Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belterra Park
Tuesday - August 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BTP-1   WIN (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/2)-(4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/2)-(3/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/5/2)-(3/6/1)-(3/5/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-2   WIN (3/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/1)-(3/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/1)-(3/6/1)-(3/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/6/1)-(3/5/1)-(3/6/7) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-3   WIN (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/1)-(3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/5/1)-(3/6/7)-(5/3/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-4   WIN (3/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/7)-(3/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/7)-(3/6/7)-(3/6/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/6/7)-(5/3/2)-(5/1/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-5   WIN (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/2)-(5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (5/3/2)-(5/1/2)-(5/1/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-6   WIN (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/2)-(5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2)-(5/1/3)-(1/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-7   WIN (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/3)-(5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/3)-(1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
BTP-8   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/2)-(1/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BTP-1   08/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($23.7K) 2 ALL PT-12:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COUSIN JOE Aug02         (bogart robert)CANUTO THIAGO 119 5.00    
  (by HEART TO HEART out of MANY FACES by FORESTRY)
2  GAPPER         (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 119 4.50 5% 19.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of TAKE CHARGE GIRL by WILL TAKE CHARGE)
3  GOT ZIP Aug02         (fletcher ke)LAGUNES GABRIEL 119 3.50    
  (by TAPITURE out of PLASTIQUE by CITY ZIP)
4  RED CHILI PEPPER Jul26 Jun30 Jun20 Jun03   (hamm timothy)LEBRON VICTOR 119 1.80 47% 1.10    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of BOSSY by CONQUISTADOR CIELO)
5  TOUGH CAT Jun30         (drury jr)MCKEE J 119 2.50 31% 2.20    
  (by TOUGH IT UP out of BARN CAT by BLUEGRASS CAT)
 
BTP-2   08/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCKY TUESDAY Aug02 Jul21 Nov30 Nov14 Oct26 (zircher rob)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
2  GENERAL GINNY Jul21 Jul08 Jun15 Jun03 May24 (dillion jimmy)REYES R 124 4.50    
3  MABEE LUCKYNWILD Jul30 Jun30 Jun09 May19 Apr28 (danner kelsey)JIMENEZ ALBIN 124 4.00 53% 0.90    
SCR  ABOUNDING Aug03 Jul21 Jul12 Jun15 May11 (cook k)CANUTO THIAGO 124 8.00    
5  SUPORB Aug02 Jul12 Jun29 Jun03 May19 (edwards w)CORREA L 124 2.50    
6  JOLIE RULER Jul12 Jul05 Apr02 Mar01 Feb06 (ramos francisc)COLON H 124 3.00 18% 4.70    
 
BTP-3   08/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MUSTANG WILLIE Aug03 Jul22 Jul08 Jun22 May15 (calderon enriq)COLON H 124 4.50 5% 19.00    
2  CAPE MARCO DRIVE Jul29 May19 May06 Apr27 Jan16 (lopez carlos)MARCANO Y 119 5.00    
3  THIS ILL DEFEND Jul13 Jun23 Jun01 May18 Mar23 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 124 2.00 40% 1.50    
4  GAMBLER Aug02 May19 Sep12 Aug22 Aug03 (bush s)BUSH V 124 3.50    
5  ORB OF THE BORO Jul26 Jun22 Jun15 May20 Oct11 (crozier jeff)CANUTO THIAGO 124 2.50 33% 2.00    
 
BTP-4   08/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  NORTHERN ALLIANCE Jul12 Jun18 Jun04 Apr02 Oct23 (rodriguez hugo)COLON H 120 10.00    
SCR  DICHOTOMY Jul19 Jun21 Jun06 Mar31 Oct12 (haehn r)OUZTS W 120 2.50    
3  DANCE THE DAY AWAY Jul27 Jul08 Jun21 May24 Feb23 (decker anna)MOJICA JR 120 4.00 52% 0.90    
4  POINT OF INFINITY Jul23 Jul09 Jun08 May26 May08 (bright derr)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 6.00    
5  TAMI ANN Aug02 Jun30 May26 Apr21 Mar03 (barrett grant)CANUTO THIAGO 120 15.00    
6  ADDISON Aug05 Jul27 Jul08 Jun22 May25 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 120 3.50 21% 3.80    
7  BELLE OF ST. JOHN Jul21 Jul01 Jun16 May26 May17 (andrade h)CORREA L 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
8  MORNING LINE NEWS Jul27 Jul01 Jun22 Jun01 May18 (hernandez javi)REYES R 120 10.00    
 
