Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Hawthorne
Sunday - June 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HAW-1   WIN (5/4/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/8/1)-(5/4/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/8/1)-(5/4/8/1)-(5/4/8/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/8/1)-(6/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4/8/1)-(6/3/5)-(6/1/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-2   WIN (6/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/5)-(6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/5)-(6/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/3/5)-(6/1/5)-(4/2/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
HAW-3   WIN (6/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/5)-(6/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/5)-(6/1/5)-(6/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/5)-(4/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/1/5)-(4/2/1)-(2/7/5/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-4   WIN (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/1)-(4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/1)-(2/7/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2/1)-(2/7/5/3)-(2/3/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-5   WIN (2/7/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/5/3)-(2/7/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/5/3)-(2/7/5/3)-(2/7/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/5/3)-(2/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/7/5/3)-(2/3/1)-(1/3/4/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-6   WIN (2/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/1)-(2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/1)-(1/3/4/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3/1)-(1/3/4/9)-(2/8/7/10/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
HAW-7   WIN (1/3/4/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/4/9)-(1/3/4/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/4/9)-(1/3/4/9)-(1/3/4/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/4/9)-(2/8/7/10/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
HAW-8   WIN (2/8/7/10/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/8/7/10/3)-(2/8/7/10/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/8/7/10/3)-(2/8/7/10/3)-(2/8/7/10/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HAW-1   06/04/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPENDER May14 Dec11 Nov20     (bahena fernand)LEZCANO ABEL 122 6.00 9% 10.10    
2  ZANDREA'S Apr09 Dec11 Nov13 Oct23 Oct01 (rodriguez edu)HERNANDEZ K 122 8.00    
3  COMMAND POINT May18 Mar08 Feb01 Jan07 Sep01 (block chris)MOJICA O 122 3.50    
4  PRANCIPANTS May18 Apr27 Apr02 Mar23 Mar01 (witthauer jo)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 12.00 23% 3.40    
5  EMBARRASSING Nov20 Oct08 Sep24 Aug14 May28 (rodriguez h)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 3.00 24% 3.20    
6  CELESTIAL SPIN May18 Apr27 Jan20 Dec31 Dec21 (cristel mark)GILES EMMANUEL 117 6.00    
7  NORTHERN ALLIANCE Apr02 Oct23 Oct02 Sep07 Aug03 (rodriguez hugo)FELIX E 122 5.00    
8  NO NANNETTE NO May04 Apr16 Dec01 Nov04 Oct07 (rodriguez eduardo)EMIGH A 122 8.00 14% 6.30    
 
HAW-2   06/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RANK AND FILE May28 May18 Apr16 Apr06 Mar30 (hughes w)ORTIZ ALVIN 122 6.00    
SCR  WATCHIN THE WHEELS May18 May04 Apr16 Mar16 Dec18 (quinonez ma)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 6.00    
3  COOKIN ROSES May18 Mar26 Mar05 Dec17 Dec03 (quinonez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 3.50 20% 4.00    
4  GHAALEB'S APPEAL May06 Sep20 Jul02 Jun18 Jun03 (bahena fernando)MOJICA O 122 10.00    
5  C V THUNDER May19 May05 Apr27 Feb15 Jan21 (hernandez ja)GILES EMMANUEL 117 4.50 9% 10.30    
6  PLAY TWENTY May06 Apr22 Sep17 Aug16 Jul19 (watkins jame)TAVARES JAVIER 124 1.40 49% 1.00    
 
HAW-3   06/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROGER MCQUEEN Apr01 Mar15 Feb15 Jan26 Dec17 (rivelli larry)FELIX E 122 1.80 14% 6.30    
2  MISTER CHARMING Apr13 Mar19 Dec30 Dec17 Dec02 (spagnola ida)GILES EMMANUEL 117 5.00    
3  FLYING SAMURAI Nov02 Sep29 Aug29 Jul14 Jun16 (ryan a)TAVARES JAVIER 122 6.00    
4  TIMEHASCOME May25 May04 Apr27 Apr02 Mar15 (hernandez armando)EMIGH A 122 4.00    
5  LUCKY SHOT May14 May07 Mar19 Dec31 Dec10 (poulos dee)MOJICA O 124 4.50 11% 7.90    
6  ALPINE GHOST May09 Apr23 Apr02 Mar16 Feb17 (watkins jame)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 3.50 48% 1.10    
 
HAW-4   06/04/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MILLARD'S SMILE May26 May14 Apr27 Feb26 Feb03 (rodriguez eduardo)EMIGH A 122 4.00 8% 11.80    
2  ICE BLAST May21 Apr30 Mar12 Feb10 Sep28 (mason ingrid)FELIX E 122 3.00 13% 6.90    
3  ROCKET HOTSHOT May14 Apr27 Apr16 Mar16 Dec30 (spagnola ida)GILES EMMANUEL 117 6.00    
4  ACT A FOOL Apr09 Mar05 Jan13     (rivelli larr)CENTENO ALEXIS 116 1.40 56% 0.80    
5  FAMILY TRADITION (IRE) May06 Apr15 Mar10 Feb17 Feb04 (rosin w)MOJICA O 122 4.50    
 
