Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Fonner Park
Sunday - April 07, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FON-1   WIN (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/1)-(5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/1)-(3/1/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
FON-2   WIN (3/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/2)-(3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/1/2)-(3/2/6)-(1/8/2/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FON-3   WIN (3/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/6)-(3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
FON-4   WIN (1/8/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/2/4)-(1/8/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/2/4)-(1/8/2/4)-(1/8/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/8/2/4)-(6/7/1/2)-(6/4/2/8) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
FON-5   WIN (6/7/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/1/2)-(6/7/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/1/2)-(6/7/1/2)-(6/7/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FON-6   WIN (6/4/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/2/8)-(6/4/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/2/8)-(6/4/2/8)-(6/4/2/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FON-7   WIN (4/3/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/1/7)-(4/3/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/1/7)-(4/3/1/7)-(4/3/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/3/1/7)-(8/9/2/1/4)-(3/7/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FON-8   WIN (8/9/2/1/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/9/2/1/4)-(8/9/2/1/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/9/2/1/4)-(8/9/2/1/4)-(8/9/2/1/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/9/2/1/4)-(3/7/5) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
FON-9   WIN (3/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/5)-(3/7/5/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/5)-(3/7/5/2/4)-(3/7/5/2/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FON-1   04/07/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAYETTE WARRIOR Mar15 Oct29 Oct21 Sep23 Sep09 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 125 8.00 8% 10.90    
YAYASGOTMOREGAME Mar16 Feb24 May19 Apr29 Apr08 (thompson grady)RAMOS B 125 15.00    
TREASURY Mar15 Dec30 Dec01 Nov03 Sep30 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 1.80    
VERRAZANO FIRST Mar23 Mar09 Jan11 Dec21 Dec08 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 1.60 13% 6.60    
MOON CONNECTION Mar29 Mar16 Jan06 Nov29 Nov01 (anderson )MEDINA ANGEL 125 2.50 52% 0.90    
THUNDERSHOOK Mar09 Nov17 Nov03 Oct14 Sep28 (dieter dalton)MARTINEZ R 125 12.00    
 
FON-2   04/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($12.7K) 3 F PT- 2:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROSIE TWO SOCKS         (dieter dalton)ZIEGLER ZACK 122 8.00 7% 14.10    
  (by I WILL SCORE out of IMPEACHMENT'S ROSE by IMPEACHMENT)
R R JUDE         (dieter dalton)MARTINEZ R 122 8.00 7% 14.10    
  (by BRAHMS out of MS DIXIE GIRL by EVEN THE SCORE)
DIAMOND GO GIRL Mar24 Mar10 Feb25     (donlin d)RAMOS B 122 2.00 61% 0.60    
  (by SING BABY SING out of FIFTY CURLS by CURLIN)
LADY MAZATLAN Mar24 Feb25       (anderson david )ROMAN KEVIN 122 3.00    
  (by KLIMT out of LADY LUCY by INTO MISCHIEF)
GO LILLY GO Mar24 Mar10 Feb25     (coughlin )MEDINA ANGEL 122 8.00    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of ANOTHER VEGAN by ISTAN)
FABLED TALE Mar24 Mar10       (hoffman robert)HAAR NATHAN 122 2.50    
  (by THE FACTOR out of TALETOBETOLD by TALE OF THE CAT)
 
