Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Friday - April 28, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/4)-(1/2/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/2/4)-(1/2/4/6)-(1/2/4/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/2/4)-(4/7/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/4)-(4/7/1/6)-(2/8/12) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-2   WIN (4/7/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/1/6)-(4/7/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/1/6)-(4/7/1/6)-(4/7/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/7/1/6)-(2/8/12) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/7/1/6)-(2/8/12)-(3/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CT-3   WIN (2/8/12) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/8/12)-(2/8/12) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/8/12)-(2/8/12)-(2/8/12) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/8/12)-(3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/8/12)-(3/4)-(9/1/10) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
CT-4   WIN (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/4)-(3/4/9/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4)-(3/4/9/8)-(3/4/9/8) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (3/4)-(9/1/10) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/4)-(9/1/10)-(8/10/1/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CT-5   WIN (9/1/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/1/10)-(9/1/10/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (9/1/10)-(9/1/10/7)-(9/1/10/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (9/1/10)-(8/10/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/1/10)-(8/10/1/6)-(4/2/5/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-6   WIN (8/10/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/10/1/6)-(8/10/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/10/1/6)-(8/10/1/6)-(8/10/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/10/1/6)-(4/2/5/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/10/1/6)-(4/2/5/7)-(7/1) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
CT-7   WIN (4/2/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/5/7)-(4/2/5/3/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/2/5/7)-(4/2/5/3/7)-(4/2/5/3/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/2/5/7)-(7/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
CT-8   WIN (7/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/1)-(7/1/9/6/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (7/1)-(7/1/9/6/8)-(7/1/9/6/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   04/28/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EMBERLY Mar25 Jan14 Dec14 Oct26 Aug18 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 0.60 57% 0.70    
2  REAL APPEAL (GER) Apr07 Apr01 Mar18 Jan18 Dec01 (joy kevin )LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 6.00 10% 9.50    
3  FIFTY GRAY SHADES Jan20 Nov09 Sep21 Aug06 Jul22 (groves janice)RIOS-CONDE A 122 8.00    
4  DIVA ROSE Mar25 Jan18 Dec07 Nov16 Sep28 (craig l)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 5.00 7% 14.20    
5  HANDSOME JOANIE Feb16 Jan20 Nov09 Oct19 Sep15 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 120 10.00    
6  YESSIROFFICER Mar30 Feb16 Nov09 Oct19 Sep21 (carlisle john)RIVERA JAVIER 120 12.00 ★    
7  WOODSONG'S CASTLE Apr13 Mar18 Mar04 Feb24 Feb02 (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 120 15.00    
 
CT-2   04/28/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3 ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDEN ADAGE Apr08         (viands stacey )ARAUJO DENIS 122 6.00 17% 5.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of TWISTED ADAGE by HARD SPUN)
2  TAKE AIM Apr08 Mar11 Mar02 Feb18 Feb01 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 15.00    
  (by UNIFIED out of WILD EYED by INDIAN CHARLIE)
3  MILLBANK MAN Apr21 Mar31 Mar10 Feb25   (pickett cry)RAMGEET R 122 4.50    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of LAURIE'S CHOICE by CONGRATS)
4  ROCK ANNA ROLL Mar31 Mar17 Feb10 Jan25   (stites fli)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 3.50 25% 3.00    
  (by FAST ANNA out of DECO ROCKS by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
5  TOUCHDOWN MONTAGE Mar10         (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 6.00    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of CHEERLEADER by BOLD REASON)
6  CORRECTED PEDIGREE Mar24         (perri gina)MONTERREY R 122 4.00 17% 5.00    
  (by GORMLEY out of STORMIN' TAFFY by SEEKING THE DIA)
7  RAGTIME RICHES Apr14 Mar19 Feb26     (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.50 21% 3.80    
  (by POINT OF ENTRY out of MISS CLAIRTON by MARJU (IRE))
8  MAJOR NELSON Apr01 Mar17 Mar10 Feb25   (caison )NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 20.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of GREAT LOOKINBLONDE by ALBERT THE GREAT)
 
CT-3   04/28/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOCA BIRDIE Mar31 Mar18 Mar10 Feb16 Jan05 (atkins mi)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 30.00    
2  ARROWWOOD Apr06 Feb24 Feb01 Dec10 Nov18 (runco jeff)RIVERA R 115 2.50 51% 1.00    
SCR  REVEIRS MINUTE Apr06 Mar04 Feb25 Jan19 Dec10 (hess jacob )MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 3.50    
4  TIZBIT Apr06 Mar18 Mar02 Feb01 Jan19 (gillesp)NUNEZ ANAHI 124 6.00    
5  TAPPING SOUTH Apr06 Mar18 Feb23 Feb04 Oct12 (barahona )HERNANDEZ F 122 20.00    
6  DROPKICK QUEEN Mar19 Feb25 Feb05 Jan20 Jan06 (lucas antho)RAMGEET R 118 5.00    
7  SUPERSTASIA Mar18 Feb25 Jan26 Jan12 Dec17 (rangel ricardo)RODRIGUEZ V 120 50.00    
8  KATALIMA Apr06 Mar18 Feb25 Feb04 Jan14 (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 3.00 12% 7.50    
SCR  JACCACI Feb23 Feb04 Dec14 Nov18 Nov02 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 12.00    
10  HOVEL Apr06 Mar17 Nov16 Oct26 Oct06 (davis russell )ARAUJO DENIS 116 20.00    
SCR  M'LADY THATCHER Apr06 Mar12 Jan29 Jan01 Dec11 (viands gregory)BOCACHICA O 122 4.00 6% 14.70    
12  MOIRAINE Apr13 Nov26 Oct27 Sep15 Aug26 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 4.50 5% 19.00    
SCR  COFFEE BEAN Apr15 Apr02 Mar12 Feb26 Feb20 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 8.00    
SCR  INCONTROVERTIBLE May01 Mar04 Feb04 Jan06   (meister willia)HIRALDO JOHN 122 6.00 8% 11.90    
 
