Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Saturday - June 03, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-1   WIN (5/2/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/3/6)-(5/2/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/3/6)-(5/2/3/6)-(5/2/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/3/6)-(6/4/1/2/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/2/3/6)-(6/4/1/2/5)-(1/4/8/6/5) 100 $1.00 $100 
CT-2   WIN (6/4/1/2/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/4/1/2/5)-(6/4/1/2/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/4/1/2/5)-(6/4/1/2/5)-(6/4/1/2/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/4/1/2/5)-(1/4/8/6/5) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (6/4/1/2/5)-(1/4/8/6/5)-(7/5/2/8/9) 125 $1.00 $125 
CT-3   WIN (1/4/8/6/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/4/8/6/5)-(1/4/8/6/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/4/8/6/5)-(1/4/8/6/5)-(1/4/8/6/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/4/8/6/5)-(7/5/2/8/9) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (1/4/8/6/5)-(7/5/2/8/9)-(5/10/2/7/8) 125 $1.00 $125 
CT-4   WIN (7/5/2/8/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/5/2/8/9)-(7/5/2/8/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/5/2/8/9)-(7/5/2/8/9)-(7/5/2/8/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/5/2/8/9)-(5/10/2/7/8) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (7/5/2/8/9)-(5/10/2/7/8)-(3/4/6/9/1) 125 $1.00 $125 
CT-5   WIN (5/10/2/7/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/10/2/7/8)-(5/10/2/7/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/10/2/7/8)-(5/10/2/7/8)-(5/10/2/7/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/10/2/7/8)-(3/4/6/9/1) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (5/10/2/7/8)-(3/4/6/9/1)-(8/7/2/4/5) 125 $1.00 $125 
CT-6   WIN (3/4/6/9/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/4/6/9/1)-(3/4/6/9/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/4/6/9/1)-(3/4/6/9/1)-(3/4/6/9/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/4/6/9/1)-(8/7/2/4/5) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (3/4/6/9/1)-(8/7/2/4/5)-(8/10/9/4/7) 125 $1.00 $125 
CT-7   WIN (8/7/2/4/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/7/2/4/5)-(8/7/2/4/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/7/2/4/5)-(8/7/2/4/5)-(8/7/2/4/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/7/2/4/5)-(8/10/9/4/7) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
CT-8   WIN (8/10/9/4/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/10/9/4/7)-(8/10/9/4/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/10/9/4/7)-(8/10/9/4/7)-(8/10/9/4/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   06/03/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LION OF THE SEA Apr15 Mar25 Mar16 Feb10 Jan21 (grams timothy )MONTANO JOSE 122 4.50    
SLOE GIN BIZ May18 May04 Apr13 Mar23 Mar09 (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 124 5.00 27% 2.70    
AMICALOLA FALLS May18 Apr14 Jan21 Dec29 Nov21 (jackson l)CULLUM W 122 3.50 21% 3.80    
STAVANGER May18 Apr14 Mar25 Mar02 Feb10 (racanelli mar)SIMPSON JASON 122 20.00    
HAPPY CHARLIE May06 Mar02 Jan06 Dec22 Dec09 (gazzier kristy)RODRIGUEZ V 120 2.50 28% 2.50    
EARTHQUAKEDIRECTOR May18 May06 Apr14 Apr01 Jan21 (pyke jose)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
HE IS BONAFIDE May05 Apr21 Nov23 Nov09 Oct12 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 124 5.00    
SCOOTSCOOT May25 May04 Apr21 Mar25 Mar05 (brown keith)RAMGEET R 120 6.00    
 
CT-2   06/03/2023 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MONEY MAC May04 Apr21 Apr08     (cruz jaime)WOODSON H 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
GEM DANCER Apr14 Mar11 Feb16 Feb10 Aug12 (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
TRICKY STRONG Apr14 Mar25 Mar11 Feb16 Feb02 (dollinger-sth)RIVERA JAVIER 122 15.00    
GOLDEN REMEDY Apr30 Jan20 Dec19 Sep27 Aug27 (robb j)HO WESLEY 118 2.50 28% 2.50    
FROSTY THE BULL Apr21 Apr14 Feb16 Jun24 May19 (jackson angel)SIMPSON JASON 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
WIRED TO GO Apr18 Feb24 Jan07     (jones mi)BUTTERFLY L 118 3.00 47% 1.10    
BOSEY         (rofe jean)RIOS-CONDE A 124 3.50    
SHAMELESS APPEAL Mar23 Feb18       (soldo elaine)RODRIGUEZ V 124 20.00    
FLASH OF DAY May05 Apr14 Mar23 Feb16 Jan27 (mckee cynth)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 5.00    
 
