Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Friday - October 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (1/6/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/3/2)-(1/6/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/3/2)-(1/6/3/2)-(1/6/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/3/2)-(8/4/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/6/3/2)-(8/4/9)-(7/6/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-2   WIN (8/4/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/4/9)-(8/4/2/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/4/9)-(8/4/2/9)-(8/4/2/9) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/4/9)-(7/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (8/4/9)-(7/6/3)-(6/4/1/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-3   WIN (7/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/3)-(7/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/6/3)-(7/6/3)-(7/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/6/3)-(6/4/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/6/3)-(6/4/1/7)-(4/2/9/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-4   WIN (6/4/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/1/7)-(6/4/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/1/7)-(6/4/1/7)-(6/4/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4/1/7)-(4/2/9/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/4/1/7)-(4/2/9/5)-(2/3/9) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-5   WIN (4/2/9/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/9/5)-(4/2/9/5/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/2/9/5)-(4/2/9/5/7)-(4/2/9/5/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/2/9/5)-(2/3/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2/9/5)-(2/3/9)-(11/6/9/12) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-6   WIN (2/3/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/9)-(2/3/5/9/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/9)-(2/3/5/9/8)-(2/3/5/9/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/3/9)-(11/6/9/12) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3/9)-(11/6/9/12)-(11/3/5/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-7   WIN (11/6/9/12) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (11/6/9/12)-(11/6/9/12) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (11/6/9/12)-(11/6/9/12)-(11/6/9/12) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (11/6/9/12)-(11/3/5/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CT-8   WIN (11/3/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (11/3/5/7)-(11/3/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (11/3/5/7)-(11/3/5/7)-(11/3/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   10/20/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALLISTO'S BRIGADE Sep08 Aug03 Jul13 Jun16 May18 (walters da)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 121 1.00 32% 2.10    
2  IRISH FLIGHT Sep30 Jul06 Jan28 Jan04 Aug19 (espinosa victo)ARAUJO DENIS 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  COLONIAL ROAD Sep30 Aug17 Jul28 Jul21 Jul13 (campbell la)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 5.00 13% 6.90    
4  CHARTERED COURSE Sep07 Aug17 Apr14 Mar31 Mar10 (peltroche vane)CHILO MAXIMO 122 20.00    
5  TRAP HOLLER Feb17 Jan28       (barahon)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 6.00    
6  MAGICAL SURPRISE Sep29         (walter)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 4.50 29% 2.50    
7  VIESTE Oct06 Aug26 Aug04 Jul27 Jul08 (tobin l)REYNOLDS C 121 30.00    
8  LUNAR GHOST Jun22 Jun04 May11 May04 Mar10 (tobin edwin)MENDEZ MARSHALL 121 8.00    
 
CT-2   10/20/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 2 ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUPER BUSTER         (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 120 10.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
2  RAINBOW DAY         (runco )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 4.00 ★    
  (by RAINBOW HEIR out of ALTER RHYTHM by ALTERNATION)
3  WISCO DISCO         (mcentee pa)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 117 4.50    
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of DREAM SEQUENCE by SMILE)
4  GABARRA         (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 3.50 35% 1.90    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of RUBAN BLEU by BROKEN VOW)
5  REV PARKER         (rofe jean)RIOS-CONDE A 120 15.00    
  (by ASTERN out of DITCH EM by UNCLE MO)
6  CALCULATED LUV         (joy j)ARAUJO DENIS 120 5.00    
  (by ALGORITHMS out of SOUTH BEACH LUV by SLIGO BAY (IRE))
7  TECH DUINN Sep14 Jul14 Jun16 May12   (venham d)BATISTA C 120 20.00    
  (by BIG BROWN out of SEAHAG by CASHEL CASTLE)
8  HAMMER Sep14         (gazzier kri)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 3.00 38% 1.70    
  (by KANTHAROS out of AURORA'S RIDE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
9  ROBCO BOY         (hunt ja)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of TWO WAY ROAD by QUALITY ROAD)
 
CT-3   10/20/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNCAPTURED RUBY Jun23 May27 May07 Apr16 Mar30 (malgarini mawing)MAWING A 122 4.00    
2  GOLD TIME VIXEN Oct06 Sep15 Aug25 Jul21 Jun23 (kee j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 12.00    
3  FLAT DISCOUNT Oct07 Sep15 Sep02 Aug24 Aug12 (ginter ray)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 4.50 15% 5.50    
SCR  BRUSHING Sep04 Jul27 Jun07 Apr15 Jan22 (dunham g)HO WESLEY 122 3.50    
5  SOCIAL EXCLUSION Sep02 Jul22 Jul01 Jun10 May25 (hillegass al)BATISTA A 122 15.00    
6  STYLISH PAINT Oct07 Sep09 Aug12 May25 Apr29 (brown ronney )ROJAS MARTINA 117 4.00 24% 3.10    
7  PUPPYMONKEYBABY Oct08 Sep29 Sep02 Jul07 Jun03 (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 3.00 25% 3.00    
8  PRACTICALLY THERE Oct05 Aug24 Jul29 Apr27 Mar18 (campbell la)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 12.00    
 
