Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Presque Isle Downs
Thursday - August 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PID-1   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/2)-(1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/2)-(5/3/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2)-(5/3/4)-(1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PID-2   WIN (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/4)-(5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/4)-(1/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/4)-(1/3)-(5/6/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PID-3   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/3)-(5/6/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3)-(5/6/1)-(4/2/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PID-4   WIN (5/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/1)-(5/6/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/1)-(5/6/1)-(5/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/1)-(4/2/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (5/6/1)-(4/2/3)-(6/7/8) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PID-5   WIN (4/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/3)-(4/2/7/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (4/2/3)-(4/2/7/3)-(4/2/7/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/2/3)-(6/7/8) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (4/2/3)-(6/7/8)-(3/6/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PID-6   WIN (6/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/8)-(6/7/4/8) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (6/7/8)-(6/7/4/8)-(6/7/4/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/7/8)-(3/6/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (6/7/8)-(3/6/2)-(4/1/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PID-7   WIN (3/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/2)-(3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/2)-(4/1/6) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
PID-8   WIN (4/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/6)-(4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PID-1   08/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REDHOT KATIE Jul19 Jul12 Jun27 Jun20 May22 (rojas eduardo)MORALES PABLO 124 1.60 40% 1.50    
2  NEVISIAN SPIRIT Aug01 Jul17 Jun14 May17 Dec22 (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 2.00 30% 2.40    
SCR  TUDOX RUE MAJESTIC Aug01 Jul19 Jul05 Jun07 Jan31 (pappada)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 2.50    
SCR  MAP EM UP Jul22 Jul07 Jun11 May27 May04 (jones e)STANLEY O 122 10.00    
5  TWISTED TREASURE Aug01 Jul05 Jun20 Apr01 Mar12 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 6.00    
 
PID-2   08/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRIT AND GLORY Jul31 Jul17 Jul03 Jun19 May29 (clarke dylan)MORALES PABLO 124 6.00    
2  LAUDERDALE Jul26 Jul11 Jun27 Jun12 May16 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 124 12.00    
3  BELIEVEINHOLIDAYS Jul18 Jun27 Apr23 Jan29 Dec17 (martin william)ALLEN D 124 2.50 15% 5.80    
4  PAPA HONOR Jul23 Jun06 Oct20 Oct09 Sep18 (bernardini jay)JURADO EDDIE 124 4.00 13% 6.50    
5  SIDE TRACKED Aug02 Jul19 Jul04 Jun13 Oct25 (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 124 1.40 50% 1.00    
6  KUMAR Aug02 Jun26 Jun11 Apr21 Mar26 (valdez moises)MARTINEZ W 124 6.00    
 
PID-3   08/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NATURE TRAIL Jul26 Jul18 Jul03 May22 Sep22 (judd cas)MARTINEZ A 119 1.80 53% 0.90    
  (by PETIONVILLE out of TAHITIAN PEARL by EL PRADO (IRE))
2  EXCLUSIVE ENTRY Aug01         (depasquale ki)WALKER M 119 10.00    
  (by EXCLUSIVE QUALITY out of CHARMING ENTRY by KEYED ENTRY)
3  MISCHIEF WARRIOR Jul31 Jun29 Jun14 May18   (kulp brandon )MORALES PABLO 119 1.40 23% 3.40    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of REIGERT by INTO MISCHIEF)
4  ROUND ROBIN Jul10 Jun13 May30 Apr28 Mar31 (morrell justi)ROJAS MARTINA 112 5.00    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of ROYALASPEN by CONGRATS)
SCR  BAD AS JOHN Jul03 Jun05 May15     (morrell r)SPIETH S 119 4.00    
  (by GOT THE LAST LAUGH out of TURKOCRAFT by CRAFTY FRIEND)
 
PID-4   08/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMMODORE BARRY Aug02 Jul05 Jun21 Jun14 May23 (cooper thomas)ALLEN D 122 3.50 7% 13.10    
2  JEN'S SONG Jul31 Jul05 Jun14 Jun06 May17 (depasquale kimbe)MARTINEZ W 122 4.50    
3  SHAKIN IT UP LARRY Jul31 Jul05 Jun14 May23 Oct25 (russell )MARTINEZ A 122 5.00    
4  BRADITUDE Aug01 Jul19 Jul05 Jun21 May17 (rogers ronald)ROJAS MARTINA 115 10.00    
5  SUMMERFEST Jul31 Jul05 Jun13 May24 May16 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 122 2.00 38% 1.60    
6  WHERE YOU WAS Aug03 Jul05 Jun20 May23 Oct26 (rogers w)SPIETH S 122 3.00 22% 3.60    
 
