Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Friday - April 19, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (2/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/6)-(2/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/7/6)-(2/7/6)-(2/7/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/7/6)-(2/7/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/7/6)-(2/7/6)-(4/5/7) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TAM-2   WIN (2/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/6)-(2/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/7/6)-(2/7/6)-(2/7/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/7/6)-(4/5/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/7/6)-(4/5/7)-(1/5/8/6/3) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
TAM-3   WIN (4/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/7)-(4/5/7/6/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/7)-(4/5/7/6/9)-(4/5/7/6/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (4/5/7)-(1/5/8/6/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/5/7)-(1/5/8/6/3)-(4/7/1/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-4   WIN (1/5/8/6/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/5/8/6/3)-(1/5/8/6/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/5/8/6/3)-(1/5/8/6/3)-(1/5/8/6/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/5/8/6/3)-(4/7/1/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/5/8/6/3)-(4/7/1/5)-(4/8/2/5) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-5   WIN (4/7/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/1/5)-(4/7/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/1/5)-(4/7/1/5)-(4/7/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/7/1/5)-(4/8/2/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/7/1/5)-(4/8/2/5)-(1/9/5/4) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-6   WIN (4/8/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/2/5)-(4/8/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/8/2/5)-(4/8/2/5)-(4/8/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/8/2/5)-(1/9/5/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/8/2/5)-(1/9/5/4)-(6/3/2/7) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-7   WIN (1/9/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/9/5/4)-(1/9/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/9/5/4)-(1/9/5/4)-(1/9/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/9/5/4)-(6/3/2/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/9/5/4)-(6/3/2/7)-(4/6/2/8/5) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-8   WIN (6/3/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/2/7)-(6/3/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/2/7)-(6/3/2/7)-(6/3/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/2/7)-(4/6/2/8/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TAM-9   WIN (4/6/2/8/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/6/2/8/5)-(4/6/2/8/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/6/2/8/5)-(4/6/2/8/5)-(4/6/2/8/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   04/19/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HELLO SUCKER Apr05 Mar15 Mar01 Feb09 Jan21 (mcgoey moni)SPANABEL SKYLER 124 6.00    
2  PLEASANT VALIANT Apr05 Mar15 Mar01 Feb16 Feb02 (o'connell kath)CAMACHO SAMY 124 2.50 41% 1.40    
3  MY WAY OR NO WAY Mar15 Mar01 Jan19 Dec27 Dec01 (munoz carlos)ARROYO S 124 8.00    
SCR  HARRY'S ONTHEBEACH Apr05 Mar15 Feb17 Jan17 Nov17 (d'angelo jose)IORIO MELISSA 119 3.00    
5  HOLLYWOOD CLOSEUP Mar30 Mar13 Feb23 Feb09 Jan21 (potts wayne)FERRER C 126 4.00    
6  GARMENTO Apr05 Mar06 Feb16 Jan19 Dec29 (russo j)SPIETH S 124 20.00 12% 7.40    
7  GONNA BE EPIC Mar29 Feb28 Feb14 Jan19 Jan05 (delgado jose )GONZALEZ ALEX 124 3.50 17% 4.90    
 
TAM-2   04/19/2024 5400ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($24.5K) 4UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HEARTBURN Apr13 Feb25 Feb11 Jan28 Jan06 (werneth r)RODRIGUEZ A 118 30.00    
2  TIZ HERSELF Mar24 Mar01 Jan28 Jan10 Dec16 (rigattier)MALDONADO GABRIEL 115 2.00 47% 1.10    
3  AFERDITA Mar24 Mar01 Feb11 Jan17 Jan03 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 118 2.50    
4  KRABI Mar09 Feb24 Jan25 Jan04 Dec01 (philipp kar)SPANABEL SKYLER 118 10.00    
SCR  DIAMONDS FOR LILY Apr07 Nov23 Nov09 Oct05 Sep06 (dye steven)FUENTES MARIO 118 20.00    
6  WATERWORKS Mar30 Mar13 Feb18 Jan17 Dec16 (posadas pedro)MORALES PABLO 118 4.00 6% 14.90    
7  PASSIONFORTREASURE Mar24 Mar13 Feb18 Jan31 Jan13 (mendieta alej)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 3.00 18% 4.50    
 
