Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Evangeline Downs
Friday - April 07, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

EVD-1   WIN (4/10/5/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/10/5/9)-(4/10/5/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/10/5/9)-(4/10/5/9)-(4/10/5/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/10/5/9)-(2/4/3/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/10/5/9)-(2/4/3/1)-(5/6/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
EVD-2   WIN (2/4/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/3/1)-(2/4/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/3/1)-(2/4/3/1)-(2/4/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/3/1)-(5/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/3/1)-(5/6/1)-(5/11/7/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
EVD-3   WIN (5/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/1)-(5/6/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/6/1)-(5/6/1/4)-(5/6/1/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/6/1)-(5/11/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/1)-(5/11/7/2)-(6/5/4/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
EVD-4   WIN (5/11/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/11/7/2)-(5/11/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/11/7/2)-(5/11/7/2)-(5/11/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/11/7/2)-(6/5/4/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/11/7/2)-(6/5/4/2)-(4/5/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
EVD-5   WIN (6/5/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/4/2)-(6/5/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/4/2)-(6/5/4/2)-(6/5/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/5/4/2)-(4/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/5/4/2)-(4/5/2)-(6/1/4/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
EVD-6   WIN (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/2)-(4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/2)-(6/1/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/2)-(6/1/4/5)-(6/2/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
EVD-7   WIN (6/1/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/4/5)-(6/1/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/4/5)-(6/1/4/5)-(6/1/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/1/4/5)-(6/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/1/4/5)-(6/2/3)-(2/6/8/11) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
EVD-8   WIN (6/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/3)-(6/2/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/2/3)-(6/2/3/1)-(6/2/3/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/2/3)-(2/6/8/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
EVD-9   WIN (2/6/8/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/8/11)-(2/6/8/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/8/11)-(2/6/8/11)-(2/6/8/11) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
EVD-1   04/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SADIE'S PORT Mar23 Feb12 Jan14 Dec15 Aug27 (ladner chad)STOKES A 123 10.00    
VALERIE LOUISE Mar18 Feb02 Aug26 Feb16   (zeno benjami)NIEVES EMANUEL 123 12.00    
EASY ACT Feb28 Feb10 Jan19 Dec02 Aug20 (segura kearney)MCMAHON J 118 8.00    
ZIPPING MOLLY Mar23 Mar03 Feb17 Jan27 Jan13 (ducoing)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 4.50 33% 2.00    
MIDNIGHT FLAME Feb17 Jan27 Dec29     (kingston karl)LOZADA CARLOS 118 2.50 13% 6.90    
SCR  GRACE'S SOLDIER Mar16 Feb24 Jan26 Dec09 Nov16 (zenon shelton)MELANCON G 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
SHOTGUN ANNIE Feb24 Jan28 Jan07 Dec02 Nov18 (west henry)RIVERA JOSEAN 123 20.00    
SANGIOVESE Mar23 Mar10 Feb17 Feb05 Jan01 (sauvan eric)MURRAY M 123 15.00    
BISTINEAU BELLE Feb23 Jan28 Aug25 Jul23 Jul14 (romero d)ROSENDO J 123 5.00 8% 10.80    
10  DREAMED I AM FAST Mar16 Mar03 Feb17 Jan19 Jan04 (pomier chase)BARRERA J 113 3.00 22% 3.60    
 
EVD-2   04/07/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HALOS ALARM Jul20 Jun30 Jun01 May13 Apr06 (patt jr)FUSILIER C 120 10.00 8% 12.00    
FIRE VISION Feb16 Jan25 Dec21 Dec08   (giangrosso r)BARRERA J 115 3.50 41% 1.50    
CONTINENTAL RED Mar16 Feb04 Dec23 Nov27 Aug10 (richards coral)THORNTON G 115 5.00 9% 10.30    
CORONA DEL MAR Mar18 Feb26 Feb05 Jan16 Dec03 (broussard jarmo)MCMAHON J 118 2.00 10% 9.40    
CRAPAUD Feb18 Jan25 Dec21 Dec08 Nov17 (toups brent)ROSENDO J 120 15.00    
ABBY DABBY Mar19 Feb05 Nov02 Sep26 Aug29 (morrell cynthia)POMPELL L 118 8.00    
FINISHWHATUSTARTED Mar16 Feb25 Feb10 Jan14 Dec11 (pomier chas)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 2.50    
 