FON-3   04/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MINISTER MAZ Mar08 Feb18 Jan26 Jan05 Dec07 (gourneau jerry)DELORME L 125 6.00    
COPANELLO BAY Mar23 Mar09 Dec02 Nov17 Oct20 (anderson )MEDINA ANGEL 125 1.80 25% 3.00    
FAMILY TRADITION (IRE) Jul09 Jun25 Jun04 May06 Apr15 (anderson david )ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.00 38% 1.60    
UNCLE SINGH Mar23 Sep30 Sep18 Aug27 Aug18 (donlin d)MARTINEZ R 125 15.00    
SHIPS LOG Mar23 Mar16 Feb24 May14 Apr22 (hoffman robert)RAMOS B 125 3.50    
NORTH ARM BAY Aug27 Jul22 Jul13 Jun28 Jun04 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
FON-4   04/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HULEN Mar15 Feb17 Jan27 Dec06 Oct22 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 1.40 62% 0.60    
TIGER THE MAN Mar23 Mar15 Mar01 Oct27 Oct21 (hawley joe)DELORME L 125 15.00 6% 15.90    
SHIP BOSS Mar22 Mar09 Sep25 Sep11 Jun23 (foley sea)MEDINA ANGEL 125 12.00    
GRAND DESIGN Mar15 Oct22 Aug12 Jul24 Jul07 (martinez kelli)HAAR NATHAN 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
CHARMING CHARLIE Mar23 Mar05 Feb01 Dec14 Nov11 (gonzalez v)RAMOS B 125 6.00    
SCOOTER'S BOY Dec02 Nov08 Oct27 Oct21 Sep09 (ramaekers eri)BACON W 120 12.00    
ROCK CITY ROCKET Mar17 Mar03 Oct27 Oct22 Sep24 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 4.00    
RUNTODAY Mar23 Mar09 Feb24 Feb16 Jan25 (hibdon n)MARTINEZ R 125 6.00 8% 11.50    
 
FON-5   04/07/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($5.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIL MISS DE BUY Mar10 Feb24 Dec02 Nov17 Oct14 (hibdon mark )BETHKE A 125 15.00 21% 3.70    
AMERICAN REALITY Feb22 Nov30 Oct29 Oct22 Oct08 (hibdon n)MARTINEZ R 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
SHE'S MY PRIORITY Mar17 Mar10 Feb25 Dec17 Dec01 (gourneau jerr)BACON W 120 12.00    
SEGOVIANA Mar10 Feb25 Feb18 Oct29 Oct08 (castillo sal)RAMOS B 125 15.00    
SCR  BOURN Oct27 Oct01 Jul27 Jun08 May10 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.50    
SABER QUEEN Mar29 Mar10 Feb25 Jan19 Dec27 (gonzalez )MEDINA ANGEL 125 2.00 31% 2.30    
MAGIC IN A HAT Mar10 Oct29 Oct22 Sep24 Sep10 (schindler kyle)DELORME L 125 6.00 25% 3.00    
BREWSKY Mar29 Mar15 Mar01 Feb25 Oct21 (johnson marvin )HAAR NATHAN 125 4.00    
 
FON-6   04/07/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($9.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PALM COURT Mar24 Mar10 Feb25 Oct22 Oct08 (johnson marvin )HAAR NATHAN 125 3.00    
DOLLY DIMPLE Mar24 Mar10 Mar01 Oct29 Oct22 (bliss dean)ROMAN KEVIN 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
RUNAWAY A. TRAIN Mar17 Mar01 Aug13 Jul27 Jul01 (gourneau jerry)DELORME L 125 4.50    
REINA DEL SUR Mar24 Mar10 Oct29 Oct08 Sep18 (donlin d)RAMOS B 125 5.00 7% 13.80    
MISS GRAND SLAM Mar22 Apr28 Apr16 Apr02 Mar19 (rivera gregori)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 15.00    
GEORGIANO Mar17 Oct28 Oct22 Sep15 Aug21 (hines ann)MEDINA ANGEL 125 2.50 61% 0.60    
T R'S FIRST Mar24 Mar10 Feb10 Jan19 Jan06 (hibdon n)MARTINEZ R 125 8.00    
SHACKED STATESIDE Mar24 Mar10 Jan13 Sep27 Sep14 (donlin larry )BACON W 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
FON-7   04/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($9.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WIKING Mar09         (rushton temple)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 10.00 7% 13.70    
  (by WAR FRONT out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
ILLUSIONED Oct08 Feb25 Feb17 Jan13 Dec18 (ibanez alberto)MARTINEZ R 125 10.00    
  (by MASTERY out of ISMENE by TRIBAL RULE)
LUCKY'S SECRET Mar30 Dec27 Dec07 Oct23 Sep07 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 1.80 27% 2.70    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of CAUSARA by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
MEET GEORGE JETSON Mar22 Mar08 Dec31 Dec10 Nov18 (martinez kelli)ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.00 41% 1.50    
  (by ORB out of PLEASE BE DISCREET by DISCREET CAT)
WATCHNTHETIDEROLL Mar08 Feb24 Dec27 Dec14 Oct17 (ramaekers eric)DELORME L 121 15.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of BAY POINT COUNTESS by BERNSTEIN)
MORE THAN EASY Mar02 Nov01 Oct11 Sep21 Sep08 (rushton temple)RAMOS B 125 6.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of BET TO WIN by PULPIT)
ROWDY GALE Mar09 Feb24 Apr05 Mar21 Mar14 (red mason)HAAR NATHAN 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TWICE AS BAD out of NANCY NIGHTINGALE by MY HOME PHONE)
SCR  ENANO CARO Feb18 Feb10       (gourneau jerr)BACON W 116 5.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of ELLIE'S THE BOSS by STREET BOSS)
HEY SISSY Mar30 Apr05 Mar29 Feb16 Feb02 (red mas)PICKNER XAVIER 115 15.00    
  (by EVEN THE SCORE out of ON HOLD by HOLD YOUR PEACE)
 