BTP-5   08/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  APPALACHIAN SPIRIT Aug03 Jul05 Jun08 May04 Apr10 (cline robert)MARCANO Y 114 6.00    
2  MISS SOLAN Jul20         (lowry kathlee)LEBRON VICTOR 124 2.50 12% 7.30    
3  TWILIGHT BEAUTY Aug03 Jul19 Jul05 May19 May04 (donjuan sergi)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 3.50 20% 3.90    
4  OUTPOST GIRL Aug03 Jul19 Jul05 Apr25 Apr10 (barker scott )CANUTO THIAGO 119 3.00    
5  SHEZ IN A TIZZY Aug05 Jul19 Jul05 Jun09   (adams l)REYES R 124 4.00 36% 1.80    
6  MYSTIC ANN Aug31 Aug19 Aug02 Jul12 Jun30 (melancon paul)BUSH V 124 8.00    
 
BTP-6   08/15/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($9.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BAXTER JAX         (scott anthony )COLON H 120 6.00 20% 4.10    
2  VAMONOS Jul25 Jul10 Jun12 Feb14 Jan11 (kinmon keith)BECKMAN ALICE 115 3.50 7% 13.90    
3  LIGHTNING CASHES Aug04 Jul20 Jul06 May21 May04 (salcedo ra)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 120 4.00    
4  THE POINT ROAD Aug03 Jul06 Jun17 May31 May06 (bush george)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 4.50    
5  SMART DRESSER Jul20 Jun30 Jun15 May12 Apr21 (hamm timothy)LEBRON VICTOR 120 2.00 48% 1.10    
6  ALY STONE Aug02 Jul13 Jul06 Jun17 Jun03 (holton rebecc)CANUTO THIAGO 124 5.00    
 
BTP-7   08/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($9.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SURE ENOUGH May20 Mar16 Dec11 Nov11 Oct21 (van thomas)MCKEE J 118 5.00 13% 6.60    
2  SOULSTONE Aug04 Jul19 Jun14 May18 Apr29 (salcedo ram)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 3.50    
3  NOT A ROLE MODEL Aug04 Jul06 Jun22 Jun10 Jun03 (calderon enri)CANUTO THIAGO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  ANN KOR Aug04 Jul08 Dec22 Dec07   (esquivel )CORREA L 120 3.00    
5  LANALIKESCHOOCHOOS Aug01 Jul07 Jun16 May31 May13 (smith larry)OUZTS W 118 2.00 55% 0.80    
6  YOU'RE A DANDY Aug04 Jul21 Jul08 Jun29 Jun10 (ramos francisc)COLON H 120 4.50    
 
BTP-8   08/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($15.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ATTA BOY ANTHONY Jul07 Jun11 May13 Jan27 Dec31 (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 120 4.50 47% 1.10    
2  J W RUCKUS Jul27 Mar31 Feb23 Feb02 Dec29 (smith larry)OUZTS W 120 3.50 18% 4.40    
SCR  FIRING RANGE Jul12 Jun17 May22 May11 Apr27 (esquivel )CORREA L 120 12.00    
4  SCAT SHACK Jul19 Jun22 Jun14 May25 May17 (ramos franc)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 8.00    
SCR  OVER THE CHANNEL Feb08 Jan12 Dec16 Nov20 Mar27 (caramori caio)REYES R 120 2.00    
SCR  T J MUNNINGS Jun16 Jun07 May31 Apr27 Apr16 (hernandez javi)COLON H 120 15.00    
SCR  SILENT CHAOS Aug01 Jul08 Jun23 May12 May06 (grubbs jamie )JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 5.00    
8  EDEN PARADISE Jul27 Jul16 Jun23 Jun09 May20 (james gera)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 120 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.