Handicappers' Racing Form

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Evangeline Downs
Thursday - May 25, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

EVD-1   Win (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
EVD-2   Win (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
EVD-3   Win (2/4/1/12/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00
EVD-4   Win (8/9/6/4/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00
EVD-5   Win (3/5/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
EVD-6   Win (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
EVD-7   Win (6/3/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
EVD-8   Win (5/2/4/1/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
EVD-1   05/25/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($14K) 3 ALL PT- 6:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FREE FALLING NATE Apr27 Jul10       (briley lonnie)STOKES J 120 2.50 15% 5.80    
TRIPLE RED ACES Apr28 Feb23 Jan20 Jan07   (landry ray)MCMAHON J 120 3.00 7% 12.70    
EASY EDDIE A May03 Feb28 Feb11 Jan25 Jan11 (prejean raymond)MELANCON G 117 4.00    
POWER MASTER         (bourgeois keit)NIEVES EMANUEL 117 3.50 52% 0.90    
FLASHY BOY GOES May03 Mar12 Feb24 Jan21 Dec29 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 120 8.00    
SACRED NATION May05 Jan28 Aug18 Aug03   (woodley carl )MELANCON JANSEN 117 4.50    
 
EVD-2   05/25/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:57
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SERMONONTHEMOUNT Apr26 Mar22 Mar01 Jan26 Jan05 (david b)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 2.00 21% 3.70    
MASTERLY (ARG) May04 Apr20 Feb18 Feb10 Feb01 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 117 2.50 34% 1.90    
GUITARZAN Apr14 Feb25 Jan28 Dec28 Dec07 (segura kearney)MCMAHON J 117 10.00    
BIG MONEY MACHINE May13 Apr19 Mar24 Mar10 Jan27 (gonzalez)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 4.50 14% 6.00    
MIAS MOONBEAM May03 Mar22 Feb28 Feb10 Jan19 (larrosa a)VARGAS P 123 3.50    
OVERTHOUGHT May06 Apr15 Mar08 Feb10 Jan05 (bourgeois keit)BARRERA J 118 6.00    
 
EVD-3   05/25/2023 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:24
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PSEUDOSCIENCE Apr26 Mar05 Jan27 Jan13 Dec23 (duke steven)BARRERA J 113 8.00 7% 13.40    
CZAR'S BALLERINA Apr22 Mar08 Feb11 Jan29 Dec22 (courville ri)MARQUEZ L 123 3.50 51% 1.00    
MADISON'S SCREEN Apr21 Mar16 Feb20 Feb04 Jan13 (ducoing s)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 5.00    
SERAPE Apr22 Feb11 Dec03 Nov25 Nov04 (brinkman brett)MAGNON H 123 10.00 11% 7.90    
MRS. NECAISE Apr12 Mar15 Feb12 Jan14 Dec29 (ladner herman)MELANCON G 119 15.00    
SKY HIGH SUSAN Apr15 Mar08 Feb04 Jan22 Dec31 (delany sarah)FUSILIER C 123 3.00    
SUGAR STAR Mar23 Jan21 Dec29 Dec15 Nov16 (culotta ray)ALBERT S 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
MS. CAJUN QUEEN Apr26 Feb20 Dec17 Oct26 Jul07 (breaux samuel)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 2.50    
SCR  TARGET VISION Apr22 Feb20 Jan29 Sep10 Aug21 (schwandt emile)VARGAS P 119 20.00    
SCR  CAJUN TWO STEP Apr27 Aug24 Aug06 Jun09 May12 (breaux samuel)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 15.00    
SCR  KAPPA HILL May11 Apr20 Jul28 Jul01 May27 (patt jr)ROSIER R 123 20.00    
12  SERIOUSLY SAM May13 Apr15 Mar22 Mar01 Jan29 (david b)THORNTON G 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LOVERS NEVER SAY May13 Mar08 Feb11 Jan21 Nov26 (mojica a)BARRERA J 118 15.00    
 
EVD-4   05/25/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:51
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LORD HELP ME May10 Mar26 Mar12     (ladner herman)MELANCON G 123 12.00    
GLITTER STORM May06 Apr19 Feb02     (dison mark)STOKES A 123 15.00    
COUNT ON RAIN May10 Feb28 Jan07 Dec20 Dec01 (benoit james)POMPELL L 123 8.00    
MULETRAIN Apr27 Apr13 Feb25 Feb10 Jan28 (bernard )GUERRERO ANDRES 123 5.00 5% 18.00    
UNCLE CHAN May10 Apr02 Mar12 Feb17 Feb04 (simon lester)ROSENDO J 123 20.00    
GOLDEN CONFUSION Apr22 Mar26 Feb17 Oct20   (david b)THORNTON G 123 2.50 7% 13.80    
CHAHTA SIA         (silva walter)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
INDEFENSIBLE TOWN Feb22 Feb05 Nov10 Oct20 Aug18 (roberts kenn)ALBERT S 113 3.00 34% 2.00    
DIXIELAND STORMING May06 Apr13 Feb18 Jan25 Jan05 (larrosa a)VARGAS P 118 4.00 30% 2.30    
 
