Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Saturday - May 06, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (2/1/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/8/6)-(2/1/8/6/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/1/8/6)-(2/1/8/6/3)-(2/1/8/6/3) 48 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (2/1/8/6)-(1/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/1/8/6)-(1/7)-(3/1/5/7) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
CT-2   WIN (1/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/7)-(1/7/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7)-(1/7/4/6)-(1/7/4/6) 12 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/7)-(3/1/5/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/7)-(3/1/5/7)-(2/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CT-3   WIN (3/1/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/5/7)-(3/1/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/5/7)-(3/1/5/7)-(3/1/5/7) 24 $1.00 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/5/7)-(2/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/1/5/7)-(2/5)-(8/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CT-4   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/5)-(2/5/8/4/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (2/5)-(2/5/8/4/6)-(2/5/8/4/6) 24 $1.00 $12.00 
    DD (2/5)-(8/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (2/5)-(8/5)-(2/7/10/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CT-5   WIN (8/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/5)-(8/5/4/10) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/5)-(8/5/4/10)-(8/5/4/10) 12 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (8/5)-(2/7/10/9) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (8/5)-(2/7/10/9)-(2/4/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CT-6   WIN (2/7/10/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/10/9)-(2/7/10/9/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/7/10/9)-(2/7/10/9/3)-(2/7/10/9/3) 48 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (2/7/10/9)-(2/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/7/10/9)-(2/4/6)-(7/1/6/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-7   WIN (2/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/6)-(2/4/6/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/6)-(2/4/6/8/7)-(2/4/6/8/7) 36 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (2/4/6)-(7/1/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-8   WIN (7/1/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/6/2)-(7/1/6/2/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/1/6/2)-(7/1/6/2/8)-(7/1/6/2/8) 48 $1.00 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   05/06/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WE B SHACKIN Apr01 Mar11 Feb04 Nov17   (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 122 6.00 14% 6.10    
2  JOHNNY SWISH Apr14 Mar25 Mar02 Feb10 Jan21 (knoblauc)BUTTERFLY L 124 8.00 54% 0.80    
3  CHARITABLE SPENNY Apr07 Mar17 Feb23 Jan28 Jan04 (dollinger-sth)RIVERA JAVIER 124 15.00 ★    
4  MAKE THE WAY CLEAR Apr27 Apr14 Apr01 Mar23 Mar02 (pennella m)CECIL Y 122 30.00    
5  SHOULDA HAD IT Apr01 Mar10 Mar03 Feb20 Feb12 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 120 4.00    
6  GOT FLOFFY Mar30 Mar09 Feb22 Feb10 Jan19 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  MI GUSTO ES Apr21 Mar30 Mar17 Feb23 Feb04 (sandoval mi)RAMGEET R 124 12.00    
8  SPRING THE BEAST Apr06 Mar17 Mar05 Feb12 Jan27 (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 122 3.50 6% 14.90    
9  MR. MOX Mar23 Mar05 Nov27 Oct08 Sep05 (allen a)ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 1.60    
 
CT-2   05/06/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWISS LEGACY Apr06 Apr27 Mar02 Feb04   (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 1.40 49% 1.00    
2  NICE BUT NAUGHTY Apr20 Apr07 Feb23 Jan28 Jan04 (jackson ange)MORALES KELVIN 120 20.00    
3  WINDSOR'S TRACKER Apr20 Apr06 Mar16 Mar02 Feb15 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 4.00    
4  HARPERSGONEFISHING Apr13 Mar18 Jan04 Nov23 Nov08 (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 4.50 ★    
5  S S SPARTAN ENERGY Apr06 Mar11 Feb17 Jan26 Dec17 (johnson ja)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 6.00    
6  BERNIE THE GAMBLER Apr20 Apr06 Mar16 Mar02 Dec10 (jones e)ACOSTA D 122 10.00 ★    
7  FELICIAS CASTLE Apr28 Apr06 Mar16 Mar02 Jan27 (smith osborne)SIMPSON JASON 122 5.00 11% 7.90    
8  MEGALODON'SREVENGE Apr13 Mar16 Jan12 Dec16 Nov10 (boggs joann)RAMGEET R 120 30.00    
 
