Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Wednesday - November 08, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (6/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/1)-(6/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6/1)-(1/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/1)-(1/5/6)-(5/6/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
CT-2   WIN (1/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/6)-(1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/6)-(5/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/5/6)-(5/6/4)-(6/4/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-3   WIN (5/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/4)-(5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/4)-(6/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/6/4)-(6/4/5)-(1/3/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-4   WIN (6/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/5)-(6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/5)-(1/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/4/5)-(1/3/4)-(3/6/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-5   WIN (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/4)-(1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/4)-(3/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/3/4)-(3/6/4)-(1/7/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-6   WIN (3/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/4)-(3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/4)-(1/7/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/6/4)-(1/7/5)-(4/6/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-7   WIN (1/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/5)-(1/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7/5)-(1/7/5)-(1/7/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/7/5)-(4/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CT-8   WIN (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/3)-(4/6/7/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/6/3)-(4/6/7/3)-(4/6/7/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   11/08/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLUE MOUNTAIN Oct21 Sep16 Aug26 Aug05 Jul28 (adorno je)BOCACHICA J 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  LEMONSONDESURPRISE Oct21 Apr21 Mar25 Jan14 Dec07 (mangual manolo)CRUZ ANGEL 122 8.00    
3  COWGIRL ATTITUDE Oct21 Sep07 Aug11 Jul07 Jun03 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 1.20    
4  DIVA ROSE Sep16 Aug05 Jul20 Jun13 May19 (craig e)RIVERA JAVIER 122 6.00    
SCR  FIFTY GRAY SHADES Oct21 Jul20 May19 Apr28 Jan20 (groves janice)BATISTA C 122 20.00    
6  KNOBIESMAGICSONDE Oct21 Sep16 Sep07 Aug04 Jul22 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 1.40 54% 0.90    
 
CT-2   11/08/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GAMMA SQUEEZE Oct18 Sep16 Aug18 Jun22   (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 2.00 49% 1.00    
2  SCHMEAR Oct19 Sep28 Aug25 Aug10 Jul13 (shanley timoth)CHILO MAXIMO 118 5.00    
3  NO ME DIGAS Oct18 Oct06 Sep01 Aug24 Aug04 (davis samuel)BATISTA A 120 4.00    
4  DAD'S LIL SPARK Oct24 Oct09 Sep12 Sep06 Aug21 (bass w)MAWING A 120 4.50    
5  ONE MORE CHAPTER Sep05         (cuttino l)CULLUM W 120 2.50 21% 3.70    
6  WINDSOR'S TRACKER Oct25 Sep30 Sep14 Aug31 Jul21 (hurley )NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 12.00 8% 12.20    
 
CT-3   11/08/2023 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 2 F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WAY OF APPEAL Oct12 Sep15 Aug31     (perez ernesto)RODRIGUEZ V 122 20.00    
2  MISS INTENSITY Oct27 Sep15 Aug31 Jul20 Jul06 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 122 4.00    
3  SOMESUGARNSPICE Oct27 Oct06 Aug10 Jul20 Jul06 (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 120 5.00    
4  LEONESSA Sep21         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  ANOTHER FINE JUBA Oct27 Oct06 Sep15 Aug10 Jul20 (petty kristy)LARROSA G 122 1.60 67% 0.50    
6  THETA         (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 3.50 8% 10.90    
7  YES TO LOVE Oct27 Aug10 Jul20     (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 122 4.50    
 
CT-4   11/08/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AT THE HALF Oct20 Sep29 Sep08 Aug19 Jul06 (davis e)HO WESLEY 120 4.50    
2  CRUZ IN THE CASTLE Oct27 Oct14 Sep14 Jul29 Jul13 (dollinger)BOCACHICA J 115 8.00    
3  EMBERLY Oct26 Oct13 Sep28 Sep15 Sep07 (ramos ago)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 122 4.50    
4  ULTRA DIVA Oct26 Oct16 Oct02 Sep13 Aug30 (ewell sr)RODRIGUEZ V 122 6.00 15% 5.50    
5  MISS GRANDSTANDER Jul21 Jul01 Jun03 Apr22 Apr01 (pickett)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 4.50 9% 9.60    
6  THUNDER PUNCH Oct20 Sep29 Sep08 Aug18 Jul06 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 3.00 45% 1.20    
7  SISTER JOANN Oct26 Oct15 Oct02 Aug30 Aug21 (hess g)BOCACHICA O 124 4.50    
 
