Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Saturday - May 06, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/5)-(2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $1.00 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/5)-(1/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/3/5)-(1/6/3)-(5/1/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TAM-2   WIN (1/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/3)-(1/6/3/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/6/3)-(1/6/3/7)-(1/6/3/7) 18 $1.00 $9.00 
    DD (1/6/3)-(5/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/6/3)-(5/1/3)-(7/3/8/10) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-3   WIN (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/3)-(5/1/3/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/1/3)-(5/1/3/7)-(5/1/3/7) 18 $1.00 $9.00 
    DD (5/1/3)-(7/3/8/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/3)-(7/3/8/10)-(2/8/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-4   WIN (7/3/8/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/8/10)-(7/3/8/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/8/10)-(7/3/8/10)-(7/3/8/10) 24 $1.00 $12.00 
    DD (7/3/8/10)-(2/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/3/8/10)-(2/8/4)-(7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TAM-5   WIN (2/8/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/8/4)-(2/8/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/8/4)-(2/8/4)-(2/8/4) 6 $1.00 $3.00 
    DD (2/8/4)-(7) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (2/8/4)-(7)-(3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
TAM-6   WIN (7) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (7)-(7/3/5/4) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    TRI (7)-(7/3/5/4)-(7/3/5/4) 6 $1.00 $3.00 
    DD (7)-(3/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (7)-(3/2)-(6/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
TAM-7   WIN (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/2)-(3/2/4/6/9) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (3/2)-(3/2/4/6/9)-(3/2/4/6/9) 24 $1.00 $12.00 
    DD (3/2)-(6/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (3/2)-(6/5)-(2/7/4/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
TAM-8   WIN (6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/5)-(6/5/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5)-(6/5/7/3)-(6/5/7/3) 12 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/5)-(2/7/4/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/5)-(2/7/4/6)-(2/6/8/10/1) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
TAM-9   WIN (2/7/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/4/6)-(2/7/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/4/6)-(2/7/4/6)-(2/7/4/6) 24 $1.00 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/4/6)-(2/6/8/10/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TAM-10   WIN (2/6/8/10/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/6/8/10/1)-(2/6/8/10/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/6/8/10/1)-(2/6/8/10/1)-(2/6/8/10/1) 60 $1.00 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   05/06/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT-12:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRUE ATKA Apr08 Mar08 Mar01 Feb10 Feb03 (ochoa gerard)BATISTA A 118 12.00    
2  SHALL RETURN Apr19 Feb11 Jan01     (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 118 1.60 46% 1.20    
3  IMPERIAL MOON Feb15 Feb01 Jan09 Dec14 Oct26 (acker d)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 3.00 26% 2.90    
SCR  HANNITA'S EMPIRE Mar19 Feb26 Jan27 Dec16 Nov27 (bennett s)FERRER C 118 2.00    
5  CSILLA Apr19 Apr05 Mar18 Mar03 Feb19 (rarick lynn)SOSA LAUREANO 111 6.00 7% 13.10    
6  DRILL'S VALENTINE Apr05 Mar19 Feb26 Feb01 Dec09 (chavez a)ALICEA JEREMY 111 20.00    
 
TAM-2   05/06/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT-12:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LORD OF THE NILE Apr19 Apr05 Mar24 Mar05 Feb22 (dobber arnoud )CAMACHO SAMY 126 1.60 35% 1.80    
2  FOREVER SAUCY Apr30 Apr14 Mar08 Feb15 Feb05 (ochoa gerard)JIMENEZ MANNY 118 10.00    
3  THE POINT ROAD Apr30 Apr05 Mar24 Mar05 Feb22 (chavez jose)QUINONEZ ALONSO 126 4.00 11% 7.80    
4  LUCKY DAY A'COMIN Apr07 Mar08 Dec09 Oct20   (cascallare)ALONSO LUIS 118 15.00    
5  BARONS BLITZ Apr28 Apr15       (wasiluk pete)GARCIA GEOVANY 118 15.00    
6  FIRST SQUAD Jan14         (klesaris ste)BATISTA A 118 3.50 26% 2.80    
7  SEAX Apr29 Apr21 Apr07 Mar22 Feb09 (ochoa gerard)FERRER C 118 10.00 ★    
8  TEA'S DREAM Apr26 Apr08 Mar08 Jan08 Dec21 (wasiluk peter )ALLEN D 121 6.00    
 