CT-3   06/03/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($30.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRUMPY'S BUDDY Apr28 Apr06 Mar18 Feb15 Jan25 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 1.80 32% 2.20    
CHESAPEAKE CHARLIE May18 Mar25 Mar04 Feb10 Jan20 (schottroffe edw)BOCACHICA O 120 12.00    
FELICIAS CASTLE May26 May06 Apr28 Apr06 Mar16 (smith osborne)SIMPSON JASON 120 15.00    
GOLDEN APPEAL May27 May05 Apr01 Mar01 Feb11 (craig l)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 4.50 31% 2.20    
TURTLE DOVE May11 Apr20 Mar30 Mar16   (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
LEG UP May11 Apr13 Apr06 Mar25 Mar10 (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
GET OFF MY CLOUD May11 Apr13 Feb25 Jan27 Dec08 (sanderson wade )RODRIGUEZ V 120 6.00    
THUNDERINREADYRICK May13 Apr22 Apr13 Feb22 Feb08 (bass curt)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 5.00 11% 7.90    
DON'TCALLTOOEARLY May19 Apr28 Apr08 Mar18 Jan28 (atkins mich)RAMGEET R 122 15.00    
 
CT-4   06/03/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($30.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ABENDEGO Sep09 Aug17 Jul19 Jun30 Jun04 (greaves ver)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 20.00    
PINK DINGHY May13 Apr29 Sep24     (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 3.00 16% 5.30    
KAYLEE'S SPITFIRE May13 Apr29 Apr06 Mar30 Mar09 (clatterbuck fre)RODRIGUEZ V 118 5.00    
IN HIGH GEAR May13 Apr28 Apr06 Mar30 Mar10 (mcdonal)NUNEZ ANAHI 120 20.00    
TEACHINTHERELEASE May13 Oct08 Sep17 Jul23 Jul02 (petty kristy)LARROSA G 116 4.50 23% 3.40    
NEVERPOPTHECORK Apr28 Apr06 Mar18 Feb16 Jan07 (petty krist)ESQUILIN J 116 10.00    
CHASENJOHNATHAN Apr27 Apr06 Mar16     (viands gregory)BOCACHICA O 116 1.80 40% 1.50    
DE'S CASTLE Apr27 Apr13 Mar24 Mar09 Feb15 (joy j)ACOSTA D 116 10.00 5% 19.00    
DONNIE B May13 Mar30 Mar10 Feb15 Jan11 (barber do)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-5   06/03/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($30.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LA MADDALENA May18 Apr29 Apr01 Mar11 Mar04 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 116 4.00    
SPARKLEINYOUREYE May18 Feb24 Feb08 Jan18 Dec15 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 116 5.00 10% 8.60    
IT'S A REAL HONOR May11 Apr15 Apr01 Mar11 Mar01 (perez ernesto)WOODSON H 120 30.00    
TRUE FLIRT May25 May18 Jan11 Dec07 Nov11 (lewis r)LARROSA G 120 10.00    
SAIL ON BREEZE Oct29 Oct08 Sep17 Aug12   (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 2.50 48% 1.10    
COWGIRL ATTITUDE May11 Apr28       (grams )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 8.00    
OUR GREAT NOTION May19 Apr20 Mar31 Mar09 Feb16 (grams timothy )ARAUJO DENIS 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
SILVER RULES Nov11 Oct20 Sep10 Jul21 Jun30 (kopecki)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
CRAFTY WINDSOR CAT Jan11 Oct26 Sep29 Sep01   (bass curt)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 6.00    
10  KEEP ON SPURRIN Apr29 Apr08 Mar18 Mar04 Jan13 (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 116 6.00 14% 6.40    
 
CT-6   06/03/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($29.4K) 3 ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CIDERHOUSE WAY         (greaves v)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LIMEHOUSE out of APPLE VALLEY MISS by POINT GIVEN)
LITTLE RICHIE May13         (gur battulga)PELTROCHE F 122 30.00    
  (by ALDRIN out of LITTLE BOP PEEP by BOP)
JAZZ WITH DENIS May13 Apr22       (sigler g)LARROSA G 122 1.60 42% 1.40    
  (by DENIS OF CORK out of JAZLYNN C by GONE ASTRAY)
KARMA BUS         (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 4.50 25% 3.00    
  (by EXCLUSIVE QUALITY out of AD MUSTER by DIXIE UNION)
BUFFER         (walters david )MONTANO JOSE 122 8.00    
  (by BUFFUM out of SILVER STAR (GB) by ZAFONIC)
GREY BOUQUET May13         (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 5.00 12% 7.00    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of CHOCOLATE BOUQUET by ESKENDEREYA)
MAKIN' GOLD May13 Mar31 Mar10     (campbel)NUNEZ ANAHI 122 15.00    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of NEWS MAKIN by MAKIN)
SUMMONING DENIS Nov26 Nov05 Oct12 Sep24   (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 20.00    
  (by DENIS OF CORK out of SUMMON THE SPIRIT by SUMMER BIRD)
CHICKERLING         (rofe jean)RIOS-CONDE A 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ALDRIN out of PAGAN JEWEL by PEAK DANCER)
10  DR RENDEZVOUS May11 Apr20 Mar31 Mar10 Jan27 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 6.00    
  (by ALDRIN out of FRENCH OAK by ARCH)
SCR  ALL ROADS TO DENIS May20         (jackson ange)MORALES KELVIN 122 12.00    
  (by DENIS OF CORK out of ROAD TO ZANZIBAR by QUALITY ROAD)
SCR  ALDARIGHTTRICKS Apr22         (lewis r)LARROSA G 122 10.00    
  (by ALDRIN out of RETURN TRICK by PUT IT BACK)
 
