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The Longshot Specialist!

Parx Racing
Wednesday - January 24, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PRX-1   WIN (6/9/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/9/5)-(6/9/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/9/5)-(6/9/5)-(6/9/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/9/5)-(4/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/9/5)-(4/6/5)-(1/6/7/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRX-2   WIN (4/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/5)-(4/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/5)-(4/6/5)-(4/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/5)-(1/6/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/5)-(1/6/7/3)-(3/8/4/9) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PRX-3   WIN (1/6/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/7/3)-(1/6/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/7/3)-(1/6/7/3)-(1/6/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/7/3)-(3/8/4/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/6/7/3)-(3/8/4/9)-(3/5/12) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PRX-4   WIN (3/8/4/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/8/4/9)-(3/8/4/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/8/4/9)-(3/8/4/9)-(3/8/4/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/8/4/9)-(3/5/12) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/8/4/9)-(3/5/12)-(8/6/4/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PRX-5   WIN (3/5/12) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/12)-(3/5/12/10/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/12)-(3/5/12/10/9)-(3/5/12/10/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/5/12)-(8/6/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5/12)-(8/6/4/2)-(2/1/5/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PRX-6   WIN (8/6/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/4/2)-(8/6/4/9/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/6/4/2)-(8/6/4/9/2)-(8/6/4/9/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/6/4/2)-(2/1/5/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/6/4/2)-(2/1/5/7)-(4/3/9) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PRX-7   WIN (2/1/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/5/7)-(2/1/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/5/7)-(2/1/5/7)-(2/1/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/5/7)-(4/3/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/5/7)-(4/3/9)-(2/1/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRX-8   WIN (4/3/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/9)-(4/3/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/9)-(4/3/9)-(4/3/9) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/9)-(2/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/3/9)-(2/1/4)-(6/13/1/3/12) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
PRX-9   WIN (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/4)-(2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/4)-(6/13/1/3/12) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
PRX-10   WIN (6/13/1/3/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/13/1/3/12)-(6/13/1/3/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/13/1/3/12)-(6/13/1/3/12)-(6/13/1/3/12) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PRX-1   01/24/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($21K) 4UP ALL PT-12:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXCLUSIVE ORDER Jan08 Oct30 Sep27 Aug28 Jul10 (soto c)OCASIO M 121 15.00    
SCR  NICKEL NICKEL Dec26 Nov15 Aug31 Jul15   (solis jacint)HERNANDEZ ANDY 121 1.60    
KEEP DEM TALKING Dec26 Dec18 Nov29 Nov14 Oct31 (king clare)RIVERA R 116 15.00    
SCR  UNION REWARD Jan08 Dec20 Nov27 Nov01 Oct16 (hawthorne bobbi)RUIZ ELISEO 116 5.00    
TEQUILAMADEMEDOIT Jan08 Jan02 Dec04 Jun21 Jun13 (bedard alan)SILVERA RUBEN 121 15.00 21% 3.80    
WILKINSON WARRIOR Dec26 Dec04 Oct31 Mar22 Feb27 (servis c)BOWMAN ADAM 121 4.00 28% 2.50    
SCR  BOINTHEBACK Jan08 Dec20 Nov28 Oct30 Oct11 (lake a)TREJOS JOSEPH 121 8.00    
LOGAN'S RUNNER Dec20 Nov28 Sep29 Sep09 Aug23 (castillo mic)LAPRIDA JEREMY 121 8.00    
INSPECTOR Jan02 Dec05 Nov11 Sep14 Sep01 (guerrero ca)RIVERA D 121 6.00 26% 2.80    
 
PRX-2   01/24/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3 ALL PT-12:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JAMAICAN WAR CRY Jan03 Nov20       (whylie her)MITCHELL RICHARD 121 12.00    
SCR  DRY DOCK Dec15 Nov14       (sanchez-piner)SILVERA RUBEN 121 8.00    
PRALINEPOPSBOTTLES Nov07 Aug26 Jun19     (bullock jor)VASQUEZ WILFRED 121 15.00    
GOLD DILEMMA Jan10 Dec06 Nov28 Oct20 Sep14 (servis)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 116 3.50 38% 1.60    
WONTCATCHHIMTODAY Oct17 Sep18       (linder loui)NUNEZ Y 121 4.50 7% 12.70    
MAGICAL MONARCH Dec06 Oct26 Jun29     (ness jamie)RIVERA R 116 1.80 32% 2.10    
SCR  LOVE IS FOREVER Oct24 Oct10       (coletti edward )RUIZ ELISEO 116 8.00    
AWESOME FRIEND Dec06 Nov02 Oct07 Sep16 Aug13 (hamilton step)RANGEL JOEZER 121 12.00    
 