TAM-3   05/06/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOLY MEISTER Apr16 Feb01       (marino gar)ALONSO LUIS 122 8.00 13% 6.40    
2  LITIGANT Mar25 Feb08 Jan25 Jan13 Dec14 (ochoa gerard)JIMENEZ MANNY 122 2.00    
3  LORD BARNA Apr14 Mar24 Mar05 Jan25 Jan04 (o'connell kathle)FERRER C 122 4.50 9% 10.50    
4  GABBYS BIG NOTION Feb10 Feb04 Dec12 Nov23 Oct21 (duffy sean)MARTIN MATTIE 115 30.00    
5  PRINCE AMADEUS Apr14 Mar11 Feb12 Dec29 Dec21 (barboza vict)BATISTA A 122 1.80 52% 0.90    
6  SHAKEM N BREAKEM Apr14 Mar12 Feb19 Jan06 Dec09 (dominguez r)MERA C 122 20.00    
7  LAST PROMISE Apr29 Apr14 Mar31 Nov03 Oct20 (padilla tim)FUENTES MARIO 122 4.00 ★    
 
TAM-4   05/06/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MAMA LONGLEGS Apr29 Apr05 Mar15 Feb25 Feb04 (harris nancy)USKE S 118 30.00    
SCR  ANNIE UP BUCK Jan08 Dec24 Sep29 Sep13 Aug29 (guciardo kath)SOSA LAUREANO 111 15.00    
3  STRIKING CHROME Apr07 Mar17 Feb18 Aug06 Jul17 (bennett geral)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 4.00 13% 6.50    
4  WOODS HOLE Apr08 Mar10 Feb19 Feb10 Jan20 (wismer glen)MARIN A 118 10.00    
5  MARYNMIKE Apr08         (lusk r)FUENTES MARIO 118 10.00    
SCR  SERENADE A KITTEN Apr21 Apr09 Mar09 Feb15 Dec26 (sanchez amad)MENESES MARCOS 118 2.50    
7  COOL FRONT Apr14 Mar25 Mar12 Feb19 Jan25 (dini mike)CAMACHO SAMY 118 3.00 31% 2.20    
8  SHE B GLAMOROUS Mar08 Feb05 Jan25 Oct23 Oct02 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 10.00 12% 7.20    
SCR  R D BLESSING Apr22 Apr15 Jan27 Jan01 Dec23 (drake robert)FERRER C 118 30.00    
10  LIZZ A BEE Apr14 Mar19 Feb19 Feb08 Jan21 (cahill steven )ALLEN D 118 15.00 11% 8.50    
11  LOOKINLIKEAQUEEN Mar03 Feb03 Jan14 Dec31 Dec09 (mcgoey monic)BATISTA A 118 3.00    
12  HARDLY SOCIAL Jan25 Dec29 Dec04 Nov11 Oct28 (dobles saman)MENESES MARCOS 118 3.50    
 