CT-7   06/03/2023 2970ft DIRT RC11 FAST Fancy Buckles Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GHOSTLY SQUALL Mar23 Feb11 Dec14 May21 Apr27 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 123 6.00    
  (by MASTER RICK out of WIZARDS FEVER by FIBER SONDE)
FULL MOON LOVER May13 Nov19 Nov02 Oct08 Sep16 (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 123 6.00 7% 13.50    
  (by MOSLER out of MOON MAP by MALIBU MOON)
STRYDA Apr29 Apr01 Mar04 Feb11 Jan06 (johnson j)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 15.00    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of MARYLAND'S LOVE by NOT FOR LOVE)
GREAT SPIRIT May13 Apr29 Mar25 Mar04 Jul22 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 116 4.50 6% 15.90    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of HAPPY NUMBERS by POLISH NUMBERS)
TIZ THE REASON Apr20 Mar24 Mar01 Jan21 Jan05 (brown r)NUNEZ MAURICIO 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BULLSBAY out of SOME SAY by CHELSEY CAT)
SCR  MOONLIT SHADOW May13 Apr15 Feb25 Oct08 Aug26 (grams c)PELTROCHE F 123 15.00    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of MALIBU KITTEN by PARKER'S STORM CAT)
LIGHTNIN RUNNER Apr29 Oct29 Sep17 Jul02   (rodriguez ang)CARDOSO DAVID 116 5.00 27% 2.70    
  (by BATTALION RUNNER out of MY LIGHTNIN STRIKE by MINESHAFT)
LUCYLOU WHO Apr15 Feb25 Feb10 Jan14 Dec08 (gerali)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 1.80 36% 1.80    
  (by SKY MESA out of R C'S DAISYDUKE by YES IT'S TRUE)
SCR  ALPINE MOON May05 Apr15 Feb02 Jan12 Nov19 (davis r)NUNEZ ANAHI 123 15.00    
  (by SWISS YODELER out of SPLENDIFEROUS MOON by MALIBU MOON)
10  COACH RUBE May13 May02 Mar11 Feb01 Jan21 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 123 20.00    
  (by WINDSOR CASTLE out of DEMAY by DEHERE)
11  MACKENZIE'S MUSIC May13 Nov19 Oct13 Sep30 Sep15 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 123 8.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of JUGNI by COLONEL JOHN)
SCR  JACKS SISTER JILL May13 Mar31 Feb18 Jan14 Dec15 (clement roland )BOCACHICA O 123 20.00    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of PRACTICAL IDEAS by PROSPECT BAY)
 
CT-8   06/03/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($30.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNCAPTURED STORM May12 Apr16 Mar25 Mar10 Feb19 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 5.00    
FEARNOUGHT May13 Apr20 Apr01 Mar16 Feb18 (clatterbuck fre)RODRIGUEZ V 120 15.00    
MYSTIFIED Mar31 Feb23 Jan25 Jan04 Dec20 (jackson l)CULLUM W 120 15.00    
MISSIONSNINETYNINE May12 Apr01 Mar11 Feb22 Feb09 (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 120 4.50 11% 8.50    
JAMMIN STILL May18 May05 Apr27 Apr07 Apr01 (caison l)RIVERA JAVIER 120 30.00    
SCR  CAMINERO May13 Mar17 Feb15 Jan26 Jan01 (hetrick kri)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 15.00    
SUBJECT TO CHANGE May12 Apr27 Apr01 Mar11 Feb23 (spriggs tosch)SIMPSON JASON 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
ROYAL PAIN Apr22 Mar31 Feb22 Feb08 Jan19 (johnson ja)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 1.60 37% 1.70    
LOVERBOY LOU May13 Apr25 Apr04 Mar20 Feb14 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 120 8.00 13% 6.70    
10  CARTE BLANCHE Mar17 Feb25 Jan28 Dec31 Dec18 (reynolds)BUTTERFLY L 120 6.00 14% 6.30    
11  ALL ABOUT LUCKY Apr15 Mar17 Mar04 Jan12 Sep17 (rodriguez ang)CARDOSO DAVID 118 12.00    
SCR  HIERRO May08 Mar01 Dec30 Dec07 Nov11 (farrior ant)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 3.00    
SCR  FLAT CAT May06 Apr22 Jun04 May14 Apr29 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.