CT-4   10/20/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 2 ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SILVER REDESDALE         (locklear james)RODRIGUEZ V 120 15.00 7% 12.70    
  (by REDESDALE out of SILVER SANDS by EL PRADO (IRE))
2  CAJUN JOE Sep14 Aug30       (mangual)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 12.00    
  (by CAJUN BREEZE out of CONCERTED EFFORT by CONCERTO)
SCR  DYNAMIC DEVOTION Oct06 Sep13 Jul27     (mcentee pau)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 8.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of VIBRANT WORSHIP by LANGFUHR)
4  FREE DROP BACH Oct07 Sep22 Sep08     (dunham g)HO WESLEY 120 2.00 16% 5.20    
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of GOLDEN HEART CITY by FAIRBANKS)
5  GOLD DILEMMA Sep14         (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 120 20.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of MY KINDA DEVIL by LEMON DROP KID)
6  SISYPHUS Sep14 Aug25 Aug02     (rose j)MONTANO JOSE 120 2.50 54% 0.80    
  (by WEST COAST out of BACK ROAD BELLAMY by BELLAMY ROAD)
7  HOT ROD LOVE Sep02         (johnson de)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DIVINING ROD out of KATIE'S CADDIE by LION HEARTED)
8  ADIOS COOL ARROWS Aug20 Jul23       (delong ben)ACOSTA D 120 3.00    
  (by HOLY BOSS out of EASY A by MORE THAN READY)
9  BRADLEY DO RIGHT Oct12 Sep16 Jul21 Jun30   (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 120 30.00    
  (by STORMY'S MAJESTY out of STAR OF TAURUS by ALDEBARAN)
 
CT-5   10/20/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PRAY FOR THE U S A Sep08 Aug03 Jun11 May14 Mar24 (racanel)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 10.00    
2  WILLOW MOON Oct07 Mar23 Jan28 Dec08 Oct22 (reynolds jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 3.00 12% 7.00    
3  GRANDIOSELY Sep29 Sep08 Aug24 May05 Mar01 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 122 10.00    
4  INCLUDE THE BEAST Sep08 Aug18 Jun16 May26 Apr13 (brown ronney )ROJAS MARTINA 117 3.50 57% 0.70    
5  THUNDER PUNCH Sep29 Sep08 Aug18 Jul06 Jun16 (adorno jean )BATISTA A 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  ULTIMATE BREEZE Sep15 Aug26 Aug04 Jul07 Jun15 (sandoval )HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 12.00    
7  SISTER'S DUTY Jul29 Jul07 Jun16 Jun02 Apr20 (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 120 4.00 ★    
8  KOBE'S GIRL Sep08 Aug18 Jul07 Jun15 May11 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 122 20.00    
9  ALWAYS SOMETHING Sep29 Aug25 Jun02 May02 Mar01 (patterson kevi)ARAUJO DENIS 122 6.00 5% 18.10    
10  AT THE HALF Sep29 Sep08 Aug19 Jul06 Jun15 (davis russ)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 15.00    
SCR  GRAM'S GAL Sep07 Aug26 Aug04 Apr07 Feb17 (pennella rhea)ADAMS L 115 30.00    
SCR  MO CO GOLD Oct01 Sep02 Jul23 Jun25 Jun11 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.80    
SCR  TRIKKI NIKKI Oct08 Sep17 Aug03 Jul07 Jun23 (mcfarl)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 5.00    
SCR  BEACH HOUSE Oct07 Sep27 Sep08 Aug24 Aug12 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 122 4.50    
 