PRX-3   01/24/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($26K) 4UP ALL PT-12:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR SANDMAN Dec05 Sep13 Aug24 May31 May08 (castillo mic)LAPRIDA JEREMY 121 5.00 34% 2.00    
PROFESSOR KOOL Jan08 Dec12 Nov20 Oct24 Oct03 (padilla-p)VARGAS A 121 4.00    
NINJA PRIZE Dec04 Oct31 Oct03 Sep18 Jun21 (solis jacinto)ADORNO ABNER 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
TAP IN FORMATION Dec26 Dec04 Nov15 Dec11 Nov04 (coletti edward )RUIZ ELISEO 119 8.00    
COLES CONUNDRUM Jul19 Jun21 May31 May06 Mar22 (reid e)PENNINGTON F 121 4.50    
COUNTERFEITCURENCY Nov26 Nov16 Nov03 Sep09 Aug05 (montoya mary)HERNANDEZ ANDY 121 5.00 15% 5.70    
CARBONITE Jan08 Dec12 Nov20 Nov01 Oct22 (flores-cob)SANCHEZ J 121 3.50 11% 8.30    
 
PRX-4   01/24/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($23K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STAFF SERGEANT Dec20 Nov28 Nov06 Oct20 Sep09 (hogan william )ORTIZ JOSHUA 111 12.00    
WEGOTTAGUY Jan01 Nov15 Nov01 Oct17 Oct04 (tapsas eli)HENRY JR 121 15.00    
DEPLANE Jan09 Dec13 Dec04 Nov22 Nov01 (farro patricia)RUIZ ELISEO 116 4.50 31% 2.20    
QUICKENING Jan09 Jan01 Dec04 Nov27 Oct31 (ashton patric)SILVERA RUBEN 121 8.00 12% 7.30    
SCR  SMARTEN UP Jan09 Dec13 Nov14 Oct24 Oct17 (velazquez alf)RIVERA D 121 4.00    
HIT ME I'M LUCKY Dec04 Oct04 Sep09 Aug27 Aug04 (lake a)ADORNO ABNER 121 5.00    
SCR  AFY KID Jan08 Dec20 Nov28 Oct30 Aug20 (gonzalez clau)OCASIO M 124 3.50    
MIDNIGHT CAT Dec06 Nov28 Nov20 Nov01 Oct18 (flores-coba)VASQUEZ WILFRED 121 3.00 30% 2.30    
LOUIE'S LAW Dec04 Nov15 Oct17 Oct04 Aug30 (polachek ja)PAREDES JHOVANY 114 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
PRX-5   01/24/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($19K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAUTELOSO Dec13 Nov29 Oct16 May27 Apr20 (castillo mi)VASQUEZ WILFRED 124 15.00    
NOMAR'S HOPE Jan10 Dec18 Nov29 Oct25   (santaella-cald)ADORNO ABNER 124 20.00    
HUMBLE JOE Nov12 Oct26 Oct17 Oct04 Sep19 (williams ab)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 4.00 40% 1.50    
PRINCIPE Dec18 Nov08 Oct23 Sep29 Sep19 (sanchez-piner)RIVERA D 124 20.00    
BEAR OR BULL Jan02 Dec21 Aug23 Jul21 Jun30 (coletti edw)NUNEZ Y 124 4.50 36% 1.80    
SCR  BIG BROOK Dec12 Nov22 Oct09 Sep11 Aug31 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 124 1.20    
SOCIAL JOE Jan10 Dec18 Nov22 Nov15 Oct14 (polachek janet)CORREA JULIO 124 10.00    
SETTE STELLE Dec27 Nov15 Nov02 Oct23 Oct13 (padill)GONZALEZ JR 124 20.00    
COMMISSION ALWAYS Dec27 Nov29 Oct31 Jul13   (sanchez-pinero )RUIZ ELISEO 119 15.00    
10  MOB JUSTICE Jan02 Oct09 Sep05 Aug21   (castillo mi)PAREDES JHOVANY 117 10.00    
SCR  LORD SEABEE Dec13 Nov29 Nov14 Oct31 Oct02 (jenkins suzanne)BOWMAN ADAM 124 15.00    
12  BUBBY PAPERMAKER Dec12 Nov14 Oct31 Oct02 Sep18 (whylie her)MITCHELL RICHARD 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
PRX-6   01/24/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($21K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SWEET LILLY FACTUM Jan08 Nov13 Oct30 Oct02 Jul18 (nicholson ju)LAPRIDA JEREMY 121 15.00    
TAKESTWOTOWIGGLE Jan08 Dec27 Nov28 Nov13 Oct30 (jones c)BOWMAN ADAM 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
BELLA MARIA Jan02 Dec26 Dec11 Nov28 Nov08 (hogan willi)RAMOS C 121 12.00    
FRANKLY MY DEAR Dec27 Nov28 Nov13 Oct11 Sep12 (martinez alex)OCASIO M 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
CUP OF LIFE Jan08 Dec19 Nov13 Oct07 Sep20 (hamilton st)WILLIAMS AJHARI 121 12.00    
ASTONISHING ANABEL Jan08 Dec19 Dec01 Aug20 Jul28 (noble f)SILVERA RUBEN 121 3.50 28% 2.60    
MAZAL EIGHTEEN Jan08 Nov22 Nov08 Sep20 Aug30 (soto c)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 8.00    
LUNA T Jan02 Dec12 Nov28 Nov08 Nov01 (caban e)RUIZ ELISEO 116 5.00 43% 1.40    
ANGELIC GAL Jan12 Dec21 Nov14 Oct23 Oct12 (flores-coba)VASQUEZ WILFRED 124 4.50    
SCR  SONET'S NAME Jan08 Dec03 Nov16 Oct26 Oct12 (coletti edw)NUNEZ Y 121 8.00    
11  ROAD TO DREAMS Jan08 Dec14 Nov28 Nov17 Nov08 (chacon gusta)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 15.00    
12  MISS ALEX Jan08 Dec21 Dec11 Nov27 Nov01 (chacon gus)ROWLAND MADELINE 121 20.00    
 
