Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Finger Lakes
Tuesday - May 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FL-1   WIN (2/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/6)-(2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/6)-(5/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-2   WIN (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/4)-(5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/4)-(5/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/3/4)-(5/3/1)-(3/4/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
FL-3   WIN (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/1)-(5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/1)-(3/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/3/1)-(3/4/6)-(1/4/3/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
FL-4   WIN (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/6)-(3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/6)-(1/4/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-5   WIN (1/4/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/3/7)-(1/4/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/3/7)-(1/4/3/7)-(1/4/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/3/7)-(3/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-6   WIN (3/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/7)-(3/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/7)-(3/6/7)-(3/6/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/7)-(5/6/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/7)-(5/6/3/4)-(3/1/4/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
FL-7   WIN (5/6/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/3/4)-(5/6/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/3/4)-(5/6/3/4)-(5/6/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/3/4)-(3/1/4/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FL-8   WIN (3/1/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/4/6)-(3/1/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/4/6)-(3/1/4/6)-(3/1/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FL-1   05/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FRANKIE KNOWS BEST May17 Apr25 Jan27 Jan14 Dec18 (d'alessandro)HARKIE K 119 3.50    
2  SUEBEE May17 Apr25 Nov15 Nov01   (breed a)ALVARADO R 124 2.50 29% 2.40    
3  KEEN ON ME May15 Jun20 May24 May02 Mar25 (tasso ma)DAVIS A 124 10.00    
4  AUTOMATED TELLER May08 Mar30 Mar10 Oct26 Oct04 (tebbutt john)BAEZ JOSE 124 5.00 25% 2.90    
SCR  ALBANY YATES May23 May08 Apr24 Nov09 Oct24 (sells rachel)COA J 124 1.80    
6  MISS CIRCULAR GAL May15 Apr24 Nov23 Nov16 Nov01 (gutierrez lui)DAVILA A 124 6.00 22% 3.50    
 
FL-2   05/30/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AFTER ALPHA May17 Aug08 Jul20 Jul05 Jun15 (huertas nir)PAREDES JHOVANY 114 5.00    
2  ESPECIAL Mar08 Jan24       (grusmark)DAVIS A 119 2.00    
3  PRINCESS RILEY Mar11 Feb19       (clarke dylan)HARKIE K 124 6.00 21% 3.80    
4  DO WAR DIDDY DIDDY         (englehart chr)DAVILA R 119 3.50 20% 4.00    
5  CANCELLEDCAPTIVITY Nov21 Oct25 Sep27     (bar)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 119 2.50 34% 1.90    
6  WOWSPELLEDBACKWARD May17 Apr25 Nov09 Oct03 Aug23 (lopez d)DIAZ J 117 8.00    
 
FL-3   05/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONE TICKED LADY May15 Sep13 Aug30 Jul26 Jul18 (breed a)ALVARADO R 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  MOOLAH ROUGE May08 Nov21 Nov07 Oct25   (lecesse)NAVARRO J 119 3.50    
3  ALL ABOUT BELLA Nov01 Aug16 Jul18 Jun27 May11 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 2.50 30% 2.30    
4  ONE JOURNEY May15 Nov08 Oct25 Oct03 Sep14 (bireta donna)BAEZ JOSE 124 6.00    
5  WEATHER ADVISORY May15 May02 Aug10 Jul26 Jul04 (grusmark)DAVIS A 124 2.00 42% 1.40    
6  TINA BURNER May15 May02 Oct25 Sep27 Sep13 (sells rachel)SONE Y 124 4.50    
 
FL-4   05/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.1K) 3 ALL PT- 2:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DESTIN HOOFMAN May15 Oct22 Sep22     (bireta donna)BAEZ JOSE 122 8.00    
  (by DESTIN out of SADIE'S SONG by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
2  CAPTAINOFMYHEART May15 Nov16 Oct19 Oct04   (dixon k)ALVARADO R 122 6.00    
  (by HONORABLE DILLON out of FREUD IAN GIRL by FREUD)
3  TIZ LUCKY May08 Oct17 Sep26 Sep05   (miller-saul be)COA J 122 3.00 27% 2.70    
  (by MADEFROMLUCKY out of TIZ MARIAND by TIZNOW)
4  LEO AND ROYAL Nov16         (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 1.60 26% 2.90    
  (by ALPHA out of CLEAN JEAN by ECTON PARK)
5  RHUM PRESSURE Apr23 Mar10       (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 2.50    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of AUNTGRACE by LION HEART)
6  DANNY'S A COWBOY Jan05         (buckley jonathan )PEREZ E 122 12.00 25% 2.90    
  (by BIG BROWN out of SUSIE'S A COWGIRL by COWTOWN CAT)
 
