Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fanduel Racing
Saturday - September 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FAN-1   WIN (7/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/4)-(7/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (7/4)-(5/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (7/4)-(5/6)-(7/4/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
FAN-2   WIN (5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/6)-(5/7/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6)-(5/7/3/6)-(5/7/3/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (5/6)-(7/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/6)-(7/4/5)-(1/7/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FAN-3   WIN (7/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/5)-(7/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/4/5)-(7/4/5)-(7/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/4/5)-(1/7/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/4/5)-(1/7/8/6)-(6/8/4/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FAN-4   WIN (1/7/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/8/6)-(1/7/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/8/6)-(1/7/8/6)-(1/7/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/7/8/6)-(6/8/4/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/7/8/6)-(6/8/4/9)-(2/1/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FAN-5   WIN (6/8/4/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/4/9)-(6/8/4/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/4/9)-(6/8/4/9)-(6/8/4/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/8/4/9)-(2/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/8/4/9)-(2/1/4)-(2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FAN-6   WIN (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/4)-(2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/4)-(2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/1/4)-(2/1)-(7/5/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FAN-7   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/1)-(7/5/6/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
FAN-8   WIN (7/5/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/6/4)-(7/5/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/6/4)-(7/5/6/4)-(7/5/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FAN-1   09/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GONE AGAIN Aug27 Jul06 Jun15 May28 Apr08 (becker scot)ARRIETA REYNIER 120 3.00 9% 10.40    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of ISTAN AGAIN by ISTAN)
2  UNDEFEATED CHAMP Dec11 Nov19       (bahena fernand)DIEGO JAVIER 126 10.00    
  (by STROLL out of GRAND AFFAIR by GRAND REWARD)
3  CHARLIE'S BEACH Sep05 Sep13 Jul23 Jun18 Jun03 (thurman rhonda)LOPEZ A 126 6.00    
  (by ADIOS CHARLIE out of BEACH TRICK by LIL'S LAD)
4  UH OH IT'S MAGIC Oct28 Oct13 Oct02 Aug11 Jul23 (fridley steve)ORM CORY 126 4.00 11% 7.80    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of VIVID STORM by SUPER SAVER)
5  GRANDDADDYLONGLEGS Aug20 Jul11 Jun11     (rodriguez)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 126 3.50    
  (by THREE HOUR NAP out of WAYNE'S KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
6  FLYING CRICKET Sep03 Aug17 Aug06 Jul30 Jul06 (witthauer john )ORTIZ ALVIN 126 8.00    
  (by WEST RANGER out of FLYER'S FANTASY by EARLY FLYER)
7  LONE RETURN Sep03 Aug17 Aug06     (witthauer john )REYES FRANK 120 4.50 58% 0.70    
  (by RISK AND RETURN out of SLIGO ROSE by SHORE BREEZE)
 
FAN-2   09/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KNUCKLE Jul29 Jun27       (durham)BAILON JADHIR 126 6.00    
  (by FIRING LINE out of PORTEND by SKY MESA)
2  CHERRY ORCHARD Sep04 Aug17 Jul30 Jul19 Jul05 (hughes w)REYES FRANK 120 3.50    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of STARVING ARTIST by PAYNTER)
3  HOT CUPPA COFFEE Aug17 May06       (rodriguez jo)GILES EMMANUEL 115 4.00 ★    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of TOPIC by SPEAK)
4  DRAGGING MAIN Aug12 Jul29 Jul11 Jun27 Jun10 (durham mike)SANTIAGO VICTOR 126 3.00    
  (by GREENPOINTCRUSADER out of MAKING HAVOC by GOTTCHA GOLD)
5  TEMPLE FOOL Sep03 Jul29 Jul15     (essenpreis edwa)SAMPSON KIM 120 8.00 70% 0.40    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of DUEL FOOL by U S RANGER)
6  LELAND JOHN Aug12 Jul29 Jul18 Jul01 Jun17 (pompell rob)ARRIETA REYNIER 126 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MT WAVERLY out of BOOKIN OUT BRUISER by THE BOLD BRUISER)
7  GOD GUNS N GUTS Aug17 Aug06 Jul13 Jun17   (rodriguez)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 126 4.50 ★    
  (by COMPETITIVE EDGE out of SARAH'S MIND by LIKE MINDED)
8  RED ROIL Aug15 Jul01 Jun17     (laux clay)ORTIZ ALVIN 120 10.00    
  (by WELL POSITIONED out of JUST BE THERE by BRAHMS)
 