PRX-7   01/24/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 3 F PT- 2:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIKEY'S SONG Dec12 Nov08 Oct16     (reid e)ADORNO ABNER 121 6.00 10% 8.60    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of PHANTOM PHASR by GHOSTZAPPER)
ALANI Dec26 Nov22       (servis c)PENNINGTON F 121 1.80 59% 0.70    
  (by COMPETITIVE EDGE out of TRI DELT GIRL by SEFAPIANO)
SCR  MERRYCHILL Dec27 Nov29       (solis jacint)HERNANDEZ ANDY 121 15.00    
  (by WINCHILL out of MERRY'S PEGASUS by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
TINA BALLERINA Dec26         (bedard ala)ROWLAND MADELINE 121 20.00    
  (by MASTERY out of ANNA PAVLOVA by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
MADDIE TEN Dec29         (russell b)CARRASCO R 121 4.50 8% 12.30    
  (by MITOLE out of BLUE UNION RAGS by UNION RAGS)
ECLAIR BLANC Dec26 Oct24       (linder loui)NUNEZ Y 121 10.00    
  (by FUNTASTIC out of SWEET SWAY by FREUD)
STEAL THE DEAL Dec12 Nov08 Sep23 Aug21 Jul18 (reid rober)SANCHEZ J 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BOISTEROUS out of STEAL THE LUTE by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
SCR  NOISY ON THE BAY Dec27 Nov21 Oct16 Sep23   (coletti )GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 4.00    
  (by BOISTEROUS out of SUNDAYS ON THE BAY by DISCO RICO)
TELEPHONE LINE         (crook-dema)RIVERA R 116 10.00    
  (by DIALED IN out of HERECOMESKAT by STREET SENSE)
 