FL-5   05/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOOLCAT May09 Oct26 Oct12 Sep19 Aug15 (miller-saul be)COA J 124 3.50 45% 1.20    
2  BETTY'S SMILE May09 Mar05 Feb18 Jan13 Nov08 (grusmark)DAVIS A 121 6.00    
3  GUNS BLAZING May09 Aug14 Jul21 Jun26 Apr22 (sells rachel)SONE Y 124 3.00 15% 5.50    
4  EROS'S GIRL Nov15 Oct19 Sep19 Aug18 Jul25 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 121 4.00 18% 4.60    
5  TAKE CHARGECHRISTY Nov02 Aug01 Jul19 Jun15   (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 5.00    
6  SHESASCOLDASICE Nov15 Oct19 Oct04 Aug26 Jul25 (ferraro antho)DIAZ J 114 6.00    
7  QUALITY STONES Apr13 Mar25 Mar03 Feb05 Dec03 (sells rachel)DAVILA A 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
FL-6   05/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEACHSIDE May15 Nov08 Oct24 Oct11 Oct05 (schudlic)DAVIS A 122 10.00    
2  FORWARD MOTION Mar24 Mar12 Feb08 Oct25 Oct11 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 122 2.50    
3  MASSEY HALL May16 Nov08 Oct31 Oct19 Oct03 (babcock edward)FRET STEVEN 122 3.50 54% 0.80    
SCR  BEACH ACCESS Nov15 Oct24 Oct10 Sep21 Aug09 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 5.00    
5  YOU'VE GOT MALE May16 May02 Oct24 Oct12 Oct03 (lopez arcadi)HARKIE K 122 20.00    
6  HERO TIGER May17 Apr06 Feb13 Jan19 Dec30 (torelli stacy)BAEZ JOSE 122 2.00 13% 6.80    
7  HARRISON KNOWS May17 Apr25 Nov15 Oct31 Oct19 (gutierrez lui)DAVILA A 122 8.00 6% 14.90    
 
FL-7   05/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COACH BAHE May02 Nov14 Oct31 Oct19 Oct04 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 5.00    
2  HIGH HEAT May15 Apr25 Mar15 Feb15 Jan20 (sells rachel)SONE Y 122 3.50    
3  ROYAL SUSPECT May17 Jan26 Jan05 Dec29 Dec09 (huertas nirk)HARKIE K 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  MATTY'S EXPRESS Nov14 Oct31 Oct18 Oct04 Sep20 (oyola d)NAVARRO J 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  OLD MAN WINTER Apr25 Nov15 Nov02 Oct18 Oct04 (acquilano james)PEREZ E 124 3.00 49% 1.00    
6  NUMBER ONE DILLON May17 Apr25 Nov15 Oct24 Oct11 (huertas )DAVIS A 124 2.50 25% 3.00    
7  PREPARE FOR GLORY Nov07 Oct05 Sep06 Aug17 Jul27 (lec)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 6.00    
 
FL-8   05/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COUNT DOWN May16 Mar19 Feb09 Dec19   (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 4.00 24% 3.10    
2  JACOBA May17 Nov14 Oct25 Sep12 Aug10 (ficarella broo)ALVARADO R 122 15.00    
3  ROYAL KAZ May17 May08 Apr24 May20 May05 (sells rachel)SONE Y 122 2.00 35% 1.90    
4  UNCLE VIC May17 May02 Nov23 Oct12 Sep27 (breed a)COA J 124 3.00 12% 7.10    
5  MO CRAZY BLUES May17 May02 Oct19 Sep21 Aug29 (lopez arcadi)HARKIE K 122 8.00    
6  OLIVER'S FORTUNE May17 May08 Apr24 Nov22 Nov09 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 122 6.00 8% 11.10    
7  STORMY NEW YORK May17 May02 Nov02 Oct19 Oct03 (bireta donn)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.