CT-6   10/20/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIMELO PAPI Sep29 Sep08       (ramos ago)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 121 12.00    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of GIANNA BELLA by FIBER SONDE)
2  KARMA BUS Sep29 Sep08 Aug17 Jul22 Jul01 (brown ronney )ROJAS MARTINA 116 0.60 61% 0.70    
  (by EXCLUSIVE QUALITY out of AD MUSTER by DIXIE UNION)
3  MY BALBOA         (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 121 6.00 11% 8.50    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of ROCKABYE LADY by ROCK HARD TEN)
4  ARYA CHARMING Sep29 Sep08       (wilhelm m)CECIL Y 121 20.00    
  (by WEAVE IT TO ME out of PAYING DIVIDENS by STORMY'S MAJESTY)
5  GAMBLING FEVER Jul20 Jul06 Jun10     (brown w)CRUZ ANGEL 121 5.00 ★    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of LITTLEBITABLING by CARSON CITY)
SCR  SWIPED THE CASTLE         (jackson angel)RIVERA JAVIER 121 15.00    
  (by WINDSOR CASTLE out of SWIPE RIGHT by MALIBU MOON)
7  GOLDEN ASSET Sep29         (mcdonald tim)BATISTA A 121 20.00    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of PRECIOUS ASSET by DANCE WITH RAVENS)
8  TEMP ME NOT         (bowman d)ARAUJO DENIS 124 15.00 ★    
  (by GATTOPARDO out of BOMBAY BEACHES by HOLY BULL)
9  SHINEY GHOST         (aylor william)LOPEZ ANTONIO 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MONSTER MASH out of LITTLE SHINEY by PARKER'S STORM CAT)
10  DON'T GET CAUGHTUP Oct13 Sep29 Sep08 Jul20 Jul06 (boykins kevin)RODRIGUEZ V 121 30.00    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of PUTTYBADSHARK by ONEBADSHARK)
 
CT-7   10/20/2023 2970ft DIRT RC9 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($18.6K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HE IS BONAFIDE Sep21 Sep03 Aug10 Jul13 Jun17 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 12.00    
SCR  INSIDE RISK Sep30 Sep21 Sep04 Mar11 Feb23 (caison jody)MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 15.00    
3  HEY CONGRATS Sep30 Sep01 Jul27 Jun22 Jan21 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 10.00    
SCR  STEVETHEVANDRIVER Sep30 Sep03 Aug27 Aug10 Jul28 (brown keith)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 8.00    
5  COWBOY AT HEART Sep30 Sep09 Jul28 Jul07 Jun24 (grams )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 10.00    
6  ADVANCE CASH Sep30 Sep09 Sep02 Jun17 Jun09 (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 122 1.60 11% 8.10    
7  MR TINGLES Sep30 Sep21 Sep09 Jul28 May26 (dollinger-sth)ROJAS MARTINA 115 5.00    
8  BIG DADDY D R Sep29 Sep09 Aug31 Aug10 Jun15 (utterback barry)CECIL Y 120 20.00    
9  GOLDEN G Sep30 Sep16 Jul28 Jul13 May19 (gillespie)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 4.00 10% 9.50    
SCR  RUNNING FREE Sep29 Aug26 Aug18 Jul27 Jul08 (boyce bri)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 117 20.00    
11  ELLE'SBIGSEACRET Aug05 Jul05 Jun14 May16 Apr27 (ginter raymon)ROJAS MARTINA 115 1.80 35% 1.80    
12  MONTAUK DADDY Sep26 Sep14 Sep01 Jul28 Jul15 (spriggs tos)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 12.00 8% 11.60    
 
CT-8   10/20/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AGAIN WE MEET Aug19         (sewell lenwort)RIOS-CONDE A 121 20.00    
SCR  LORD GRANDE         (cuttino mari)MARRERO CARLOS 124 15.00    
3  HAY DIDDLE DIDDLE Oct05 May27 Mar24 Jan28 Jan07 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 124 4.00 23% 3.30    
4  FLOOR IT Aug19 Jul21 Jun16 Mar12 Feb26 (joy kevin )LATCHMAN RESHAWN 121 3.50    
5  TAKE AIM Sep28 Sep07 Jul07 May27 Apr28 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 121 3.00 13% 7.00    
6  CAPT COMPLICATED Oct04 Sep18 Sep01 Aug09 Jul21 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 121 4.00    
7  SMOKIN SMITTY Sep28 Sep07 Aug11 Jul08 Jun22 (rideout antho)ROJAS MARTINA 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LET'S EAT Oct05 Aug23 Aug08 Jun30 Nov15 (gillespie ryan)CHILO MAXIMO 121 20.00    
SCR  SHAKIN IT BIG TIME Sep28 Sep07 Aug19 Jul27 Jun30 (shanley timothy)PELTROCHE F 122 20.00    
10  I SEE NOTHING Oct13 Sep09 Aug17 Aug10 Jul21 (shanley t)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 119 12.00    
11  ROLL ME OVER Sep17 May06 Apr21 Apr02 Mar18 (cuttino mario)ROJAS MARTINA 119 6.00 43% 1.30    
12  KING JOEY Oct13 Sep29 Aug11 Jul23 Jul02 (woodit jose)ZAPLITNY SKYLAR 114 15.00    
SCR  LIOTTA Oct04 Sep13 Aug25 Aug12 Jul23 (woolley t)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 121 2.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.