FAN-3   09/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  NIFF Aug24 Aug10 Jul30 Jun11 May25 (witthauer john )REYES FRANK 124 8.00    
2  ROCK THE BIRDHOUSE Sep05 Aug12 Jul08 Jun13 May30 (bentler do)MOLINA F 124 6.00    
3  WAR COLORS Aug15 Aug03 Jun17 May20 Mar30 (wainwr)BAILON JADHIR 124 4.00    
4  BERTRADA Aug27 Aug10 Jul12 Jun11 May25 (campbell )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 3.50 24% 3.10    
5  MY LADY SLEW Aug16 Jul30 Jul16 Jun29 Jun01 (rodriguez jo)GILES EMMANUEL 119 4.50 13% 6.90    
6  ZENCHUA SKY Sep05 Aug23 Aug09 Jul20 Jul09 (castro isidro)LOPEZ A 124 10.00    
7  PALAGO Aug27 Aug10 Nov25 Nov11 Oct09 (martinez ralph )ORTIZ ALVIN 126 3.00 33% 2.00    
SCR  LITTLE BELLA Aug31 Aug16 Jun11     (witthauer j)ARRIETA REYNIER 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
FAN-4   09/16/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.2K) Purse ($7.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUPER SILVER Aug05 Jul08 Jun24 May20 Aug05 (nesbitt amy)ORTIZ ALVIN 126 4.50 53% 0.90    
SCR  KRAMDEN Sep09 Aug27 Aug09 Aug03 Jul16 (castro isidro)LOPEZ A 124 6.00    
3  CHERNYAHOVSKIY Aug05 Jul18 Jul01 Jun17 Sep20 (pompell r)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 126 12.00    
SCR  OVERTHOUGHT Aug27 Aug13 Aug02 Jul20 Jun22 (rodrig)BAILON JADHIR 124 4.00    
5  SHOBIZ STAR Aug08 Jul04 Jun20 Jun06 Nov02 (martin dawn)GILES EMMANUEL 121 8.00    
6  CHANGE DIRECTION Aug29 Aug12 Jul08 May02 Feb17 (watkin)ORTEGA JOSEPH 114 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  GAGOOTS Aug27 Aug13 Jul26 Jul09 Jun14 (watkins jam)ARRIETA REYNIER 124 3.00 12% 7.50    
8  PRINCE OF MAYHEM Sep02 Aug08 Jul22 Jun27 May27 (castro isi)WEATHERLY BAILEY 114 3.50 10% 8.90    
9  CAMPAIGN SPY Aug29 Aug08 Jul08 Jun03 Apr29 (scalcione )SIMPSON M 124 10.00    
 
FAN-5   09/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT-10:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THACKER FROMM Aug19 Aug08 Aug01 Jul18 Jul04 (laux clay)WEATHERLY BAILEY 116 15.00    
2  MARCHING ORDERS Aug12 Jul19 Jun10 May27 Apr30 (wainwright joh)DIEGO JAVIER 120 10.00    
3  UNCLE O. G. Aug12 Jul18 Jul01 Jun20 Jun10 (durham)BAILON JADHIR 126 8.00    
4  SAFE Aug19 Aug01 Jul18 Jul04 Jun20 (bahena fern)ARRIETA REYNIER 124 3.50 20% 4.10    
5  MY KINDA TETON Aug19 Jul29 Jul11 Jul01 Jun20 (durham mike)SANTIAGO VICTOR 126 4.50    
6  KEEN RESPONSE Aug26 Aug08 Jul05 May30 May11 (mosier harold)ORTIZ ALVIN 124 4.00 26% 2.80    
7  LORD SHAFTESBURY Aug19 Aug01 Jul15 Jul01 Jun20 (lynch e)ORM CORY 126 12.00    
8  PAYNT BY LETTERS Aug26 Aug09 Jul19 Jun27 Jun10 (manley steve)GILES EMMANUEL 113 3.00 23% 3.40    
9  RIP IT RYAN May23 Apr23 Apr06 Mar19 Feb04 (pompell r)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 10.00 10% 9.20    
 
