Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Sam Houston Park
Saturday - March 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HOU-2   WIN (6/7/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/5/3)-(6/7/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/5/3)-(6/7/5/3)-(6/7/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/5/3)-(7/1/8/3/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/7/5/3)-(7/1/8/3/4)-(7/3/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
HOU-3   WIN (7/1/8/3/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/1/8/3/4)-(7/1/8/3/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/1/8/3/4)-(7/1/8/3/4)-(7/1/8/3/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/1/8/3/4)-(7/3/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/1/8/3/4)-(7/3/4)-(6/5/8/4/1) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
HOU-4   WIN (7/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/4)-(7/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/3/4)-(7/3/4)-(7/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/3/4)-(6/5/8/4/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/3/4)-(6/5/8/4/1)-(6/2/5/12) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
HOU-5   WIN (6/5/8/4/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/5/8/4/1)-(6/5/8/4/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/5/8/4/1)-(6/5/8/4/1)-(6/5/8/4/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/5/8/4/1)-(6/2/5/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/5/8/4/1)-(6/2/5/12)-(7/6/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
HOU-6   WIN (6/2/5/12) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/5/12)-(6/2/5/12/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/2/5/12)-(6/2/5/12/9)-(6/2/5/12/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/2/5/12)-(7/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/2/5/12)-(7/6/2)-(5/6/4/2/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
HOU-7   WIN (7/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/2)-(7/6/2/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/2)-(7/6/2/4/1)-(7/6/2/4/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (7/6/2)-(5/6/4/2/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/6/2)-(5/6/4/2/7)-(1/11/3/10/7) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
HOU-8   WIN (5/6/4/2/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/6/4/2/7)-(5/6/4/2/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/6/4/2/7)-(5/6/4/2/7)-(5/6/4/2/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/6/4/2/7)-(1/11/3/10/7) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
HOU-9   WIN (1/11/3/10/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/11/3/10/7)-(1/11/3/10/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/11/3/10/7)-(1/11/3/10/7)-(1/11/3/10/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HOU-2   03/16/2024 5940ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIOBELLA Jan25 Nov15 Oct19 Sep01 Aug13 (brobe)MANRRIQUE JOSE 121 15.00    
SCR  GRASS QUEEN Jan13 Nov03 Sep08 Jun15 Mar05 (eoff terry)SANCHEZ OBED 121 2.50    
3  OUR AMEN Feb16 Jan19 Dec30 Mar05 Feb19 (morris rowdy)MORA GERARDO 121 30.00 5% 19.00    
4  SAN MATEO KAT Feb23 Feb09 Jan28 Nov21 Oct26 (davidson sara)CABRERA DAVID 121 12.00    
5  HOURGLASS FIGURE Feb16 Nov09 Nov04 Sep08 Jun15 (young scott)WETHEY JR 121 8.00 17% 4.90    
6  CLAUDETTE HEIR Feb02 Jan07 Nov24 Oct27 Sep24 (young bob)ALVAREZ L 123 1.40 24% 3.20    
7  BASKET CASE Feb03 Jan21 Jan13 Nov29 Nov09 (davidson sara)JARA FERNANDO 121 3.50 22% 3.60    
8  POETIC UNION Feb09 Feb03 Jan13 Nov29 Nov03 (c)DE CRUZ 121 20.00    
 
HOU-3   03/16/2024 4620ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ERNIE BANKER Feb23 Dec12 Oct12 Sep24 Aug24 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 121 4.50 15% 5.60    
2  REBEL EMPIRE Feb23 Feb04 Dec27 Oct21 Sep28 (werneth a)DIEGO V 121 20.00    
3  MALIBU S S Feb25 Feb18 Feb02 Dec17 Nov24 (broberg karl)JARA FERNANDO 123 12.00 6% 14.90    
4  DRIVEHAPPY Feb24 Feb04 Nov29 Nov08 Oct13 (willis mind)WETHEY JR 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  SOUL SACRIFICE Feb25 Dec15 Nov17 Oct11 Sep08 (davis shawn )ALVAREZ L 121 15.00    
6  NAUTICAL MOON Feb24 Dec09 Nov20 Nov03 Oct14 (bravo franci)WISEMAN ISAIAH 121 12.00    
7  SOARING BIRD Nov03 Oct02 Sep22 Sep07 Jul21 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 116 2.00 47% 1.10    
8  HAP HOT Feb24 Jan26 Nov11 Oct19 Sep16 (rengstorf to)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 3.50 8% 12.30    
9  TIZ LIFE Mar01 Feb04 Dec07 Oct26 Sep23 (craddoc)GONCALVES R 121 5.00    
 
