Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Canterbury Park
Thursday - July 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CBY-1   WIN (1/4/7/5/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/4/7/5/9)-(1/4/7/5/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/4/7/5/9)-(1/4/7/5/9)-(1/4/7/5/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/4/7/5/9)-(1/3/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
CBY-2   WIN (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/4)-(1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/4)-(2/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/3/4)-(2/4/3)-(6/4/7/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CBY-3   WIN (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/3)-(2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/3)-(6/4/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/3)-(6/4/7/1)-(4/9/5/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CBY-4   WIN (6/4/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/7/1)-(6/4/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/7/1)-(6/4/7/1)-(6/4/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4/7/1)-(4/9/5/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CBY-5   WIN (4/9/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/9/5/2)-(4/9/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/9/5/2)-(4/9/5/2)-(4/9/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/9/5/2)-(6/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/9/5/2)-(6/5/4)-(5/8/3/6/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CBY-6   WIN (6/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/4)-(6/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/4)-(6/5/4)-(6/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/4)-(5/8/3/6/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
CBY-7   WIN (5/8/3/6/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/8/3/6/2)-(5/8/3/6/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/8/3/6/2)-(5/8/3/6/2)-(5/8/3/6/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CBY-1   07/20/2023 4950ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOOKIN SO LUCKY Jun25 Jun03 Mar29 Mar08 Feb22 (silva jr)LOPEZ KARLO 124 2.50 35% 1.90    
2  LADY ASTRID Jun28 Jun17 Apr28 Mar31 Mar10 (cline n)HARR KELSI 122 12.00    
3  TAKING CHARGE DESI Jun28 Jun07 Apr30 Mar28 Mar11 (lund valorie)FUENTES A 122 15.00    
4  FAST TO FORTUNE Jul03 Jun11 May28 Apr08 Mar15 (woolley bennie )REYES FRANK 122 6.00 20% 3.90    
5  GYPSY REWARD Jun28 May29 Sep24 Aug13 Jul16 (quinonez )ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  SHABAM Oct14 Sep07 Aug20 Jul16 Jun11 (quinon)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 117 5.00    
7  FALL MOON Jul09 Jun14 May05 Mar25 Feb25 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 4.00 12% 7.40    
8  ESSENTIAL BELLA Jul12 Jul01 Jun07 May04 Apr23 (richard chris)WADE LYNDIE 122 4.50    
9  CRIMINAL RECORD Feb08 Jan25 Jan03 Dec17 Nov19 (a)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
CBY-2   07/20/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31K) 2 ALL PT- 6:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMMISSIONER OSCAR         (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 2.00 42% 1.40    
  (by COMMISSIONER out of MISS JANE by KELA)
2  MACH TWO         (biehler m)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 118 3.50    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of YANKEE SWEETHEART by LION HEARTED)
3  HAT TRICK JACK         (bethke a)WADE LYNDIE 118 2.50 18% 4.70    
  (by FIRING LINE out of ROYAL CLASS by REGAL SEARCH)
4  RIDIN SOLO         (bethke a)SOSA LAUREANO 113 8.00 7% 13.50    
  (by PAYNTER out of SWEET TANGO by MASTER COMMAND)
5  BENZ LAKE THUNDER Jul01         (bethke tro)GALLARDO EDUARDO 118 6.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of LILAH'S THUNDER by THUNDER GULCH)
6  SUPREME LEADER (GB)         (silva )NAVA ALFREDO 118 5.00    
  (by PRESERVATIONIST out of SUPREME MAKER by EMPIRE MAKER)
 
CBY-3   07/20/2023 3300ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($35K) Purse ($29.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BODENHEIMER Jul03 Jun11 Dec14 Nov14 Sep17 (lund valorie)WADE LYNDIE 124 2.00    
2  DOCTOR OSCAR Jul03 May27 Apr28 Mar17 Feb11 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 124 1.60 56% 0.80    
3  SHIP IT RED Jul03 Jun21 Jun03 May06 Apr15 (lund valorie)LOPEZ KARLO 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  PLANE TALK Jun21 Sep14 Aug20 Jul10 Jun22 (quinonez )ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 3.50 22% 3.60    
5  TAPPED TO THE MAX Jun03 Feb18 Oct04 Jul09 Jun25 (bethke a)SOSA LAUREANO 117 12.00    
6  DEFLATER Jul03 Jun03 May05 Apr28 Mar24 (cline n)HARR KELSI 122 10.00    
 