PRX-8   01/24/2024 5490ft DIRT RC9 GOOD Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($30K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CONNELMAURA Jan01 Nov27 Oct16 Oct09 Aug23 (solis jacint)HERNANDEZ ANDY 121 8.00    
SCR  COLLIN'S GREY LADY Dec18 Dec05 Oct30 Oct06 Sep19 (coletti edw)NUNEZ Y 121 12.00    
IZZYBELLA Nov03 Oct13 Sep14 Aug17 Jul12 (simoff andrew)ROJAS MARTINA 116 3.50 14% 6.20    
ABIDALE Jan08 Nov27 Oct25 Sep14 Aug17 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 121 2.00 40% 1.50    
TOMARIE Jan09 Dec20 Aug30 Aug22 Jul05 (polachek ja)VASQUEZ WILFRED 121 15.00    
SCR  BURANO Dec12 Nov14 Oct11 Aug21 Jul19 (diaz jorge)RUIZ ELISEO 116 12.00    
SHETALKSTOMUCH Jan09 Dec19 Nov13 Oct18 Oct11 (guerrero g)LAPRIDA JEREMY 121 8.00    
CLOUT CHASER Nov28 Nov06 Sep19 Aug29 Jul08 (st u)SANCHEZ J 121 20.00    
SCOTT ALAIA Dec27 Nov27 Nov06 Oct16 Sep26 (padilla-prec)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 4.00 12% 7.30    
 
PRX-9   01/24/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($55K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET WILLEMINA Dec01 Nov11 Oct27 Sep20 Sep04 (lake scot)VARGAS A 121 6.00 18% 4.50    
GOLDEN TABBY Jan10 Dec12 Sep27 Aug21 Jul17 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 124 2.50 53% 0.90    
DISCO EBO Dec17 Oct31 Apr24 Mar07 Feb15 (reid e)PENNINGTON F 121 1.20    
GIRL TROUBLE Jul11 Jun04 May13 Apr15 Mar06 (reid e)CARMOUCHE K 121 8.00 6% 17.00    
SCR  MS. BUCCHERO Dec17 Nov03 Sep16 Aug09 Jul08 (alvarado diane)ROSADO JOHAN 121 8.00    
MIA TOSCA Oct30 Sep28 Aug21 Jul17 Jun19 (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 12.00    
DECO STRONG Dec17 Nov20 Nov03 Sep16 Aug26 (stites flin)WOLFSONT ANDREW 121 12.00    
 
PRX-10   01/24/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COUSIN ANDREW Dec18 Dec04 Nov15 Nov07 Oct17 (diaz jorge)OCASIO M 121 6.00 14% 6.10    
SCR  CENTER MID MADDIE Nov27 Nov07 Oct09 Sep25 Sep11 (guerrero guad)RUIZ ELISEO 116 3.50    
MUNDO MIX Dec20 Dec01 Nov16 Oct20 Oct04 (noble f)SILVERA RUBEN 121 10.00 13% 7.00    
MACH TRIAL Dec27 Jul19 Jul10 Jun27 Jun14 (tapsas elias)CORREA JULIO 121 10.00    
SMARTHUMOR Jan03 Dec26 Nov22 Oct30 Oct02 (tapsas)GONZALEZ JR 121 15.00    
MANOLETE Jan03 Dec06 Nov07 Sep26 Sep11 (rosado rober)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 6.00 22% 3.60    
PORTAL ONE Jan08 Dec06 Nov15 Jul24 Jul05 (truehart jen)HERNANDEZ ANDY 124 4.50    
SCR  HANEY BOYS Dec12 Nov28 Nov15 Nov01 Oct17 (mosco rober)ANGULO J 121 15.00    
SCR  CITY RAGE Dec20 Oct11 Sep18 Aug30 Jul25 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 121 4.00    
10  WE READY Jan03 Dec12 Nov27 Oct30 Oct17 (perez ruperto)RIVERA D 121 20.00    
SCR  BUCKS ARE MOVING Jan01 Dec06 Sep19 Aug30 Jul12 (crook-dema)RIVERA R 116 8.00    
12  SATCHEL DE RITCHES Dec18 Dec04 Oct25 Oct11 Sep27 (dandy ro)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
13  SAPONARA Jan05 Nov21 Nov01 Oct17 Sep19 (flores-coba fel)RUIZ ELISEO 116 6.00 16% 5.10    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.