Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Lone Star Park
Sunday - May 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LS-1   WIN (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/4)-(3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/4)-(1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
LS-2   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/2)-(1/2/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/2)-(1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    PK3 (1/2)-(7/4/6)-(8/7) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
LS-3   WIN (7/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/6)-(7/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/4/6)-(7/4/6)-(7/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (7/4/6)-(8/7)-(7/5/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
LS-4   WIN (8/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/7)-(8/7/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/7)-(8/7/6/1)-(8/7/6/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    PK3 (8/7)-(7/5/1)-(3/2/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LS-5   WIN (7/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/1)-(7/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/5/1)-(7/5/1)-(7/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (7/5/1)-(3/2/6/1)-(7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LS-6   WIN (3/2/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/6/1)-(3/2/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/6/1)-(3/2/6/1)-(3/2/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LS-7   WIN (7/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/5)-(7/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
LS-8   WIN (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/2)-(3/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (3/2)-(8/2)-(9/1/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
LS-9   WIN (8/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/2)-(8/2/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (8/2)-(8/2/1)-(8/2/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (8/2)-(9/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
LS-10   WIN (9/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/1/2)-(9/1/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (9/1/2)-(9/1/2/3)-(9/1/2/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LS-1   05/14/2023 3630ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($33.5K) 3 F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AZUNIA Apr14 Mar26 Mar04 Feb11 Jan15 (padilla a)DIEGO V 122 3.00    
2  MOR PEANUTS Apr23 Apr02 Mar04     (willis mindy)CABRERA DAVID 122 2.00 24% 3.10    
3  WAVING BYE Apr22 Mar25 Mar05 Feb18 Jan28 (bravo franc)WETHEY JR 122 1.60 30% 2.30    
4  FAST TRACK Apr22 Apr02 Mar05 Jan28 Jun05 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 8.00 22% 3.60    
SCR  REAL TAP Mar26 Jan28 Sep08 Jul08 Jun05 (padil)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 117 20.00    
6  PHUNK Apr15 Mar26 Mar04 Feb11 Jan06 (davis sha)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 122 6.00    
 
LS-2   05/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($33.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CANDY BEE Apr22 Apr02 Mar05 Feb11 Jan27 (silva miguel)MORA GERARDO 119 2.50 64% 0.60    
2  EAGLE EXPRESS Apr13 Mar10 Feb12 Jan08 Sep02 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 124 3.00 8% 11.20    
3  SENORITA BROOKE Jan06 Dec14 Nov19 Nov03   (chacaltana doming)DIEGO V 119 8.00    
4  DIAMONDS N ACES May06 Mar19 Feb12 Jan08 Jul04 (bryant all)DIAZ RENE 124 2.00    
5  VOODOO MISTRESS Jan25 Dec30 Nov26 Oct29 Sep04 (ramirez r)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 119 5.00 ★    
6  LEXINGTON DIVA Apr21 Apr13 Mar19 Feb26 Feb10 (gove)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 8.00    
 
LS-3   05/14/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($15K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INFINITE MORO Apr21 Mar31 Feb25 Jan21 Jan06 (kotara ronald)DIAZ RENE 124 15.00    
SCR  TEXAS GOLD RUSH Apr29 Mar31 Mar10 Feb12 Dec21 (kotar)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 119 20.00    
3  SILVER AND GOLD May07 Mar18 Feb20 Feb11 Jul24 (jacks e)DIEGO V 124 12.00    
4  FORT HOOD Apr30 Apr07 Feb20 Jan21 Jan07 (davidson brent)ELLIOTT S 119 4.00 22% 3.50    
5  RED BIRD'S STORM Apr29 Apr08 Mar24 Mar10 Feb17 (g)DE CRUZ 124 2.50    
6  MORO OUTLAW Mar04 Feb03 Jan20 Dec29 Nov16 (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 119 5.00 20% 3.90    
7  MR. NIGHTBLINGER Mar18 Jan20 Sep07 Aug27 Jul17 (clary jay)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 124 1.40 24% 3.10    
 
