Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Friday - September 01, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/3)-(4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/3)-(2/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/5/3)-(2/6/4)-(5/3/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-2   WIN (2/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/4)-(2/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/4)-(2/6/4)-(2/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/4)-(5/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/6/4)-(5/3/2)-(1/5/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-3   WIN (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/2)-(5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/2)-(1/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/3/2)-(1/5/3)-(7/3/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-4   WIN (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/3)-(1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/3)-(7/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/5/3)-(7/3/4)-(4/6/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-5   WIN (7/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/4)-(7/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/3/4)-(7/3/4)-(7/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/3/4)-(4/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/3/4)-(4/6/3)-(8/3/5/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-6   WIN (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/3)-(4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/3)-(8/3/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/3)-(8/3/5/4)-(11/6/10/9/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-7   WIN (8/3/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/5/4)-(8/3/5/10/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/3/5/4)-(8/3/5/10/4)-(8/3/5/10/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/3/5/4)-(11/6/10/9/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CT-8   WIN (11/6/10/9/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/6/10/9/2)-(11/6/10/9/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/6/10/9/2)-(11/6/10/9/2)-(11/6/10/9/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   09/01/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAPPY CHARLIE Jul21 Jul01 Jun03 May06 Mar02 (gazzier kristy)RODRIGUEZ V 124 3.00    
2  MONTAUK DADDY Jul28 Jul15 May13 May07 Mar30 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 122 6.00    
3  OVERBEARING Aug24 Aug04 Jul01 Jun22 Jun01 (simone mich)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 8.00 6% 15.00    
4  HEY CONGRATS Jul27 Jun22 Jan21 Dec17 Nov05 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 3.50 38% 1.70    
5  HAPPY CHAMP Aug11 Jul14 Jun24 Jun15 Jun02 (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 3.50 22% 3.60    
6  HIS ROYAL G Aug05 Jul26 Jul07 Jun22 Jun11 (magana )BRICENO GREGOR 124 6.00    
7  RRACE DAY WARRIOR Aug04 Jun24 Apr21 Mar09 Jan20 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 4.50    
 
CT-2   09/01/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 2 ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TAKE YOUR TIME Aug11         (hanagan lel)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 6.00    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of SOUTHERN MARSH by GREAT NOTION)
2  BREAK THE CHAINS Aug12         (mcmahon hug)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 4.00 34% 2.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of SAID IN SILENCE by BERNSTEIN)
3  WYSOQUIET Aug11 Jun30 Jun16 May26   (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 122 3.50    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of G G'S DOLLY by COMIC STRIP)
4  LOVE IS WICKED Jul21 Jun30       (johnson de)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 12.00 14% 6.30    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of LOVES TO GLANCE by NOT FOR LOVE)
5  ALEXANDER GRADY Aug11         (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 12.00    
  (by ASTERN out of ACROSS by CITY ZIP)
6  RACING HOT LINE Aug11         (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 5.00 19% 4.20    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of RANSOM PAST DUE by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
7  GREATEST NOTION Aug11 Jul21 Jun30     (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 12.00    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of HAPPY HAUNTS by HARD SPUN)
8  DORADO         (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 6.00    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of BOPPIN ROCKET by OFFICER ROCKET)
SCR  CARBON FIBER         (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 122 8.00    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of MARYLAND'S LOVE by NOT FOR LOVE)
SCR  MARSHALL PEANUT         (atkins mi)BOCACHICA J 115 20.00    
  (by GANDHI out of CROOKED AGAIN by TASTE OF PARADISE)
 
