Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Assiniboia Downs
Monday - August 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ASD-1   WIN (4/3/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/7/1)-(4/3/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/7/1)-(4/3/7/1)-(4/3/7/1) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (4/3/7/1)-(4/7/6/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/3/7/1)-(4/7/6/3)-(1/8/7) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
ASD-2   WIN (4/7/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/6/3)-(4/7/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/6/3)-(4/7/6/3)-(4/7/6/3) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    PK3 (4/7/6/3)-(1/8/7)-(6/5/3) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
ASD-3   WIN (1/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/8/7)-(1/8/3/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/8/7)-(1/8/3/7)-(1/8/3/7) 18 $0.20 $3.60 
    PK3 (1/8/7)-(6/5/3)-(5/4/2/8) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
ASD-4   WIN (6/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/3)-(6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    PK3 (6/5/3)-(5/4/2/8)-(7/5/9/4) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
ASD-5   WIN (5/4/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/2/8)-(5/4/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/2/8)-(5/4/2/8)-(5/4/2/8) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    PK3 (5/4/2/8)-(7/5/9/4)-(6/1/5/8/7) 80 $0.20 $16.00 
ASD-6   WIN (7/5/9/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/9/4)-(7/5/9/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/9/4)-(7/5/9/4)-(7/5/9/4) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    PK3 (7/5/9/4)-(6/1/5/8/7)-(6/5/7/2) 80 $0.20 $16.00 
ASD-7   WIN (6/1/5/8/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/1/5/8/7)-(6/1/5/8/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/1/5/8/7)-(6/1/5/8/7)-(6/1/5/8/7) 60 $0.20 $12.00 
    DD (6/1/5/8/7)-(6/5/7/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
ASD-8   WIN (6/5/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/7/2)-(6/5/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/7/2)-(6/5/7/2)-(6/5/7/2) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ASD-1   08/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IN THE DEEP Jul31 Jul17 Jun19 Jun06 Sep19 (wise rich)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 8.00 6% 14.80    
2  KITON Jul26 Jul10 Jun21 Jun07 Sep13 (desjarlais rya)CHOW CHAVION 124 15.00    
3  MISTER MCLEAN Jul03 May23 May06 Apr04 Mar08 (sanderson)CHADEE JR 122 2.50 26% 2.90    
4  MR. DAZZLE Aug07 Jun28 Jun14 May14 Apr23 (taphorn mike)ALI RONALD 124 2.00 26% 2.80    
SCR  UNBROKEN STAR Jul17 Jun19 Jun07 Apr18 Mar26 (brown jared)BALROOP SVEN 124 4.00    
6  TOTALIZER Jul31 Jun09 May27 May13 Mar10 (gourneau)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 6.00    
7  SOMETHING SUPER Aug07 Jul19 Jul05 Jun22 Apr07 (keplin steve)BADRIE PRAYVEN 122 10.00 16% 5.30    
 
ASD-2   08/21/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MUROMEC Aug08 Jul24 Jul10 Jun26 Jun13 (anderson carl)TARASENCO P 124 3.00    
2  WHITEROSE SPIRIT Aug08 Jul31 Jul18 Jul11 Jun26 (brown shelle)BADRIE PRAYVEN 119 12.00    
3  MAGIC CARPET Jul12 Jul05 Jun28 May01 Apr25 (cavanaugh perr)BALROOP SVEN 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  ETU BABOU Jul25 Jul04 May22 Apr26 Apr03 (brown jar)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 1.40 25% 3.00    
5  OUTCOME Jul26 Jun27 Jun13 Sep26 Aug30 (brown shelley)CUMBERBATCH R 124 15.00    
6  FELLER Aug02 Jul26 Jul05 Jun27 Jun20 (gourneau )CHADEE JR 124 8.00 18% 4.70    
7  PROVOCATIVE PRINCE Jul11 Jul03 Oct28 Oct14 Sep09 (gittens devon)BYNOE DAMARIO 122 4.00 25% 3.00    
 