LS-4   05/14/2023 3300ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($33.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWIFT RED BIRD Apr13 Jul22 Jul03     (bustamante ray)MORA GERARDO 122 4.00 ★    
2  LET FREEDOM BLING May05 Apr13 Mar05 Feb11 Jan22 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 117 12.00    
SCR  HAWKEYE GIRL Mar10 Nov26 Oct14 Sep14 Jul22 (echeverri)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 122 30.00    
4  SALT N LIME Apr02 Feb11 Jan28 Jul04   (diodoro robe)FUENTES A 117 5.00    
5  HEAD OVER BOOTS Apr22 Apr13 Mar10 Feb26 Feb04 (echeverria )BARANDELA SOFIA 117 15.00    
6  GEE SHE'S FANCY Feb12 Jan27 Jan14 Sep28 Sep07 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 122 4.50 ★    
7  MISSISZIPPY BLING Apr13 Mar19 Mar10 Feb20 Jan21 (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 122 3.00 31% 2.20    
8  SHACKED STATESIDE Apr13 Mar19 Mar05 Feb11 Jul08 (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 117 2.50 35% 1.80    
 
LS-5   05/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($33.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISTER K Apr27 Feb25 Feb05 Jan21 Jan07 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 8.00 10% 9.30    
SCR  MISSIN CURFEW Apr28 Apr07 Mar12 Jan15 Jun26 (diodoro ro)ERAMIA E 117 3.00    
3  MALIBU S S Apr15 Feb23 Jan26 Dec17 Oct17 (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 122 5.00    
4  COSMO Apr15 Mar19 Feb26 Jan22 Dec30 (diodoro robe)FUENTES A 124 4.50    
5  FIRST AVENUE Apr08 Mar24 Feb23 Jan21 Jan07 (h)DE CRUZ 122 6.00 16% 5.20    
6  GRAPNEL Apr28 Apr02 Mar11 Feb20 Jan21 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 124 4.00    
7  TAPISTAR Apr16 Mar15       (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 124 3.50 38% 1.60    
 
LS-6   05/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WEST TEXAS BOB Mar24 Mar04 Feb09 Jan18 Jan04 (butler ke)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 123 20.00 6% 15.70    
2  BILLY YANK Mar31 Mar04 Feb10 Jan22 Jan08 (villa)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 2.50 19% 4.40    
3  ONE MORE BABY Apr16 Jan29 Jan07 Nov27 Oct12 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 123 3.50 33% 2.00    
4  GIST Apr16 Mar17 Jan15 Dec14 Dec08 (davidson sarah )SANCHEZ M 123 15.00    
5  DIRT BIKE SLADE Feb28 Feb19 Jan24 Dec19 Dec01 (smith a)DIEGO V 123 12.00    
6  AMERICAN SMOOTH Apr30 Mar25 Feb26 Jan27 Jun22 (villafranco f)CABRERA DAVID 123 3.00 18% 4.60    
7  JIM AND JIM Mar03 Jan29 Jan01 Dec17 Nov06 (diodoro robe)FUENTES A 123 2.00    
 
LS-7   05/14/2023 4950ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SHESMYBROKER May05 Apr14 Mar17 Feb24 Feb04 (crumley jevon)ELLIOTT S 120 30.00    
SCR  AFFICIONADO (FR) Apr01 Mar05 Feb11 Aug21 Aug14 (montano wi)PEREZ ANGEL 115 20.00 6% 14.60    
SCR  MRS. KRINKLES Apr23 Apr01 Mar05 Feb18 Feb03 (villa)MANRRIQUE JOSE 122 12.00    
SCR  HUSHED COURT ROOM Apr01 Mar18 Feb20 Feb12 Nov07 (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 120 10.00 9% 9.70    
5  ROZEY CHEEKS Mar27 Sep10 Sep01 Aug17 Jun30 (bravo franc)WETHEY JR 120 6.00 11% 8.10    
6  CATO'S LADY Apr23 Apr01 Feb26 Feb04 Jan13 (w)DE CRUZ 124 15.00    
7  MOONLIGHT RAIN Apr16 Mar11 Feb23 Feb10 Jan14 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 124 8.00 29% 2.40    
8  RED HOT MOON Apr01 Mar05 Feb12 Jan06 Nov15 (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 124 2.50    
9  CARRY ON Apr26 Mar17 Dec02 Nov23 Oct21 (ashford)GONCALVES R 120 12.00    
10  SKYKAT Apr23 Mar17 Feb20 Feb12 Jan07 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 1.80    
 