CBY-4   07/20/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31K) 2 ALL PT- 7:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWOTWENTYSWIFT         (bethke troy)BARANDELA SOFIA 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by INCOGNITO BANDITO out of MOCHA TRYST by HARD SPUN)
2  STAGGER         (rosin )BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 113 4.50    
  (by STROLL out of C. C. WITH WATER by WATER BANK)
3  JOSH'S DRAMA         (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 118 4.00    
  (by SKY KINGDOM out of MS ELEGANCE by BIG DRAMA)
4  I WISH I COULD         (biehler michael)WADE LYNDIE 118 3.00 31% 2.20    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of DIVINE SANCTION by PROUD CITIZEN)
5  EXPOUND         (johnston d)ROMAN KEVIN 118 8.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of SPECIAL CITY by CITY ZIP)
6  OUTOFTHEDARK         (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 2.50 34% 2.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of SUMMER SWING by NOT FOR LOVE)
7  MO MO TOWN Jul01         (bethke a)MURRAY M 118 6.00 13% 6.90    
  (by MO TOWN out of SWEETHOTS by HEATSEEKER (IRE))
 
CBY-5   07/20/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  OF GOOD REPORT Jul02 Jun17 May29 Apr29 Apr05 (w)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 122 8.00    
2  KID'S INHERITANCE Jul03 Jun17 Mar18 Mar04 Sep10 (bethke a)SOSA LAUREANO 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  MOUNTAIN PINE Jul02 Oct28 Sep15 Aug31 Aug20 (litfin nev)GALLARDO EDUARDO 122 8.00    
4  DEVOTED TO YOU Jun24 Jun03 Apr08 Mar20 Dec11 (silva jr)LOPEZ KARLO 122 4.00 47% 1.10    
5  BOB'S ALL IN Jul03 Jun24 Jun03 Apr29 Apr08 (asprin)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 117 6.00 7% 12.90    
6  SPIRIT OF SPOATIE Jul02 Dec14 Nov25 Nov15 Oct28 (biehler micha)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 15.00    
7  MONGOLIAN BEE Jul02 Jun07 May11 Apr09 Feb17 (rengstorf tony)WADE LYNDIE 117 12.00    
8  BENS MALICE Dec07 Nov12 Oct21 Oct01 Sep10 (vanwinkle d)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 3.50    
9  TWOKO BAY Jul03 May29 Feb09 Jan14 Dec01 (scherer gary)MURRAY M 122 2.50 21% 3.80    
 
CBY-6   07/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CASEY'S LAW Jun03 May13 Aug10 Jun30 Jun09 (quinonez )ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 10.00    
2  ROCKIN THE DAD BOD Jul02 May29 May13 Sep17 Aug22 (rarick wade)LOPEZ KARLO 117 5.00    
3  SEA TO SUCCESS Jun25 Apr16 Feb25 Jan28 May29 (quinonez n)GALLARDO EDUARDO 122 2.00    
4  WARRIOR BOSS Jun25 May27 Sep15 Aug28 Jul30 (b)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 122 4.00 16% 5.40    
5  STORMIN HONGKONG Jul03 Jun10 Apr14 Mar16 Feb20 (danger kevi)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 6.00 20% 4.00    
6  ASTRONAUT OSCAR Jun25 May27 May06 Apr01 Mar15 (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 122 3.50 29% 2.50    
SCR  WIN OVER WYATT Jul03 Jun17 May28     (litfin nevada)WADE LYNDIE 119 8.00    
 
CBY-7   07/20/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUMMER ALL YEAR Jul09 Jun17 May28 Feb26 Feb05 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 4.00    
2  BLACK LIMO Jun28 Jun11 Apr23 Mar19 Mar03 (rarick lynn)SOSA LAUREANO 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  PUBLIC OPINION Jun18 Apr17 Mar11 Feb18 Jan26 (rarick wade)FUENTES A 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  MR. COUGAR Jul08 Mar30 Mar19 Sep15 Sep07 (westermann)GALLARDO EDUARDO 124 4.50    
5  KURT'S CHOICE Jun28 Jun04 Sep10 Aug18   (berndt joel)LOPEZ KARLO 119 2.50 54% 0.90    
6  TOUR THE WORLD Jun28 May28 Apr11 Mar26 Feb28 (lund valorie)WADE LYNDIE 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CALICO JOE Jun28 Jun04 Apr30 Apr16 Jul16 (berndt jo)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 124 12.00    
8  LITTLE RED RIFLE Jul08 Jun18 Jun10 May28 Apr24 (woolle)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 119 5.00 18% 4.50    
9  MY CALANTE Jun28 Jun04 May03 Apr11 Mar18 (roberts b)LARA EZEQUIEL 119 12.00    
10  RISKY SITUATION Jul02 Jun04 Apr29 Mar30 Mar03 (cline n)HARR KELSI 124 8.00    
11  TEXAS HOLDEM Jun18 May07 Apr22 Mar24 Mar12 (silva )NAVA ALFREDO 124 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.