Handicappers' Racing Form

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Emerald Downs
Saturday - July 29, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

EMD-1   Win (6/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
EMD-2   Win (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
EMD-3   Win (6/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
EMD-4   Win (7/1/8/9/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00
EMD-5   Win (6/4/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
EMD-6   Win (6/4/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
EMD-7   Win (6/1/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
EMD-1   07/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BANDON BRIDGE Jul01 Jun18 May21 Feb14 Feb06 (pierce l)ANAYA V 123 10.00    
SASSY EINSTEIN Jul01 Jun24 Jun03 May06 Apr12 (morris l)MONTALVO C 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SPANISH CHANNEL Jul21 Jul07 May28 Apr16 Apr01 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 125 2.50    
MOSCOW LADY Jun25 Jun17 May29 Sep10 Aug27 (cryderman s)RADKE K 125 1.80    
FOGGY BOTTOM Jun18 May06 Nov11 Oct21 Oct01 (simkins rosie)BOWEN ROCCO 123 3.50 8% 12.00    
GOLDEN HALO Jun18 May28 May14 Apr19 Mar29 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 125 4.00 66% 0.50    
 
EMD-2   07/29/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:31
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KISS RIDE GOODBYE Jul07 Feb10 Jan28 Jan15 Dec02 (wenzel tom)VALDES ALEXIS 123 1.60    
BETE ROUGE Jul16 Jul01 Jun17 Aug12 Jul04 (chattong vich)ORTIZ A 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LAKER JET Jun24 Jun11 Oct15 Sep18 Sep10 (bean robert )ORANTES R 118 20.00    
ANTECEDENCE Jun25 Jun17 Sep18 Sep03 Aug06 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 123 4.00 24% 3.10    
PRESKITT Jul07 May27 Mar31 Mar05 Feb12 (essex charles)BOWEN ROCCO 123 2.50 42% 1.40    
MY MOONDANCER Jul16 Jul07 Jun04 May13 Apr01 (gibson vince)RADKE K 125 3.50    
 
EMD-3   07/29/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:58
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WARRIORS HERO Jul15 Jul01 Jun17 May29 May20 (pierce l)CRUZ M 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
EXECUTIVE ACTION Jun23 Jun04 May05 Apr26 Mar15 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 123 2.50    
SCR  GOLD RUSH JUNIOR Jul14 Jul03 May14 Aug28 Jul31 (velasquez rigobe)ENRIQUEZ D 119 8.00    
SUPER CREATIVE Jul07 Jun23 Jun09 Apr26 Apr05 (johnston kimberl)ANAYA V 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
STATE OF THE UNION Jul01 Jun03 May13 Apr01 Feb25 (wright bla)AMADOR RUIZ 125 2.00    
REGULATION DAZED Jul15 Jun11 May21 May13 Apr26 (nunnally jennifer)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.50 58% 0.70    
 
EMD-4   07/29/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24K) 2 F PT- 9:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAR FAR AWAY Jul15         (wright blaine)OROZCO E 119 4.50 26% 2.90    
MADAM PRESIDENT Jul15         (rodriguez saul)ANAYA V 119 15.00    
ROCKIT A DAY Jul15 Jun25       (martinez d)AMADOR RUIZ 119 10.00    
WINANYWAYUCAN         (velasquez rigobe)ENRIQUEZ D 119 6.00    
NEISSA Jul09         (cryderman s)MATIAS J 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
ALWAYS GALLANT Jul15         (martinez b)ZUNINO L 119 20.00    
SHELBY SHORTSTOP Jul08 Jun17       (cryderman candice)NEGRON LUIS 119 2.00 35% 1.90    
COASTAL GIRL         (bullock steve)CRUZ M 119 4.00 18% 4.50    
DEUX MERES         (cooper kay)VALDES ALEXIS 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
EMD-5   07/29/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:56
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FANTASTIC DAY May20 Apr11 Mar19 Sep09 Aug28 (rosales jorge)MONTALVO C 123 6.00 5% 18.00    
HUNTERS GHOST Jul09 Jun25 May21 Apr15 Mar26 (van debbie)MATIAS J 123 8.00    
MARCH ON LINCH Jul14 Jun24 Jun09 May13 Sep18 (bozell alan)ORTIZ A 125 12.00    
YOU SPLIT TENS Jul09 Jun23 Jun10 May21 Apr15 (evans justin)CRUZ M 123 3.50 24% 3.20    
STAND TO Jul14 Jun24 Jun10 May21 Feb28 (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 125 6.00    
GABBY HAYES Jul09 Jun23 Apr30 Apr09 Mar11 (markle dan)BOWEN ROCCO 125 3.00 40% 1.50    
NEW EVERY MORNING Jun25 Jun16 May29 May14 Feb26 (gibson vince)RADKE K 123 8.00    
CROOKED FINGER RAY Jul03 Jun16 Aug28 Aug12 Jul22 (wenzel tom)ZUNINO L 120 3.50 10% 9.40    
 
EMD-6   07/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT-10:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NANA'S ANGELS Sep10 Aug20 Jul31 Jul17 Jul03 (wright bla)AMADOR RUIZ 123 4.00 14% 6.10    
YOGYA Jul02 Jun16 May29 Sep02 Jul17 (wenzel tom)MONTALVO C 121 5.00 6% 15.80    
DRIVEWAY Jul16 Jul01 Jun11 May28 May13 (navarro jose)CRUZ M 119 12.00    
SHELBY GOLD Jul01 May28 May13 Apr08 Mar19 (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 121 2.50 19% 4.30    
RAINBOW STEW Jul02 May14 Apr24 Mar14 Feb21 (toye joe)RADKE K 121 20.00    
MISS DYNAMIC Jul16 Jun18 May20 Aug28 Aug07 (velasquez rigober)BOWEN ROCCO 119 1.80 41% 1.40    
MS FLASHY HARBOR Jul16 Jul02 May28 May14 Apr17 (bullock steve)NEGRON LUIS 121 6.00    
 
EMD-7   07/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT-10:56
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE GOLDEN EGG Jul07 Jun23 May27 Apr03 Mar18 (essex charles)CRUZ M 121 4.00 25% 3.00    
SAINT SISTA Jun29 Jun08 May18 May11 May04 (toye joe)ANAYA V 120 3.50    
GOOD DANNY Jul07 Jun24 Aug05 Jul16 Jun17 (baze robert)MONTALVO C 119 15.00 15% 5.50    
SAILING IN Jul07 Jun16 May29 Jun19 Jun04 (cooper kay)ENRIQUEZ D 120 5.00    
YANKEE GO HOME Jun23 Apr04 Jan24 Nov28 Sep05 (pierce l)BOWEN ROCCO 125 12.00    
START THEM UP Jul07 Jun18 May29 May06 Apr16 (wright bla)AMADOR RUIZ 121 2.50 38% 1.70    
SCR  STREET MOGUL Jun09 May19 Feb17 Feb04 Dec31 (soranno jill)NEGRON LUIS 121 6.00    
COLE'S DYNAMITE Jul15         (freeman v)RADKE K 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.