Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Parx Racing
Wednesday - August 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PRX-1   WIN (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/5)-(1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/5)-(3/1/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/6/5)-(3/1/7)-(1/5/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PRX-2   WIN (3/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/7)-(3/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/7)-(3/1/7)-(3/1/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/7)-(1/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/1/7)-(1/5/3)-(4/1/7/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRX-3   WIN (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/3)-(1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/3)-(4/1/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5/3)-(4/1/7/2)-(2/9) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PRX-4   WIN (4/1/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/7/2)-(4/1/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/7/2)-(4/1/7/2)-(4/1/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/7/2)-(2/9) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/1/7/2)-(2/9)-(6/5/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PRX-5   WIN (2/9) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/9)-(2/9) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/9)-(6/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/9)-(6/5/2)-(3/2/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PRX-6   WIN (6/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/2)-(6/5/9/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/5/2)-(6/5/9/2)-(6/5/9/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/5/2)-(3/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/5/2)-(3/2/5)-(7/8/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PRX-7   WIN (3/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/5)-(3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/5)-(7/8/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/2/5)-(7/8/4)-(4/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PRX-8   WIN (7/8/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/8/4)-(7/8/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/8/4)-(7/8/1/4)-(7/8/1/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/8/4)-(4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/8/4)-(4/2)-(5/3/8/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PRX-9   WIN (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/2)-(4/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/2)-(5/3/8/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
PRX-10   WIN (5/3/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/8/7)-(5/3/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/8/7)-(5/3/8/7)-(5/3/8/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PRX-1   08/30/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SENSIBLE JIM Jul13 Jun14 May15 Apr10 Feb06 (soto- martinez)ADORNO ABNER 122 2.50 31% 2.20    
2  ROCKIN FREEBEE Jul19 Jul05 Jun12 May30 May15 (romero alexis)TREJOS JOSEPH 122 15.00    
3  SMARTHUMOR Jul19 Jun14 May24 May03 Jan13 (tapsas elias)RUIZ ELISEO 115 10.00    
4  DON'T RECALL Jun20 May15 Apr25 Mar29 Mar20 (polachek ja)DE KEMICH 115 15.00    
5  ALONZO MOSELY Aug04 Jul19 Jul11 Jun27 Jun14 (bouchard les)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 3.50 17% 5.00    
6  HORNSWOGGLE Jul24 Jun16 May29 Apr16 Mar17 (dini mike)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 3.00 31% 2.30    
SCR  OUR MARK STEVEN Jul11 May23 Apr26 Mar24 Mar01 (perez ruperto)OCASIO M 118 4.00    
 
PRX-2   08/30/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($23K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MATOULA Aug09 Jul12 Jul18 Jun24 May31 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 122 4.00 18% 4.70    
2  VANISHING FAITH Jul26 Jun30 Jun19 May29 Apr25 (flo)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 5.00    
3  ROLLS ROYCE JOYCE Aug03 Jun12 Mar21 Mar06 Feb01 (lake a)PENNINGTON F 122 4.50 41% 1.50    
4  PEARLBDANCING Jun12 May16 May01 Apr11 Mar27 (bullock jordan)ADORNO ABNER 122 6.00    
5  MAZAL EIGHTEEN Jul18 Jun13 May23 Apr10 Feb28 (soto c)RUIZ ELISEO 115 8.00    
6  CATALON Jul17 Jul02 May15 Apr24 Mar27 (moore michael)OCASIO M 122 3.00    
7  XENATOWN Jul26 Jul04 Jun19 Jun07 May15 (arce josue)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 3.50 11% 7.70    
 
PRX-3   08/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIVINE MIRACLE Oct05 Sep12 Aug22 Aug03 Jul09 (ness jamie)PENNINGTON F 122 2.00 69% 0.50    
2  FINAL SHOT Mar08 Jan30 Dec30 Dec13 Nov08 (preciado gua)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 3.50    
3  PERFECT SILENT CAT Aug23 Jul11 May22 Apr17 Jan10 (diaz jorge)RIVERA D 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  PRESS MY BETS Apr24 Mar15 Aug27 Jul01 Jun01 (lake a)ADORNO ABNER 122 3.00    
5  WHERE PARADISE LAY Jul30 Jun03 May04 Mar29 Feb26 (downing wi)SANCHEZ J 122 6.00 6% 16.80    
6  DATHOSS Aug02 Jul03 Jun19 May31 May15 (arce josue)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 6.00    
 
