Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Sam Houston Park
Friday - April 05, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HOU-2   WIN (1/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/8/7)-(1/8/7/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/7)-(1/8/7/4/2)-(1/8/7/4/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/8/7)-(2/1/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/8/7)-(2/1/3/6)-(5/6/2/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
HOU-3   WIN (2/1/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/3/6)-(2/1/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/3/6)-(2/1/3/6)-(2/1/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/3/6)-(5/6/2/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/1/3/6)-(5/6/2/3)-(6/8/4/1) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
HOU-4   WIN (5/6/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/2/3)-(5/6/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/2/3)-(5/6/2/3)-(5/6/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/2/3)-(6/8/4/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/6/2/3)-(6/8/4/1)-(8/1/7/9) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
HOU-5   WIN (6/8/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/4/1)-(6/8/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/4/1)-(6/8/4/1)-(6/8/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/8/4/1)-(8/1/7/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/8/4/1)-(8/1/7/9)-(8/7/9/5) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
HOU-6   WIN (8/1/7/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/7/9)-(8/1/7/9/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/1/7/9)-(8/1/7/9/5)-(8/1/7/9/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/1/7/9)-(8/7/9/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/1/7/9)-(8/7/9/5)-(3/5/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
HOU-7   WIN (8/7/9/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/9/5)-(8/7/9/3/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/7/9/5)-(8/7/9/3/5)-(8/7/9/3/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/7/9/5)-(3/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/7/9/5)-(3/5/2)-(8/13/11/2/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
HOU-8   WIN (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/2)-(3/5/2/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/2)-(3/5/2/1/6)-(3/5/2/1/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/5/2)-(8/13/11/2/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
HOU-9   WIN (8/13/11/2/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/13/11/2/7)-(8/13/11/2/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/13/11/2/7)-(8/13/11/2/7)-(8/13/11/2/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HOU-2   04/05/2024 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CRAZY RIDGE Mar02 Feb17 Jan21 Aug27 Aug06 (kota)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 3.50 57% 0.70    
2  NIGHTWIND Mar29 Mar02 Feb17 Jan12 Aug24 (young scott)WETHEY JR 123 6.00 ★    
3  KING ARTHUR RIDGE Mar29 Feb25 Feb09 Jan20 Dec05 (kotara ronald)DIEGO V 123 8.00    
4  HYPERION NORTH Mar24 Feb17 Jan12 Jun22 Apr15 (t)DE CRUZ 121 6.00 ★    
5  WITT'S JERRY Mar23 Mar15 Feb11 Oct07 Sep06 (davidson sar)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 15.00    
SCR  VICTOR VALENTINO Mar02 Feb03 Jul03 Jun22 Jun16 (padilla carl)WISEMAN ISAIAH 121 10.00    
7  OZZIES WINGS Y G Mar16 Mar01 Feb17 Jan21 Jan06 (torrez jerenesto)BRACHO A 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  DARYLS TRUMP CARD Mar16 Mar01 Feb09 Jan21 Jul03 (castellanos jaime)DIAZ RENE 117 4.00 16% 5.20    
9  RED DRAW Mar24 Mar03 Feb17 Jan12 Jun22 (young e)SANCHEZ OBED 121 20.00    
10  WITT AMERICA Mar09 Feb19 Jan20 Sep21 Aug08 (davidson ni)ELLIOTT S 121 8.00    
 
HOU-3   04/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PINKY RING BLING Mar10 Feb24 Jan26 Jan06 Dec02 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 3.00 19% 4.40    
2  SUPER BRADY Feb24 Feb09 Sep09 Aug06 May13 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 121 4.00 41% 1.50    
3  FIRE SWORD Mar10 Feb17 Jan19 Dec20 Nov30 (padilla a)DIEGO V 123 8.00 11% 8.20    
4  PHILO BEDDOE Feb23 Jan19 Nov20 Oct21 May12 (c)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 123 20.00    
5  IMA BIG BOPPER Feb23 Feb02 Jan12 Oct26 Sep09 (payne w)BRACHO A 123 15.00    
6  POMEROY HAZE Mar14 Jan26 Jan06 Nov30 Nov14 (govea cesar)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  YANKEE INDIAN Mar26 Nov10 Oct20 Oct07 Sep23 (cravens ron)WETHEY JR 121 6.00    
8  STELLAR TAP Mar07 Jan26 Aug29 Jul29 Jun24 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 118 2.00    
 
