Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Evangeline Downs
Saturday - July 08, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

EVD-1   WIN (8/2/6/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/6/9)-(8/2/6/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/6/9)-(8/2/6/9)-(8/2/6/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/2/6/9)-(3/6/1/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/2/6/9)-(3/6/1/4)-(5/8/3/1) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
EVD-2   WIN (3/6/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/1/4)-(3/6/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/1/4)-(3/6/1/4)-(3/6/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/1/4)-(5/8/3/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/6/1/4)-(5/8/3/1)-(2/6/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
EVD-3   WIN (5/8/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/3/1)-(5/8/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/3/1)-(5/8/3/1)-(5/8/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/8/3/1)-(2/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/8/3/1)-(2/6/3)-(7/4/5/12/10) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
EVD-4   WIN (2/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/3)-(2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/3)-(7/4/5/12/10) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/6/3)-(7/4/5/12/10)-(5/7/10/11/3) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
EVD-5   WIN (7/4/5/12/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/4/5/12/10)-(7/4/5/12/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/4/5/12/10)-(7/4/5/12/10)-(7/4/5/12/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/4/5/12/10)-(5/7/10/11/3) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (7/4/5/12/10)-(5/7/10/11/3)-(6/7/1/3) 100 $1.00 $100 
EVD-6   WIN (5/7/10/11/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/7/10/11/3)-(5/7/10/11/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/7/10/11/3)-(5/7/10/11/3)-(5/7/10/11/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/7/10/11/3)-(6/7/1/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/7/10/11/3)-(6/7/1/3)-(7/3/5/8/12) 100 $1.00 $100 
EVD-7   WIN (6/7/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/1/3)-(6/7/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/1/3)-(6/7/1/3)-(6/7/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/1/3)-(7/3/5/8/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/7/1/3)-(7/3/5/8/12)-(7/1/6/9/8) 100 $1.00 $100 
EVD-8   WIN (7/3/5/8/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/3/5/8/12)-(7/3/5/8/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/3/5/8/12)-(7/3/5/8/12)-(7/3/5/8/12) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/3/5/8/12)-(7/1/6/9/8) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
EVD-9   WIN (7/1/6/9/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/1/6/9/8)-(7/1/6/9/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/1/6/9/8)-(7/1/6/9/8)-(7/1/6/9/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
EVD-1   07/08/2023 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROARING QUINN Jun24 Jun01 May03 Apr07 Feb17 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 116 20.00    
MY LADY LUNA May29 May13 Mar05 Dec23 Dec03 (wilson shane)MCMAHON J 118 3.00 23% 3.40    
SCR  LIL MISS SUNSHINE Jun25 Jun02 May12 Mar18 Feb02 (broberg karl)ROSIER R 123 10.00    
CHERRY STAR May27 Feb02 Jan14 Dec19 Nov26 (latour nich)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 4.00    
SHE'S MY LOUIE V. Jun16 Jun01 May05 Mar24 Feb28 (castille ca)MELANCON JANSEN 118 10.00    
CALIFORNIA BELLE Jun01 May18 Apr27 Apr08 Feb28 (latour nicho)BARRERA J 113 6.00 17% 4.90    
FLOWERS APRIORITY Jul11 Jun07 May14     (jeanson)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 15.00    
TWO JET Jun01 May10 Apr12 Feb18 Feb05 (delhomme jerry)THORNTON G 115 2.00 33% 2.10    
CANT ATTACK ARCH Jun24 Aug07       (jeansonne justi)ROSENDO J 118 12.00 6% 15.40    
 