TAM-5   05/06/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUALITY TOO SPARE Apr23 Mar31 Nov23 Sep08 Aug22 (spanabel kell)IORIO MELISSA 114 20.00    
2  DIVINE CONNECTION Mar09 Jan19 Oct14 Oct02 Sep02 (barboza victor)CAMACHO SAMY 124 1.80 50% 1.00    
SCR  RAISON THE GLASS Apr27 Feb11 Jan13 Dec14 Oct21 (kelly blake)MENESES MARCOS 124 12.00    
4  MYLASTREDCENT Apr19 Apr01 Mar01 Feb08   (paragallo jen)SOSA LAUREANO 117 5.00 6% 15.20    
5  MUGURUZA Mar17 Feb17 Jan27 Jan04 Dec14 (morzan e)FERRER C 124 4.50    
6  UNIFIED RIDE Apr12 Mar25 Aug02 Jun11 May07 (dini mike)ALLEN D 126 6.00    
SCR  WITCH OF LOVE Feb22 Dec21 Nov27 Oct29 Oct02 (barboza victo)ALICEA JEREMY 117 6.00    
8  GLEAMING BRUTALITY Apr15 Mar25 Mar01 Jan15 Sep24 (klesaris ste)BATISTA A 124 6.00 20% 4.10    
 
TAM-6   05/06/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IN THE KNOW Feb11 Dec23       (hennessy joseph)FERRER C 118 15.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of SECRET AGENDA by NOT FOR LOVE)
2  LIVELY REMARK Apr23 Apr15 Apr01 Mar10 Jan29 (nunn douglas)MENA E 125 20.00    
  (by THE JOKE IS OVER out of HONEY GO LIVELY by T J JACKSON)
3  BACK OFF ME Mar31 Mar10       (russo j)LOPEZ E 125 5.00 ★    
  (by TONALIST out of QUANT by WAR FRONT)
4  RISKY TIZZY Apr12 Mar04       (munoz carlo)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 8.00 ★    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of FULLY EQUIPPED by MORE THAN READY)
5  PARTY DREAM Apr30 Mar04 Jan29 Jan01   (barbazoniii lest)BRACHO A 118 6.00 ★    
  (by JESS'S DREAM out of PEGGY JOYCE by AFTER MARKET)
6  JUSTDOITALREADY Mar12         (harty eoin)SOSA LAUREANO 111 10.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of CONCINNOUS by EL CORREDOR)
7  ROMAN FLAME Apr15 Mar26 Feb25 Jan14 Nov10 (sanchez amad)MENESES MARCOS 118 0.60 69% 0.50    
  (by FROSTED (GB) out of ROMANA RULER by ROMAN RULER)
 
TAM-7   05/06/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KALINBA Apr30 Apr22 Apr08 Mar12 Feb26 (cascallare)ALONSO LUIS 125 10.00    
2  TRUTH AND HONESTY         (hennessy j)MITCHELL RICHARD 125 20.00 22% 3.50    
3  CAJUN CRACKER Apr29 Apr12 Jan11 Dec16 Dec02 (king clarence )MENDEZ KEVIN 125 2.50 46% 1.20    
4  HIGHJUMP CHARLIE Apr22 Apr05 Mar12 Feb26 Feb12 (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 125 8.00 ★    
SCR  DEACON ELI Apr29 Apr15 Mar18 Feb26 Feb12 (tsirigotis jam)SUAREZ JESUS 125 30.00    
6  STREET COP OFFICER Apr14 Mar31 Mar10 Feb22 Feb01 (philipp karyn)BRACHO A 118 6.00 ★    
7  HEAVY WEIGHT May03 Apr22 Apr08 Mar29 Mar04 (negrete javier)FERRER C 123 12.00    
8  RAGING WHIRLWIND Apr19 Apr08 Mar24 Feb22 Feb12 (chain pearl)MENESES MARCOS 125 3.00    
9  HE'S CONNECTED Apr07 Feb17 Jan27 Dec28 Dec03 (padilla tim)SOSA LAUREANO 111 4.50 ★    
10  RECTANGLE Apr19 Mar04 Feb22 Aug23 Aug10 (cascallares ne)ALLEN D 125 20.00    
11  PERSONAL FINANCE Apr29 Mar29 Mar18 Feb15 Jan27 (carrascojr vict)MENA E 118 30.00    
 