FON-8   04/07/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($6K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEDDYISTRUCKING Mar24 Mar08 Feb17 Dec13   (ramaekers eric)DELORME L 121 8.00 6% 16.50    
SENSE OF HEART Mar29 Mar15 Mar01 Dec02 Nov09 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.00 11% 8.10    
SMACKIN GOOD TIME Mar29 Mar15 Aug26 Aug11 Jul24 (schutz pam)BETHKE A 125 12.00    
FLAT OUT HOT Mar22 Mar03 Oct28 Oct21 Sep30 (rhodes lester)RAMOS B 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
AUNT CARI Mar29 Mar15 Mar01 Oct28 Oct07 (lemburg mark)HAAR NATHAN 125 15.00    
DANZONBY Mar22 Mar03 Aug10 Jul14   (hoffman robert)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 12.00    
DRIVING Mar03 Feb03 Apr30 Mar30 Mar09 (gourneau jerr)BACON W 120 6.00    
WOKE JOKE Mar22 Mar08 Mar03 Feb03 Dec16 (gourneau jerry)MARTINEZ R 125 2.00 45% 1.20    
RICHIE'S GAL Mar24 Mar10 Feb25 Feb17 Dec16 (ramaekers)MEDINA ANGEL 121 5.00 15% 5.80    
 
FON-9   04/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR. BIG SHOT May12 May05 Apr22 Apr16 Mar18 (anderson david )HAAR NATHAN 125 8.00    
KENHEDOIT Mar23 Mar16 Oct27 Sep30 Sep04 (dieter dalton)ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.50    
JUDGE'S BRIBE Mar16 Feb24 Nov25 Sep30 Sep09 (black mar)MEDINA ANGEL 125 6.00 50% 1.00    
INEWAGALLIKETHAT Mar16 Mar02 Oct07 Jun04 Jun03 (musquiz j)DELORME L 120 5.00    
NAME THE PRICE Mar23 Mar16 Oct27 Sep30 Sep03 (dieter dalton)MARTINEZ R 125 4.50 5% 19.00    
PICKLES N ME Mar15 May12 Mar18 Mar05 Feb17 (mcclain stan)PICKNER XAVIER 120 12.00    
LITTLE BITOTHUNDER Mar09 Feb24 May19 Apr22 Mar31 (rivera gregori)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 4.00 24% 3.20    
B T'S BAD BOY Mar02 Apr30 Mar31 Mar18 Feb19 (hall l)BACON W 120 8.00    
PICKELJUICE Mar23 Jun03 May20 May12 Sep05 (musquiz j)RAMOS B 125 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.