Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Evangeline Downs
Friday - May 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
EVD-1   WIN (2) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (2)-(2/5) 1 $1.00 $1.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (2)-(4/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (2)-(4/2)-(1/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
EVD-2   WIN (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/2)-(4/2/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/2)-(4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 4 $1.00 $2.00 
    DD (4/2)-(1/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/2)-(1/6/3)-(1/6/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
EVD-3   WIN (1/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/3)-(1/6/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/6/3)-(1/6/3/4)-(1/6/3/4) 18 $1.00 $9.00 
    DD (1/6/3)-(1/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/6/3)-(1/6/4)-(4/7/9/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
EVD-4   WIN (1/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/4)-(1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $1.00 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/4)-(4/7/9/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/6/4)-(4/7/9/6)-(2/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
EVD-5   WIN (4/7/9/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/9/6)-(4/7/9/6/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/7/9/6)-(4/7/9/6/5)-(4/7/9/6/5) 48 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (4/7/9/6)-(2/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/7/9/6)-(2/1)-(3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
EVD-6   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (2/1)-(3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (2/1)-(3)-(6/1/8/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
EVD-7   WIN (3) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (3)-(3/4/6/7) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    TRI (3)-(3/4/6/7)-(3/4/6/7) 6 $1.00 $3.00 
    DD (3)-(6/1/8/7) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (3)-(6/1/8/7)-(3/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
EVD-8   WIN (6/1/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/8/7)-(6/1/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/8/7)-(6/1/8/7)-(6/1/8/7) 24 $1.00 $12.00 
    DD (6/1/8/7)-(3/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
EVD-9   WIN (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/6)-(3/4/6/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/6)-(3/4/6/7/5)-(3/4/6/7/5) 36 $1.00 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
EVD-1   05/12/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3 ALL PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  STEAUXLIT May04 Apr14 Mar25 Feb04 Jan05 (landry ra)MCMAHON J 120 1.60 57% 0.80    
  (by COUNTRY DAY out of THREEHITS N A MISS by CONCERTO)
2  JOSIE'S PRIORITY Apr14 Mar25       (segura kearney)STOKES J 120 2.00 17% 4.90    
  (by APRIORITY out of EQUESTRIAN JANET by BRAHMS)
3  ALL COUNTRY Apr07 Feb01 Jan20 Dec20 Aug19 (simon lester)STOKES A 120 15.00    
  (by COUNTRY DAY out of ALL HER DUE by DEVIL HIS DUE)
4  HARPES HILL Apr14 Feb24 Feb05 Dec31   (patt roland )BARRERA J 115 6.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of INVENIAM VIAM by HALF OURS)
5  TWOFEXUSNEXUS         (cormier)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 8.00 ★    
  (by EL DEAL out of WILDWOOD KANTHAROS by KANTHAROS)
6  TRUE CRIMSON Mar22         (gelner sco)ALBERT S 115 3.50    
  (by SHACKLEFORD out of ZIPBOPZOO by CITY ZIP)
 
EVD-2   05/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GEAUX VOTE Jan21 Dec20 Dec08 Jul06 May19 (brinkman bret)VARGAS P 120 8.00    
2  WORLD OF HURT Apr26 Feb15 Feb01 Dec20 Oct22 (brinkman bre)BARRERA J 115 3.50 19% 4.10    
3  THE CALLING STONE Apr08 Feb05 Jan15 Dec17 Nov26 (woodley j)THORNTON G 120 5.00    
4  I BEAR ARMS Apr19 Feb24       (breaux samu)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 2.00 48% 1.10    
SCR  STRAWBERRY SUNDAE Apr26 Mar24 Mar12 Dec23 Nov18 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 115 6.00    
6  UNIFIED LOVE Feb11 Jan19 Dec29 Dec17 Dec08 (ali anci)MCMAHON J 120 2.50 ★    
 