TAM-3   04/19/2024 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOLLYWOOD HERO Apr05 Feb21 Jan13 Dec13 Feb01 (mcgoey monica)DELGADO DAVID 126 30.00    
2  HIGHJUMP CHARLIE Apr05 Jan17 Dec20 Aug10 Jul21 (wernet)ALMEDINA MARIANGELYS 119 20.00    
3  D BUCKAROO Mar23 Feb16 Jan28 Jan10 Dec13 (jones douglas)FUENTES MARIO 120 12.00    
4  TWO MINUTES APART Apr03 Feb02 Dec23 Dec06 Oct13 (crook-demasi k)CAMACHO SAMY 126 1.00 72% 0.40    
5  FORTINBRAS Mar17 Mar01 Jan24     (rodriguez d)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 6.00 5% 17.40    
6  ESCAPE KEY Mar08 Jan26 Jan04 Dec10 Oct28 (aguayo ra)MALDONADO GABRIEL 121 10.00 ★    
7  SNOVEMBER Mar03 Feb11 Dec30     (lerman s)FERRER C 126 5.00 5% 19.00    
8  IRON STREETS Mar29 Feb18 Jan28 Jan10 Nov24 (gardea abrah)ARROYO S 120 8.00    
9  SWIFT DANCER Mar20 Feb07 Jul14 Jun16 Jun01 (munoz carlos)BATISTA A 126 12.00 ★    
10  VENEZUELAN FEELING Mar17 Feb28 Feb04 Aug06   (yanez reynald)GONZALEZ ALEX 120 20.00    
SCR  BLUE SOLDIER Feb16 Jan01 Dec10 Oct22 Sep17 (gonzalez )MALDONADO GABRIEL 121 8.00    
 
TAM-4   04/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIGH SCHOOL CRUSH Apr12 Mar16 Mar02 Feb16 Jan11 (rigattieri j)ARROYO S 122 2.50 39% 1.50    
SCR  KENYA SUN Mar30 Mar01 Aug02 Jun29 Jun03 (tsirigotis jam)ALLEN D 122 12.00    
3  WILD LOOKER Oct25 Oct11 Sep25 Sep11 Aug29 (cascallares n)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  SO MOXIE Sep05 Jun26 Jun06 May17 Mar22 (cascallares n)MORALES PABLO 122 4.50    
5  MURUMBI Mar15 Jan24 Dec31 Mar22 Feb03 (arriagada ju)BATISTA A 122 3.50 12% 7.60    
6  EAST WING Mar30 Apr14 Mar12 Jan14 Apr30 (marrero nestor)SUAREZ JESUS 122 8.00 10% 9.30    
7  FAST COREY Mar16 Nov22 Oct18 Oct07 Sep15 (avila ca)IORIO MELISSA 117 15.00    
8  NURSE JUDY Jan12 May31 Mar17 Jan15 Dec28 (tsirigotis ja)GONZALEZ ALEX 122 10.00 10% 8.70    
9  AUBURN Sep25 Sep08 Aug24 Mar19 Feb12 (lusk r)SOSA LAUREANO 122 20.00    
10  TWIRLING GRACE Feb14 Feb04 Jan27 Dec30 Jun25 (cordero anton)JIMENEZ MANNY 122 6.00    
 
TAM-5   04/19/2024 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STORMY VICTORY Apr07 Mar22 Mar01 Feb14 Dec31 (crichton roha)IORIO MELISSA 119 5.00 7% 14.20    
2  NO REGARD Mar09 Feb10 Jan11 Dec16 Oct06 (o'connell kathle)FERRER C 124 4.50    
3  CHAOTIC TEMPO Mar22 Aug31 Aug23 Aug08 Jul13 (grainger will)CARDOSO DAVID 124 20.00    
4  TORO FORWARD Apr07 Mar16 Mar01 Feb14 Jan05 (aguayo ramon)SPIETH S 124 2.00 33% 2.00    
5  SKYHOOPER Mar13 Feb21 Jan27 Dec08 Oct29 (arriagada)MALDONADO GABRIEL 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  PRALINE'S CAT Apr07 Mar22 Mar01 Feb14 Jan24 (posadas pedr)BATISTA A 124 5.00    
7  SHORTSINTHEWINTER Mar16 Feb23 Jan21 Dec30 Nov24 (o'connell kathl)CENTENO E 124 4.00 33% 2.00    
8  LORD OF THE NILE Mar30 Mar01 Feb16 Jan06 Nov24 (dobber arnoud)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 12.00    
 
TAM-6   04/19/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($25.5K) 3 F PT- 3:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWIZZLE Mar10 Feb18       (o'connel)GALLARDO A 118 5.00    
2  AMERICAN PEACHES Apr10 Mar13 Feb28     (lopez )ALMEDINA MARIANGELYS 113 15.00 9% 9.90    
3  SOFSTER Mar21 Mar13 Feb10 Jan28 Dec23 (hayford jenn)ARROYO S 118 3.00    
4  AMIRATI Apr10 Mar22 Mar03 Feb18 Jan31 (simone michael)CAMACHO SAMY 122 2.50 49% 1.10    
5  SHE LOVES TO MOVE Mar02 Jan11 Dec26 Dec03 Nov18 (o'connell kat)IORIO MELISSA 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  JASSAI Feb28 Feb09 Jan31 Jan13 Dec31 (ochoa gerard)BATISTA A 120 10.00    
SCR  ROADRUNNER THE CAT Mar17 Feb18 Feb02     (sacco)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 6.00    
8  SURVIVAL ROSE Mar22 Mar03 Jan31 Jan17 Dec08 (richards rena)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 6.00 12% 7.60    
9  HIPATIA Apr10 Mar15 Feb21 Feb02 Jan05 (sacco gre)MALDONADO GABRIEL 115 12.00    
 