FAN-6   09/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($13.5K) 2 ALL PT-10:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLOEY ATTACK Aug29 Aug19       (childers vance)ORTIZ ALVIN 120 3.00 31% 2.30    
2  SAPPHIRE NIGHTS Aug01 Jul01 Jun17 May19 Apr19 (rodrig)BAILON JADHIR 120 2.00 34% 2.00    
SCR  RUNNING WATER Aug08 Jul15 Jul05     (mullins d)ORM CORY 123 2.50    
4  MISS TENA MARIE Jun27         (burdess ter)SANTIAGO VICTOR 120 8.00 12% 7.10    
5  COOGAN Aug15 Aug01 Jul23 Jun27 Jun06 (lynch )ORTEGA JOSEPH 113 6.00    
SCR  MOCOWBELL Aug19 Aug08 Aug01 Jun27 Jun06 (appleton )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 123 4.50    
 
FAN-7   09/16/2023 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($4K) Purse ($9.6K) 3UP ALL PT-11:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IRISH DECLARATION Aug26 Aug01 Jul08 Jun20 Jun06 (martinez ralph )ORTIZ ALVIN 126 2.50 25% 3.00    
2  COMFORT ME NOW Aug01 Jul04 Jun21 Jun06 Oct02 (plasters lori)ORM CORY 126 3.00 34% 2.00    
3  ZARMAE Aug15 Jul25 Jul11 May16 Apr30 (bahena fernand)DIEGO JAVIER 126 6.00    
SCR  SHANGHAI POINT Aug12 Jul22 Jun06 May20 Mar16 (butler ger)MOLINA F 124 8.00    
SCR  SCARLET CITY Jul18 Jul01 Jun17 May20 May06 (martinez ral)GILES EMMANUEL 119 8.00 16% 5.20    
6  GO FOR SHERRIE Aug26 Jul08 Jun15 May27 May03 (plaste)ORTEGA JOSEPH 116 8.00    
7  KARAYEL Aug15 Jul29 Jul15 Jun27 Jun06 (randazzo )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 126 3.50    
 
FAN-8   09/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT-11:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LONESOME DREAM Jul29 Jul15 Jul01 Jun17 Jun03 (higgins dennis)SAMPSON KIM 124 10.00    
2  RIGHT ON RICHIE Aug26 Jul29 May30 May18 Feb23 (butler gerald)DIEGO JAVIER 120 12.00    
3  COPPER CROSSING Sep02 Aug05 Jul22 Jul11 Jun24 (pompell r)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 20.00    
4  MILLARD'S SMILE Aug30 Aug13 Aug06 Jul19 Jun22 (rodrig)BAILON JADHIR 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  NULLARBOR Aug20 Jul30 Jul08 Jun15 Apr09 (manley steve)GILES EMMANUEL 115 4.50 7% 12.50    
6  EMPTY HOLSTER Sep02 Aug12 Jul19 Jul04 Jun17 (martinez ra)ARRIETA REYNIER 124 8.00 6% 14.80    
7  TROY OUNCE Sep02 Aug15 Aug01 Jul08 Jun08 (rodriguez j)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 3.00 44% 1.30    
8  ROCKET HOTSHOT Aug30 Aug09 Jul09 Jun04 May14 (rodriguez g)ORM CORY 124 12.00    
SCR  MOVE ON OVER Jul19 Jun22 May21 Apr23 Mar23 (becker sco)SIMPSON M 124 4.00 16% 5.20    
10  STORM BORN Aug27 Aug09 Aug03 Jul19 Jul05 (castro isidro)REYES FRANK 126 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.