Handicappers' Racing Form

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Miles City
Sunday - May 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

MC-1   Win (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00
MC-2   Win (1/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
MC-4   Win (3/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
MC-10   Win (2/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
MC-12   Win (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
MC-1   05/21/2023 3465ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLDEN TIGER May14 May06 Sep09 Sep04 Aug27 (meineke j)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 121 2.50    
FREIBURG Sep20 Sep03 Aug17 Jul16 Jun23 (cavanaugh perry)DELORME L 124 7.00    
XTREME LYRA May14 May07 Oct02 Sep24 Sep18 (schindler j)IRONEYES R 119 4.00 31% 2.30    
MAXIMUS THE GREAT Aug09 Aug02 Jul03 Jun26 Jun17 (ecoffey gilbert )LUARK T 124 3.00 19% 4.40    
SCR  FINDING SILVER May19 May06 Apr15 Mar25 Mar04 (ecoffey w)ELLIS DEVON 124 5.00 21% 3.70    
 
MC-2   05/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($2.5K) Purse ($5.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADDIE BOY May14 May07 Apr21 Mar24 Mar12 (ecoffey w)DELORME L 126 3.50 34% 2.00    
SCR  HANSENS MISCHIEF Apr08 Mar25 Mar04 Feb17 Mar19 (ducheneaux jamie)MORIN RYAN 126 4.00    
SINGANDCRYINDUBAI May07 Mar26 Mar13 Feb26 Feb11 (warren kayla)LARSEN S 126 2.00 27% 2.70    
FRIENDOFTHECOURT May20 May12 Apr22 Apr01 Mar10 (ducheneaux jamie)ELLIS DEVON 126 8.00    
DANCE FOR RANSOM May20 May14 May07 May06 Apr22 (ecoffey gilbert )LUARK T 126 3.00    
LOST THE MINISTER May14 May07 Apr02 Mar11 Feb26 (warren kayla)GERVAIS M 126 6.00 16% 5.20    
 
MC-4   05/21/2023 3465ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($2.5K) Purse ($5.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STEALING HEARTS May20 May14 May06 Apr29 Jul28 (ecoffey w)ELLIS DEVON 126 8.00    
JOHNNY JUDE May07 Apr13 Feb28 Jan25 Dec15 (johnson a)PINON DAVID 126 1.60    
PALACEDANCER May20 May14 May07 May06 Apr21 (ecoffey gilbert )LUARK T 121 3.50 40% 1.50    
SCR  SLOOPY HANG ON May14 Apr02 Mar19 Mar05 Feb25 (cross p)GERVAIS M 121 4.00    
GEBO May14 May06 Mar26 Mar12 Feb18 (warren kayl)IRONEYES R 121 5.00    
HANKY PRANKY Mar26 Mar12 Feb01 Jan24 Dec20 (birdrattl)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 126 10.00 15% 5.70    
FLUSHING FLASH May19 May07 Sep16 Sep09 Aug27 (crooked )BIRDRATTLER E 126 10.00 10% 9.00    
 
MC-10   05/21/2023 3465ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($5.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MONGOLIAN DIAMOND Apr23 Apr08 Mar26 Mar12 Feb24 (ducheneaux jamie)MORIN RYAN 121 6.00    
IMA CARPE DIEM May06 Mar25 Mar05 Feb12 Feb02 (warren kayla)LARSEN S 126 2.00 45% 1.20    
NUMMY NUM May14 May06 Mar25 Mar05 Feb25 (nelson buckshot)GERVAIS M 126 3.00 9% 9.70    
TOP HAT CAT Apr30 Apr16 Mar19 Dec30 Dec01 (warren kayla)BARRON EZEKIEL 126 3.50    
SCR  QUEEN OF THE ICE May19 May14 Mar19 Feb24 Feb11 (ducheneaux jamie)ELLIS DEVON 121 8.00    
MAGIC IN A HAT May19 May07 May06 Apr14 Apr02 (ecoffey gilbert )LUARK T 121 4.00 22% 3.50    
 
MC-12   05/21/2023 3465ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($4K) Purse ($5.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRICKY MOM May05 Apr29 Apr23 Apr15 Mar26 (nelson buckshot)GERVAIS M 126 4.00 18% 4.60    
IMA TROUBLE MAKER May14 Apr24 Apr05 Mar04 Feb09 (johnson robert)BARRON EZEKIEL 126 3.50 16% 5.20    
BLUEGRASS SOUL May14 Jun12 May22 May15   (hanson debo)IRONEYES R 121 3.00    
OUR PETUNIA May14 Apr14 Apr02 Mar17 Mar10 (cavanaugh perry)DELORME L 126 2.00 37% 1.70    
UNTETHERED SOUL May20 May14 Apr14 Apr02 Jun25 (ducheneaux jamie)MORIN RYAN 126 8.00    
SANDPLUM CREEK May07 Apr16 Apr02 Mar11 Feb25 (conway la)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 126 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.