Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Assiniboia Downs
Tuesday - July 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ASD-1   WIN (1/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/6)-(1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (1/2/6)-(3/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/6)-(3/4/1)-(1/6/4) 27 $0.20 $5.40 
ASD-2   WIN (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/1)-(3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    PK3 (3/4/1)-(1/6/4)-(3/1/5) 27 $0.20 $5.40 
ASD-3   WIN (1/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/4)-(1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    PK3 (1/6/4)-(3/1/5)-(6/3/7/2) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
ASD-4   WIN (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/5)-(3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    PK3 (3/1/5)-(6/3/7/2)-(1/7/2/6) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
ASD-5   WIN (6/3/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/7/2)-(6/3/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/7/2)-(6/3/7/2)-(6/3/7/2) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    PK3 (6/3/7/2)-(1/7/2/6)-(1/9/7/8/4) 80 $0.20 $16.00 
ASD-6   WIN (1/7/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/2/6)-(1/7/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/2/6)-(1/7/2/6)-(1/7/2/6) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (1/7/2/6)-(1/9/7/8/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
ASD-7   WIN (1/9/7/8/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/9/7/8/4)-(1/9/7/8/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/9/7/8/4)-(1/9/7/8/4)-(1/9/7/8/4) 60 $0.20 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ASD-1   07/04/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 2 ALL PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KONTIE         (pruitt li)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 119 2.00 41% 1.40    
  (by KARAKONTIE out of MILK RUN by RUNNING STAG)
2  JUSTLEMMEATEM         (gittens devon)CUMBERBATCH R 117 4.00 17% 4.90    
  (by VENGEFUL WILDCAT out of SIPHON VICE by SIPHON (BRZ))
3  VINDICTIVE MISS         (miller blair)BUDHU ARTHUR 119 6.00    
  (by VENGEFUL WILDCAT out of JOMARE by GHOSTZAPPER)
4  SILVER JAGUAR         (nault michael)CHOW CHAVION 117 5.00    
  (by NONIOS out of SAN DIEGO NIGHTS by ALYDEED)
SCR  J L COPPER         (gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 117 8.00    
  (by VENGEFUL WILDCAT out of SPITEOFSUCCESS by MIDSHIPMAN)
6  CAUSE I BELIEVE         (gittens devon)BELLE SHAVON 117 10.00 5% 17.70    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of BELEN by QUIET AMERICAN)
 
ASD-2   07/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  META J Jun14 Jun06       (pruitt lise)CUMBERBATCH R 124 6.00 15% 5.50    
2  PARTYATMYPLACE Jun20 Jun06 May23 Aug02   (brown shelley)BYNOE DAMARIO 119 12.00    
3  FORITTABLE Jun06 Dec11 Dec02 Nov06 Oct16 (gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 124 2.50 43% 1.30    
4  SUNSPOT Jun14 Apr29 Mar18 Mar04 Feb12 (morin sh)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 1.80 19% 4.20    
5  SILICON VALLEY Jun14         (pruitt li)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 8.00    
6  WITT'S ROJO Jun28 Jun04 May06     (gourneau )CHADEE JR 119 3.50    
 
ASD-3   07/04/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 2 ALL PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YELLOW BIRDIE         (pruitt li)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 119 1.60 41% 1.40    
  (by AUDIBLE out of FLEET BERTIE by AFLEET ALEX)
2  PICKIN' RIFFS         (miller blair)TARASENCO P 117 4.00    
  (by KENTUCKY BEAR out of SHARP A by LIMEHOUSE)
SCR  THE ANSWER IS         (anderson)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 117 8.00    
  (by KENTUCKY BEAR out of FRISKY JANELLE by HENNY HUGHES)
4  RIPROCK         (gitten)LEWIS ANTHONY 117 15.00 5% 17.70    
  (by VENGEFUL WILDCAT out of STAGE CLASSIC by SKY CLASSIC)
5  CANYOUHEARMERUNNIN         (gittens devon)BELLE SHAVON 117 5.00    
  (by RELOAD out of JOAQUINA by HOLY BULL)
6  DANCINGINTHECREEK         (nault michael)CHOW CHAVION 117 2.50 17% 4.90    
  (by KENTUCKY BEAR out of MIDNIGHT SHADOW by TRAJECTORY)
 