TAM-8   05/06/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($27K) 3 ALL PT- 4:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IMAGOODFELLA Apr08 Jan20 Dec28 Nov25 Oct07 (russo j)LOPEZ E 118 15.00    
2  BIG LOUIE Apr26 Apr07       (cascallares n)FUENTES MARIO 118 10.00    
3  DENYING Apr26 Apr08 Mar19 Mar08 Feb22 (dobber arn)MITCHELL RICHARD 118 12.00 ★    
4  AWESOME HONOR Apr23 Apr14 Feb19 Jan27 Jan14 (cordero anto)MENESES MARCOS 118 15.00    
5  SUMMER BEE Apr21 Mar24 Mar11 Jan08 Dec17 (dini mike)CAMACHO SAMY 118 1.60 29% 2.40    
6  TEE AT ONE Apr07 Mar10       (vinson john )BATISTA A 122 2.50 45% 1.20    
7  CRAFTY KING Apr21 Mar04 Feb11 Sep10 Aug12 (bennett s)FERRER C 118 2.50 ★    
 
TAM-9   05/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($27K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ASTRONAUT OSCAR Apr01 Mar15 Feb01 Sep17 Aug17 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 4.50    
2  DESERT RULER Apr29 Apr01 Feb25 Jan20 Dec23 (amado enrique)CAMACHO SAMY 122 2.00 35% 1.90    
3  ERLAN Apr12 Mar19 Mar01 Feb11   (cascallares )MENESES MARCOS 122 20.00    
4  KING CAIRO Apr22 Mar05 Feb19 Jan28 Jan06 (rigattieri j)BATISTA A 122 4.00 14% 6.30    
5  THE BIG CALICO Apr21 Mar15 Mar01 Feb11 Oct08 (cascallares n)SOSA LAUREANO 113 12.00    
6  LORD BERRIER Apr19 Apr02 Mar03 Feb01 Jan11 (werneth rob)MARIN A 118 5.00 10% 8.70    
7  NOBLE FISH Apr14         (rigattieri john)MENA E 122 3.00 19% 4.30    
 
TAM-10   05/06/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GUNMAN Apr28 Apr19 Mar26 Mar12 Feb19 (manchan be)MITCHELL RICHARD 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  JOYFUL HEART Apr23 Apr05 Jan14 Dec14 Dec03 (chavez jose)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 4.00 34% 2.00    
SCR  ANVIL Apr28 Mar03 Jan20 Jan06 Nov26 (parra hernan)MENDEZ KEVIN 119 20.00    
4  IN HONOR OF ARTIE Apr22 Apr02 Mar17 Feb22 Feb01 (dominguez )SANCHEZ LEXANDER 119 12.00    
5  MR. SARCASTIC Apr22 Apr08 Mar26 Mar10 Feb24 (richards rena)MARTIN MATTIE 112 6.00    
6  IT'S FATE Apr26 Apr05 Mar18 Feb18 Feb01 (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 119 8.00 15% 5.80    
7  VINTNER Apr08 Mar18 Feb26 Jan28 Jan11 (yanez r)CAMACHO SAMY 119 3.00    
8  MISTA DONZELLA Apr22 Apr08 Mar26 Mar10 Feb22 (wasiluk peter )ALLEN D 121 6.00 7% 13.40    
SCR  SEVENTY SEVENTYCAT Mar18 Mar04 Feb05 Feb01 Dec30 (drake robert)MENESES MARCOS 119 10.00    
10  FLY FLY AWAY Apr14 Feb24 Feb11 Jan28 Jan06 (cahill steven)SOSA LAUREANO 112 5.00 6% 14.80    
11  STAGE READY Apr16 Sep03 Aug20 Jul30 May27 (hernandez san)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 3.50    
12  BORGOBYTHESEA Apr14 Feb24 Feb11 Jan04 Dec10 (carrascojr )QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 2.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.