Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Parx Racing
Monday - October 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PRX-1   WIN (5/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/4)-(5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/4)-(3/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/2/4)-(3/6/2)-(2/7/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PRX-2   WIN (3/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/2)-(3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/2)-(2/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/6/2)-(2/7/1)-(7/4/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PRX-3   WIN (2/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/1)-(2/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/7/1)-(2/7/1)-(2/7/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/7/1)-(7/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/7/1)-(7/4/5)-(4/10/2/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRX-4   WIN (7/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/5)-(7/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/4/5)-(7/4/5)-(7/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/4/5)-(4/10/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/4/5)-(4/10/2/7)-(9/7/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRX-5   WIN (4/10/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/10/2/7)-(4/10/2/7/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/10/2/7)-(4/10/2/7/3)-(4/10/2/7/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/10/2/7)-(9/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/10/2/7)-(9/7/4)-(10/7/3/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PRX-6   WIN (9/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/7/4)-(9/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (9/7/4)-(9/7/4)-(9/7/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (9/7/4)-(10/7/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/7/4)-(10/7/3/2)-(2/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PRX-7   WIN (10/7/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/7/3/2)-(10/7/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/7/3/2)-(10/7/3/2)-(10/7/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (10/7/3/2)-(2/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (10/7/3/2)-(2/7)-(3/5/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PRX-8   WIN (2/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/7)-(2/4/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/7)-(2/4/6/7)-(2/4/6/7) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (2/7)-(3/5/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/7)-(3/5/8)-(10/9/5/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PRX-9   WIN (3/5/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/8)-(3/5/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/8)-(3/5/8)-(3/5/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/8)-(10/9/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PRX-10   WIN (10/9/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/9/5/8)-(10/9/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/9/5/8)-(10/9/5/8)-(10/9/5/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PRX-1   10/16/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAPE NEDDICK Sep25 Sep04 Aug19 Jul04 Jun12 (montoya ma)SANCHEZ J 121 8.00    
SHELL BELLE Oct09 Sep11 Oct29 Oct22 Sep28 (moore mich)RIVERA R 113 3.50 27% 2.70    
BRUNO BARBER GIRL Oct02 Sep12 Aug29 Jun27 May31 (lake a)MOYA F 118 8.00    
HOLY BERRIES Jul15 Jul08 Jun02 Apr23 Mar18 (gonzalez c)ROWLAND MADELINE 122 4.00 24% 3.20    
MAGNIFICENT PEARL Aug06 Jul12 Jun15 May13 Oct07 (ness j)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 117 4.50 27% 2.60    
SCR  K D KAKES Oct05 Jun17 May19 Apr06 Mar12 (fal)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 2.00    
LITTLE DOYLE Oct02 Sep04 Aug28 Jul30 Jul17 (rodriguez mi)HADDOCK DEXTER 118 6.00    
COLETTE'S SPIRIT Oct02 Sep18 Sep06 Aug24 Aug04 (sanchez-pinero )RUIZ ELISEO 117 20.00    
 
PRX-2   10/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($32K) 2 F PT- 1:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWANS ISLAND Oct02 Aug21       (montoya m)CARRASCO R 119 12.00    
GWEN STACY         (linder j)RENDON JAIRO 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
FULLMOONMAGIC Sep23 Aug22 Jul29     (servis t)RIVERA R 114 2.50 43% 1.30    
SHUDABEENACOWGIRL Oct02 Aug22 Aug02 Jun18   (allen randy)LAPRIDA JEREMY 119 10.00    
BREEZY DANCE Oct02 Sep23       (padilla hug)WOLFSONT ANDREW 119 5.00    
MIKEY'S SONG         (reid e)PENNINGTON F 119 4.50 30% 2.30    
DIANE'S MERLOT         (pino michael )SILVERA RUBEN 119 6.00    
SCR  HURRICANE BON         (lawrence j)SANCHEZ J 119 6.00    
 
PRX-3   10/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEMPTED TO TOUCH Oct03 Sep20 Aug21 Jul12 Jun27 (whylie hero)RAMOS C 120 4.00 6% 15.40    
JUMPSTART LOVE Sep11 Jul05 Jun05     (bouchard les)HERNANDEZ ANDY 124 3.50 44% 1.30    
AYEARTOREMEMBER Sep20 Aug23       (allen )GONZALEZ JR 120 4.50    
LOST IN THOUGHT Sep20         (aro micha)CARRASCO R 120 12.00    
MAP OF LIFE Oct03 Aug23 Mar07 Feb20 Jan23 (mosco robert)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 8.00    
LUCKY FLUSH Oct03 Aug03       (velazquez )RIVERA R 115 8.00    
THEARCHERORTHEPREY Sep20 Aug21 Jul12 Jun19 May30 (linder loui)NUNEZ Y 120 2.50 27% 2.60    
 
