Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Laurel Park
Sunday - May 07, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LRL-1   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/3)-(2/3/7) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (2/3)-(3/1/11)-(1/3/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
LRL-2   WIN (3/1/11) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/11)-(3/1/11/13/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/11)-(1/3/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/1/11)-(1/3/7)-(5/6/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
LRL-3   WIN (1/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/7)-(1/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/3/7)-(5/6/2)-(1/5/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
LRL-4   WIN (5/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/6/2)-(1/5/6)-(3/13) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
LRL-5   WIN (1/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/5/6)-(3/13)-(5/3/1/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LRL-6   WIN (3/13) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/13)-(3/13/2/5/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/13)-(5/3/1/9)-(5/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LRL-7   WIN (5/3/1/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/1/9)-(5/3/1/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
LRL-8   WIN (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/1)-(5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LRL-1   05/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($25K) 35 M/F PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MUNNIS PRETTY Apr16 Apr06 Mar11 Oct16 Aug03 (cooney sus)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 118 4.50    
WATCH ME DISAPPEAR Jul08 Jun11 May01     (keefe timothy )BOYCE FOREST 126 1.00 62% 0.60    
LA SANTA CLARA         (boniface c)CRUZ ANGEL 114 12.00 15% 5.80    
BESSIE BLUE Aug29 Aug08 Jul19 Jul04 Jun18 (davis samu)RIVERA R 119 6.00    
DANCE DELILAH Apr02         (morgan carla)ROSADO JOHAN 118 20.00    
SCR  LET'S MAKE A ZEEN Mar17 Feb25 Dec29 Nov04   (gorham mich)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 114 10.00    
I HAVE COURAGE Apr02 Feb20 Dec04 Nov13 Oct23 (frock charl)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 4.00    
 
LRL-2   05/07/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($23K) 3UP M/F PT-12:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VICTORIAN RIVIERA Apr27 Apr06 Mar29 Jan29 Jan22 (sillaman ri)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 126 8.00 8% 11.50    
IRISH LACE Apr13 Apr06 Mar17 Mar11 Feb04 (sanchez-salomo)ROSADO JOHAN 118 15.00    
HAPPY TAPPY TIM Mar23 Feb16 Jan26 Dec30 Nov30 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 126 3.00 61% 0.60    
RATIONALMILLENNIAL Apr20 Mar25 Feb12 Feb03 Dec09 (corrale)BRICENO GREGOR 126 6.00    
FASHIONATTA Mar11 Feb03 Dec20 Sep09 Aug18 (mcmahon hu)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 126 20.00    
SCR  HARPER'S DO Apr15 Dec31 Dec10 Oct28 Oct07 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 122 30.00    
SAPPHIRE BEAUTY Apr01 Mar11 Feb24 Feb12 Jan29 (frock charl)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 6.00    
POET IN MY HEART Apr15 Mar26 Feb12 Feb03 Dec31 (albert )ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 15.00    
BAD TEMPER Apr20 Mar25 Mar04 Feb11 Jan22 (parker m)DELGADO A 122 15.00    
10  HEARDITALL Apr20 Apr01 Feb05 Jan28 Oct13 (dove kevi)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 118 30.00    
11  PERFORMANCEANXIETY Apr07 Mar11 Feb24 Jan29 Jan15 (serey mari)RIVERA R 119 5.00 6% 16.90    
12  LOTTACLASS LILSASS Dec09 Nov25 Nov05 Oct14 Sep17 (aguirre anthony)GOMEZ KEVIN 126 30.00    
13  BALLYKEEN Apr15 Nov11 Sep22 Jul29 May22 (nixon justin)CRUZ ANGEL 126 6.00    
 
LRL-3   05/07/2023 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($45K) Purse ($44K) 2 ALL PT- 1:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUMPINGJAGGERFLASH         (salzman joh)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 3.00 48% 1.10    
MUCHO LOVE         (salzman timothy)ACOSTA D 116 4.50    
JUST THE THING         (corrale)BRICENO GREGOR 117 8.00 7% 12.60    
TOCAYO         (sanchez-salomon )CRUZ ANGEL 120 6.00    
INCITATUSWAY May01         (chapman jam)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 4.00    
SCR  SWEPT         (chapman jame)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 2.50    
LEE ALEJANDRO         (cruz jaime)RIVERA R 113 15.00 7% 12.60    
 
LRL-4   05/07/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($34.5K) 3 ALL PT- 1:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FLIGHT OF BOURBON Jul15         (salzman timothy)GOMEZ KEVIN 121 3.00    
GRAND ESCAPE Apr15 Feb15 Jan20 Dec17 Nov25 (bailes robe)KARAMANOS A 121 4.00 14% 6.30    
RASCALLY REBEL Apr15 Apr02 Mar25 Mar12 Mar05 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 117 20.00    
ISLAND D'LITE Feb17 Jan14 Dec17 Nov17 Oct27 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 121 4.50    
LORD UHTRED Apr15 Mar25 Mar05 Feb19 Jan25 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 2.00 28% 2.50    
JUDY'S ARMY Sep04 Aug06       (salzman timothy)ACOSTA D 121 3.50 25% 3.00    
 
