Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Assiniboia Downs
Monday - May 29, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ASD-1   WIN (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/3)-(5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (5/2/3)-(2/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/2/3)-(2/3/1)-(5/2/3) 27 $0.20 $5.40 
ASD-2   WIN (2/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/1)-(2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    PK3 (2/3/1)-(5/2/3)-(7/6/5/2) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
ASD-3   WIN (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/3)-(5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    PK3 (5/2/3)-(7/6/5/2)-(4/2/8/5) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
ASD-4   WIN (7/6/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/5/2)-(7/6/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/5/2)-(7/6/5/2)-(7/6/5/2) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    PK3 (7/6/5/2)-(4/2/8/5)-(5/2/7/3/4) 80 $0.20 $16.00 
ASD-5   WIN (4/2/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/8/5)-(4/2/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/8/5)-(4/2/8/5)-(4/2/8/5) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    PK3 (4/2/8/5)-(5/2/7/3/4)-(4/9/10/2/1) 100 $0.20 $20.00 
ASD-6   WIN (5/2/7/3/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/2/7/3/4)-(5/2/7/3/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/2/7/3/4)-(5/2/7/3/4)-(5/2/7/3/4) 60 $0.20 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/7/3/4)-(4/9/10/2/1) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
ASD-7   WIN (4/9/10/2/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/9/10/2/1)-(4/9/10/2/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/9/10/2/1)-(4/9/10/2/1)-(4/9/10/2/1) 60 $0.20 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
ASD-1   05/29/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 3 F PT- 8:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I AM MILA May22 Sep27       (jordan jennif)BYNOE DAMARIO 119 10.00    
  (by NONIOS out of I AM PERSNICKETY by MR. GREELEY)
DOUBLEBARRELDELITE Aug22 Jul27 Jul11     (nault michael)CHOW CHAVION 119 2.00 14% 6.20    
  (by GOING COMMANDO out of RUNAWAY DELITE by MINESHAFT)
NONO MIDNITE         (johnston donna)BELLE SHAVON 119 15.00 11% 8.30    
  (by NONIOS out of BETABELLE by DEHERE)
BROWNELL BAY         (miller blair)CARRENO J 119 4.00    
  (by SEATTLE SERENADE out of CIRCULAR LOGIC by STREET BOSS)
JUST A POSE         (pruitt lise)BALROOP SVEN 119 3.00 32% 2.10    
  (by KENTUCKY BEAR out of NOSE THE POSE by GOING COMMANDO)
CUSS'N CAT         (dickey elton)CUMBERBATCH R 119 5.00    
  (by VENGEFUL WILDCAT out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
 
ASD-2   05/29/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FREUDS VISION Oct10 Sep11 Aug06 Jul30 Jul16 (kinch bill)BELLE SHAVON 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
DROP A CARIBOU Nov26 Oct23 Oct07 Sep16 Aug27 (gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 122 2.00 50% 1.00    
CAROLINA GENT Oct28 Oct09 Oct02 Sep17 Aug23 (anderson )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 8.00 26% 2.90    
MY BOY CHRISTIAN Oct24 Oct03 Sep23 Sep11 Jul22 (gittens devo)BADRIE PRAYVEN 122 6.00    
GUCCI BLING May13 Apr07 Mar07 Feb20 Feb10 (gourneau)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 119 1.80    
MIA'S MAJESTY Oct10 Oct01 Sep16 Sep05   (gittens devon)BYNOE DAMARIO 122 5.00    
 
ASD-3   05/29/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THATSALOTOFBLING Apr29 Apr05 Mar13 Feb21 Jan30 (nault michael)CHOW CHAVION 121 3.00    
LIPSTICK LADY Sep20 Aug31 Jul06 Jun14 May31 (wise rich)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 121 4.00 25% 3.00    
CANTERBURY GOLD Apr18 Apr03 Mar26 Mar06 Feb14 (gourneau)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 121 3.50 10% 8.80    
TUFFENOUGHTOSTART Sep28 Sep26 Sep20 Sep06 Aug29 (gardipy jr)BALROOP SVEN 121 15.00    
KIM'S TEXAS BLING May22 May06 Apr22 Apr01 Mar05 (gourneau jer)BADRIE PRAYVEN 121 2.00 34% 1.90    
SCR  TOUCH OF LOVE Sep28 Sep20 Aug31 Aug09 Aug02 (brown jared)CARRENO J 121 10.00 7% 13.40    
SECRET AVENGER Sep20 Aug31 Aug23 Aug02 Jul11 (gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 121 12.00    
 