PRX-4   10/16/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMOUNT Oct03 Sep18 Aug30 Jul13 Jun28 (castillo mi)NUNEZ Y 122 8.00    
HE'SSOSUBTLE Sep27 Sep06 Aug16 Jul24 Jul04 (wil)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 10.00    
RUNNINGFORHOME Oct03 Sep05 Aug08 Jul26 Jul17 (guerre)GONZALEZ JR 122 5.00    
RELISHMENT Sep18 Jul19 Jun19 Jun05 May08 (pino v)BOWMAN ADAM 122 2.50 21% 3.70    
CARTIER CAT Oct03 Sep05 Jul16 Jul03 May30 (soto- marti)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 2.00 21% 3.80    
TRUE DAKOTAN Sep27 Sep06 Jul24 Jul10 Jun19 (soto- marti)ANGULO J 122 15.00    
WE B SHACKIN Oct04 Sep02 Aug12 Jul21 Jun15 (sanche)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 117 4.50 28% 2.60    
 
PRX-5   10/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IM STILL BRAVE Oct02 Aug13       (maymo ale)VARGAS A 120 15.00    
UPFOR PAROLE Sep04 Aug21 Jul11 Jun14 May23 (linder louis )OCASIO M 120 3.50 15% 5.90    
IT'S A PITY Oct02 Aug02 Jul12 Jul05 Jun18 (whylie her)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 8.00    
MARVELOUSMOONDANCE Oct09 Sep05 Aug23 Aug05 Jul24 (aristone p)SANCHEZ J 124 2.50 40% 1.50    
CAUTELOSO May27 Apr20       (castillo mic)LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 15.00    
E T'S DEMON FIRE Sep26         (chacon gust)ANGULO J 120 15.00    
ROAD CALL Jul24 Jul11 Jun13 May20 May09 (mccaslin j)HENRY JR 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
THE GRAYT PUMPKIN Sep18 Aug21 Jul24 Jul12 Jun18 (mann farrel)TREJOS JOSEPH 120 15.00    
OUT ON THE TOWN Oct05         (crook-demasi )SILVERA RUBEN 124 12.00    
10  RUN FOR KARL Sep12 Aug10 Jul22 Jun18 Jun05 (wyner harold)BOWMAN ADAM 120 6.00 25% 3.00    
11  UNION PARK Sep06 Jul30 Jul11 Jun18 Mar20 (st uri)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 10.00    
12  SHEA D CAPTURE Oct02 Sep19 May15 May08 Apr15 (sanche)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 119 20.00    
SCR  GABAGOOL Aug25 Jun10       (margotta antho)MOYA F 120 3.00    
SCR  BUBBY PAPERMAKER Oct02 Sep18 Aug12 Jul24 Jul12 (whylie her)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 12.00    
 
PRX-6   10/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  JACKIE'S PRIDE Sep25 May01 Apr05 Mar17 Jan31 (linder louis )OCASIO M 122 3.50    
STEERAGE Sep18 Aug21 Jul21 Jul12 Jun27 (dandy j)PENNINGTON F 125 4.50    
TIEMPO PERFECTO Oct03 Sep10 Aug26 Aug13 Jul29 (hogan )GONZALEZ JR 118 15.00    
SHARP SENSATION Sep06 Jul12 Jun28 Jun12 Apr26 (mccaslin john)TREJOS JOSEPH 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
COWBOY JIM Sep10 Aug20 Jul30 Jul07 Jun18 (aristone phili)MOYA F 118 12.00    
UNION REWARD Sep26 Sep06 Aug18 Jun05 May22 (hawthorne bobbi)BOWMAN ADAM 118 10.00    
DR. ROGER Sep29 Sep13 Aug25     (avila carl)RUIZ ELISEO 120 8.00 29% 2.50    
SCR  DISTURBED Sep27 Sep04 Jul11 Jun21 Jun05 (bravo-estra)RAMOS C 118 15.00    
HEXAGON (IRE) Oct04 Aug30 Jul27 May14 Mar05 (barboza vi)SANCHEZ J 118 2.00 41% 1.40    
 