LS-8   05/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BLACK CHEETAH Apr21 Jun23 May14 Apr05 Feb23 (ramirez r)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 124 15.00    
2  MORO PRINCESS         (herreros stepha)BENAVIDES D 118 20.00 30% 2.30    
3  I'M ALL SHOOK UP Apr07 Mar18 Jan20 Dec10   (hebert matt)DIEGO V 124 1.60 35% 1.90    
4  BOSSADUSU Apr30 Apr08 Sep23 Jul17 Jun25 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 118 1.40    
SCR  COPELANDER         (cunningham )BARANDELA SOFIA 119 20.00    
SCR  ZEEBAR Mar10 Feb10 Jul21     (dunaway keith)MORA GERARDO 124 6.00    
SCR  MEMORABLE FLIGHT Apr30 Apr15 Jan15 Nov12 Oct22 (hebert mat)ERAMIA E 124 8.00    
 
LS-9   05/14/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CRYSTAL CRESCENT Apr28 Apr14 Mar10 Mar02 Jan29 (hewitt mic)ERAMIA E 124 5.00 ★    
2  JIBE Apr30 Apr22 Apr02 Feb04 Jan13 (triana alfredo)MORA GERARDO 124 8.00 8% 11.20    
3  SEXY RAGS Jan08 Dec15 Jul18 Jul11 Jun27 (cunningham c)PIVARAL GERBER 124 20.00    
SCR  JAN'S TURN TO WIN Apr29 Apr13 Mar26 Feb19 Jan29 (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 124 2.50    
5  A SONG FOR MICKEY Apr22 Jan14 Jul23 Jun09 Apr30 (bust)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 20.00    
6  GREY HALO Apr22 Apr14 Apr02     (echeverri)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 124 30.00    
SCR  THINKITASADONATION May07 Apr29 Apr02 Feb22 Feb03 (govea cesar)BARANDELA SOFIA 119 1.00 47% 1.10    
8  GANGSTER RAP Apr30 Apr21 Mar26 Mar05 Feb20 (h)DE CRUZ 124 12.00 20% 4.00    
 
LS-10   05/14/2023 5940ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EASTER SNAP Apr22 Mar25 Mar10 Feb18 Jan28 (cravens ii)DIEGO V 123 4.00 10% 9.40    
2  CHARLIECANDO Apr13 Mar24 Mar03 Feb10 Jan28 (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 121 4.50 6% 16.40    
3  HOLY EMPEROR Apr29 Apr22 Feb28 Jan19 Dec17 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 121 20.00 ★    
4  MIDAS CAT Mar11 Mar03 Feb10 Nov07 Oct07 (eoff terry)BARANDELA SOFIA 116 15.00    
5  MISHKO Apr22 Apr14 Jan26 Jan05 Nov24 (silva migue)WETHEY JR 121 12.00    
SCR  DOC IRWIN Apr08 Mar10 Feb17 Jan20 Jan06 (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 121 2.50 39% 1.60    
7  HECOULDGOALLTHEWAY Apr29 Apr14 Apr02 Mar24 Feb26 (castell)GONCALVES R 121 20.00    
SCR  WITT'S TAQUITO Apr29 Apr20 Mar03 Feb10 Dec07 (lloyd an)MORA GERARDO 121 8.00    
9  GUITAR SLIM Feb04 Dec30 Dec10 Nov17 Oct27 (brya)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 3.00 24% 3.10    
SCR  OPTIMUS KAT Mar05 Feb26 Feb04 Dec17 Sep28 (winslow j)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 121 20.00    
11  DEANOS CAPE Apr29 Apr14 Apr01 Mar10 Feb26 (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 121 2.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.