Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Pimlico
Friday - September 08, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PIM-1   WIN (3/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/7)-(3/7) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/7)-(3/6/9/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/7)-(3/6/9/5)-(2/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
PIM-2   WIN (3/6/9/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/9/5)-(3/6/9/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/9/5)-(3/6/9/5)-(3/6/9/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/9/5)-(2/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/9/5)-(2/4/1)-(8/1/10/3/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
PIM-3   WIN (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/1)-(2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/1)-(8/1/10/3/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/4/1)-(8/1/10/3/7)-(7/6/3) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
PIM-4   WIN (8/1/10/3/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/1/10/3/7)-(8/1/10/3/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/1/10/3/7)-(8/1/10/3/7)-(8/1/10/3/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/1/10/3/7)-(7/6/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (8/1/10/3/7)-(7/6/3)-(9/7/2/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
PIM-5   WIN (7/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/3)-(7/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/6/3)-(7/6/3)-(7/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/6/3)-(9/7/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/6/3)-(9/7/2/5)-(2/4/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
PIM-6   WIN (9/7/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/7/2/5)-(9/7/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/7/2/5)-(9/7/2/5)-(9/7/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/7/2/5)-(2/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/7/2/5)-(2/4/5)-(6/8/7/5/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
PIM-7   WIN (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/5)-(2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/5)-(6/8/7/5/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
PIM-8   WIN (6/8/7/5/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/8/7/5/4)-(6/8/7/5/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/8/7/5/4)-(6/8/7/5/4)-(6/8/7/5/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PIM-1   09/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOBBY RIDE Jul07 May09 Apr25 Mar19 Aug23 (de hora)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 4.50    
SCR  NEUTRAL Aug26 Aug17 Aug05 Jul23 Jun18 (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 6.00    
SALOON Aug11 Jun21 Oct15 Aug27 Jul13 (lynch cath)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 122 2.00 55% 0.80    
SCR  PRINS FIRE Sep01 Aug20 Aug11 Jul30 Jul16 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 126 5.00    
DISPUTED NOTION Aug11 Oct06 Sep03 Aug06 Jul16 (tapscot)BRICENO GREGOR 122 15.00    
HE ROLLS Aug26 Jul23 Jul13 Jul02 Jun16 (dove kevin )CHATRIE E 112 30.00    
SWAY'SINMYDNA Aug10 Jul16 Jun25 Jun18 May26 (chatte)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 1.80 12% 7.20    
 
PIM-2   09/08/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 2 F PT-12:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VICTORY BADGE Aug20 Jul20       (trombetta m)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 5.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of VICTORY TO VICTORY by EXCHANGE RATE)
TALES TO TELL         (delacour ar)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 4.50    
  (by HARD SPUN out of YARAKI by FRANKEL (GB))
MONTICELLO         (delacour )CARRASCO R 122 2.50 39% 1.60    
  (by NYQUIST out of CRUSHED VELVET by MALIBU MOON)
PACIFIC FRONT         (toner j)LYNCH FEARGAL 122 3.50    
  (by WAR FRONT out of TREASURE TRAIL by PULPIT)
SHARMIN Aug24         (mcmahon i)CRUZ ANGEL 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MOSLER out of CASABLANCA LILY by HURRICANE RUN (IRE))
TWIRL THE FLAG         (motion g)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 122 3.00 22% 3.50    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of WAVE THE FLAG by EMPIRE MAKER)
SCR  VIENNESE WALTZ Aug11 Jul22       (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 122 6.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of TANCA by POLISH NUMBERS)
SHOCKING FACTS Sep01 Aug21       (brooks gerald)ROJAS MARTINA 117 30.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of BLANKET BAY by SMART STRIKE)
FIRST TO ARRIVE Aug24 Jul22       (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 8.00 16% 5.20    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of IN MY TIME by BOLD EXECUTIVE)
 
PIM-3   09/08/2023 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SICILIA MIKE Aug26 Aug12 Jul27 May18 Apr29 (corrale)ORTIZ ORLANDO 123 5.00 10% 8.70    
NEVER CHANGE Aug17 Aug12 Aug02 Jul14 Jun18 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 126 2.50 39% 1.60    
PARADISE PRIDE Aug12 Jul27 Jul12 Jun26 Jun06 (ness jamie)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 1.00    
VELVET GHOST Aug25 Aug12 Jul27 Jun04 May20 (corrales jo)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 123 8.00 24% 3.10    
GALATIANS Aug12 Jul21 Jun04 May18 Apr02 (eppler e)CRUZ ANGEL 123 10.00    
HOT N SPICY LOVE Aug26 Aug05 Jul22 Jun24 May27 (magana j)ROJAS MARTINA 118 30.00    
SCR  UP AGAINST IT Aug26 Aug20 Jul21 May12 Apr14 (mohan david )BARBOSA JEIRON 123 12.00    
 
PIM-4   09/08/2023 5940ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GUNSLINGER (IRE) Aug18 Jul29 Jul09 Jun09 May24 (magee kieron)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 4.00 20% 4.10    
SCR  PAPAL LAW Aug17 Jul09 Jun18 May29 Oct30 (wolfe jr)CRUZ ANGEL 123 15.00    
SIR TERRE Aug18 Jul29 Jun25 Jun09 May27 (farrior antho)LYNCH FEARGAL 126 6.00 11% 8.00    
BONDED (IRE) Aug12 Jul29 Jun04 Apr16 Mar24 (sanchez-salom)ROJAS MARTINA 117 20.00    
JOHNG Aug19 Jul29 Jul01 May18 Oct22 (keefe timot)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 20.00    
SCR  GLIDING AFLEET Aug18 Jul03 Jun06 May06 Feb19 (preciado gua)HADDOCK DEXTER 119 12.00    
POWER BACK Aug18 Jul14 Jul01 Jun18 May25 (graham )BRICENO GREGOR 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
AMERICAN UNITY Aug23 Aug12 Jul03 Jun07 May25 (ness jamie)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 3.50 26% 2.80    
BATTALION Aug19 Aug12 Jan08 Nov14 Oct16 (klesar)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 3.00    
10  IMAGINE IT ALL Aug19 Jul22 Jun24 Dec30 Dec09 (frock c)ORTIZ ORLANDO 123 8.00 19% 4.40    
11  NEVERFOLD Aug25 Jul30 Jun16 Jun04 Apr28 (ashby randy)ACOSTA D 119 30.00    
12  FERMAT Aug12 Jul21 Jun18 Jun02 May12 (mcmullen maril)ROSADO JOHAN 119 30.00    
 