PRX-7   10/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PEYTON'S COLLEGE Sep19 Aug30 Aug23 Jul26 Jul18 (brown howar)WOLFSONT ANDREW 122 5.00    
WISHES AND DREAMS Sep09 Aug06 Apr17 Mar20 Mar07 (martin f)RUIZ ELISEO 117 20.00 5% 19.00    
MS MERRABEL Sep27 Aug22 Jul19 Jul07 Jun21 (martinez alexa)PENNINGTON F 122 6.00 9% 10.60    
J D'S VISTA Sep25 Jun02 Apr26 Feb27 Jan04 (whylie her)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 20.00    
SPANIKOPITA Sep25 Aug11 Jul12 Jun18 Jun04 (cole-davis tina)BOWMAN ADAM 122 8.00    
CABRA CHICA Sep23 Aug23 Aug06 Jul22 Jun12 (caban carlo)RAMOS C 122 6.00    
VALUABLE BREIGH Sep20 Aug09 Jul27 Jun06 May16 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 122 2.50 16% 5.10    
SCR  LULINDA'S HEART Oct04 Jul17 Jun20 May08 Apr19 (st uri)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 20.00    
BROAD JUMPER Sep25 Aug23 Jul12 Jun20 May22 (carango anthon)MOYA F 122 15.00    
10  TOURING MARYANNE Sep19 Aug25 Aug03 Jul03 Jun06 (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 122 3.50 54% 0.90    
 
PRX-8   10/16/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CONNELMAURA Oct09 Aug23 Jun14 Jun05 May20 (solis jacinto)PENNINGTON F 118 8.00    
CHELSEA WALL Sep12 Aug19 Jun20 May25 May02 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 122 2.00 70% 0.40    
SCOTT ALAIA Sep26 Jul09 May11 Apr20 Jun03 (padilla-prec)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 8.00    
AMBITIOUSLY PLACED Sep25 Aug10 Jul03 May29 May09 (lake a)CEDENO CAROL 122 4.00    
LULI'S DANCER Oct02 Sep20 Aug23 Jul26 Jul03 (pollara fr)SANCHEZ J 122 8.00    
CLASSY MISS Sep19 Sep04 Jul26 Jul11 Jun18 (dandy j)CORREA JULIO 122 4.50    
PURE ELEGANCE Oct02 Sep09 Aug18 Jun04 Apr14 (maymo ale)VARGAS A 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
SPEIGHTSTER'S GOLD Sep19 Aug30 Jul19 Jul04 Jun20 (guerrero gu)RIVERA D 122 8.00    
 
PRX-9   10/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($35K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MOVISITOR Aug22 Jul26 Jun26 Jun02 Apr28 (montoya m)CARRASCO R 118 6.00    
A C EXPRESSWAY Sep09 Jul22 Jul03 May29 Apr24 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 122 3.00    
RIVER DOG Aug28 Jul21 Jun17 Apr28 Sep23 (breen j)RENDON JAIRO 122 5.00 21% 3.70    
TALENTED MAN Oct02 Aug21 Jul07 May31 May08 (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 122 4.50    
ROB THE RICH Oct02 Sep19 Aug28 Jul09 Jun03 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 125 4.00 19% 4.40    
PRACTICAL COACH Sep26 Aug28 May02 Mar27 Feb20 (reid rober)RIVERA R 117 20.00    
EAGLES CRY Sep21 Sep01 Aug18 Jul20 Jun29 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 122 8.00    
POWERFULLY BUILT Oct02 Sep04 Jul14 Jun10 Apr27 (abrams jack)WOLFSONT ANDREW 122 8.00 17% 4.70    
 
PRX-10   10/16/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DADASHEV Oct02 Sep19 Sep05 Aug18 Jul25 (hogan william)RIVERA D 122 20.00    
QUICKENING Oct03 Sep26 Sep10 Aug18 Sep18 (ashton patric)SILVERA RUBEN 121 10.00    
SCR  HANEY BOYS Oct02 Sep19 Jul19 Oct19 Sep20 (mosco rober)ANGULO J 122 6.00    
SAL N LOUIE Sep20 Sep06 Aug18 Aug09 Jul19 (perez a)CASTILLO A 122 6.00    
HARLEY'S CHARLY Sep19 Sep05 Aug21 Jun21 May31 (guerre)GONZALEZ JR 118 5.00 7% 13.00    
URMIZZENTHEPOINT Oct04 Aug28 Aug18 Jun14 May22 (farro patricia)RUIZ ELISEO 117 8.00    
MODERN MIDAS Sep18 Aug09 Jul01 May14 Apr16 (perez rupert)LAPRIDA JEREMY 125 8.00    
BRINDISI Sep22 Sep10 Aug25 Jul23 Jul03 (gomez pompey)HERNANDEZ ANDY 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
BIG JOHN Aug26 Aug03 Jun11 Apr28 Mar15 (barboza vi)SANCHEZ J 118 3.00 14% 6.00    
10  WHISKEYMAC Sep11 Aug23 Aug09 Jul19 Jul04 (milne joan)MOYA F 118 4.00 53% 0.90    
SCR  LIAR SIDE CHAT May10 Apr12 Mar22     (soto c)OCASIO M 122 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.