EVD-3   04/07/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GEE GEE Jan28 Nov19 Nov05 Oct06 Aug19 (cox l)MCMAHON J 120 12.00 6% 15.00    
SCR  ENDURING PEACE Feb17 Jan16 Dec29 Dec10 Nov16 (magnon rylee)FUSILIER C 117 4.50 21% 3.80    
KIND WAYS Feb15 Jan26 Jan07 Nov30 Nov02 (mojica edith)BARRERA J 115 10.00    
ROSE CROWN Mar23 Feb17 Jan26 Nov09 Oct13 (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 8.00    
TENSAS VIRGINIA Feb09 Jan25 Dec29 Dec02 Nov18 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 117 2.00 30% 2.40    
PEACEFUL VISION Mar23 Mar02 Feb09 Jan19 Dec29 (thomas lee)POMPELL L 117 3.50 16% 5.20    
BE A BANDIT Mar16 Feb15 Jan26 Jan13 Dec14 (zenon shelt)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 15.00    
KICK N KISS Mar02 Jan13 Dec29 Dec04 Nov19 (patt jr)MELANCON G 117 20.00    
FINNLEYS ENCORE Feb17 Jan26 Jan04 Dec17 Nov30 (segura kearney)STOKES J 117 5.00    
 
EVD-4   04/07/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CREEKSIDE Mar11 Feb10 Jan05     (klanfer alan)THORNTON G 115 3.50 8% 12.20    
  (by CONGRATS out of SUNNY ISLES by STORMY ATLANTIC)
CHECK ME OUT Mar09 Feb17 Jan26 Jan01 Dec11 (cuccia j)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNIFIED out of ALL AMERICAN STAR by QUIET AMERICAN)
SONYA KNOWS BETTER Mar11 Feb23 Feb02 Jan13 Dec01 (fuselier jonah)STOKES A 115 8.00    
  (by REAL SOLUTION out of I KNOW BETTER by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
SIMPLY WOW Mar09 Feb10 Jan06 Dec11   (richards coral)GREEN AUBRIE 118 12.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of SIMPLY SPECTACULAR by OPUS DEI (FR))
BOURBON DAY Mar26 Jan14 Dec17     (bourgeo)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 3.00 34% 2.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of PENROSE by LEMON DROP KID)
RAY'S BIG BOY         (wright rayfo)STEVENS C 118 20.00    
  (by JONESBORO out of DEDHAM by STORM AND A HALF)
BRITE OUTLOOK Mar09 Feb11 Jan20 Dec20 Nov16 (chatters ben)BARRERA J 113 4.00 6% 16.10    
  (by ANCHOR DOWN out of BETTY BRITE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
NEPHI Feb20 Jan19 Nov26     (west henry)RIVERA JOSEAN 123 15.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of KITTEN'S KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
BASTI BLUE Dec11 Nov24 Oct26 Feb04 Jan20 (landry jacoby)FUSILIER C 120 20.00    
  (by BODEMEISTER out of UNFORGIVABLE U by LANGFUHR)
10  KATS PICK Feb22 Feb11 Nov23 Oct29 Aug24 (mason s)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 15.00    
  (by PICK OF THE LITTER out of KATRINA ZARBEYEV by ZARBYEV)
11  OVERANALYTICAL Mar11 Feb11 Jan14 Dec18 Jan17 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 6.00 26% 2.80    
  (by OVERANALYZE out of BOLD KITTEN by JACINTO)
 
EVD-5   04/07/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NON BINDING Mar08 Feb01 Jan06 Jun25 May26 (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 15.00    
ZERO POINT ZERO Feb17 Feb10 Jan21     (morrell cynthia)STOKES A 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
TIZ MY PLAN Sep03 Aug09 Jul11 Jun27 Jun07 (beene linda)BALTHAZAR JARED 123 20.00    
ARMS APRIORITY Feb18 Jan21 Dec19 Dec10 Nov18 (delany sara)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 6.00 7% 14.00    
BEAUTIFULGUATEMALA Mar18 Mar09 Feb02 Jan12   (avant kelly)BARRERA J 110 4.00 7% 12.90    
ABSOLUTELY Feb23 Jan14 Nov12 Oct15 Aug06 (landry ray)STOKES J 123 2.00 15% 5.70    
SARATOGA PASODOBLE Feb24 Feb01 May28 Apr28 Apr09 (fuselier jonah)MCMAHON J 123 8.00    
SCR  ANGEL AND ME Feb20 Feb01 Dec09 Nov25 Nov11 (west henry)RIVERA JOSEAN 123 3.00 43% 1.30    
MAGNA COLORS Feb24 Oct16 Feb02 Jan12   (nelson r)VARGAS P 123 12.00    
 
