04 Apr29 Apr01 Mar04 (davis m)MAILHOT P 122 2.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of TRULY BLUSHED by YES IT'S TRUE)
SUNYANI Jun04 May05 Mar24 Feb23 Feb10 (newland george)JOHNSON KIRK 122 3.00    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of FUTURISTA by AWESOME AGAIN)
VICTORY MARCH Jun04 Dec03 Oct16 Sep25 Aug08 (simm)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 5.00 21% 3.90    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of VICTORY ON TAP by PLEASANT TAP)
TRULY MISCHIEF Jun04 Mar17 Feb18 Feb04 Jan14 (adamo anthony)PINTO MELANIE 122 2.50 51% 1.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of TRULY BLUSHED by YES IT'S TRUE)
 
FE-7   06/16/2024 4620ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPEEDY JOHNY Jun11 May17 May04 Dec09 Nov24 (davies rona)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
LULU'S LULLABY May28 Nov16 Oct26 Oct13 Sep21 (squire)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 3.50    
TURF AND SURF Dec14 Dec01 Nov03 Oct17 Sep26 (agostino)BUCHANAN Z 122 20.00    
FIXYURHAIRUPRETTY Jun04 May28 May19 Apr29 Apr04 (newl)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 5.00 7% 13.10    
PRINCESS ALESKA Apr17 Mar13 Feb17 Feb04 Dec31 (adamo anthony)JOHNSON KIRK 120 1.40 62% 0.60    
MENAGERIE Nov03 Oct19 Sep28 Sep12 Aug17 (albu k)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 15.00    
T'PRING May28 May17 Apr28 Dec14 Nov30 (clemmer krista)RAMSAMMY E 122 4.50    
LOADED SECRET Oct26 Oct09 Sep26 Sep18 Aug25 (chudobiak gar)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 15.00    
 
FE-8   06/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC11 FAST Longrun Thoroughbred After Care Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPIRIT BELLE May28 Nov16 Nov04 Oct17 Oct10 (meli salvator)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 12.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of TINKERBELLA by REDDING COLLIERY)
SILVER CANDICE May07 Apr22 Jan31 Dec19 Dec05 (robillar)BUCHANAN Z 122 3.00 19% 4.20    
  (by OLD FORESTER out of SILVER SHASA by KINSHASA)
BELLASPINA May28 Nov09 Oct13 Sep22 Sep10 (newland george)JOHNSON KIRK 122 15.00    
  (by TURFISTE out of MALASPINA by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
J M R GEMMA Oct17 Sep25 Sep05 Aug22 Aug08 (simms )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 8.00    
  (by GIANT GIZMO out of SHE'S A RINGER by WHERE'S THE RING)
GLITTER BAY May04 Apr20 Apr06 Jan10 Dec30 (wright micha)HUSBANDS TERRY 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TAMARKUZ out of BY THE SHORE by INCLUDE)
SHEBATOWN Sep04 Aug22 Aug15 Jul20 Jul02 (pion sylvain)HOYTE JASON 122 3.50    
  (by JERSEY TOWN out of SEEKING SHEBA by SEEKING THE GOLD)
CANT BEAT THE KATZ Oct17 Oct02 Sep04 Jul18 Jun18 (robillard jul)PINTO MELANIE 122 4.50 35% 1.90    
  (by KATZ MY SONG out of BET U I WIN by LORDHYEXECUTIONER)
FOREST B May18 Jan08 Dec13 Nov25 Nov09 (powell)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 5.00 20% 3.90    
  (by OLD FORESTER out of GINGER B by FLYING PASTER)
LOADED QUESTION May23 May04 Nov09 Sep29 Sep07 (humbe)GASKIN ZAVIER 122 20.00    
  (by RELOAD out of STORMY ADIEU by SILIC (FR))
SCR  PLUIE D'AVRIL Oct19 Oct03 Sep12 Aug29 Aug10 (simm)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 15.00    
  (by BIG SCREEN out of PERFECT DREAMER by PLEASANTLY PERFECT)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.