Handicappers' Racing Form

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Finger Lakes
Tuesday - September 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

FL-1   Win (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FL-2   Win (5/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FL-3   Win (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00
FL-4   Win (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FL-5   Win (2/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FL-6   Win (2/1/8/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00
FL-7   Win (4/8/6/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00
FL-8   Win (3/1/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
FL-1   09/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($24.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ISLE STORM Aug30 Aug08 Jun26 May09 Oct26 (dixon k)ALVARADO R 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
SASSY MELISSA Aug18 Jul22 May27 Apr14 Mar11 (bartlett h)CRUZ JOEL 122 2.00 41% 1.40    
A MAIZE ZING DOTIE Sep11 Aug07 Jul12 Jun19 May09 (englehart chris)DAVILA R 124 3.50    
QUEENS DANCER Aug31 Jul29 Jul12 May29 May09 (dixon lind)DAVIS A 124 4.00    
NO CHALK Aug30 Aug08 Jul12 Jun14 May22 (iorio jr)COA J 122 3.00 29% 2.40    
BEHIND THE COUCH Aug30 Aug08 Jun26 May16 Mar05 (englehart je)DE EMANUEL 122 5.00    
 
FL-2   09/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALONGCAMETHEPRINCE Sep05 Aug07 Jul18 Jun27 Jun13 (clarke dylan)BAEZ JOSE 122 10.00    
BEACHSIDE Aug28 Aug07 Jul05 Jun19 May30 (schudlick micha)DAVILA A 122 8.00    
HARRISON KNOWS Sep05 Aug22 Aug07 Jul11 Jun27 (gutierrez a)ROHENA JR 122 10.00    
SPECIAL STORY Sep05 Aug22 Aug08 Jun27 Jun13 (torelli stacy)ALVARADO R 122 4.00    
WAR OF THRONES Sep05 Aug22 Aug08 Jul11 Jun13 (acquilano james)COA J 124 2.50 40% 1.50    
SON OF DARKNESS Aug29 Aug14 Jul18 Jul03 Jun05 (sells rachel)FRET STEVEN 122 3.00 10% 8.80    
DEVIOUS MO Aug22 Aug01 Jun14 May22 Apr24 (shaffer rich)DE EMANUEL 124 3.50 19% 4.10    
 
FL-3   09/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($24.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOMMY THE TORCH Sep05 Aug21 Aug08 Jul12 Jul03 (murphy p)ALVARADO R 124 8.00    
THE INSTITUTE Sep04 Aug16 Jul31 Jul12 Jun19 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 122 2.50 21% 3.80    
HONOR AMONG MEN Jul28 Jul03 Jun05 Jul13 Jun20 (englehart chris)DAVILA R 122 2.00 42% 1.40    
WARALO Aug29 Jul26 Jul03 Jun12 Nov23 (englehart chris)ROHENA M 124 4.00    
THE LAST ACE Aug01 Jun27 Jun05 Nov23 Nov01 (barrow paul)CRUZ JOEL 124 8.00    
SCR  FATHER WALSH Aug16 Jul17 Jun21 Jun05 May22 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 3.50    
 
FL-4   09/19/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:42
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUXTON ROCKS Aug22 Jul25 Jun28 Feb25 Jan20 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 121 10.00    
SMART BROAD Aug30 Aug09 Jul17 Jun21 May31 (shaffer richa)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 3.50 40% 1.50    
ALICIA'S WAY Aug21 Aug09 Jan15 Dec30 Dec18 (englehart chris)DAVILA R 122 6.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  AVID SUCINORI Aug28 Aug09 Jul11 Jun21 May22 (dominguez carlo)DAVILA A 124 5.00    
SHE'S GOT GAME Aug30 Aug21 Aug01 Jul19 Jun27 (ronen assaf)HARKIE K 124 8.00 10% 8.70    
WINTER SIREN Sep11 Aug30 Aug15 Aug01 Jul05 (lopez d)DIAZ J 115 20.00    
SCR  VINTAGE Aug28 Jul30 Jun04 May11 Apr15 (englehart je)DE EMANUEL 121 1.20    
CALL ME CARMELITA Aug30 Aug15 Jul19 Jul03 Jun19 (bartlett w)DAVIS A 122 20.00    
 
FL-5   09/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:11
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHO IS JARETT Sep05 Aug07 Jul18 Jun20 Jun05 (murphy p)COA J 124 5.00    
NOBLE ENDEAVOR Dec13 Nov14 Oct25 Oct11 Aug08 (sells rachel)SONE Y 124 3.50 66% 0.50    
NO LIME Sep05 Aug07 Jul17 May15 Apr25 (lopez arcadio)ALVARADO R 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
DEAN VERDILE Sep05 Aug08 Jul18 Nov16 Oct05 (marino joseph )BARBOSA CARLOS 117 10.00    
INALIENABLE RIGHTS Aug23 Aug07 Nov14 Oct31 Oct12 (englehart chris)DAVILA R 124 6.00    
LOVER'S LEAP Sep05 Aug22 Aug07 Jul11 Jun20 (babcock kathleen)CRUZ JOEL 124 3.00    
BROCKMONINOFF Aug22 Jul26 Jul03 Oct11 Aug30 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 2.50 7% 12.40    
HOLY COWBOY Aug22 Aug08 Jul26 Jun13 May23 (breed debra )DE EMANUEL 124 15.00    
 