EVD-5   05/25/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($31K) 3 ALL PT- 8:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
F J'S FLACO Apr08 Mar16 Aug03 Jul03   (maturin chad)STOKES J 115 12.00    
DONEGAL FACTOR Feb19 Nov26 Oct05 Sep01   (noel dane)VARGAS P 115 6.00 9% 10.30    
BRITE OUTLOOK Apr27 Apr07 Mar09 Feb11 Jan20 (chatters benar)BARRERA J 115 4.50 32% 2.20    
SIR LIAM May04 Apr13 Feb25     (gelner j)THORNTON G 117 2.00    
BUTLER CABIN Apr28 Apr08 Mar09 Feb17   (wilson shane)MCMAHON J 115 2.50 19% 4.30    
TALK TO TOKEY Apr26 Mar12 Feb28 Feb16 Jan22 (pomier ch)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 115 15.00    
QUIET AS MIDNIGHT Apr22 Feb18 Jan21 Dec07 Oct06 (chatters benard)STOKES A 115 8.00 12% 7.10    
GLUCKSTADT Apr22 Mar12 Mar01 Feb10 Jan07 (sanchez c)NIEVES EMANUEL 115 10.00    
 
EVD-6   05/25/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:46
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAND BOSS May13 Apr26 Mar16 Feb21 Nov24 (sanchez )GUERRERO ANDRES 120 2.00 30% 2.30    
DEALIN' STELEN May03 Jan26 Jan04 Dec19 Nov04 (toups brent)STOKES A 123 8.00    
SCR  HUMPHREY May13 Apr19 Feb16 Jan26 Dec19 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 123 3.50    
GUITAR TRIBUTE May13 Mar24 Feb21 Jan29 Jan01 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 120 2.50 42% 1.40    
EAST LEX May06 Mar08 Jan26 Jan05 Dec15 (cuccia j)VARGAS P 123 10.00 6% 15.30    
APPLEWOOD May06 Apr15 Feb03 Jan04 Oct19 (matthieu ronal)MAGNON H 123 5.00    
TAKEN BACK May03 Apr14 Feb25 Feb04 Jan14 (segura kearney)STOKES J 120 20.00    
 
EVD-7   05/25/2023 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($30K) Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:13
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHARLIE G May03 Feb24 Feb15 Jan07 Nov26 (thomas lee)STOKES J 115 15.00    
SNIVELING May03 Apr08 Oct21 Aug29 Aug19 (larrosa a)VARGAS P 118 12.00    
PEACOCK KITTEN Apr12 Feb24 Jan07 Jul23 Mar26 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 118 4.50 11% 8.00    
BUDRO TALKING May05 Apr13 Mar26 Mar04 Jan07 (ducoing sturges )THORNTON G 117 3.00    
FORTUITY Apr08 Mar16 Feb12 Oct08 Aug26 (terre david)ALBERT S 113 2.50 11% 8.40    
STRONG EAGLE May05 Apr08 Feb25 Feb03 Sep10 (escobar alison)BARRERA J 118 3.50 45% 1.20    
FIRST GLIMPSE Apr14 Mar10 Jan28 Dec18 Nov12 (bourgeois)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 8.00    
UNCLE FRANK Apr14 Feb10 Jan11 Dec15 Nov17 (sturrock billy)ROSENDO J 118 10.00 8% 11.50    
 
EVD-8   05/25/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ST PIERRE May06 Apr21 Mar22 Mar01 Feb11 (stemmans donald)MELANCON G 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
BASTI BLUE May11 Apr21 Apr07 Dec11 Nov24 (landry jacoby)MELANCON JANSEN 123 3.50 20% 4.00    
CAME OUT KICKIN Apr29 Feb09 Dec17 Nov19   (romero lynn)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 15.00    
MEAN MEISTER Apr29 Apr13       (flint steve)MCMAHON J 118 4.00 15% 5.70    
CARLOS' BLAST Apr29 Feb18 Feb01 Dec30 Dec15 (gelner scott)BARRERA J 113 2.00 41% 1.40    
ADMIRAL AFLEET Apr27 Apr13 Mar22 Mar10 Feb25 (perron gerard)VARGAS P 118 5.00    
ASTROLOGY WONOWON May10 Mar01 Feb18 Jan26 Nov25 (granger randall)STOKES A 118 15.00    
R AND R STAR Jan27 Jan17 Jan03     (nichols s)STOKES J 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
D'FESTIVE CAT Apr27 Jan07 Nov26 Aug26   (bourque warren)ROSENDO J 123 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.