ASD-3   08/21/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 2 F PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KONTIE Aug09 Jul25 Jul04     (pruitt lise)CARRENO J 119 1.80 50% 1.00    
  (by KARAKONTIE out of MILK RUN by RUNNING STAG)
2  PARZANNI         (anderson wendy)ALI RONALD 119 12.00    
  (by IT'S NO JOKE out of ACARPIAN by REPENT)
3  HAPPY HOUR         (brown jar)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 119 6.00 ★    
  (by PRESERVATIONIST out of WILDABOUTSHOPPING by WILDCAT HEIR)
4  CAVORE         (nault michael)CHOW CHAVION 119 10.00    
  (by KENTUCKY BEAR out of DOMINANT CURRENCY by SILVER DEPUTY)
5  PAM'S AWESOME         (gaskin s)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 119 8.00    
  (by HEART TO HEART out of CALAMARI by BAHRI)
6  MY KIND OF NITE Jul25         (gittens devon)CUMBERBATCH R 119 5.00    
  (by SATURDAYNITELITES out of DREAM PROOF by IDIOT PROOF)
7  TWO CAT         (anderson wend)BYNOE DAMARIO 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by VENGEFUL WILDCAT out of TWO DORCAS by TWO PUNCH)
8  OFFLEY SPECIAL Jul24         (gaskin steven)BALROOP SVEN 119 3.50 29% 2.40    
  (by KENTUCKY BEAR out of YELLING TIMBER by FORESTRY)
 
ASD-4   08/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Phil Kives Purse ($40K) 3UP C/G PT- 9:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CROWNED ROYAL Aug01 Jul03 Jun19 Jun06 May23 (pruitt lise)CHOW CHAVION 119 5.00    
  (by TRUE SENSE out of SHE'S REGAL by GOING COMMANDO)
2  PURRSIBILITY Aug01 Jul19 Jun26 Jun06 Sep06 (donley jim)BELLE SHAVON 119 10.00    
  (by VENGEFUL WILDCAT out of PILLOW QUEEN by FEU D'ENFER)
3  DELVECCHIO Jul31 Jul03 Jun14 May29 Oct28 (nault michael)BYNOE DAMARIO 119 6.00 11% 8.10    
  (by WHERE'S THE RING out of BRIARS FLASH by HURRICANE CENTER)
4  LUCKY CHUCKEE Aug01 Jul24 Jul12 Jun27 Jun12 (brown she)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 119 12.00    
  (by BIRD SONG out of BLAZING SASHA by LANGFUHR)
5  MCKAGUE Aug01 Jul17 Jun19 Sep13 Aug24 (anderson )CHADEE JR 124 1.80 18% 4.60    
  (by SECRET CIRCLE out of NORTHERN COTTON by HIGH COTTON)
6  PRIVATE FRANK Jul26 Jul12 Jun12 May30 Aug22 (gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 119 1.60 48% 1.10    
  (by GOING COMMANDO out of INSPEIGHTOFSUCCESS by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
 
ASD-5   08/21/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP ALL PT-10:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOUBLE TIME Jul11 Jun19 Jun05 Sep26 Sep06 (thompson steve)BELLE SHAVON 124 15.00    
2  GENTRIFIED Jul15 Feb15 Jan07 Nov30 Nov19 (cavanaugh perr)BALROOP SVEN 124 4.00 10% 9.10    
3  MR. WALSH Jul31 Jul03 Jun19 May13 Apr29 (gourneau)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 10.00    
4  REALLY SLOW Jul19 Jul04 Jun13 Feb04 Jan05 (gittens devon)CUMBERBATCH R 124 3.50 29% 2.40    
5  OUT ON SATURDAY Jul19 May23 Sep20 Sep07 Aug31 (dickey el)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 2.00 31% 2.20    
6  MY FATHER'S EYES Aug08 Jun10 May28 Sep24 Aug23 (brown allen)CHOW CHAVION 124 20.00    
7  CAMPS BAY Jul19 Oct02 Sep08 Aug18 Jun25 (sanderson)CHADEE JR 124 6.00    
8  MAS MISCHIEF Jul30 Jul23 Sep23 Sep18 Sep03 (tourangeau m)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 8.00 8% 11.20    
 