LRL-5   05/07/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($34.5K) 3 F PT- 2:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FANCEE GRACE C Apr06 Feb17 Dec16 Nov25 Oct12 (mcmahon hug)CONCEPCION AXEL 112 2.00 30% 2.40    
ELLIE VICTORINA Mar31 Mar24 Mar19 Feb05 Jan22 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 120 8.00    
SCR  SHE'LL MAKE WAVES Apr30 Mar31 Mar11 Feb25   (howard c)GOMEZ KEVIN 124 8.00    
LADY SERENITY Apr07 Mar12 Feb22 Nov07 Oct16 (salzman joh)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 121 15.00    
NAUGHTY NAN Apr02 Mar03 Feb11 Oct30   (barr donal)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 121 5.00 25% 2.90    
SWEET SHUGS Apr15 Apr02 Mar17 Mar03 Feb05 (cash norman )BARBOSA JEIRON 124 4.00 22% 3.60    
MAJESTY'S FREEDOM Apr07 Mar12 Feb11 Jan20 Dec17 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 121 3.00    
 
LRL-6   05/07/2023 3630ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INDEFATIGABLE Dec17 Dec04 Nov20 Oct30 Sep21 (allen ferri)ALVELO C 123 15.00    
MONTAUK DADDY Mar30 Mar05 Feb11 Jan16 Dec31 (klesaris robe)KARAMANOS A 123 8.00    
I GOT A ROCK Nov20 Oct22 Sep21 Aug10 Jul14 (graci a)AGUILAR M 123 3.50 71% 0.40    
FLASHINTHENIGHT Apr16 Dec09 Nov20 Oct30 Sep23 (salvaggio mich)CONNER TYLER 123 10.00    
REUX (GB) Feb03 Jan27 Jan11 Dec16 Sep30 (smith lawr)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 119 15.00    
SCR  BELIEVEINROCKNROLL Apr21 Mar25 Mar05 Jan27 Nov26 (frock charl)CONCEPCION AXEL 114 30.00    
BATTLEBUS Apr16 Nov20 Oct30 Oct14 Sep23 (albert l)GOMEZ KEVIN 123 4.00    
BACKWOODS BOOGIE Apr02 Mar11 Feb02 Dec31 Nov26 (eppler e)CRUZ ANGEL 119 12.00    
W W SPRINGTIME Apr16 Mar30 Nov03 Oct07 Aug31 (allen a)ORTIZ ORLANDO 123 12.00    
10  BURGEE Mar31 Feb20 Feb01 Jan07 Dec16 (gaudet lacey)ROSADO JOHAN 123 15.00    
SCR  VALMONT Oct07 Jun26 Jun04 Apr21   (brown bru)CARRASCO R 119 10.00    
12  EYE OF GUNFIGHTER Mar31 Feb22 Feb18 Jan15 Dec21 (smith la)BUTTERFLY L 123 30.00    
13  LUCCI Feb23 Jan14 May04 Mar26 Jan19 (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 123 5.00 7% 13.90    
 
LRL-7   05/07/2023 4620ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ACE NINE NINE Apr14 Mar19 Mar12 Feb20 Feb04 (dove jr)KARAMANOS A 123 6.00 13% 6.70    
SCR  FREE SQUARE Mar26 Mar05 Feb18 Feb05 Jan06 (gaudet lacey)ROSADO JOHAN 123 2.50    
OXIDE Apr30 Apr02 Mar19 Feb26 Feb04 (merryman mic)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 10.00 16% 5.30    
SPOTTED BULL Apr27 Apr02 Mar26 Mar11 Feb26 (sanchez-salomon )CRUZ ANGEL 126 5.00    
MILITARY HOP Apr29 Apr06 Mar03 Feb06 Jan11 (maldonado j)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 4.00 35% 1.90    
CURLIN'S MALIBU Apr16 Feb01 Jan07 Oct21 Sep16 (atkins )ORTIZ ORLANDO 123 15.00    
BRILLIANT CHASE Mar22 Feb04 Nov30 Apr21 Apr05 (mcmahon hu)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 123 4.50    
CROUCHELLI Apr02 Mar17 Dec16 Nov05 Oct22 (vukelic robert )GOMEZ KEVIN 123 10.00    
SAVOY Apr15 Mar25 Jan29 Jan21 Dec30 (mohan r)HIRALDO JOHN 123 20.00 9% 10.00    
 
LRL-8   05/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($25K) 35 M/F PT- 3:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOOKING FOR FLARE Apr08 Aug27 Aug05     (bailes )ORTIZ ORLANDO 114 10.00 7% 12.80    
DESPITE THE GIN Apr02 Mar12 Jan15 Sep10   (plummer b)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 126 4.00    
TIPSY TOURIST Apr02 Mar12 Feb20 Jan29 Jan13 (eubanks)BRICENO GREGOR 122 4.50 28% 2.60    
SCR  GINGER BERRIES Feb03         (morgan carla)ROSADO JOHAN 118 15.00    
LILY MOR Apr02 Mar01       (cox kennet)RIVERA R 111 6.00 31% 2.20    
LADY LANCER Apr16 Mar24 Mar03 Feb10 Jan07 (sepulveda carlo)GOMEZ KEVIN 118 2.00    
TOOSWEETFORME Mar29 Mar08 Feb05 Sep26 Sep05 (corrales jose)ARAUJO DENIS 122 3.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.