EVD-2   07/08/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAST PENALTY Jun01 May11 Apr15 Mar19   (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 123 3.50 17% 4.80    
HALO'S SONG Jun22 May19 Feb03 Jan07   (charles jo)ALBERT S 115 20.00    
PINTORA Jun16 Jun01 Apr28     (diodoro roberti)MCMAHON J 118 2.00 29% 2.40    
GYPSY JACKPOT Jun22 May19 Apr22 Mar18 Feb15 (pomier chase)BARRERA J 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
HIGHER NOTE May26 May06 Feb26 Feb05 Jan16 (marechal merlin)MELANCON G 123 5.00    
BLACK ACE May18 Apr28 Apr15 Mar24 Feb22 (courville ri)MAGNON H 118 1.80 24% 3.20    
MEAN DREAMER Jun22 Jun01       (west henry)RIVERA JOSEAN 115 15.00    
 
EVD-3   07/08/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIANNA'S JET Jun24 Apr28 Mar12 Feb23 Feb11 (pomier chase)BARRERA J 113 8.00 9% 9.60    
MAGNA COLORS Jun03 May06 Apr07 Feb24 Oct16 (nelson r)VARGAS P 118 15.00    
LAST OF THE NILE Jun02 May11 Apr27 Apr08 Feb09 (castille carrol)MELANCON G 115 3.00 11% 8.00    
HONORARY GUEST May28 Apr28 Feb24 Jan19 Aug14 (delany sarah)MAGNON H 118 12.00    
SWEET CHABLIS Apr27 Mar25 Feb18 Nov26 Oct27 (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 113 2.50 38% 1.60    
LAYLA'S SONG May14 Mar09 Feb09 Jan12 Oct24 (antwine)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 10.00    
ABSOLUTELY Jun10 May20 Apr26 Apr07 Feb23 (landry ray)STOKES J 118 4.50    
CARPE HORSESHOE Jun23 Jun09 May27 May07 Mar05 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 118 3.50 19% 4.20    
 
EVD-4   07/08/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Louisiana Stallion Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOUBLE ON THE RED Jun03 May13 Apr27 Feb24 Jan22 (zenon shelto)MAGNON H 116 20.00    
  (by IDE LIKE A DOUBLE out of CAROLYN FRANCES by PERSONAL FLAG)
BEHEMAH STAR May06 Mar26 Feb04 Dec10 Nov19 (wilson shane)MCMAHON J 116 1.00 42% 1.40    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of SAINTLY JOAN by NORTHERN AFLEET)
MANGUM Jun03 Mar25 Feb25 Jan14 Dec19 (delhomme je)DEL-CID VICENTE 111 6.00 12% 7.50    
  (by MO TOM out of BOVELL ROAD by GRAEME HALL)
HEZA PICKLE Jun08 May08 Mar22 Feb16 Feb03 (turner patti)BARRERA J 119 15.00    
  (by YELLOW MEADOW out of I LOVE PICKLES by PLANET EARTH)
BAYOU JAM Jun09 May13 Apr26 Mar26 Mar05 (fuselier jonah)STOKES J 116 12.00    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of ZIPPITY GOOMBA by CITY ZIP)
FREE LIKE A GIRL Jun03 May05 Mar26 Mar04 Feb04 (pomier chasey )THORNTON G 122 1.20 26% 2.80    
  (by EL DEAL out of FLASHY PRIZE by FLASHY BULL)
 