ASD-6   08/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP M/F PT-10:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ALL TERRAIN JANE Aug14 Jul10 Jun26 Jun19 Jun05 (brown shelley)BYNOE DAMARIO 117 12.00    
2  BOOGIE BUG Jul30 Jul22 Jul15 Jun25 Jun11 (gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 123 30.00    
3  DEBALICIOUS Jul24 Jun12       (hanson d)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 123 15.00    
4  MOLLYS CHALLENGE Jul22 Jun04 May20 Jul31 Jul23 (cavanaugh pe)BADRIE PRAYVEN 123 20.00 6% 15.60    
5  DOUBLEBARRELDELITE Aug14 Aug01 Jul17 Jul04 Jun19 (nault michael)CHOW CHAVION 117 2.50 25% 3.10    
6  SASSY'S STORMIN Jul25 Jul10 May29 Sep05 Aug16 (husbands tiffany)CARRENO J 123 25.00    
7  VIOGNIER Aug08 Jul25 Jul12 Jun28 Jun14 (anderson carl)TARASENCO P 121 1.20 37% 1.70    
8  JUST A POSE Aug09 Jul24 Jul11 Jun19 May29 (pruitt lise)CUMBERBATCH R 117 20.00    
9  ANNAKHOZANA Aug07 Jul24 Jul10 Jun26 Jun13 (gourneau )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 117 6.00 7% 13.20    
 
ASD-7   08/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP M/F PT-11:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BITS OF LEMON DROP Aug08 Jul25 Jul12 Jun27 Jun12 (morse victoria)CHOW CHAVION 123 5.00 32% 2.20    
2  DIVAESQUE Jul12 Jul01 Jun02 May12 Apr16 (gourneau jerry)BUDHU ARTHUR 117 4.00    
3  MOORE'S MIRACLE Jul25 Jul11 Sep24 Sep17 Aug31 (ross cou)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 121 30.00    
4  MIAMI SOUVENIRS Aug08 Jul31 Jul11 Jun26 Jun13 (maxwell c)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 121 10.00    
5  FINGER TIP Jul25 Jul11 Jun26 Jun13 May29 (gittens devon)BYNOE DAMARIO 121 12.00 9% 10.30    
6  TRUE KATE Jul05 Jun21 Jun06 Sep27 Sep19 (rawson fred)CARRENO J 121 6.00 32% 2.10    
7  BARBIE'S QUEST Aug02 Jul05 Jun21 Jun06 Sep26 (johnson m)CHADEE JR 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  JUST FOR CHARLOTTE Aug08 Jul25 Jul10 Jul03 Jun26 (jordan jennif)AUSTIN NIRONE 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  STAN'S STARLET Aug09 Jul26 Jun23 Jun11   (dickey elton)CUMBERBATCH R 117 4.50    
 
ASD-8   08/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.2K) 3UP ALL PT-11:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FRANKS RELOAD Jul26 Jul10 Jun27 May30 Dec01 (stanford)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 119 2.00    
2  ARMAVEER Aug08 Jul18 Jun21 Jun07 May22 (tourangeau wil)BALROOP SVEN 124 25.00 5% 19.00    
3  SHIRLEY'S SHERMAN Jul18 Jun20 May22 Apr11 Mar24 (desjarlais rya)CHOW CHAVION 124 8.00    
4  JUSTA BUSTER Jul26 Jun27 Jun13 May29 Apr22 (taphorn mike)BADRIE PRAYVEN 122 5.00    
5  MIA'S MAJESTY Aug01 Jul10 Jun26 May29 Oct10 (gittens devon)BYNOE DAMARIO 124 3.00 24% 3.20    
6  BIG TICKET Aug01 Jul26 Jul02 May29 May12 (gourneau )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 119 4.00 32% 2.20    
7  PIONEER TOWN Aug01 Jul26 Jul05 Jun26 Jun14 (gourneau )CHADEE JR 119 15.00 23% 3.30    
8  TOMAHAWK EXPLORER Aug01 Jul19       (fraser lorne)BUDHU ARTHUR 122 30.00    
SCR  DESTINY ONE Aug01 Jun13 May23 Apr17 Mar25 (mooney bill)TARASENCO P 124 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.