Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Timonium
Saturday - August 26, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TIM-1   WIN (2/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/6)-(2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/6)-(4/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/4/6)-(4/1/2)-(6/4/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TIM-2   WIN (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/2)-(4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/2)-(6/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/1/2)-(6/4/2)-(6/5/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TIM-3   WIN (6/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/2)-(6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/2)-(6/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/4/2)-(6/5/1)-(1/5/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TIM-4   WIN (6/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/1)-(6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/1)-(1/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/5/1)-(1/5/3)-(2/1/4/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TIM-5   WIN (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/3)-(1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/3)-(2/1/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5/3)-(2/1/4/3)-(8/2/1/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TIM-6   WIN (2/1/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/4/3)-(2/1/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/4/3)-(2/1/4/3)-(2/1/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/4/3)-(8/2/1/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/1/4/3)-(8/2/1/4)-(5/4/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TIM-7   WIN (8/2/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/1/4)-(8/2/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/1/4)-(8/2/1/4)-(8/2/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/2/1/4)-(5/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/2/1/4)-(5/4/3)-(5/8/9/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TIM-8   WIN (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/3)-(5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/3)-(5/8/9/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TIM-9   WIN (5/8/9/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/9/7)-(5/8/9/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/9/7)-(5/8/9/7)-(5/8/9/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TIM-1   08/26/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($34.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY MAMBA Aug13 Aug03 May29 May05 Oct27 (lawrence ja)CONCEPCION AXEL 116 15.00    
LANGLEE AVENUE Aug11 Jul23 Jun09 May20 Apr06 (mckenzie da)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 121 1.80 52% 0.90    
SUCCEED Aug07 Jul10 Jun03 May26 Apr29 (ginter raymo)BARBOSA JEIRON 126 10.00    
ADMIT NOTHING Jun24 Jun03 May04 Apr14   (mancilla carlos )CRUZ ANGEL 121 2.00 16% 5.40    
ALOTTACENTS Aug04 Jul06 Jun03 May05 Feb19 (corrales jose)ARAUJO DENIS 121 3.50    
FOOD FOODIE Jul30 Jul06 Jun03 May12 Apr06 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 117 4.50 6% 15.80    
 
TIM-2   08/26/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($31.5K) 2 ALL PT-12:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RETURN FIRE         (ness j)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 2.00 33% 2.00    
SCR  DERBYNESS         (ness j)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 2.00    
PRALINEPOPSBOTTLES Jun19         (rodriguez r)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
IN THE DANCE         (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 120 3.50    
CHRISTOPHER'SHEART Aug11 Jun30       (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 2.50 44% 1.30    
GRUMPY BROOKSIE Aug17 Jul27 Jul19 Jun14 May31 (brooks gerald)ROJAS MARTINA 109 8.00    
CONNECTAMUNDO         (mcmahon i)CRUZ ANGEL 120 4.50    
 
TIM-3   08/26/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($20K) 2 F PT- 1:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  YES TO LOVE Aug10 Jul20       (lucas ant)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 8.00    
FUZZY WUZZY         (perri gina)ALVELO C 120 6.00 16% 5.10    
PRINCESS PEANUT Jul26 Jul08 Jun03     (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 120 6.00    
RITZ ON BROADWAY Aug12 Jul26 Jun22 Jun03   (robb j)CRUZ ANGEL 120 1.80 24% 3.20    
VICTORIA'S DEVINE Aug05         (frock )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 6.00    
RENT FREE         (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 3.00 39% 1.60    
ANOTHERDAYOFWORK Aug17 Jul27 May31 May23   (brooks gerald)ROJAS MARTINA 113 10.00    
 
TIM-4   08/26/2023 2640ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($48K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POGGIBONSI Aug19 Jul14 Jul02 Jun17 May12 (magee kiero)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 2.50 12% 7.30    
AND WHISTLE Jul14 Jun11 May19 Apr14 Mar03 (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 117 5.00    
AWESOME VIEW Aug18 Jul30 Jul06 Jun11 May28 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 122 3.50    
BREEZY CONNECTION Aug16 Aug07 Jul25 Jul04 Jun12 (brooks gerald)ROJAS MARTINA 119 10.00    
WINKED Jun02 May14 Dec09 Nov11 Sep30 (merryman w)ACOSTA D 122 3.00 23% 3.40    
MEETMEATTHEBEACH Aug05 Jul02 Jun03 Apr09 Mar16 (trombetta michae)CRUZ ANGEL 117 3.50 30% 2.30    
 
TIM-5   08/26/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($45K) Purse ($40K) 2 F PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MITOLE CANDY Aug10         (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 3.00 46% 1.20    
SUN STREAMING Aug02         (machado antonio)CRUZ ANGEL 120 15.00    
HARMONIZING         (mcmahon hu)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 120 3.50 9% 10.20    
FOXY CURL Jul22         (smith hamil)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 6.00    
BUCKIN' LUCKY Aug11 Jul14 Jun25 May05   (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 120 1.60 21% 3.70    
CONFLUENCE LASSIE         (keefe timot)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 15.00    
DIVINE MAGIC Aug05 Jun25 May23 May05   (salzman timot)ALVELO C 120 8.00    
 