EVD-5   07/08/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PUTTHEHAMMERDOWN Jun22 Jun09 May07 Apr19 Mar24 (richard russel)THORNTON G 120 20.00    
SCR  RUN ON ACES Jun24 Jun09 May13 Apr20 Mar26 (perron gerard)STOKES A 120 2.00    
SCR  UNBRIDLED PULPIT Jun15 May19 May10 Apr26 Mar24 (west henry)RIVERA JOSEAN 120 20.00    
QUIET AS MIDNIGHT May25 Apr22 Feb18 Jan21 Dec07 (chatters benard)ROSIER R 118 4.00 19% 4.20    
BIG BROTHER Jun30 May19 May05 Apr11 Mar27 (gonzalez adriel)MCMAHON J 123 15.00 12% 7.00    
HEY JACKSON May26 Feb23 Feb05 Jan21 Dec26 (gelner scott)BARRERA J 113 15.00    
CHICKEN TRUCK May19 Apr29 Apr08 Feb23 Jan21 (ramirez eduar)VARGAS P 123 4.50 27% 2.70    
C. F. CONGRESS Jun15 May10 Apr19 Mar24 Feb26 (west henry)WEATHERLY BAILEY 115 15.00    
THIRSTY WIND May28 May14       (silva walter)POMPELL L 123 20.00    
10  GOROSTIETA'S LOVE Jun12 May20 Apr29 Apr13 Mar09 (mouton )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 10.00 6% 14.60    
11  ZIPPY TOGA Jun23 Jun03 May19 Apr28 Feb01 (breaux samu)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 8.00    
12  BELLO CREEDO Jun12 May20 Apr26 Mar11 Feb17 (landry ray)STOKES J 116 12.00 11% 7.90    
 
EVD-6   07/08/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIAM SKYE May13 Feb22 Jan28 Jan06 Dec15 (west henry)WEATHERLY BAILEY 112 20.00    
COURAGEOUS TIMMY Jun17 Jun01 May12 Apr14 Mar26 (richards corale )FUSILIER C 123 15.00    
TRAELEE Jun23 May26 Apr28 Feb16 Jan25 (segura kearney)STOKES J 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
MAD GOLD Jun15 May11 Apr14 Feb23 Feb10 (courville )MARQUEZ L 117 2.50    
CUSTOM BLUE GRASS Jun22 May19 May06 Apr14 Mar24 (degeyter ra)MELANCON JANSEN 117 2.00 51% 1.00    
ADIEU LE CHAT Jun10 Feb16 Jan29 Jan01 Dec02 (sanchez jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 20.00    
DUKE OF BLUE RIDGE Jun22 May20 May03 Apr07 Mar15 (ramirez eduar)VARGAS P 117 8.00 11% 8.50    
SCR  TOO MUCH CROWN May18 Feb18 Jan18 Dec21 Nov30 (terre david)ROSIER R 117 10.00    
FLIT N FLOT TIME May18 Apr26 Apr07 Feb18 Jan27 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 117 15.00    
10  NATE'S REVENGE Jun19 May12 Apr26 Mar22 Feb25 (mojica edith)BARRERA J 115 5.00 9% 10.20    
11  C'MON VE May04 Apr14 Mar15 Mar02 Feb16 (ramirez ed)ALBERT S 112 12.00 7% 12.60    
 
EVD-7   07/08/2023 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUMINOUS FLIGHT Jun02 May20 Apr13 Mar09 Feb22 (cox l)BARRERA J 113 6.00 5% 19.00    
NODAH Jun02 Apr29 Apr07 Feb04 Aug06 (roberts kenneth)MELANCON G 115 3.50    
LASSIE MY GIRL Apr30 Apr08 Feb18 Jan28 Dec31 (wilson melt)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
GRACIE DIAMOND Jun23 May05 Apr07 Mar24 Dec29 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 118 4.50    
SCR  BOSTON BELLE May03 Apr07 Feb28 Feb17 Jan06 (segura kea)WEATHERLY BAILEY 112 15.00    
FORGOTTEN FORTUNE May20 Dec30       (segura kearney)MCMAHON J 115 5.00 39% 1.60    
CRYSTAL D'ORO Jun03 May05 Apr15     (landry ray)STOKES J 115 3.00 34% 1.90    
MYSTIC CREED Jun22 May10 Apr28 Mar19 Feb23 (bourgeois keit)THORNTON G 118 8.00    
SCR  MISS S T LEE Dec10 Nov18       (silkwood c)ALBERT S 118 10.00    
 