HOU-4   04/05/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LANGUAGE BARRIER Mar03 Feb23 Feb11 Sep24 Sep15 (s)DE CRUZ 121 30.00    
2  LET'S GO ALAMO Mar23 Feb17 Sep04 Aug17 Jul21 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 121 15.00 22% 3.50    
3  WAR ROGUE Feb11 Oct13 Aug26 Aug13 Feb28 (deleo)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 121 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FEARLESS PRINCE Feb23 Feb03 Jan12 Dec15 Nov13 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 8.00    
5  SAINT PIO Mar03 Feb17 Feb09 Jan28 Nov11 (caldwell j )WETHEY JR 121 1.80 26% 2.80    
6  MONET'S DEVIL Mar17 Feb23 Sep29 Sep02 Jul19 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 123 3.50 25% 3.00    
7  SR. BI BI Feb18 Feb03 Jan19 Dec02 Nov09 (chacaltana domi)BENAVIDES D 121 4.50    
8  LITTLE AVENGER Feb23 Feb03 Aug26 Aug13 Jul16 (camacho dolo)DIEGO V 121 3.00    
 
HOU-5   04/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($12K) 3 ALL PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OBVIOUS CONCLUSION Mar17         (love alan)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  RACE AROUND         (stinebaugh za)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 15.00    
3  UPTOWN TWOUNDERPAR Mar17 Feb03       (padilla a)DIEGO V 122 8.00    
4  SUPER EKATI         (love al)GONCALVES R 122 10.00 14% 6.30    
5  TEXAS REIGN Mar15 Feb19       (dupuy allen)SALAZAR TERESA 117 30.00    
6  RIPSTER Mar17 Mar01 Feb17 Feb09 Jan27 (george wayne)SANCHEZ OBED 122 3.00 49% 1.10    
7  WILLIE'S POSSE Feb03 Jan05       (clary r)MORA GERARDO 122 20.00    
8  RUSTY GADGET Mar24 Feb19 Jan20 Jun23   (pish danny)DIAZ RENE 122 2.00 15% 5.60    
SCR  CONNOR TALKSTRASH Mar03 Feb03 Jan19 Dec16   (ashford tris)GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 6.00    
10  TRICKTONITE Feb24 Feb09       (silv)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 10.00    
 
HOU-6   04/05/2024 3300ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($34.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WILL THE THRILL Mar23 Feb18 Jan28 Jan06 Dec05 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 121 4.00 19% 4.30    
2  LOUISIANA FLASH Mar09 Feb17 Feb02 Aug13 May22 (c)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 121 10.00    
3  BLING MOUNTAIN Mar09 Jan26 Jan05 Dec14 Nov20 (davidson brent)BRACHO A 121 12.00    
4  MY LITTLE PRINCE Mar24 Mar03 Feb03 Jan12 Dec05 (young scott)WETHEY JR 121 20.00    
5  CASTILLE Mar24 Mar01 Nov16 Oct26 Sep06 (padilla carl)WISEMAN ISAIAH 117 6.00 ★    
6  DUDE PERFECTA Mar08 Jan19 Dec16 Nov21 Oct28 (jacks e)CABRERA DAVID 121 15.00    
7  CLEAT Mar24 Jan05 Dec16 Nov24 Oct21 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 116 6.00 14% 6.10    
8  TWENTYONE N CHANGE Mar18 Dec09 Nov30 Nov09 Oct14 (silva miguel)ALVAREZ L 121 2.00 44% 1.30    
9  PAY RAISE Nov28 Nov06 Oct21 Sep13   (ashford tris)GONZALEZ ELVIN 117 30.00 5% 19.00    
10  HELLO HELLO MISTER Jun03 May13 Apr29 Apr16 Apr02 (g)DE CRUZ 121 15.00    
11  BOARD CERTIFIED Mar22 Mar10 Feb18 Jan28 Jan12 (davidson sarah)SANCHEZ OBED 121 15.00    
12  RIDING THE TRAIN Mar08 Sep25 Sep04 Aug17 Aug05 (pearson p)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 121 30.00    
 