CT-4   04/28/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLONDE SAMARITAN Apr16 Mar11 Feb23 Feb09 Dec04 (ramirez j)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 116 15.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of MARAZION GIRL by BELLAMY ROAD)
SCR  ALL THE ENVY Mar17 Feb23 Feb09 Jan18 Nov16 (shanley m)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 116 12.00    
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of LALKA by DYNAFORMER)
3  ALICORN Aug15         (perri gina)MONTERREY R 116 3.50 35% 1.90    
  (by V. E. DAY out of FAREWELL SALLY by BALL'S BLUFF)
4  SOMEBODY LOVES ME Apr15 Mar17 Feb25 Feb10 Jan29 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 124 4.00 33% 2.10    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of SUCCESSFUL LUCK by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
5  SHE'S MYBUDDYBUDDY Feb09 Jan13 Dec08 Nov17 Oct26 (haynes erne)RAMGEET R 116 4.50    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of THREE GRACES by DONERAILE COURT)
6  AWESOME LUCKYCHARM         (rangel ricardo)RODRIGUEZ V 124 20.00    
  (by BLANK CHECK out of BORREGOSLUCKYCHARM by BORREGO)
SCR  SKY BUY Apr02         (perri gina)ALVELO C 116 8.00 9% 9.70    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of SPA DAY by SMOKE GLACKEN)
8  CUT FROM CLASS         (keil d)GOMEZ KEVIN 124 5.00 ★    
  (by BLAME out of DEBBIE'S DIAMOND by SILVER CHARM)
9  GILDED QUEST Apr15 Dec14 Dec02 Oct28 Oct05 (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 124 10.00 ★    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of GILDED LILY by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
SCR  WILD GIRL         (caiazzo corby)BOCACHICA O 116 8.00    
  (by JUMP START out of WISENBOSSY by WISEMAN'S FERRY)
11  DREAM OF GOLD Dec08 Nov17 Oct28 Oct06   (haynes er)HERNANDEZ F 116 12.00    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of CRIMSON AND GOLD by DISTORTED HUMOR)
 
CT-5   04/28/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRUMPY'S BUDDY Apr06 Mar18 Feb15 Jan25 Dec14 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 3.00 17% 4.90    
2  STROLLINGINTHEWIND Apr07 Mar30 Mar10 Feb01 Dec17 (sigler ronald )ARAUJO DENIS 116 10.00    
SCR  HILLBILLY ROCK Apr07 Mar18 Feb23 Feb09 Jan11 (atkins )NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 30.00    
4  NEVERPOPTHECORK Apr06 Mar18 Feb16 Jan07 Dec03 (petty kristy)BOCACHICA O 116 15.00    
5  GATTO BE PROUD Mar30 Feb15       (contre)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 4.00    
6  IN HIGH GEAR Apr06 Mar30 Mar10 Feb23 Feb09 (mcdonald ti)RAMGEET R 120 15.00    
7  FELICIAS CASTLE Apr06 Mar16 Mar02 Jan27 Nov30 (smith osborne)SIMPSON JASON 120 15.00 ★    
8  NEVERFOLD Apr06 Mar25 Feb23 Feb09 Dec29 (ashby randy)ACOSTA D 120 8.00    
9  I'M THE MONEY MAN Apr06 Dec14 Nov19 Nov02   (sigler g)LARROSA G 116 3.50 27% 2.60    
10  I'LLTAKECAREOFIT Mar31         (petty kris)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 4.00 6% 16.20    
11  DON'TCALLTOOEARLY Apr08 Mar18 Jan28 Jan04 Nov05 (atkins mi)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 12.00    
SCR  RIVER MALBUMOONRVF Jan28 Oct20 Sep29 Sep08 Aug19 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 2.50 25% 3.00    
SCR  MARCHED Mar18 Feb25 Feb09 Jan26 Jan07 (kee j)RODRIGUEZ V 120 6.00    
 