ASD-4   05/29/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT-10:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MILAN OHIO         (taphorn mike)ALI RONALD 123 4.00    
GO IN GORGEOUS Sep20 Sep05 Aug16     (pruitt lise)CARRENO J 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
RY BRED Sep24 Sep10 Sep04 Aug23 Aug01 (rowe m)LEWIS ANTHONY 123 20.00    
JACKIE'S THUNDER Sep20 Jul25       (miller b)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 117 10.00    
SASSY'S STORMIN Sep05 Aug16 Jul25 Jul04   (husbands )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
ANNAKHOZANA Sep20 Sep05 Aug29 Aug16   (brown shelley)CUMBERBATCH R 117 3.00 18% 4.60    
BIG BIG ENERGY Sep20 Sep05 Aug16 Jul25   (gittens devo)BADRIE PRAYVEN 117 1.60 54% 0.90    
 
ASD-5   05/29/2023 3300ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GHOST ART Sep24 Sep03 Jul31 Jul23 Jun27 (jordan jennif)AUSTIN NIRONE 122 20.00    
HOUSE LIMIT Sep26 Sep12 Aug31 Aug22 Aug03 (dickey el)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 4.00 24% 3.20    
DELVECCHIO Oct28 Oct01 Sep19 Sep12 Aug10 (gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 122 3.00    
STAY HAPPY Apr11 Mar08 Feb25 Feb04 Jan25 (brown jared)CARRENO J 124 2.50 42% 1.40    
MONSTRODAMOUS Sep26 Aug23 Jul27 Jul20 Jun29 (anderson wend)CUMBERBATCH R 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
THE BOSS FACTOR Mar31 Mar18 Feb23 Feb03 Jan04 (gardipy )STEPHENSON NEVILLE 122 5.00    
GOLD SPECIAL Sep26 Sep19 Aug22 Aug01 Jul11 (anderson wend)BYNOE DAMARIO 122 15.00    
GOLDENEYED Sep12 Aug17 Aug01 Jul20 Jun29 (danelson gar)BADRIE PRAYVEN 122 8.00 10% 9.40    
 
ASD-6   05/29/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.2K) 3UP ALL PT-11:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPEEDY DAREDEVIL Oct10 Sep25 Sep03 Aug20 Aug04 (buffalo jay)BADRIE PRAYVEN 122 15.00    
IMPRESSIVE SENSE Sep27 Sep06 Aug23 Jul27 Jul12 (pruitt li)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 4.00 16% 5.20    
BEAR ME A MOMENT Oct10 Sep26 Sep13 Aug30 Aug10 (brown allen)AUSTIN NIRONE 122 25.00 8% 11.40    
SHINBORO Oct09 Sep24 Sep17 Aug31 Aug13 (buffalo jay)BALROOP SVEN 122 20.00 7% 12.40    
INTO BOURBON Feb04 Dec11 Oct30 Sep24 Jul31 (anderson)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 122 1.40 30% 2.40    
NORTH FORK Mar23 Mar07 Feb10 Jan19 Jan05 (gittens devon)BELLE SHAVON 122 5.00    
YEROSILVERBIZ Sep26 Sep06 Aug24 Jul27 Jun13 (anderson wendy)CARRENO J 122 6.00 9% 9.60    
JUSTA BUSTER Apr22 Feb23 Jan21 Dec27 Nov30 (gourneau jerry)BUDHU ARTHUR 122 8.00    
PEB Sep26 Sep06 Aug23 Aug02 Jul19 (husbands tiff)BYNOE DAMARIO 122 20.00    
 
ASD-7   05/29/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP M/F PT-11:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RED SPARROW Sep24 Sep23 Sep10 Sep04 Aug28 (anderson wen)BADRIE PRAYVEN 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
FINGER TIP Sep19 Aug24 Aug03 Jul06 Jun15 (gittens devon)BYNOE DAMARIO 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
NO SURPRISE Oct14 Sep25 Sep17 Sep12 Sep03 (anderson)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 121 25.00    
MISS GIVING Sep27 Sep19 Sep07 Aug29 Aug08 (gittens devon)CUMBERBATCH R 121 2.00 51% 1.00    
VICTORIAVILLE Sep26 Sep05 Aug23 Aug09 Jul26 (gaskin steven)BUDHU ARTHUR 121 30.00    
WHITEROSE SPIRIT Oct21 Oct15 Oct01 Sep17 Aug30 (brown )LEWIS ANTHONY 121 20.00    
MIAMI SOUVENIRS Sep26 Sep19 Aug31 Aug16 Jul26 (maxwell curtis)BELLE SHAVON 121 5.00    
HD'S HOPE Sep28 Sep12 Sep05 Aug08 Jul18 (brown she)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 121 15.00    
LIVING SKY Nov04 Oct08 Sep25 Sep10 Aug29 (anderson carl)BALROOP SVEN 121 6.00 14% 6.30    
10  DIANE'S WISH Sep20 Sep05 Aug16     (nault michael)CHOW CHAVION 117 4.00 12% 7.40    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.