CT-3   09/01/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MONGOLIAN HERO Jun09 May20 Jan27 Jan12 Dec10 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 12.00    
2  KING THEO Aug04 Apr21 Mar05 Jan19 Dec29 (lauro c)RODRIGUEZ V 122 5.00 10% 8.60    
3  ROCKY DICE Aug11 Aug03 Jul13 Jul07 May26 (murdock stephen)ACOSTA D 122 3.00 11% 7.90    
4  LADDIE LIAM Aug11 Jun24 Jun02 May12 Apr22 (racanel)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 15.00    
5  TUSKEGEE CAT Aug24 Aug05 Jul05 May12 Apr13 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.20 52% 0.90    
6  MAKE THE WAY CLEAR Aug12 May20 May06 Apr27 Apr14 (pennella rhea)ADAMS L 113 30.00    
7  JASONTAKESLONG Aug11 Jul10 Jun18 May29 Apr02 (mancilla )HERNANDEZ F 122 3.50    
 
CT-4   09/01/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AZTECA GIRL         (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 120 3.50 25% 2.90    
  (by MUNNINGS out of ROYAL SEPTOR by DISTORTED HUMOR)
2  ZIDORMI Jul07         (mcgill sylves)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 20.00    
  (by FRANK CONVERSATION out of FRAU BLUCHER by LONHRO (AUS))
3  SHESARUNAWAYTRAIN         (dixon e)CECIL Y 124 15.00 13% 6.40    
  (by FRIEND OR FOE out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
4  LINDA'S TAJ Aug11 Jun22 Jun09 May18 Apr27 (dollinger-sth)RIVERA JAVIER 124 1.60    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of R B'S LINDA by ALLEN'S PROSPECT)
5  CALERA LOVE Jun15 May11 Apr29 Apr06 Mar17 (joy j)ACOSTA D 120 3.00 25% 2.90    
  (by MISSION IMPAZIBLE out of ABUNDANTLY CLEAR by PULPIT)
6  SHE'S A LINO Aug08 Jul07 Nov23 Oct11   (greaves ver)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 2.50    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of STORMY'S HONOR by CONGRATS)
 
CT-5   09/01/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VOICE OF NOW Aug17 Jul27 Jul08 Jun09 May05 (lucas antho)ESQUILIN J 120 15.00    
2  RAGTIME RICHES Aug04 Jun25 Jun09 May19 Apr28 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 3.00    
3  PERSONABLE Aug17 Aug04 Mar31 Feb24 Feb08 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 3.50 18% 4.50    
4  REMYS SHOWTIME Aug11 Jul27 Jul19 Jun15 May27 (jones michae)TROTMAN KEIMAR 124 2.50 9% 9.80    
5  SARGENT KOBE Aug19 Jul27 Jun24 May27 May13 (lane j)CULLUM W 124 15.00    
6  LEG UP Aug18 Aug11 Jul21 Jul07 Jun03 (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 6.00    
7  THEWITCHISGONE Aug11 Jul21 May27 Apr13 Mar10 (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 3.00 48% 1.10    
 
CT-6   09/01/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEVER FOR SPEIGHT Jul21 Jun30 Dec08 Oct27 May21 (bourne j)LARROSA G 124 20.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of EVER APPEALING by APPEALING SKIER)
2  HEYLOOKMAIMADEIT         (dixon e)CECIL Y 124 20.00    
  (by FRIEND OR FOE out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
3  SOMEBODY LOVES ME Aug11 Jul22 Jul13 Jun22 May26 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 121 6.00 9% 10.20    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of SUCCESSFUL LUCK by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
4  RUM CUP Oct30 Oct16       (grams timothy )MONTANO JOSE 124 2.50 52% 0.90    
  (by LORD NELSON out of ONE ON TAP by PLEASANT TAP)
SCR  LOCO Aug11 Jul09 Jun22 Nov09 Oct12 (hetrick kr)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 3.00    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of SWEET TESS by AFLEET ALEX)
6  YO VINNIE Aug11 Jul21 Jul01     (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 4.00 16% 5.10    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of YOLO LADY by EASTERN ECHO)
7  EL REY DE PAPA Aug11         (cornwell jame)RIVERA JAVIER 120 20.00    
  (by MADEFROMLUCKY out of TIME TO WINK by GIMMEAWINK)
8  DREAM FORCE Aug11 May14 Feb18 Dec26 Nov19 (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 3.50    
  (by TAPIT out of TO DREAM ABOUT by MONARCHOS)
SCR  LIL BUDDY Aug11 Jul29       (shanley tim)ESQUILIN J 120 30.00    
  (by BANDBOX out of GRAND IDEA by CATIENUS)
 