FL-6   09/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COUSIN GREG Sep06 Aug15 Jul31 Jul18 Jun20 (acquilano james)PEREZ E 122 6.00 28% 2.50    
NORTH COAST Sep04 Aug14 Jul12 Jun26 Nov09 (ferraro anthon)COA J 124 3.00 42% 1.40    
SCR  ROYAL KAZ Sep06 Aug08 Jul25 Jul05 Jun26 (sells rachel)SONE Y 122 6.00    
NAVY PIER Aug22 Aug07 Jul05 Jun26 Jun13 (chamberlin tin)HARKIE K 122 20.00    
MAKE IT IN NY Sep04 Aug23 Jul04 Jun12 May24 (englehart chris)DAVILA R 122 5.00    
SCR  HOLEY MATRIMONY Sep04 Aug23 Mar19 Feb20 Jan07 (gutierrez luis )DAVILA A 122 4.00    
CRISTIANO'S DREAM Aug23 Mar21 Mar08 Feb21 Jan04 (clarke dylan)BAEZ JOSE 122 10.00    
UNCLE VIC Sep06 Aug22 Jul05 May30 May17 (dean vict)NAVARRO J 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
STUD PUPPY Jul08 Jun10 Apr30 Apr14 Mar18 (zito p)MARTIN MATTIE 115 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  CODYS EXPRESS Sep06 Aug15 Aug01 Jul18 Jul10 (torelli stacy)ALVARADO R 124 5.00    
 
FL-7   09/19/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:09
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEKILA Aug08 Jul24 Apr27 Feb05 Jan13 (buckley b)BAEZ JOSE 124 8.00    
CROSS ISLAND Aug28 Jul04 Jun20 Apr28 Apr01 (ferraro m )DAVIS A 122 15.00    
CAPITAL GAL Aug28 Jul25 Jun21 Jun06 Nov27 (buckley jonatha)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 12.00    
JANIS JOPLIN Aug14 Jul17 Jun11 May12 Apr23 (englehart chris)DAVILA R 121 3.00 24% 3.20    
FREE SHOT Aug23 Jul24 Jul11 Mar25 Mar04 (d'alessandro)DE EMANUEL 119 20.00    
SILENT INVASION Aug28 Jul19 Jul04 Jul25 Jul11 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 122 3.50 18% 4.50    
TINTAGEL Aug30 Aug15 Jun13 May31 Nov01 (smith julie)FRET STEVEN 124 20.00    
ISABEL LUVS GOLD Sep04 Aug14 Jul25 Jul04 Jun21 (ferraro michael)COA J 121 4.00 19% 4.30    
GOLDEN MOONLIGHT Aug21 Jul31 Jul17 Jun21 May29 (acquilano)NAVARRO J 119 6.00 18% 4.70    
SCR  GUIDANCE Aug28 Jul25 Jun27 Feb08 Jan22 (loaiza ilmar)BARBOSA CARLOS 115 8.00    
 
FL-8   09/19/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:38
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WELCOMETOMYWORLD Sep04 Aug11 Jul21 Jul07 Jun17 (david carl)DAVIS A 121 5.00 8% 11.20    
SCR  CRYSTAL ORB Sep06 Jul09 Jun30 May27 Apr28 (ashley julius)FRET STEVEN 124 8.00    
ICE LOVE Aug14 Jul25 Jul10 Jun20 Oct10 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 124 2.50 63% 0.60    
PRETTY MISS PENNY Sep06 Aug15 Aug01 Jul11 Jun13 (wright james)DE EMANUEL 121 6.00    
ROSEBUD RYDE Sep06 Aug21 Feb07 Jan12 Jan02 (chamberlin tina)DAVILA A 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
T'S DOUBLE TROUBLE Sep06 Aug22 Aug01 Jul12 Jun27 (falk jacquelin)HARKIE K 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  M. A. S. SCRUVES Sep06 Aug23 Aug09 Jul19 Nov20 (marino e)ROHENA JR 121 8.00    
ONE JOURNEY Aug22 Aug09 Jul17 Jun26 May30 (bireta donna)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 20.00    
FRANKIE KNOWS BEST Sep06 Aug22 Aug09 Jul17 Jun26 (d'alessan)NAVARRO J 121 8.00    
10  SWEET DESANTIS Aug30 Aug07 Jul17 Jul05 Feb08 (ferraro anthon)COA J 121 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.