CT-3   05/06/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRINCESS MIA ROSE Apr20 Mar25 Mar09 Feb15 Jan25 (aylor natash)MARRERO CARLOS 122 8.00 15% 5.90    
2  SISTER SPIRIT Feb25 Feb12 Feb04 Jan15 Dec29 (aylor natasha)ADAMS L 109 15.00    
3  SEEMS TO WHISPER Nov13 Oct29 Oct09 Aug20 Jul20 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.60 39% 1.50    
4  WAY LUCKY Apr15 Sep17 Sep04 Aug29 Aug13 (demario charle)ARAUJO DENIS 124 5.00    
5  CHANTILLY MOON (PER) Apr27 Apr15 Apr06 Mar25   (brown keit)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 10.00 11% 8.00    
SCR  MADI'S TUNE         (kravets m)ACOSTA D 124 4.50    
7  WAVERLEY Apr02 Feb25 Feb04 Jan15 Dec29 (bailes r)RIVERA R 111 6.00 10% 8.70    
8  OUR GOLDEN COLLEEN Apr15 Mar25 Feb15 Jan21 Jan04 (hummer )NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 20.00    
9  COWGIRL HOP Apr15 Mar26 Mar16 Feb23 Feb09 (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 118 20.00    
SCR  MIDSUMMER NIGHTS Mar09 Feb25 Jan25 Jan13 Dec02 (shanley mark)CECIL Y 122 15.00    
 
CT-4   05/06/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AKINGISALWAYSKING Nov29 Nov24 Nov02 Oct12 Oct01 (ovando me)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 10.00    
2  CHEERS FOR KITTEN Apr21 Mar19 Feb04 Dec18   (farrior anthony)CRUZ ANGEL 122 3.00 46% 1.20    
3  TYLER TIME Apr14 Mar04 Feb19 Jan25 Jan08 (mcfarlane )LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 10.00    
4  ITS OVER Apr01 Mar11 Feb10 Jan20 Jan06 (scott a)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 6.00 ★    
5  FULL AHEAD Apr13 Mar16 Mar09 Jan15   (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 4.00 30% 2.40    
6  HAPPY CHARLIE Mar02 Jan06 Dec22 Dec09 Mar10 (gazzier kristy)RODRIGUEZ V 120 4.50 ★    
7  EARTHQUAKEDIRECTOR Apr14 Apr01 Jan21 Jan05 Dec02 (pyke josep)RIVERA R 113 30.00    
8  FLAT CAT Apr22 Jun04 May14 Apr29 Apr08 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 3.50 ★    
9  PROUD UNION Mar04 Feb10 Jan20 Jan07 Dec03 (viands r)ACOSTA D 120 15.00    
10  FOREVER THE BOSS Apr14 Mar25 Mar11 Feb22 Jan25 (aylor natash)MARRERO CARLOS 122 30.00    
 
CT-5   05/06/2023 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOTHETRAINSTATION Apr27 Apr08 Mar30 Mar18   (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 118 30.00    
2  SMALL PAW Apr13 Nov09 Oct15 Sep24 Aug20 (jackson ang)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 6.00    
3  BOO TOO Apr13 Mar10 Feb23 Jan11 Dec17 (boggs joanna)RODRIGUEZ V 124 10.00    
4  RIVER ROYALE R V F Apr13 Feb23 Jan04 Nov26   (runco jeff)RIVERA R 115 3.50 ★    
5  ALLEGHENY HERO Apr14 Mar24 Mar10 Feb23 Jan26 (grams c)BOCACHICA O 122 3.00 5% 18.50    
6  JUBA'S YANKEE ONE Apr14 Mar24 Mar10 Feb23 Jan11 (racanelli mar)SIMPSON JASON 122 20.00    
7  MEETMARYSMAN Apr29 Apr06 Mar16     (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 124 15.00    
8  DRUNK TEXT Apr22         (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 2.50 65% 0.50    
SCR  IRISH FLIGHT Jan28 Jan04 Aug19 Jun02   (espinosa victo)ARAUJO DENIS 124 10.00 ★    
10  OCEAN STORM         (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 12.00 ★    
SCR  METALLIC CAT         (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 118 5.00    
 