CT-7   09/01/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MEETMARYSMAN Jun30 Jun02 May12 May06 Apr29 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 120 20.00    
2  XCELLENT START Aug05 Jul15 Feb01 Jan07 Oct08 (runco c)ARAUJO DENIS 118 6.00    
3  I'M THE MONEY MAN Aug11 Jul21 Jun30 May19 Apr28 (sigler rona)CONCEPCION AXEL 113 2.50 31% 2.20    
4  BORN TO SIN Aug26 Mar10 Feb17 Jan27   (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  VAGABOND VIRGIN Aug11 Jul22       (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 4.00 7% 13.90    
6  LIEUTENANT BROWN Jul21 Jun30 Jun09 May18 Apr27 (pickett crystal)RODRIGUEZ V 120 30.00    
7  DOCTOR PARDO Jul28 Jul06       (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 15.00    
8  CIDERHOUSE WAY Aug10 Jul01 Jun03     (greaves ver)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.50 33% 2.00    
9  O'RIGSBY Aug11 Jul21 Jun30 Jun09 May19 (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 118 8.00    
10  JAZZ WITH DENIS Aug11 Jul21 Jun24 Jun03 May13 (sigler ronald)LOPEZ ANTONIO 118 6.00 ★    
 
CT-8   09/01/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOG TOWN ALLEN Aug17 Jul29       (harrison gle)MARRERO CARLOS 120 20.00    
  (by JUBA out of ALLEN'S SONG by WINDSOR CASTLE)
2  JOOBY DOOBY DOO Jul20 Jul06       (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by JUBA out of UNUSUAL TREATY by REPARATIONS)
SCR  ALL ROADS TO DENIS Aug17 Jul28 Jul13 Jul01 Jun10 (jackson angel)RIVERA JAVIER 120 30.00    
  (by DENIS OF CORK out of ROAD TO ZANZIBAR by QUALITY ROAD)
4  DISCREET LOVE Jul06 Jun09       (greaves ver)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 20.00    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of CLARA VICTORIA by DISCREETLY MINE)
5  REAL RICK Jul13 Jun09 Sep08 Aug31 Aug15 (schottroffe)ESQUILIN J 124 15.00    
  (by MASTER RICK out of REAL SASSY by REAL QUIET)
6  ALDARIGHTTRICKS Aug10 Jul22 Jul06 Apr22   (lewis r)LARROSA G 120 5.00 18% 4.70    
  (by ALDRIN out of RETURN TRICK by PUT IT BACK)
7  CALYPSO JOHN Aug17         (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 4.50    
  (by OUR ENTOURAGE out of CALYPSA by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
8  SUMMONING DENIS Aug10 Jul20 Jul06 Jun03 Nov26 (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 1.60    
  (by DENIS OF CORK out of SUMMON THE SPIRIT by SUMMER BIRD)
9  BAD LINEAGE Jul20 Jun01 May11 Apr20   (perry e)ACOSTA D 120 6.00 10% 8.80    
  (by JUBA out of BELL KEEPER by CHAPEL ROYAL)
10  JUST CALL ME AL Aug10 Jul20 Jul01     (cromer lesli)WHITACRE GRANT 120 6.00 14% 6.10    
  (by GATTOPARDO out of CALLER WHAT U WANT by CALLER I. D.)
11  MY BUDDY DUANE         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.40 35% 1.90    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of THAT'S JUST DANDY by HALF OURS)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.