PIM-5   09/08/2023 5940ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PHRA PHROM Aug20 Jul30 Jul09 May14 Apr20 (corrale)BRICENO GREGOR 123 30.00    
HIGHER QUALITY Jul22 Jun24 Jun16 May07 Apr13 (chatte)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 2.00    
UNCAPTURED STORM Sep03 Aug19 Jul29 Jul14 Jul08 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 115 8.00 19% 4.20    
DIXIE DRAWL Aug27 Aug19 Jul16 Jun18 May18 (ginter )ORTIZ ORLANDO 123 15.00    
SEMPER FI Aug19 Jul09 Jun11 May29 May18 (ness jamie)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 4.50    
BOB MARCO Aug19 Jul01 Jun18 Jun02 May19 (magee kieron)ROJAS MARTINA 114 3.00 20% 4.10    
COOL QUARTET Jul08 Jun24 Jun03 May20 Apr28 (noda orland)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 2.50 24% 3.20    
 
PIM-6   09/08/2023 3300ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($48K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TALL ORDER Aug18 Jun09 Oct13 Sep17 Aug25 (perri )LOPEZ EDUARDO 119 15.00    
ZIP LINE TO HEAVEN Aug04 May28 Oct20 Sep25 Aug17 (trombetta mich)ROSADO JOHAN 123 6.00 8% 11.20    
SEVEN'S ELEVEN Mar25 Mar11 Feb18 Jan27 Dec30 (mancilla carl)LYNCH FEARGAL 122 15.00    
UPSIDEDOWN MAN Aug03 Jun16 Jun02 May04   (bailes rober)PEREZ XAVIER 119 8.00    
KOBE TOUGH Aug04 Jun09 Oct27 Oct09 Sep09 (keefe timoth)BARBOSA JEIRON 126 4.50 6% 14.70    
TIDEWATER Aug19 Dec03 Nov13 Oct29   (aguirre ant)RUSSELL SHELDON 119 6.00    
FUN NOTION Aug19 Jul27 Jun09 May19   (white ale)CARRASCO R 119 4.00 15% 5.50    
BOSS MAN J J Aug11 Jul27 Jul02 Jun09 May11 (salzman tim)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 3.50    
FREEZE THE FIRE Jul29 Jul01 Jun03     (lynch catha)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 5.00 50% 1.00    
 
PIM-7   09/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($48K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAKE CHARGE TOO Aug13 Aug04 May04 Mar26 Dec30 (magee kieron)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 10.00    
ORDER OFTHE KETTLE Oct14 Sep24       (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 119 1.80 40% 1.50    
ARDEN'SLUCKYTOBE Aug04 Mar18 Feb20 Jan27 Dec09 (mcclure dia)REYNOLDS AUSTIN 123 50.00    
GOODAFTERNOONOSCAR Aug27 Aug05 Jul21 Jun10 Apr30 (mancilla carl)LYNCH FEARGAL 119 2.00 18% 4.50    
ONEOFTHEGOODGUYS Aug03 Jul21 Jun30     (salvaggio v)CRUZ ANGEL 119 12.00 15% 5.50    
DUCKPINS Aug06 Dec30 Nov27 Sep05   (bailes rober)PEREZ XAVIER 119 10.00    
THE LAST SCIP Aug04 Jul15 Jun24 May26 Jan20 (stettinius )MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 20.00    
SCR  CARVELLIAN QUEST Aug05 Jul07 May18 Apr30 Mar26 (trombetta mich)ROSADO JOHAN 123 3.00    
 
PIM-8   09/08/2023 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($45K) Purse ($44K) 35 M/F PT- 4:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IN HER CUPS Aug20 Aug03 Jul19 Jul06 Jun04 (manchio)BRICENO GREGOR 122 20.00    
SCR  DANCINONTHEBEACH         (mcmahon i)CRUZ ANGEL 122 8.00    
LENAMAGNETTA Jun04         (testerman valora)DELGADO A 122 30.00    
P J'S RIDER Aug05 Jun02       (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 6.00 8% 11.60    
GOLDEN CHARM Aug12 Jun16 Jun04     (albert )ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 8.00 12% 7.00    
BANDONARUN Aug12         (merryman mic)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 3.50 27% 2.70    
LADY BANKER Jul23 Jun24 Feb26 Jan28   (weaver george)LYNCH FEARGAL 122 3.00 14% 6.00    
LENDHERCREDIT Aug05 Jun30 Jun10 May13 Apr16 (d'angelo jo)CONCEPCION AXEL 113 2.50 18% 4.50    
TEA ROSE Aug12 Jun04       (burdick barba)ALVELO C 122 15.00    
10  CATCH THE KITTEN Aug05 Jul09 Jun10 May27   (keil s)LOPEZ EDUARDO 126 12.00    
11  DENIM N LACE Aug20 Aug04       (bedard alan)LAPRIDA JEREMY 126 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.