EVD-8   07/08/2023 3630ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($70K) 2 C/G PT- 9:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POUND OUT A DEAL Jun17 Jun05 May11     (pomier ch)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 117 20.00    
  (by EL DEAL out of FIFTYSHADESOFNAY by REDDING COLLIERY)
EL DINERO Jun17         (devereux patr)VARGAS P 117 15.00    
  (by EL DEAL out of MONEY FOR MAKEUP by FORESTRY)
GOOD AND STOUT Jun15         (castille carrol)MCMAHON J 119 3.00 19% 4.40    
  (by COAL FRONT out of READY WITTED by MORE THAN READY)
BOBBY BOY Jun03         (noel dane)ALBERT S 117 12.00    
  (by JAY GATSBY out of NO FUN by DENMAN)
SOUNDS LIKE POWER Jun17         (gelner jayde)BARRERA J 117 5.00 15% 5.70    
  (by POWER JAM out of STREET SOUNDS by STREET CRY (IRE))
DEAL WITH IT DADDY Jun17 Jun03       (ali and)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 119 8.00    
  (by EL DEAL out of GIOVANNA by GIO PONTI)
SONOFASHIP Jun01 May03 Apr13     (maker j)MELANCON G 117 2.50 36% 1.80    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of CINDY SAYS by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
CUNIMBUS Jun05         (briley lonn)MELANCON JANSEN 117 10.00 8% 11.40    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of BRIDARIA by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
GUS'S DREAM WORLD         (gelner scott)FUSILIER C 117 20.00    
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of MEGA DREAM by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR  COOL RIDE Jun05 May11       (gelner jayde )RIVERA JOSEAN 117 15.00    
  (by TAKEOVER TARGET out of CANDY DELICIOUS by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
11  HYMN FOR CARLOS Jun15 Jun03       (pomier chasey )THORNTON G 117 20.00    
  (by CUSTOM FOR CARLOS out of DIXIE HYMN by SONGANDAPRAYER)
12  CAJUN CYCLONE Jun03 May21       (courville ri)MAGNON H 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GEMOLOGIST out of OFF CYCLE by HARBORAGE)
SCR  OTRA COSA         (ali ancil)ROSIER R 117 20.00    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of JEMIMA'S PEARL by DISTORTED HUMOR)
 
EVD-9   07/08/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT-10:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHO NUFF Jun24 May10 Mar17 Mar02 Jan07 (cormier)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 5.00 13% 7.00    
BLUE RIDGE ROMANCE Jun10 Aug24 Jun23 Jun09 May13 (jackson dw)MARQUEZ L 123 20.00    
JUST ANOTHER WIN May19 Apr27 Feb12 Jan14 Dec15 (woodley j)POMPELL L 123 12.00    
CRYPTO BRAVE Jun24 May27 Apr22 Mar08 Feb23 (zenon shelt)MELANCON JANSEN 123 2.00    
SCR  CONTINENTAL RED Jun01 May11 Apr21 Apr07 Mar16 (richards c)ALBERT S 113 20.00    
TALENTS HOT DEAL Jun10 May20 Mar23 Feb24 Jan14 (blanchet chr)BARRERA J 118 10.00 10% 9.30    
SPLITTING ACES May27 Apr29 Mar25 Feb24 Feb03 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 118 3.50 35% 1.80    
MARINA Jun17 May27 May03 Apr12 Feb15 (silva walte)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 15.00 7% 12.90    
AGGIE DOCTOR May13 May03 Apr07 Mar03 Jan06 (delany sarah)FUSILIER C 123 15.00 9% 10.00    
SCR  ALL AMERICAN PAT Jun24 Jun09 May03 Apr12 Mar16 (sam w)STOKES A 118 20.00    
11  APRIORITY GIRL Jun24 Jun01 May12 Nov10 Oct15 (west henry)WEATHERLY BAILEY 118 15.00    
12  SABERFIGHT Jun10 Jun01 May11 Apr26 Jan28 (averett ronni)RIVERA JOSEAN 123 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.