HOU-7   04/05/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT-10:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BETYAR AZETS Mar02 Feb18 Feb03 Nov09 Oct05 (silva miguel)DIEGO V 123 15.00    
2  MAYAPRETTY Feb24 Jun03 May05 Feb24 Feb04 (ascencio j)MORALES X 121 20.00    
3  HASHTAG WINNER Mar28 Mar17 Dec30 Dec22 Dec06 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 116 3.50 ★    
4  CRYSTAL CRESCENT Mar22 Mar08 Feb16 Jan19 Nov25 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 20.00    
5  ROSES ARE GRAY Mar17 Mar02 Feb15 Jan20 Dec13 (g)DE CRUZ 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  ROZEY CHEEKS Mar22 Feb16 Jan19 Nov02 Sep08 (mendo)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 116 10.00    
7  MOONLIGHT RAIN Mar17 Feb24 Jan12 Nov30 Nov17 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 121 4.00 31% 2.20    
8  CATO'S LADY Mar22 Mar08 Feb16 Dec15 Nov18 (davidson sar)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 2.00 36% 1.80    
9  TOOTIE Mar22 Mar08 Feb16 Jan19 Nov21 (davidson sarah)SANCHEZ OBED 121 12.00 8% 11.50    
SCR  PUT A BOW ON IT Mar17 Mar02 Feb16 Jan13 Dec19 (d)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 121 6.00    
 
HOU-8   04/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT-11:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIDNIGHT HUNTER Mar01 Jan27 Jan05 Sep02 Aug07 (hebert matt)MORA GERARDO 121 15.00 ★    
2  KITTER KAT Mar02 Feb23 Feb09 Dec07 Nov11 (caldwell r)ELLIOTT S 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  PLANTERS PUNCH Feb16 Jan27 Dec23 Jan22   (g)DE CRUZ 121 6.00 45% 1.20    
4  BOLD EXCAPER Mar01 Feb19 Jan20 Jan05 Dec13 (jacks e)CABRERA DAVID 121 20.00    
5  CROW'S NEST Mar10 Mar02 Feb23 Jan27 Jan19 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 116 3.50 30% 2.40    
6  MESSAGE DISCIPLINE Mar09 Feb09 Jan27 Jan05 Dec14 (gelner jayd)WETHEY JR 121 4.00 ★    
7  CLASSIC RUNNER Mar09 Mar01 Feb19 Feb09 Jan27 (govea cesar)ALVAREZ L 121 4.50    
8  C D'S WILD FIRE Mar09 Dec01 Nov09 Aug05 Jun05 (guzm)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 117 10.00    
9  WINNY'SSPECIALSTAR Aug27 Aug12 Jul01 Jun24 Jun04 (swift )HERNANDEZ A 116 30.00    
10  DOCS DUTY Mar03 Feb18 Jan19 Nov30   (padilla a)DIEGO V 119 20.00    
11  DO YOUR JOB Mar01 Feb18 Nov18 Sep02 Jul30 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 119 10.00    
12  JERSEY JIM Mar09 Feb23 Jan27 Nov10 Oct06 (hebert matt)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 15.00    
 
HOU-9   04/05/2024 5610ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($40K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT-11:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STELLACZAR Feb10 Nov04 Sep24 Aug18 Jun24 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 121 15.00    
2  LUNA MOTH Mar22 Mar09 Feb04 Nov23 Sep29 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 118 8.00 6% 14.70    
3  REBEL CONSORT Mar17 Feb24 Dec23 Dec01 Nov09 (werneth rober)CABRERA DAVID 121 12.00    
SCR  ALTERNATIVE SLEW Feb10 Jan20 Nov29 Oct20 Sep15 (gelne)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 20.00    
5  PAINTBRUSH Mar17 Mar10 Feb02 Jan12 Dec08 (g)DE CRUZ 123 10.00    
SCR  BLAMEITONMIDNIGHT Mar10 Feb10 Dec15 Oct26 Aug31 (baldillez alejand)DIEGO V 121 3.00    
7  TUDELA Mar23 Feb17 Feb02 Jan12 Jun25 (castellanos jaime)DIAZ RENE 123 8.00 5% 17.40    
8  SHE'SSKYSTHELIMIT Mar10 Feb10 Dec08 Nov04 Oct25 (jacks karen)WETHEY JR 123 4.00 43% 1.30    
9  STORMIEIS BLUE Feb24 Jan20 Dec08 Nov29 Nov11 (davidson sar)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 15.00    
10  MISSION BELLE Feb10 Jan20 Sep13 Aug25 Aug07 (davi)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 8.00    
11  TEMPLAR RED Feb10 Nov04 Oct25 Sep24 Sep09 (craddoc)GONCALVES R 121 4.50 7% 13.40    
12  GASTOWN Feb24 Jan20 Jan05 Aug20 Jul23 (govea cesar)ALVAREZ L 121 20.00    
13  OPTIMISTIC COWGIRL Mar02 Feb10 Dec07 Nov05 Sep30 (cruz eduardo)DIEGO V 123 5.00 15% 5.90    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.