PRX-4   08/30/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EMPIRE'S SCORE Jul26 Jul10 Jun20 Jun06 May24 (bravo-estra)RAMOS C 122 2.50 23% 3.30    
2  HENRYTHETHIRD Jul26 Jun26 Jun06 May15 Apr24 (soto- martine)OCASIO M 122 6.00 9% 10.50    
3  MAGNETRON Aug06 Jul10 Jun14 May16 May08 (wyner harold)SILVERA RUBEN 122 10.00    
4  PLAMEN Jul26 Jul03 Jun19 May20 Apr17 (hawthorne )SANCHEZ J 122 3.50 26% 2.90    
5  BOURBON MISSION Jul10 Jun07 May29 May17 Mar30 (castillo mich)RIVERA D 122 10.00    
6  SOPHOS Jul26 Jul17 Jun20 Jun06 Oct10 (tapsas elias)BOWMAN ADAM 122 12.00    
7  ABUELO NUNO Aug08 Jul18 Jul10 Jun07 May24 (guerrero m)HENRY JR 122 6.00 15% 5.80    
8  SAPONARA Aug03 Jul19 Jul04 May29 May22 (flores-coba fe)CORREA JULIO 122 3.00    
 
PRX-5   08/30/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MY BOY COLTON Aug20 Jul30 Jul13 Jun28 Jun01 (ness jamie)WOLFSONT ANDREW 125 6.00    
2  OFFSHORE AFFAIR Aug10 Jul10 Jun20 Jun06 Apr16 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 122 4.00 56% 0.80    
3  GHOSTINYOU Aug17 Jul25 Jun23 Jun03 May13 (hayford jennif)PENNINGTON F 122 8.00    
SCR  PREFECT Aug12 May12 Apr15 Mar25 Jan21 (kirby john)SANCHEZ J 122 6.00    
SCR  DUBBY DUBBIE Aug19 Jul22 Mar12 Jan21 Nov12 (breen kell)RIVERA R 117 6.00    
SCR  CASTAGNO Aug11 Jul21 Jul07 Jun15 Jun02 (hayford )GALLARDO A 125 6.00    
SCR  EMPEROR'S CAUSE Aug23 Jul18 Jun19 May15 Apr10 (pat)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 15.00    
SCR  RESTORED ORDER Aug04 Jul08 May29 Apr30 Mar26 (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 2.50    
9  MR. EINSTEIN Aug10 Aug02 Jul10 Jun20 May13 (linder j)RENDON JAIRO 122 5.00 12% 7.40    
10  SOCIAL GROUP Jul18 Jun27 Jun12 Jun05 May16 (pino michael)HERNANDEZ ANDY 122 8.00    
 
PRX-6   08/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AEGEAN SEA Jul17 Apr11 Mar24 Feb22 Jan09 (brown howar)WOLFSONT ANDREW 122 12.00    
2  BUCKS SOME Jul21 Jul03 Jun23 May17 May02 (aristone)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  ARUMA Aug03 Apr10 Mar21 Feb15 Nov28 (padilla-pr)RIVERA R 117 8.00    
4  CONFIRMED GENIUS Jul12 Jun26 May29 May02 Mar24 (padilla-precia)ADORNO ABNER 122 8.00    
5  GLORY DIA Jun10 May21 Mar30 Mar07   (caban e)CASTILLO A 122 8.00 23% 3.40    
6  FLASHING DIAMOND Aug09 Jun15 May22 Apr18 Apr03 (solis jacinto)PENNINGTON F 122 3.50 48% 1.10    
7  TARA'S TALENT May22 Apr13 Mar28 Feb19 Jan02 (moore mich)SANCHEZ J 122 4.00    
8  SHESASUPERFREAK Aug18 Jun18 May22 Apr12 Mar21 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 122 5.00    
9  KNOWING GLANCE Jul20 Jun10 Apr16 Mar10 Jul31 (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 3.00 ★    
 