CT-6   04/28/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COWGIRL ATTITUDE         (grams c)PELTROCHE F 116 4.00 19% 4.40    
  (by STREET MAGICIAN out of COWGIRL CUT by JUMP START)
2  LADY ALDRIN Apr07         (ceciliano misael)LARROSA G 116 30.00    
  (by ALDRIN out of WEARY BLUES by MELODISK)
3  LAURA'S GRAND Apr07 Mar23 Mar01 Feb22 Feb02 (pyke jose)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 50.00    
  (by SUPER NINETY NINE out of GRAND NAJMAH by GRAND REWARD)
4  KYOTO KAT         (schottroffe edwar)CECIL Y 124 15.00    
  (by GATTOPARDO out of GRACEADIEU by CAPTAIN RED)
5  TAPTAP Apr07 Mar01 Nov24 Nov03 Oct06 (pyke josep)RIVERA R 117 20.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of STEAL THE APPEAL by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
6  PHANTOM QUEEN Apr07 Mar16 Jan18 Dec15   (greaves ve)ALMODOVAR GERALD 124 4.50 5% 19.00    
  (by LIMEHOUSE out of CLAQUE by EXCHANGE RATE)
7  ITSUPTOME         (grams t)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 10.00    
  (by WEAVE IT TO ME out of UP CLOSE by WINDSOR CASTLE)
8  LIVANA Sep17 Sep02 Aug09 Jul12   (figgins oll)MENDEZ MARSHALL 116 1.80 30% 2.30    
  (by ALDRIN out of NASHI by E DUBAI)
9  KNOBIESMAGICSONDE Apr07 Mar01 Jan11 Nov03 Oct06 (scott h)RODRIGUEZ V 124 6.00    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of KNOBIE by RACE ON GREEN)
10  SHEWEARSSTILETTOS Apr07         (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 116 5.00 25% 2.90    
  (by EXCLUSIVE QUALITY out of SECRET TRACKER by CIMARRON SECRET)
SCR  SMOKIN LADY Apr07 Mar17 Feb16 Jan26 Jan06 (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 116 6.00    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of PRINCESS KENDRA by BENCHMARK)
SCR  UNALTERED         (stehr p)RODRIGUEZ V 116 15.00    
  (by ALDRIN out of RITE OF PASSAGE by PRIZED)
SCR  OPPO TACO         (walters david )ARAUJO DENIS 116 8.00    
  (by BANDBOX out of RIDDEN OUT by MAKIN)
SCR  FOXY SISTA         (jones e)RODRIGUEZ V 124 5.00 ★    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of APRON DANCER by CITIDANCER (IRE))
 
CT-7   04/28/2023 2970ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CATS DIAMOND BOY Mar30 Feb15 Nov12 Oct21 Sep30 (lane l)RIOS-CONDE A 120 30.00    
2  BE BE BOP Mar16 Feb22 Oct28 Sep01 Jun17 (davis billy)RODRIGUEZ V 120 10.00 10% 9.20    
3  SO COURAGEOUS Apr07 Mar10 Feb18 Feb02 Nov16 (patterson kevin)ACOSTA D 120 2.50 ★    
4  MATH MAN MARCO Feb22 Dec14 Nov17 Oct15 Sep24 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 1.60 57% 0.80    
5  GRAND FIBER Mar09 Feb08 Jan06 Nov26 Nov09 (mangual)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  ALLEN CAN DO IT Apr15 Mar31 Mar11 Feb24 Feb09 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 120 15.00    
7  GRUMPELSTILTSKIN Apr07 Feb22 Feb08 Jan06 Dec16 (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  BLACK CANDY Mar30 Feb22 Feb11 Dec13 Nov15 (tomczak mark)CECIL Y 120 12.00    
9  DAN THE MAN CAN Apr07 Sep09 Jul14 Jun17 May19 (sanderson w)RAMGEET R 120 10.00    
10  FREEDOM IS RINGING Mar30 Mar10 Feb22 Feb08 Jan14 (pennella rhea)ADAMS L 113 12.00    
 
CT-8   04/28/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WIDGET FACTORY Apr07 Mar16 Jan14 Nov30 Oct13 (joy kev)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 6.00 16% 5.20    
2  GAMING JACK Apr07 Mar17 Feb22 Jan27 Jan04 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 122 20.00    
3  WIZARD OF ODDS Mar09 Feb16 Jan27 Jan04 Nov30 (aylor natash)MARRERO CARLOS 120 30.00    
4  MAJESTIC SEAS Apr07 Mar17 Feb22 Feb02 Jan13 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 8.00    
5  JAIME JAMEL Jan25 Jan04 Dec02 Aug28 Aug17 (cruz jaime)WOODSON H 122 30.00    
6  BIG HAMBONE Apr07 Mar30 Mar09 Jan25 Dec16 (joy j)ACOSTA D 122 2.00 ★    
7  NOMO RON Feb03 Dec17 Nov05 Oct07 Sep16 (gazzier kristy)RODRIGUEZ V 122 1.80 57% 0.80    
8  IMPETUOUS Apr07 Mar09 Feb16 Jan27 Nov30 (shanley mark)CECIL Y 120 15.00 ★    
9  NO FOOLING DUDE Apr07 Mar16 Feb02 Jan19 Nov23 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 5.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.