EVD-6   04/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 MUDDY Spotted Horse Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
A G'S CHARLOTTE Mar26 Mar04 Feb04 Dec10 Nov18 (west g)MCMAHON J 120 1.80    
  (by MO TOM out of ADRIANNE G by INDYGO SHINER)
ANOTHER HOT MESS Feb24 Jan28 Jan14 Nov12 Oct07 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 118 4.50 20% 4.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of SHRILANKA by PLEASANTLY PERFECT)
IT'SFIFTYSHADETIME Mar17 Feb12 Dec16 Nov26 Nov04 (gomez c)LOZADA CARLOS 116 8.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of FIFTYSHADESOFFUN by EMPIRE MAKER)
MAJESTIC WAYS Feb24 Dec09 Nov12 Oct22 Sep15 (gelner j)LUZZI J 118 3.00 27% 2.80    
  (by TAPITURE out of TIPPLING WAYS by SCAT DADDY)
SASSY BEAST Feb18 Jan06 Dec23 Dec10 Apr16 (rodriguez ang)CARDOSO DAVID 116 2.50 22% 3.50    
  (by THE BIG BEAST out of I'MCLASSYANDSASSY by MASTER COMMAND)
HANNAH'S HAVEN Mar10 Feb11 Jan12 Dec16 Nov04 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 116 12.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of MISS HETTY by CONGRATS)
 
EVD-7   04/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BET AGAIN Feb18 Jan05 Dec15 Nov19 Feb16 (toups brent)POMPELL L 118 3.50 22% 3.60    
COURTMAN Mar02 Jan26 Jan07 Dec15 May21 (david b)THORNTON G 118 8.00    
FLIT N FLOT TIME Feb18 Jan27 Jan14 Dec27 Nov09 (broberg karl)BARRERA J 113 12.00    
ALIGNED INTEREST Feb18 Jan07 Dec21 Dec08 Nov23 (broberg karl)VARGAS P 118 1.80 21% 3.80    
BOULDERING Feb24 Feb10 Jan05 Mar19 Mar03 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 10.00 10% 9.40    
OAK HILL LG Mar26 Feb02 Jan07 Dec15 Nov12 (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 3.00 26% 2.80    
DUKE OF BLUE RIDGE Mar15 Feb23 Jan28 Jan08 Dec02 (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 5.00    
 
EVD-8   04/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 MUDDY Acadiana Purse ($60K) 3 F PT- 9:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLAME DAY Mar11 Feb16 Jan14 Dec15 Nov16 (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 117 2.00    
  (by BLAME out of FANCY DAY by SHAMARDAL)
TRIPLE L'S CUTTER Feb24 Feb12 Jan16 Dec22 Nov17 (gelner jayd)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 5.00 16% 5.10    
  (by INCLUDE out of CUOCO by UNION RAGS)
GRACIE DIAMOND Mar24 Dec29 Oct29     (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 117 6.00 7% 14.00    
  (by CAN THE MAN out of DIAMOND BACK LIL by SONGANDAPRAYER)
LADY DREAMER Feb09 Jan14 Dec19 Nov26 Oct29 (briley lonnie)VARGAS P 117 15.00    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of HOUT BAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
TAYLORS TAP Mar18 Feb25 Jan28 Dec02 Nov11 (gelner j)LUZZI J 117 8.00    
  (by TAPWRIT out of ULTIMATE SHOPPER by YES IT'S TRUE)
KYLE BEAUTY Mar22 Feb04 Jan05     (terre d)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 119 1.80 51% 1.00    
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of HEART OF MINE by PEPPERED CAT)
NODAH Feb04 Aug06 Jul23     (roberts kenneth)MELANCON G 117 20.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of FOREST PATH by EL CORREDOR)
THROWBACK Jan20         (roberts kenn)NIEVES EMANUEL 117 12.00    
  (by DESTIN out of VIVIAN DA BLING by TOO MUCH BLING)
 
EVD-9   04/07/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT-10:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ROADSIDE GIRL Feb28 Feb17 Jan20 Jan11 Dec08 (latour nicholas)STOKES A 123 20.00    
DOLLY'S GUITAR Mar12 Feb10 Jan13 Dec22 Nov18 (schwandt em)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 2.50 26% 2.80    
HOT PATOOTIE Mar23 Mar03 Feb20 Jan27 Dec29 (ney john)MURRAY M 123 15.00    
SCR  VALID BREAK Feb28 Feb18 Jan20 Dec21 Nov22 (washington ric)THORNTON G 123 3.50 29% 2.40    
DECORATED LADY Mar12 Jan07 Dec02 Nov12 Oct08 (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 20.00    
AGGIE DOCTOR Mar03 Jan06 Mar25     (delany sarah)MCMAHON J 123 5.00 12% 7.50    
B B GUN BULLSEYE Mar15 Feb23 Feb02 Jan14 Dec15 (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 123 8.00    
CATALINA QUEEN Feb06 Jan20       (thomas lee)VARGAS P 123 10.00 6% 15.10    
BOSTON BELLE Feb28 Feb17 Jan06 Dec14 Nov19 (segura kearney)STOKES J 123 6.00    
10  ROARING QUINN Feb17 Jan19 Jan06 Dec07 Oct28 (magnon rylee)FUSILIER C 123 12.00    
11  ASHLEY'S GIRL Mar15 Feb02 Jan14 Dec29 Dec02 (zenon shelto)BARRERA J 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.