ASD-4   07/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BYE Y'ALL Jun20 Jun06 Aug30 Aug08 Jul25 (brown she)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 3.50 29% 2.50    
2  SOMEONE ELSE Jun20 Jun12 May22 Oct17 Oct06 (gittens devon)BYNOE DAMARIO 123 10.00    
3  SPEEDY GIGI Jun13 May23 Apr01 Mar08 Feb16 (brown jared)CARRENO J 121 1.20 45% 1.20    
SCR  ENSLEYS DREAM Jun14 Jun05 May23 May02 Apr10 (danelson gar)BADRIE PRAYVEN 123 2.00    
5  SAYITALL Jun20 Oct08 Sep24 Sep12 Apr27 (mooney bi)CHADEE JR 121 25.00 5% 19.00    
6  VEILAZIG Jun27 Jun10 May07 Apr14 Apr01 (gourneau)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 123 15.00    
 
ASD-5   07/04/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.8K) 3UP ALL PT-10:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIDE STREET DAVE Mar27 Mar06 Feb26 Jan30 Jan10 (sanderson bruc)BALROOP SVEN 122 4.00    
2  DRUM AND BASS Jun27 May06 Apr02 Mar24 Mar04 (gourneau jerry)BELLE SHAVON 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  MAYBE SOMETIME Jun19 May23 Sep26 Sep07 Aug22 (anderson wend)CUMBERBATCH R 122 3.50 10% 9.00    
4  ETU BABOU May22 Apr26 Apr03 Mar01 Jan23 (brown jar)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 3.00    
5  REALLY SLOW Jun13 Feb04 Jan05 Dec26 Dec08 (brown jared)BYNOE DAMARIO 122 8.00    
6  BOTTLE OF SMOKE Jun06 May22 Apr26 Apr10 Mar17 (brown jared)CARRENO J 124 1.60 69% 0.50    
7  UNUSUAL ACCOUNT Jun21 Jun07 May23 Aug28 Jul31 (kinch bill)BADRIE PRAYVEN 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
 
ASD-6   07/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT-10:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOUBLEBARRELDELITE Jun19 May29 Aug22 Jul27 Jul11 (nault michael)CHOW CHAVION 117 1.00 61% 0.60    
  (by GOING COMMANDO out of RUNAWAY DELITE by MINESHAFT)
2  EVERYTHING TO GAIN Jun19 Jun07 May22 Sep05 Aug16 (anderson)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 117 25.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MR. Z out of GLAMOUR MANOR by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
3  TEEMANS FLAIR Jun19 Sep27 Aug30     (brown all)CHADEE JR 123 30.00    
  (by TEEMAN out of CUVECIOUS by CUVEE)
SCR  I'VE GOT ALL NITE         (gittens devon)BELLE SHAVON 117 4.00    
  (by SATURDAYNITELITES out of HEART'S OF GOLD by GOLDEN MISSILE)
5  ASHES TO ASHES Jun19 Jun07 May22 May03 Apr14 (brown she)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 117 3.00    
  (by MICROMANAGE out of AUTUMN ASH by TAPIT)
6  MILAMARIA Jun19         (husbands tiffany)CARRENO J 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GOING COMMANDO out of JUNGLE STORM by STORM BOOT)
7  NEXT THING YA KNOW         (pruitt lise)BALROOP SVEN 117 6.00 5% 18.20    
  (by ACCELERATE out of PRACTICALY PERFECT by PLEASANTLY PERFECT)
 
ASD-7   07/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.3K) 3UP M/F PT-11:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIPSTICK LADY Jun12 May29 Sep20 Aug31 Jul06 (wise rich)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 121 2.00 50% 1.00    
2  CANTERBURY GOLD Jun27 Jun12 May29 Apr18 Apr03 (gourneau)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 121 10.00    
3  LADY SUNSET Aug30 Aug16 Aug02 Jul11 Jun28 (stanford maria)CHOW CHAVION 121 30.00    
4  LADY NYLA Jun20 Sep20 Aug31 Aug09 Jul25 (senebald donal)BELLE SHAVON 121 25.00 5% 19.00    
5  HIDDEN DREAMS (GB) Jun20 Sep28 Sep20 Jul12   (jordan jennif)AUSTIN NIRONE 121 25.00    
6  SECRET AVENGER Jun20 Jun12 May29 Sep20 Aug31 (gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 121 15.00    
7  CORDILLERA Jun20 Jun07 Oct14 Sep19 Aug19 (buffalo marvin)BALROOP SVEN 123 4.00 8% 10.80    
8  ARTISAN DANCER Jun19 Jun07 May22 Sep28 Sep20 (anderson wend)CUMBERBATCH R 123 5.00 5% 19.00    
9  ZIPPORAH Jun14 Jun06 May20 May13 Apr08 (gourneau jer)BADRIE PRAYVEN 123 3.00 13% 7.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.