HAW-5   06/04/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($31.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SLAVA UKRAINI May28 Apr30 Apr18 Dec30 Dec09 (zawitz joel)TAVARES JAVIER 116 15.00    
2  SIMPLE LOGIC Oct07 Sep07 Aug15 Jul18 Jun25 (block chris)EMIGH A 122 3.50 55% 0.80    
3  ANDREW THE GIANT Mar23 Dec31 Dec18 Nov13 Oct21 (ross s)LEZCANO ABEL 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GLOBAL EMPIRE May14 Apr27 Apr06 Mar16 Mar05 (spagnola ida)GILES EMMANUEL 117 10.00    
5  DANCE SOME MO Mar05 May30 May07 Mar19   (rosin coty )SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 4.50 7% 13.10    
6  LORING PARK Nov12 Oct07 Sep10 Aug10 Jul14 (berndt joel)HERNANDEZ K 122 5.00    
7  POWER THROUGH Nov12 Oct15 Oct07 Aug31 Aug09 (block chris)MOJICA O 122 2.00 11% 8.00    
8  SON OF GRACE May25 May14 Apr30 Apr13 Mar26 (hughes w)SANCHEZ DIEGO 122 30.00    
9  MODIFIER May18 May11 Apr09 Mar19 Dec31 (perez man)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 12.00    
 
HAW-6   06/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHACKLEFORD STRONG May11 Apr23 Mar30 Mar12 Feb03 (meraz antonio)HERNANDEZ K 124 3.50 21% 3.70    
2  SOUPER FORTUNE May11 Apr09 Mar09 Nov26 Nov04 (reid r)COLON H 122 4.00 27% 2.80    
3  TRY TRY AGAIN May25 Apr23 Mar30 Mar09 Dec31 (zawitz joel)TAVARES JAVIER 122 3.00 22% 3.50    
4  BAREFOOTBOOTLEGGER May04 Apr16 Mar26 Dec11 Dec02 (haran john)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 5.00    
5  Z U SOON May09 Apr23 Mar16 Mar05 Feb09 (winebaugh chery)REYES ANGEL 122 8.00    
SCR  TIME HEIST Apr09 Mar23 Dec17 Nov26 Nov06 (watkins m)FELIX E 122 4.50    
7  DEMAND RANSOM May16 Apr30 Apr18 Mar19 Dec30 (hughes earl )GILES EMMANUEL 117 10.00    
 
HAW-7   06/04/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AWESOME WILLY May11 Apr06 Mar16 Dec31 Nov19 (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 3.00 44% 1.30    
2  CHOCOLATE BUNNY May18 Apr13 Mar26 Mar05 Dec10 (rodriguez g)MOJICA O 122 8.00    
3  FLASHY RICHIE Apr30 Apr13 Apr02 Dec31 Dec17 (quinonez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 6.00 21% 3.80    
4  EGOMANIAC May18 Apr14 Mar18 Feb10 Jan01 (mason ingrid)FELIX E 122 4.00 8% 11.60    
5  UNCLE NICK May25 Apr20 Apr02 Mar16 Feb23 (rodriguez eduardo)EMIGH A 122 5.00    
SCR  SPEEDY G May25 Apr30 Apr09 Mar03 Feb09 (lopez elias)HERNANDEZ K 122 15.00    
7  PIRATE BIRD May18 Apr20 Mar26 Mar05 Nov11 (dizeo dino)TAVARES JAVIER 122 12.00    
8  POWERFUL MAN May25 Apr30 Apr13 Mar26 Dec10 (bahena fernan)SANCHEZ DIEGO 122 15.00    
9  BLOOMING GARDEN May18 Apr30 Apr02 Dec30 Dec04 (rodriguez jo)GILES EMMANUEL 117 6.00 6% 15.30    
SCR  LOOK AWAY May25 Mar26 Jan19 Dec30 Dec20 (jones s)ORTIZ ALVIN 122 15.00    
 
HAW-8   06/04/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($17.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIL CARRIE D May14 Apr23 Mar12 Dec30 Dec16 (slager mike)SANCHEZ DIEGO 118 10.00    
2  TEXAS PRINCESS Mar30 Mar15       (cristel j)FELIX E 118 8.00 26% 2.90    
3  TWICK OR TWEAT May11 Apr20 Mar19 Mar05   (villa franc)ORTEGA O 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  MISS HIGH N MIGHTY May25 Apr09 Dec02 Oct21 Sep30 (ramirez carlos)ORTIZ ALVIN 124 15.00    
5  BEE A WINNER May16 Nov27 Oct09 Sep24 Sep09 (rednour j)LEZCANO ABEL 124 20.00    
6  THIS IS ANFIELD May23 Apr29 Apr02 Mar18 Feb03 (wells dua)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 118 30.00    
7  PRADA'S MIRACLE Apr30 Apr02 Nov27 Oct30 Oct09 (block chris)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 3.00 17% 4.90    
8  PRETTY IN PRADO May14 Apr30 Apr02 Mar12 Dec16 (boyce michel)GILES EMMANUEL 119 5.00 23% 3.30    
9  LOTTA ROSES May14 Apr30 Apr02 Mar18 Feb25 (meraz antonio)HERNANDEZ K 124 4.50    
10  MY JO JO May16 Apr23       (davis chris)SANTIAGO VICTOR 118 4.00 10% 9.20    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.