PRX-7   08/30/2023 5490ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SECRET PATH Jul02 Jun18 May17 Aug31 Aug03 (linder louis)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 5.00    
2  BRASSTOWN Jul02 Jun09 May20 Mar10 Dec08 (delgado jorg)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 2.50 16% 5.30    
3  EXIT RIGHT Jul26 Jul12 Jun27 May17 Apr23 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 122 0.80 63% 0.60    
4  SCOOP DAWG Aug03 Jul10 Jun26 Jun19 May15 (gonzalez-milia)ADORNO ABNER 122 8.00    
5  FRENCH TOAST Aug23 Aug10 Jul17 Jul05 Jun13 (boucha)GONZALEZ JR 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  LOUIE'S LAW Jul24 Jun21 May22 May01 Apr03 (polachek jan)LAPRIDA JEREMY 122 20.00    
 
PRX-8   08/30/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($27K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PEYTON'S COLLEGE Aug23 Jul26 Jul18 Jun12 May15 (padilla hugo)LAPRIDA JEREMY 122 4.50 ★    
2  TOMARIE Aug22 Jul05 Jun10 May29 May17 (bouchard lesl)OCASIO M 122 10.00    
3  SPEIGHTSTER'S GOLD Jul19 Jul04 Jun20 Jun07 May16 (guerrero gu)RIVERA D 122 6.00    
4  TRIBORD Jul19 Jun28 Jun13 May29 May09 (lake a)BOWMAN ADAM 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  ANNIKA GOLD Jul30 Jul09 Jun17 May27 May20 (bailey ric)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 6.00    
6  WONDER CITY Aug22 Jul10 Jun21 Jun06 May29 (diaz j)GONZALEZ JR 125 6.00    
7  MISS DILLINGHAM Jul10 Jun10 May29 May10 Apr05 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 122 3.00 42% 1.40    
8  MOONCHILD Jul19 Apr24 Apr04 Mar15 Feb13 (catalano m)SANCHEZ J 122 3.50 30% 2.40    
 
PRX-9   08/30/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CARLOTUK Jul24 Jun28 Jun05 Apr16 Mar23 (lake a)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 15.00    
2  PACHELBEL Jun21 Jun02 Oct24 Sep24 Sep12 (servis c)PENNINGTON F 118 6.00 13% 6.80    
3  TITANIC ROSE Aug09 Jul26 Jul05 Jun19 Apr26 (padilla-prec)LAPRIDA JEREMY 122 15.00    
4  LINDALOVESGOLD Jul18 Jun20 Jan03 Nov25 Nov01 (servis c)ADORNO ABNER 118 4.50 53% 0.90    
SCR  ON THE SHORTLIST Jul24 Jul05 Jun15 Nov30 Nov08 (mcclellan e)CORUJO LEONARDO 118 2.00    
SCR  GINGERS WISH Jul18 Jul11 Jun07 May26 Apr28 (smith donovan)TREJOS JOSEPH 122 12.00    
7  GIRLFROMOUTERSPACE Jul24 Jun28 Jun07 May15 Apr12 (linder j)RENDON JAIRO 118 5.00    
SCR  LADY OUTOFTHE BLUE Aug16 Jun22 Oct17 Sep23 Aug26 (matz micha)SANCHEZ J 122 3.00    
 
PRX-10   08/30/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  U U STAR Aug04 Jun28 Jun06 May10 Apr12 (perez ruper)VASQUEZ WILFRED 125 8.00    
SCR  PYLON Aug12 Aug03 Jul10 Jun23 Jun06 (castillo sa)RAMOS C 125 6.00    
3  HIDE THE RANSOM Jul20 Jul10 Jun28 Jun13 May29 (perez a)RUIZ ELISEO 115 6.00 23% 3.40    
4  AMIGOS GUITAR Aug21 Jul17 Jun10 May31 May17 (padilla-preciado)CASTILLO A 122 4.00    
5  SATCHEL DE RITCHES Jun07 May05 Apr11 Mar29 Mar08 (hamilton step)RANGEL JOEZER 122 3.50 28% 2.50    
6  ONE SLICK START Jul17 Jun20 Jun06 May02 Apr04 (catalano)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 8.00    
7  LITTLE HARBOUR Jul17 Jun14 May15 Apr25 Mar29 (pollara fran)LAPRIDA JEREMY 122 5.00 6% 17.10    
8  MY DEVILS CHILD Aug23 Jul10 Jun27 May10 Apr12 (tapsas elias)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 6.00 16% 5.20    
9  BUCKS ARE MOVING Jul12 Jun15 May26 May02 Apr03 (arce josue)RIVERA R 117 3.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.