Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Thursday - March 07, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-1   WIN (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/3)-(4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/3)-(7/2/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/3)-(7/2/6/1)-(6/5/3/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-2   WIN (7/2/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/6/1)-(7/2/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/6/1)-(7/2/6/1)-(7/2/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/6/1)-(6/5/3/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/2/6/1)-(6/5/3/4)-(6/2/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-3   WIN (6/5/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/3/4)-(6/5/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/3/4)-(6/5/3/4)-(6/5/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/5/3/4)-(6/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/5/3/4)-(6/2/3)-(6/5/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-4   WIN (6/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/3)-(6/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/3)-(6/2/3)-(6/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/3)-(6/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/2/3)-(6/5/3)-(1/4/7/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-5   WIN (6/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/3)-(6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/3)-(1/4/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/5/3)-(1/4/7/5)-(3/2/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-6   WIN (1/4/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/7/5)-(1/4/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/7/5)-(1/4/7/5)-(1/4/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/7/5)-(3/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/7/5)-(3/2/4)-(8/5/3/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-7   WIN (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/4)-(3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/4)-(8/5/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-8   WIN (8/5/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/3/7)-(8/5/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/5/3/7)-(8/5/3/7)-(8/5/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   03/07/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($17.2K) 3 ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEN BITS Feb23 Jan18 Dec21     (short thoma)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 3.50    
FAPPIANO HALO Feb01 Jan13       (dollinger-sthr )RODRIGUEZ V 122 15.00    
GOOD BUZZ Feb17 Jan26 Nov25 Nov03 Oct12 (pennella rhea)ADAMS L 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
CAJUN JOE Feb17 Feb01 Dec01 Nov10 Oct20 (mangual)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 1.20 50% 1.00    
OVER MY LIMIT Feb09 Jan25 Jan04 Dec14   (short thom)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 3.00    
GOLD DILEMMA Feb14 Jan24 Jan10 Dec06 Nov28 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 122 6.00 24% 3.20    
 
CT-2   03/07/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SALTY SAUL Feb16 Feb03 Jan12 Sep15 Aug12 (shanley timoth)CHILO MAXIMO 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
FASHION DIVA Feb07 Dec28 Nov30 Nov15 Aug05 (binning matth)ADAMS L 115 1.20 14% 6.10    
MOIRAINE Nov16 Oct26 Oct12 Aug26 Aug12 (spriggs toschia)RODRIGUEZ V 124 15.00    
CHANNEL SCENT Feb17 Jan27 Dec08 Nov30 Nov11 (mcgill sylvest)RIOS-CONDE A 122 5.00    
SO RED THE ROSE Feb16 Jan26 Jan05 Dec15 Nov30 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 122 12.00    
LIME AFTER LIME Feb08 Jan03 Dec13 Nov30 Jan21 (atkins mi)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 10.00 9% 9.80    
KATALIMA Feb07 Jan03 Dec13 Nov18 Oct28 (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 1.80 50% 1.00    
 
CT-3   03/07/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAILAH NITE Nov30         (oxendin)NUNEZ MAURICIO 118 20.00    
DEE DEE SIX Feb14 Jan24 Jan03 Dec01 Oct18 (cipriano rober)CHILO MAXIMO 118 4.50    
SELES Feb21 Jan31 Jan24 Jan03 Dec16 (jones michael)CHAVEZ ANDRES 111 4.00 17% 5.00    
HERECOMESPUDD Nov02 Sep06 Aug02 Jul13 Apr27 (oxendine adam)RODRIGUEZ V 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
QUEEN LEXI Feb09 Jan24 Jan10 Dec09 Nov17 (short thoma)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 1.40 20% 3.90    
I LOVE MARIA Jan25 Nov29 Oct26 Sep30 Sep13 (ovando melvin)LOPEZ ANTONIO 124 2.50 35% 1.80    
PURPLE CALLA Feb15 Feb09 Dec15     (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 124 15.00    
 