HOU-4   03/16/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPERLE Feb19 Feb09 Nov15 Oct25 Aug14 (rossi j)JARA FERNANDO 121 2.50    
2  EXETER Feb18 Feb03 Jan19 Jan07 Dec02 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 3.00    
3  VARNISHED Feb18 Feb10 Jan27 Jan06 Dec02 (chacaltana domi)BENAVIDES D 121 6.00 23% 3.30    
4  BIG ROJO Feb25 Feb09 Jan27 Dec14 Nov29 (govea cesar)BRACHO A 121 12.00 10% 9.30    
SCR  ROYALLY Feb03 Jan07 Dec16 Dec09 Nov20 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 123 10.00    
6  FATHER RED Feb19 Feb09 Nov11 Oct27 Sep11 (davidson sar)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 20.00    
7  CATHOLIC GUILT Mar01 Feb09 Jan27 Jan06 Oct12 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 116 1.80 35% 1.90    
 
HOU-5   03/16/2024 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($34.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOON CAT Feb18 Jan28 Jan12 Oct14 Sep16 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  BLOCKED Feb02 Oct14 Sep14 Jul13 Jun10 (davis h)CABRERA DAVID 121 15.00    
3  COWBOY RIDGE Feb17 Jan21 Jan05 Sep11 Aug19 (kota)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 20.00    
4  FROM THE HEART Feb18 Jan19 Oct21 Oct12 Sep23 (ashford ra)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  GAMETIME GLADIATOR Feb18 Jan28 Dec30 Nov17 Jul07 (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 121 6.00 21% 3.80    
6  SPOILER Feb02 Jan12 Dec08 Oct26 Sep07 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 121 3.00 43% 1.30    
7  MAN IN THE MIDDLE Jan28 Sep06 Aug06 Jun23 Jun08 (castellan)TRIANA JR 123 20.00    
8  BIG WAVE JAMES Feb02 Oct07 Sep23 Jun23 May28 (eoff terry)WETHEY JR 121 6.00 8% 12.10    
9  WILTON Feb23 Jan12 Nov08 Oct27 Oct13 (govea cesar)JARA FERNANDO 121 3.50    
10  COUNTRY CAPER Feb11 Nov02 Sep21 Nov08 Oct20 (bravo francisc)SANCHEZ OBED 123 4.50    
 
HOU-6   03/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 35 M/F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIDSHIPMAN'S LADY Mar01 Feb10 Jan05     (whitelaw mic)ALVAREZ L 119 8.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of MAEBELUCKY by LUCKY LIONEL)
2  FLYING FIRST CLASS Feb10 Jan07 Nov28 Jun03   (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 119 3.00 24% 3.20    
  (by BRADESTER out of REAL STRIKE by SMART STRIKE)
3  SHE'S CANDIFIED Feb24 Feb10       (ashford ra)GONZALEZ ELVIN 119 8.00    
  (by UNIFIED out of WHAT LOLA WANTS by DON'T GET MAD)
4  BLAME JULIA Feb03         (benav)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 118 20.00    
  (by NUBLADO BLING out of BLAME FREE by BLAME)
5  BACLIFF         (gustafson aus)CABRERA DAVID 119 5.00 7% 13.90    
  (by KHOZAN out of CAMERON CRAZIES by LION HEART)
6  BLING IT TO ME Feb18         (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 4.00 48% 1.10    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of LIBBIES MISSION by GLOBAL MISSION)
7  PARIS GARTERS Jan07 Oct18       (hurle)MANRRIQUE JOSE 119 20.00    
  (by BONDI out of MOLLY WARMFLASH by GRASSHOPPER)
8  HOLIDAY PRESENCE Feb18 Jan21 Jan07 Nov18 Nov08 (pish danny)WETHEY JR 119 12.00    
  (by PRESERVATIONIST out of I'M IN HARLAN by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
9  BALI GIRLEE Feb24 Feb03 Nov25 Nov10 Oct04 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 123 8.00 ★    
  (by BAL A BALI out of LISALISALEE by DISCO RICO)
10  MUCH ALOHA Feb24 Jan07 Dec13 Nov29 Oct27 (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 123 30.00    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of SIGNALPATH by ESKENDEREYA)
SCR  RUBY CANTU         (hebert matt)JARA FERNANDO 119 15.00    
  (by KEEP UP out of SWEET AVA JANE by EARLY FLYER)
12  AVALING         (castellan)TRIANA JR 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SKY FLIGHT out of ZERLINA by HANSEN)
 