TAM-7   04/19/2024 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($22K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MINTENON Feb02 Dec23 Dec06 Oct13 Sep29 (carrascojr v)ARROYO S 122 4.50 45% 1.20    
2  LINE ASTRAY Mar13 Feb11 Sep27     (amaya gustavo)LUGO D 122 20.00    
3  AMANDAANNADREW         (manchan bertr)FUENTES MARIO 117 15.00    
4  THEREGOESMYMIRACLE Apr03 Feb02 Jan24 Dec09 Jul02 (paragallo)MALDONADO GABRIEL 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  IMMENSE FAITH Dec26 Nov11 Oct08 Sep02 Jul28 (yanez)DIAZ RAFAEL 122 2.00 13% 6.50    
SCR  EXTRA MONEY Apr03 Mar20 Aug02     (hayford jenni)IORIO MELISSA 117 4.50    
7  ELECTRIC RUNNER Mar13 Aug25       (manchan bertr)SOSA LAUREANO 117 30.00    
8  KENRIC Apr07 Feb24 Dec24 Jul01 May03 (davis n)MBATHA LUCKY 113 15.00    
9  BRAGGADOCIOUS Mar23 Mar03 Feb21 Feb02 Jan12 (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 120 3.00 18% 4.50    
 
TAM-8   04/19/2024 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($53K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAM STORMY Mar22 Feb23 Feb02 Oct12 Oct02 (lopez mario)SPANABEL SKYLER 118 12.00    
2  FINAL VERDICT Mar27 Mar20 Feb23 Jan17 Dec29 (rigattieri jo)MORALES PABLO 122 3.50 13% 6.90    
3  VARATTI Mar08 Jul01 May19 Jun03 Apr13 (smith craig)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 4.00 13% 6.80    
4  I'M ON FIRE Oct13 Sep09 Aug27 Aug13 Jul08 (mcburney patr)IORIO MELISSA 113 15.00    
5  LAST ACTION HERO (BRZ) Dec02         (gonzalez )MALDONADO GABRIEL 113 8.00    
6  FORTYSIXCOUNTS Mar20         (o'connel)GALLARDO A 122 1.60 48% 1.10    
7  GUARANTEED SPECK Mar30 Mar17 Mar03 Feb03 Jan21 (russo j)SPIETH S 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  OPPOSITES ATTRACT Mar20 Mar01 Jan18 Dec23 Dec07 (bowersock mari)CAMACHO SAMY 118 8.00    
 
TAM-9   04/19/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($53K) 3 F PT- 4:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS MELODRAMATIC Sep02 Aug12 Jul26     (husted rachel)FUENTES MARIO 120 30.00    
  (by FRANK CONVERSATION out of DRAMA MAMA by KODIACK)
2  NOVARA Mar09 Aug26       (walsh brendan)MORALES PABLO 120 2.50 11% 7.80    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of SENTIERO ITALIA by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
3  JOYANT         (delacour ar)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 8.00    
  (by WOOTTON BASSETT out of CINTRA by VOLCOM)
4  TWISTED ROMANCE Mar09 Jan28 Dec10 Oct13   (cleme)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 5.00 38% 1.60    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of MEETMEONLINE by LINE OF DAVID)
5  RIDE ON CUPID Mar29         (barbazoniii le)CAMACHO SAMY 120 15.00 9% 10.20    
  (by RIDE ON CURLIN out of MISS KNOW IT ALL by TALE OF EKATI)
6  RATINGS UPGRADE (IRE)         (brown ch)GALLARDO A 120 4.00 11% 7.80    
  (by WALDGEIST out of CYNTHIANA by INTO MISCHIEF)
7  OUR PRAYER Mar29 Feb10       (motion graham)CENTENO E 120 10.00    
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of SISTERHOOD by KITTEN'S JOY)
8  STENTS AND STATINS (GB) Feb10 Sep03       (brown cha)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 3.00 10% 9.40    
  (by SOLDIER HOLLOW out of DEALBATA by DUBAWI)
9  BONITA BREEZE         (yanez moises )SANTOS ADEMAR 120 20.00    
  (by TREASURE BEACH out of BREWMISTRESS by MILWAUKEE BREW)
10  PURE MAGIC GIRL Apr05 Feb14 Jan20 Dec02 Oct07 (lopez mario)SPANABEL SKYLER 120 20.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of RICKETYRACKETYRUSS by BORREGO)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.