CT-4   03/07/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUSHWICK BRUISER Jan31 Nov29 Oct25 Oct11 Sep27 (deiter kelly)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 4.50    
NORLANDER Jan31 Nov30 Nov04 Oct21 Oct05 (runco c)CHAVEZ ANDRES 115 4.00 17% 5.00    
BET ON BITZ Feb16 Jul07 Jun15 May25 May04 (pickett c)BOCACHICA J 117 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WATCH THE TRAMCAR Feb29 Feb16 Jan26 Dec28 Dec06 (shanley timoth)CHILO MAXIMO 118 15.00    
RUSH TO CANDY Feb17 Jan11 Nov10 Oct25 Oct05 (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 124 8.00    
MON GATEAU Feb16 Feb01 Jan13 Dec15 Nov16 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 0.80 46% 1.20    
SCR  A THOUSAND IDOLS Feb16 Jan27 Jan11 Dec09 Nov18 (harting chri)BATISTA A 122 10.00    
 
CT-5   03/07/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STRONG LIL KOKORO Feb15 Jan25 Jan11 Dec05 Nov07 (collins tim)RODRIGUEZ V 120 8.00    
OCEAN STORM Feb21 Jan31 Jan04 Dec09 Nov30 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 12.00    
MODERN DAY ROMANCE Jan31 Jan12 Dec16 Nov11 Oct25 (jones michael)CHAVEZ ANDRES 115 6.00 5% 19.00    
GET OFF MY CLOUD Feb15 Jan31 Jan25 Dec06 Nov11 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 3.00    
ROAD SLEW Feb15 Jan25 Dec16 Nov30 Oct27 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 124 4.50 21% 3.80    
ONLY GET'N BETTER Feb15 Jan25 Jan04 Dec09 Nov11 (shanley timoth)CHILO MAXIMO 122 1.40 48% 1.10    
SCR  URGENT FURY Feb29 Feb07 Jan11 Jul28 Aug28 (obed-letts ketu)PELTROCHE F 122 10.00    
 
CT-6   03/07/2024 4620ft DIRT RC6 MUDDY Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AUBURN MILL Feb15 Jan25 Dec06 Nov22 Nov08 (boggs joa)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 1.80 41% 1.40    
CATFISH Feb16 Dec12 Aug29 Jul02 Jun06 (shuler r)CHILO MAXIMO 120 15.00    
MASTER THIS Mar01 Feb08 Jan25 Dec13 Dec06 (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 5.00    
WINDSOR'S TRACKER Feb15 Jan25 Jan04 Dec13 Nov15 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 2.00 18% 4.40    
BUFF'S EYE VIEW Feb14 Dec06 Nov04 Oct14 Sep09 (walters da)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
SARGENT KOBE Jan25 Jan04 Dec16 Dec06 Nov15 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 6.00    
NEVER COMPROMISE Feb07 Dec16 Nov22 Nov08 Sep29 (sandoval michae)PELTROCHE F 120 8.00 13% 6.80    
 
CT-7   03/07/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPARKLEINYOUREYE Feb15 Jan31 Jan04 Dec14 Nov29 (jones m)ORTIZ ORLANDO 120 4.00    
SHEWONTTALKTOME Feb24 Feb02 Jan12 Jul20 Jul06 (sigler rona)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 3.50 31% 2.30    
RUNAWAY BEAUTY Nov04 Oct14 Sep15 Aug31 Aug10 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 116 1.00 47% 1.10    
THELASTSAY Feb16 Jan27       (shuler joh)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
PRINCESS MARGARET Feb10 Jan31 Jan11 Dec09 Nov29 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 12.00    
HERE'S A QUARTER Feb15 Jan05 Nov17 Jul06   (atkins mi)BOCACHICA J 111 15.00    
 
CT-8   03/07/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MONKEY WRENCH Feb07 Jan12 Dec09 Nov24 Oct27 (barahona isaac)CHILO MAXIMO 120 20.00    
CALYPSO JOHN Feb17 Jan04 Oct13 Sep29 Sep01 (contreras)BOCACHICA J 117 12.00    
BORN TO SIN Feb23 Feb01 Dec14 Nov29 Oct28 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 10.00 6% 14.50    
SCR  CANDY FOR JUBA Feb17 Jan26 Jan05 Nov25 Oct12 (sigler ronald)LOPEZ ANTONIO 118 2.50    
MAGICAL SURPRISE Feb17 Jan04 Nov29 Oct20 Sep29 (walters da)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 3.00 21% 3.80    
HILLBILLY ROCK Feb09 Feb02 Dec09 Nov24 Oct06 (atkins )NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 15.00    
KAYLEE'S SPITFIRE Dec06 Nov18 Nov01 Oct18 Sep16 (clatterbuck f)BATISTA C 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
WYSOQUIET Feb17 Jan24 Dec30 Sep01 Aug11 (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 118 2.00 49% 1.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.