HOU-7   03/16/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SON OF A BLING Feb17 Jan20 Jan05 Dec11 Nov06 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 119 4.50 ★    
2  TIGERS 'N BEARS Feb09 Nov17 Sep24 Aug31   (pish danny)DIEGO V 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  SUMMER HELP Mar01 Feb02 Jan12 May27 May11 (p)DE CRUZ 123 8.00    
4  DARYLS TRUMP CARD Mar01 Feb09 Jan21 Jul03 Jun04 (cast)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 117 6.00 ★    
5  COWTOWN FLYER Feb03 Jan05       (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 119 20.00    
6  IMPERIAL RED BIRD Feb17 Jan26 Jan05 Nov13 Nov04 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 121 3.50 32% 2.10    
7  MISTER MONTE CARLO Feb19 Jan27 Jan05     (clary jaylan )JARA FERNANDO 119 2.50 43% 1.30    
8  OZZIES WINGS Y G Mar01 Feb17 Jan21 Jan06 Nov17 (torrez jerenesto)BRACHO A 117 30.00    
9  KEEPMOVINGFORWARD Mar03 Feb17 Jan26 Jan06 Aug27 (schneider eric)MORA GERARDO 121 20.00    
10  CASINO MO Feb09 Jan21 Dec08 Nov20 Oct28 (eoff terry)WETHEY JR 117 8.00    
 
HOU-8   03/16/2024 3300ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($37.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EMPIRE OF GOLD Feb23 Feb04 Jan05 Nov04 Oct13 (eoff terry)WETHEY JR 121 10.00    
2  TIZ MAGIC Jan05 Nov14 Oct12 Sep02 Jun24 (jacks e)DIEGO V 116 8.00 12% 7.30    
3  SIR STERLING Sep09 Aug12 Jul15 Jun21 May27 (rengstorf to)ALVAREZ L 121 12.00    
4  SATURDAY'S GOLD Feb17 Feb09 Jan11 Oct14 Sep29 (govea cesar)BRACHO A 123 3.50 15% 5.60    
SCR  JACKMAN'S RIDE Feb04 Dec04 Oct13 Sep23 Aug24 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 123 4.00 23% 3.40    
6  STAYED IN FOR HALF Jan27 Dec16 Nov11 Oct14 Sep24 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 121 2.50 18% 4.50    
7  DARK AFTERNOON Feb17 Nov10 Oct07 Sep22 Sep08 (gustafson aus)CABRERA DAVID 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  SIGN OF WAR Nov24 Aug21 Aug13 Apr01 Mar05 (g)DE CRUZ 121 10.00    
9  PRAYFORPEACE Mar01 Feb04 Nov03 Oct14 Aug29 (davidson sar)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 12.00    
 
HOU-9   03/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 35 M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIZZ FACTOR Feb24 Feb03 Dec07     (p)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 123 4.00 27% 2.70    
  (by THE FACTOR out of MIZZ CAT C S by MIZZEN MAST)
2  MEGAN'S MISS Feb24 Oct12 Sep14     (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 20.00    
  (by MO TOM out of PRINCESS MEG by WALESA)
3  SHE SPEAKS Feb10 May01       (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 119 3.00 20% 4.10    
  (by MR SPEAKER out of KALYANI by SMART STRIKE)
4  TELEKINETIC         (gustafson aus)JARA FERNANDO 119 8.00    
  (by TAPIZAR out of HALF A MILLION by HALF OURS)
5  DOC'S BUD Jun23 May06 Apr15     (willis mindy)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 20.00    
  (by DOCTOR ROMANE out of MULA DAWN by MULA GULA)
6  HIGHLANDER HONEY         (gelner jayd)WETHEY JR 119 10.00    
  (by MY GOLDEN SONG out of DANCE TEAM by DYNAFORMER)
7  GOD KNOWS WHY         (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by EAGLE out of KATIE'S TEN by ROCK HARD TEN)
8  STACY'S PRINCESS         (uriegas he)MORALES X 119 30.00    
  (by LATENT HEAT out of ALL HER CHARMS by SKY MESA)
9  TEXAS STAR         (jacks e)CABRERA DAVID 119 8.00    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of FOXY BOSS by STREET BOSS)
10  BUBBLES AND BLING Feb03 Feb18 Jan28     (clary r)MORA GERARDO 123 12.00 11% 8.10    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of MISS PHOTOGENIC by YOU AND I)
11  INDY LA PRIMERA Feb17 Jun03       (rangel raul)DIEGO V 119 4.50 22% 3.60    
  (by SKY FLIGHT out of I'M INDY HAVIN FUN by INDYGO MOUNTAIN)
12  SHY ANN         (h)DE CRUZ 119 20.00    
  (by KEEP UP out of MS ALDEBARAN by ALDEBARAN)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.