EVD-3   05/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZIPPING MOLLY Apr07 Mar23 Mar03 Feb17 Jan27 (ducoing)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 2.00 56% 0.80    
SCR  DAISY DE ORO Apr20 Mar18       (thomas lee)BARRERA J 113 10.00    
3  LOVE CREED Apr12 Mar16       (jeansonne justi)ROSENDO J 118 5.00 5% 19.00    
4  SHEEZA PRIORITY Apr19 Mar10 Feb20 Feb01 Dec29 (thompson kev)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 8.00 ★    
5  BITSY'S DOUBLE DAY Apr26 Mar03 Feb03     (david sam )ALBERT S 113 15.00    
6  ATALANTA ASTERIA Apr22 Feb18       (fuselier jonah)STOKES A 118 2.50 13% 6.50    
7  SADIE'S PORT Apr07 Mar23 Feb12 Jan14 Dec15 (ladner chad)THORNTON G 123 3.50    
 
EVD-4   05/12/2023 3300ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COROT Feb22 Jan19 Dec15 Dec02 Nov22 (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 1.80 36% 1.80    
2  FAREWELL TIME Apr21 Feb04 Dec27 Dec15 Oct29 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 115 3.50    
3  MY MAN LOUIE Apr15 Mar19 Feb25 Feb16 Jan19 (degeyter ra)MELANCON JANSEN 120 2.00    
4  CREEKMORE Feb22 Jan27 Jan05 Nov19 Oct22 (gonzalez is)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 12.00 13% 6.90    
5  THE FEATURE Mar24 Feb23 Jan19 Dec07 Nov10 (ellis rand)ALBERT S 113 15.00    
6  LODE OF BLARNEY Apr29 Apr15 Jan19 Dec15 Nov18 (gonzal)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 4.50 14% 6.00    
 
EVD-5   05/12/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUANA DUDE Apr22 Feb16 Feb03 Oct26 Oct07 (larrosa a)STOKES J 120 10.00    
2  CUSTOM KAT Apr28 Feb28 Feb03 Jan13 Dec03 (cox l)FUSILIER C 117 20.00    
3  PRAY IDE SING Apr22 Apr08 Mar02 Feb16 Jan08 (sanchez jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 12.00    
4  GOLDEN PASSAGE Apr22 Feb11 Jan21 Dec14 Jul25 (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 2.00 36% 1.80    
5  LT. BONURA Apr22 Mar15 Feb02 Jan12 Dec19 (terre david)THORNTON G 117 6.00 ★    
6  SCHNELL Apr21 Mar15 Feb16 Dec15 Nov24 (ducoing)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  I'LL RAISE YOU Apr29 Apr08 Feb25 Feb02 Jan18 (reeves jeffery )MCMAHON J 117 3.00 22% 3.50    
8  BROAD DECISION Apr29 Feb16 Feb01 Jan13 Dec27 (robbins ray)BARRERA J 112 20.00    
9  FIFTEEN LOVE BACK Apr22 Apr13 Mar31 Feb10 Jan20 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 120 4.00 15% 5.50    
 
EVD-6   05/12/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZERO POINT ZERO Apr07 Feb17 Feb10 Jan21   (morrell cynthia)MCMAHON J 123 3.00 17% 4.80    
2  MAEMAEMAY Apr21 Mar12 Feb02     (thomas lee)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 3.50 42% 1.40    
3  ASTRO FLASH Jan15         (toups brent)POMPELL L 120 8.00    
SCR  CRYPTO BRAVE Apr22 Mar08 Feb23 Jan11 Dec26 (zenon shelto)BARRERA J 115 6.00    
SCR  OUR CLOVER GAL Feb28 Jan19 Jan05 Dec21 Jun06 (gonzal)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MY LITTLE MIA Apr14 Feb18 Feb05 Jan04 Dec22 (perron gerard)STOKES A 120 2.50 17% 5.00    
7  APRIORITY GIRL Nov10 Oct15 Aug19 Jul23 Jan29 (west henry)RIVERA JOSEAN 120 15.00    
8  BRIGHTNMORNINGSTAR Mar26         (necaise larry)ROSENDO J 123 20.00    
 