TIM-6   08/26/2023 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOODLUCKCHUCK Aug20 Aug02 Jul14 Jun18 Dec08 (lawrence jam)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 5.00 22% 3.60    
HANALEI'S HOUDINI Aug05 Jul15 Jan28 Nov23 Oct27 (mcmahon hug)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 4.00 38% 1.60    
GRAN ANDREWS Aug12 Jul14 Apr08 Feb26 Oct30 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 4.00 5% 19.00    
ALBERTANO Jul27 Jun24 Jun04 Apr29 Apr06 (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 4.50 11% 8.40    
HOT N SPICY LOVE Aug05 Jul22 Jun24 May27 Apr29 (magana jose )BATISTA A 122 12.00    
SICILIA MIKE Aug12 Jul27 May18 Apr29 Mar07 (corrale)ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 3.50    
BAHAMA CHANNEL Aug05 Jul12 Jun18 Jun04 May27 (eubanks annette )CRUZ ANGEL 122 10.00    
SPUNTACULAR Jun15 Apr14 Mar11 Dec02 Nov03 (dowling willi)ROJAS MARTINA 115 30.00    
UP AGAINST IT Aug20 Jul21 May12 Apr14 Mar12 (m)RODRIGUEZ MARIA 112 12.00    
 
TIM-7   08/26/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($48K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BABY MAN Aug12 Jul22 Jun10 May05 Feb24 (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 4.50 10% 8.50    
BLAME CATALAYA Aug18 Jul14 Jun17 May31 May08 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 121 8.00 22% 3.70    
TRITONE GAL Aug03 Jul15 May12 Oct28 Jul23 (magana jose)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 15.00    
JACKSON'S DIXIE Aug19 Jul02 May05 Dec29   (howard c)ARAUJO DENIS 117 8.00 7% 13.60    
SMOOCHINWITHCINDY Aug11         (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 121 15.00    
TAM CHAR Jun10 May14 Apr30 Apr16 Mar24 (gorham michae)ALVELO C 122 3.00    
ILLUSION OF HOPE Aug12 Jul22 Jul01 Jun10 Dec29 (frock charl)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 8.00    
WILLFUL DESIRE Aug18 Jul29 Jun25 May29 Mar31 (corrales jos)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 1.80 34% 2.00    
 
TIM-8   08/26/2023 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST Timonium Distaff Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEMBLE JUSTE (IRE) Aug05 Dec10 Oct22 Sep06 Jul09 (mcpeek g)ACOSTA D 120 10.00    
  (by SHALAA out of SERISETTE by HIGH CHAPARRAL (IRE))
SCR  BRZINA Aug12 Jul16 May28 May06 Apr16 (magee kieron)NO RIDER 122 15.00    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of BAROUCHKA by NOT FOR LOVE)
MALIBU BEAUTY Jul08 Jan21 Dec30 Nov12 Oct22 (capuano gar)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 6.00 22% 3.60    
  (by BUFFUM out of SLOW AND STEADY by MALIBU MOON)
RESPONSE TIME Jul29 Jul01 Jun02 Mar18 Feb24 (smith hamilt)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 4.50 27% 2.70    
  (by MOSLER out of DOMINUS EFFECT by DOMINUS)
PRINCESS KOKACHIN Jul01 May20 Apr29 Feb24 Feb04 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 124 2.50 31% 2.20    
  (by GRAYDAR out of SERENITY HILL by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
SCR  SELF ISOLATION Aug06 Jul01 Jun16 May28 Mar17 (jacobson david)CRUZ ANGEL 122 2.00    
  (by SQUARE EDDIE out of LOAN SAVANT by SPRING AT LAST)
QUIET IMAGINATION Apr13 Mar18 Feb18 Jan18 Nov25 (woolley tim)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 20.00    
  (by IMAGINING out of PERFECTLY QUIET by QUIET AMERICAN)
DECO STRONG Aug06 Jul15 Jul01 Jun16 Jun02 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 15.00    
  (by STRONG MANDATE out of DECO ROCKS by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
SCR  VOLNAY Jul08 Jun17 Mar12 Mar04 Feb11 (perri gina)ALVELO C 120 30.00    
  (by OXBOW out of C'EST MOI by HERAT)
10  RED PIXIE Aug15 Jul17 Jul05 May22 Jan07 (brooks gerald)ROJAS MARTINA 120 30.00    
  (by GREY SWALLOW out of SADLER'S SECRETARY by SADLER'S WELLS)
SCR  EXTRA CRUNCHY Jul29 Jul07 Jun17 May14 May04 (perri g)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 30.00    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of GUESS THE DANCE by AUSTIN POWERS (IRE))
 
TIM-9   08/26/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BABY QUINN Jul14 May29 May21 Apr12 Jun22 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 126 3.50    
SCR  LIGHTNING LAD Jul20 Jun24 Jun03 May14 Mar23 (milosevic milan)ACOSTA D 126 10.00    
THANK YA PETE Aug17 Aug02 Jul14 Jul01 May29 (cooney s)CRUZ ANGEL 121 15.00    
DONTINVADEMYSPACE Aug21 Jul05 Jun06 May16 Sep20 (brooks gerald)ROJAS MARTINA 114 6.00    
HERE AND NOFURTHER Aug17 Jul13 Jul02 Jun16 May26 (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 126 3.00 46% 1.20    
FAST RIDE Aug13 Jul12 Jun25 Jun06 May21 (rawlings am)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 126 20.00    
HE ROLLS Jul23 Jul13 Jul02 Jun16 May26 (dove kevin )CHATRIE E 116 12.00 5% 19.00    
SHEER ELEMENT Jul07 Jun24 May26 May05 Jan21 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 121 4.00 22% 3.50    
GRAND MANNER Aug06 Jul02 Jun11 May28 Apr08 (gorham michae)ALVELO C 126 5.00 8% 12.10    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.