CT-5   11/08/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 2 F PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MITOLE'S BAYTOWN Oct31 Oct19 Oct03 Sep11 Aug28 (mcentee pau)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 1.60 40% 1.50    
  (by MITOLE out of MAJESTIQUE by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
2  OREO ANGEL         (hess jaco)BOCACHICA J 113 10.00    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of HINT OF MINT by MORE THAN READY)
3  RAGAZZA MIA Oct19         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 3.50 18% 4.60    
  (by MOSLER out of THEGALTHATWASABOY by TIZNOW)
4  COLLECTED SUCCESS Oct08 Sep06       (bass w)MAWING A 120 4.00 13% 6.60    
  (by COLLECTED out of GIANT SUCCESS by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
5  A LOTTA MOXIE Oct18 Sep22       (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 12.00    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of STARVISTA by MACLEAN'S MUSIC)
SCR  CAUSETOWIN         (jackson l)CULLUM W 120 6.00    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of NEVER GO BACK by TAKE CHARGE INDY)
7  BRASSIC Oct22 Jun23       (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 120 20.00    
  (by BUCCHERO out of DANDY DASHA by DUTY OFFICER)
8  OLD FASHIONED GIRL Sep19 Aug24 Jul27 Jul11   (mcentee pa)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 10.00    
  (by KLIMT out of CREATIVE DESIGN by STRAVINSKY)
 
CT-6   11/08/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KEEP ON SPURRIN Sep07 Aug19 Jul29 Jul06 Jun03 (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 5.00    
2  TIMETOGETUP Oct25 Oct05 Sep07 Jul01 Jun01 (petty kristy)LARROSA G 124 3.00    
3  BELLA MELA Oct14 Sep28 Sep07 Aug24 Apr29 (contreras javier)CRUZ ANGEL 122 1.60 42% 1.40    
4  SNOWY JUBA CAT Oct13 Sep28 Jul27 Jul07 May27 (bass curt)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 6.00 12% 7.00    
5  CAST NO STONES Nov30 Oct27 Oct01 Sep05 Jul13 (fulmer allison)BOCACHICA O 120 10.00    
6  MACKENZIE'S MUSIC Oct14 Aug24 Jul27 Jun19 Jun03 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 3.50 18% 4.40    
 
CT-7   11/08/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEVER COMPROMISE Sep29 Aug31 Aug18 Jul15 Jun24 (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 122 1.40 31% 2.20    
2  RIP THORN Oct14 Sep18 Jul31 Jul03 Jun11 (collins tim)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 12.00    
3  GOLDEN APPEAL Oct18 Sep29 Aug31 Aug19 Jun24 (craig e)RIVERA JAVIER 120 10.00    
SCR  MISSIONSNINETYNINE Oct18 Sep29 Sep16 Aug31 Aug18 (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 4.00    
5  AUBURN MILL Oct28 Oct18 Sep29 Sep15 Aug31 (boggs joa)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 8.00 15% 5.80    
6  MISS WAVE Oct14 Aug19 Jul01 May25 Apr13 (hillegass al)BATISTA A 117 30.00    
7  REMYS SHOWTIME Oct28 Oct14 Sep09 Sep01 Aug11 (jones michae)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 2.00 20% 4.00    
 
CT-8   11/08/2023 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHARTERED COURSE Oct20 Sep07 Aug17 Apr14 Mar31 (peltroche vane)CHILO MAXIMO 122 20.00    
2  SENZA STRIKE Sep07 Jun16 Jun01 Apr27   (stehr joseph)MORALES KELVIN 119 30.00    
3  GETTIN SPICY Nov01 Sep30 Sep07 Aug17 Jul28 (boykins kevin)RODRIGUEZ V 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  J. WICK Oct19 Sep28 Jul13 Jun23 May26 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 121 1.80 50% 1.00    
5  MYLASHURRAH Oct19 May20       (collyer jamie)ADAMS L 117 20.00    
6  LAST PARTY Sep30 Sep08 Jul28 Jul20 Jul01 (armstrong busan)BOCACHICA O 124 1.00 25% 2.90    
7  DOG TOWN ALLEN Oct19 Sep28 Sep08 Sep01 Aug17 (harrison gle)MARRERO CARLOS 121 5.00 ★    
8  JUBA'S YANKEE ONE Oct19 Sep28 Sep07 Aug17 Jun23 (racanelli)BOCACHICA J 115 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.