EVD-7   05/12/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3 F PT- 9:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHUCHI Mar25         (schwandt em)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 4.00    
  (by HALF OURS out of IDE'S CHILD by IDE)
2  TRANQUILLA         (woodley j)THORNTON G 120 8.00    
  (by COUNTRY DAY out of ANYTHING BUT QUIET by REAL QUIET)
3  RUN DREAMING Mar18 Feb26       (terre d)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 2.00 76% 0.30    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of MISTY RUN by VINDICATION)
4  KRAZY KATIE         (ney john)MURRAY M 120 4.50 ★    
  (by BRAVE DAVE out of ASHLYN'S PASSAGE by STORM PASSAGE)
5  JAX'S STARRY BRIDE         (averett ronn)BARRERA J 115 10.00    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of BERMUDA BRIDE by RUNAWAY GROOM)
6  REQUITE THE EFFORT Apr15 Feb15       (west henry)RIVERA JOSEAN 120 15.00 ★    
  (by REQUITE out of MIZZENWAY by MIZZEN MAST)
7  TOUCHING ACES         (averett ronn)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 12.00 ★    
  (by HARD ACES out of GRACEFUL TOUCH by TOUCH GOLD)
SCR  R T'S CAJUN LADY Apr15 Mar25 Aug20     (sam w)STOKES A 120 3.50    
  (by GEMOLOGIST out of THE GONCULATOR by CURLIN)
 
EVD-8   05/12/2023 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FAHAN Jul15 Jun17 May11 Apr27 Apr09 (noel dane)VARGAS P 120 4.00 19% 4.30    
SCR  ELUSIVE WAR Apr23 Feb28 Jan12 Dec01 Nov04 (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 4.50    
3  RELIC HUNTER Apr15 Feb18 Dec11 Nov24 Apr21 (landry r)THORNTON G 120 12.00    
SCR  KAHAAL Feb11 Dec22 Nov17 Oct19 Aug16 (roberts kenneth)MELANCON G 117 20.00    
5  COPTER Apr08 Mar10 Feb24 Feb04   (landry ray)STOKES J 115 10.00    
6  ALEXIS S Mar12 Feb02 Dec16 Nov27 Oct30 (escobar alis)BARRERA J 115 1.80 24% 3.20    
7  HALF FULL Mar10 Feb04 Jan12 Dec10 Nov09 (ramirez eduardo)MCMAHON J 112 8.00 15% 5.50    
8  DOUBLE EDGE SWORD Apr08 Dec14 Nov16     (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 115 3.50 16% 5.40    
 
EVD-9   05/12/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT-10:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COURAGEOUS TIMMY Apr14 Mar26 Mar03 Feb10 Jan20 (richard)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 12.00    
2  FUNNY ACTOR Apr14 Nov16 Aug18 Apr30 Apr01 (gonzalez isai )GREEN AUBRIE 123 15.00    
3  BRYKEN N MITCHELL Dec16 Dec02 Nov10 Nov02 Oct14 (landry jaco)LEDET THEODRICK 120 2.50 53% 0.90    
4  TIZ THE BIG ONE Feb20 Jan28 Nov22 Nov05 Oct08 (alberto ant)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 2.00 17% 4.90    
5  MR LIBERTY Apr14 Feb02 Jan05 Oct19 Sep15 (diodoro robe)MAGNON H 123 12.00 ★    
6  IT'S A BIRD Jan21 Dec17 Nov30 Nov17 Oct28 (ali a)EDISON JOCELYN 115 8.00 7% 14.30    
7  CARRIES MAN Apr26 Feb16 Feb02 Oct08 Jul30 (zenon )GUERRERO ANDRES 123 20.00 ★    
8  NATE'S REVENGE Apr26 Mar22 Feb25 Feb09 Jan12 (mojica a)MCMAHON J 123 5.00    
9  XIETELEHUAS Apr26 Mar26 Mar08 Jun11 May14 (broussard )ALBERT S 118 20.00    
10  SLOW Apr20 Feb10 Oct22 May31 Feb23 (west henry)RIVERA JOSEAN 120 20.00    
11  MEAN CRUISER Apr14 May26 Apr20 Apr06 Mar04 (segura kearney)STOKES J 120 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.