PID-5   08/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FARAT Aug02 Jul19 Jun20 May30 May16 (markgraf davi)ROJAS MARTINA 117 12.00    
2  QUARTERMASTER Jul18 Jun20 Jun05 May15 Oct03 (bourke john)STANLEY O 124 2.50 29% 2.50    
3  CUZ May05 Apr05 Mar08 Feb03 Jan21 (guciardo john)VILLA-GOMEZ H 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  AULT Jul18 Oct25 Oct13 Sep27 Sep08 (martin willia)MORALES PABLO 124 1.80 49% 1.00    
5  LEAVE 'EM LOADED Aug02 Jul19 Jul07 Jun22 May26 (girten tim)AYALA J 124 4.50    
6  MOUNTAIN TREE Jul03 Jun19 May29 May15 May02 (clarke dyl)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 15.00    
7  PHARAOH FANCY PANT Aug02 Jul03 Jun13 May30 Apr16 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 124 5.00 ★    
 
PID-6   08/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 2 ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MORTAL SIN Jul27 Jul07       (doran carl)MARTINEZ W 120 8.00    
  (by SOLOMINI out of GALADRIEL'S LIGHT by WILL TAKE CHARGE)
2  READY FOR ACTION Jul03         (hamm timothy)ROJAS MARTINA 113 10.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of EPISCOPAL by CARPE DIEM (FR))
SCR  ZHU DADDY Jul19         (engler jeff)ALLEN D 120 20.00    
  (by HIT IT A BOMB out of ARGENTA by MINESHAFT)
4  FRIZZANTE Jul19         (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 120 6.00 ★    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of SECRET INGREDIENT by CONGRATS)
SCR  WINCHAM         (stidham mich)AYALA J 120 3.50 23% 3.30    
  (by STREET SENSE out of LADY MONTDORE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
6  UNCLE KENNY Aug05 Jul18 May31     (potts g)WALKER M 120 3.00 49% 1.00    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of PHYLLIS ANN by PUT IT BACK)
7  RANGER BLUE         (tasso mark)FRATES D 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MICROMANAGE out of SINGLE MALT FEMALE by SKIP TO THE STONE)
8  JUSTA LITTLE MOORE         (ruberto )MARTINEZ A 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DRILL out of BUCKLER by CONCERTO)
9  SEMINARIAN         (lecesse mich)HARKIE K 120 8.00    
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of RARE EDITION by SIYAH KALEM)
10  GRUMPY BROOKSIE Jul27 Jul19 Jun14 May31   (brooks e)STANLEY O 120 10.00    
  (by BOISTEROUS out of CALI'S FINALE by SCIPION)
11  ANOTHERDAYOFWORK Jul27 May31 May23     (brooks e)ALLEN M 117 12.00    
  (by V. E. DAY out of PTARMIGAN by UNBRIDLED JET)
 
PID-7   08/17/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEIRLOOM KITTEN Aug02 Jun26 Jun06 May17 Apr19 (girten t)MARTINEZ A 122 6.00    
2  ON THE COUCH Jul31 Jul04 Jun21 Jun06 May30 (brooks gerald)ROJAS MARTINA 115 5.00 5% 19.00    
3  THE SINNER IS YOU Jun20 May29 May17 Oct16 Sep19 (rojas e)MARTINEZ W 122 1.60 50% 1.00    
4  ALABAMA SLAMMER Aug02 Jun26 Jun06 May17 Oct04 (russell randal)ALLEN D 122 4.50    
5  WOODCHUCK Jul31 Jul11 May29 Oct25 Oct10 (rogers mic)AYALA J 122 8.00    
6  BARNEGAT LIGHT Aug02 Jul19 May30 May05 Apr05 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 124 2.50 24% 3.20    
 
PID-8   08/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CORAL LEGACY Aug02 Jul18 Jul10 May30 Nov06 (blankenship do)JURADO EDDIE 122 5.00 26% 2.80    
SCR  JAMA DILLON Aug02 Jul12 Jun27 Jun12 Jun05 (ruberto )MARTINEZ A 122 10.00 7% 13.70    
SCR  SCIENCE TO WIN Aug02 Jun05 May17 Nov01 Oct11 (kocijan boris)STANLEY O 122 12.00    
4  CROWLEY'S WAR Jul18 Apr02 Mar18 Feb19 Jan29 (wismer )DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 2.00 28% 2.60    
5  BAD LITTLE BEAST Jul19 Jul03 Jun05 May15 Apr27 (winters michelle)DIAZ R 122 6.00    
6  SILVER TOKEN Aug01 Jul18 Jun19 Jun05 May24 (markgraf david)ALLEN D 122 4.00 10% 8.60    
7  GOLDEN OAK Aug02 Jul18 Jul12 Jun19 May31 (schneider ki)AYALA J 122 15.00    
8  THOUSAND LOVES Aug02 Jul18 Jul04 Jun20 Feb15 (skawinski a)ALLEN M 122 3.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.