CT-6   05/06/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHEMADEMELUCKY Mar24 Feb26 Feb10 Jan12 Dec27 (pennella rhea )RIOS-CONDE A 124 20.00    
2  SHINY PENNY Apr15 Mar24 Mar04 Feb25 Feb04 (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 4.00 29% 2.40    
3  JALEBI BABY Apr15 Mar30 Mar04 Jan26 Jan05 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 4.50 ★    
4  SALTY SAUL Apr14 Mar04 Feb10 Jan11 Nov09 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 122 20.00    
5  CASTLE OF CAYLEE Apr13 Mar17 Feb24 Jan19 Jan07 (rideout anthony)RODRIGUEZ V 122 8.00    
6  SWEET ANNABELLA Apr15 Mar24 Feb22 Feb11 Jan27 (brown keit)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 12.00    
7  CLEARLY VISIBLE Apr15 Mar02 Feb11 Jan21 Dec16 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 3.50 22% 3.60    
8  SAX Apr15 Mar18 Mar04 Jan05 Dec17 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 122 8.00    
9  DON'T TELL GRANDMA Apr15 Feb22 Dec03 Nov12 Oct22 (runco jeff)RIVERA R 115 5.00 7% 13.80    
10  CENTERFOLD ANGEL Apr15 Jan25 Dec02 Oct15 Sep03 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 8.00 21% 3.80    
SCR  CONGRESS HALL Apr20 Mar26 Feb26 Feb04 Jan06 (mcfarlane)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 6.00    
 
CT-7   05/06/2023 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20.7K) 3UP M/F PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RED QUEEN Apr20 Mar26 Feb03 Jan08 Dec31 (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 120 20.00    
2  TEQUILA FOG Apr15 Mar30 Mar18 May20 Apr28 (farrior anthony)CRUZ ANGEL 120 5.00 40% 1.50    
3  GOLDEN SWEETS Apr15 Mar23 Feb23 Feb04 Jan27 (bass c)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 10.00    
4  DIVINE FASHION Apr15 Mar12 Feb23 Feb11 Jan21 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 4.50 26% 2.90    
5  ACADIAN GIRL Apr01 Mar11 Jan27 Oct06 Sep04 (geralis emanuel )ACOSTA D 122 1.40    
6  KALENJIN Apr15 Jan15       (cornwell jr)HO WESLEY 120 12.00 10% 9.50    
7  TIZ MICHELLE'S WAY Apr21 Mar30 Feb11 Jan21 Oct29 (brown keit)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 12.00 ★    
8  DAT DARES GOLD Apr15 Mar30 Mar18 Mar04 Jan25 (haynes erne)RAMGEET R 120 8.00 ★    
9  CHINA CAT Apr08 Mar04 Feb11 Jan21 Jan05 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 10.00    
 
CT-8   05/06/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPUNKY ZOEY Apr20 Mar30 Feb24 Feb08 Jan26 (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 122 6.00 32% 2.10    
2  CURLIN'S DOVE Apr06 Nov17 Nov04 Oct08 Jun09 (reynolds a)HO WESLEY 122 3.50 6% 15.50    
3  FORT ZANNA Mar17 Mar04 Feb04 Jan12 Dec16 (conn p)LARROSA G 120 20.00    
4  RIGHT TO ASSEMBLE Apr20 Apr06 Mar09 Feb10 Jan14 (dillon l)RODRIGUEZ V 122 20.00    
5  PRETTY SPECTACULAR Apr20 Mar31 Mar10 Mar04 Feb11 (ramos m)RIOS-CONDE A 120 20.00    
6  JACCACI Feb23 Feb04 Dec14 Nov18 Nov02 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 5.00 8% 11.20    
7  IRISH SAMURAI Apr15 Mar31 Mar17 Mar04 Feb11 (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 3.00 33% 2.00    
8  LADY WHISTLEDOWN Mar30 Mar04 Feb11 Jan22 Dec10 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.00 ★    
9  FLAT OUT COOL Apr20 Mar30 Mar05 Feb03 Jan11 (cornwell jame)RIVERA JAVIER 120 12.00    
10  ULTIMATE BREEZE Apr15 Mar30 Mar04 Feb11 Jan26 (sandoval michae)PELTROCHE F 122 15.00    
SCR  CONDUCTANCE Apr15 Mar26 Mar05 Feb23 Jan13 (smith valrie)HO WESLEY 122 6.00    
SCR  BESTLA Mar17 Mar04 Jan07 Apr28 Apr07 (sandoval michae)BOCACHICA O 122 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.