Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fonner Park
Friday - March 24, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FON-1   WIN (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/6)-(3/4/6/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/6)-(3/4/6/1/2)-(3/4/6/1/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/4/6)-(5/2/6) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
FON-2   WIN (5/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/6)-(5/2/6/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/6)-(5/2/6/4/1)-(5/2/6/4/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FON-3   WIN (6/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/2)-(6/5/2/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/2)-(6/5/2/3/1)-(6/5/2/3/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FON-4   WIN (6/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/1)-(6/4/1/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/1)-(6/4/1/2/5)-(6/4/1/2/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    PK3 (6/4/1)-(7/1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FON-5   WIN (7/1/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/2/5)-(7/1/2/5/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/1/2/5)-(7/1/2/5/4)-(7/1/2/5/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
FON-6   WIN (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/5)-(1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FON-1   03/24/2023 2640ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($9.7K) 3 F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOSIES SCORE Feb24 Feb10 Sep25     (bliss dean)FACKLER CHRIS 122 2.50 ★    
  (by I WILL SCORE out of REEL DEDICATED by REEL ON REEL)
2  WHAT'S THE SCORE Mar10         (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 122 3.00 ★    
  (by I WILL SCORE out of MABLOOM by BLUMIN AFFAIR)
3  JOCOTE Mar12 Feb24       (anderson )MEDINA ANGEL 122 2.00 29% 2.40    
  (by I WILL SCORE out of MAD JOEY by SALT LAKE)
4  JUDGE JENNINGS         (hoffman robert)ZIEGLER ZACK 122 10.00 20% 3.90    
  (by JUDGE BILL out of LIMEFUHR by LIMEHOUSE)
5  CHAMPAGNE CHANNEL Mar10         (anderson david )HAAR NATHAN 122 8.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of SPANKED by DEPUTY MINISTER)
6  HOLY CANNOLI         (dieter dalton)MARTINEZ R 122 6.00 20% 3.90    
  (by MY ITALIAN EX out of ELAINE'S CREAMPUFF by SILVER POET)
 
FON-2   03/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRAIRIE FIREBALL Mar11 Feb24 Feb10 Jul22 Jun12 (lemburg mark)MARTINEZ R 125 3.50 ★    
2  ANGIE'S REVRAC Mar11 Sep26 Sep13 Sep05 Aug15 (muckey john)RAMOS B 125 4.50 22% 3.50    
3  FAST SOPHIA Feb24 Sep19 Sep09 Aug29 Aug12 (arceo salvador)MARTINEZ A 125 6.00    
4  DOLLY DIMPLE Mar11 Feb25 Feb11 Jun09 May06 (bliss dean)HAAR NATHAN 125 3.00 ★    
5  SERENGETI SIX Feb25 Feb16 Feb02 Jan07 Dec19 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 8.00 31% 2.30    
6  FLIRTATIOUS SMILE Mar11 Sep19 Aug26 Aug06 Jul22 (condon sc)MEDINA ANGEL 125 2.50 11% 8.40    
 
FON-3   03/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($5.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHIPMAN'S SONG Mar04 Feb18 Nov02 Oct20 Oct06 (black mar)MEDINA ANGEL 125 8.00 ★    
2  MOST AMUSING Mar11 Feb18 Oct01 Sep12 Aug01 (anderson c)RAMOS B 125 6.00 16% 5.20    
3  RUBIGINOUS Mar12 Mar04 Jan13 Dec14 Nov10 (arceo salvador)MARTINEZ A 125 3.00 ★    
4  RANCHO BARGO Mar10 Dec28 Dec19 Oct08 Aug08 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.50    
5  LADDIE BOY Mar12 Mar04 Feb19 Sep05 Aug07 (ecoffey gilber)LUARK T 125 5.00 18% 4.50    
6  SPEEDY FELLAR Feb10 Jan11 Dec21 Nov16 Aug06 (gonzalez is)MORALES ROBERTO 125 3.50 26% 2.80    
 
FON-4   03/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($8.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRAND EXPECTATIONS Feb10 Dec29 Dec08 Oct04 Sep11 (chavez juan)ROMAN KEVIN 121 8.00 16% 5.40    
2  WUMPMUG Mar11 Feb25 Feb11 Sep19 Aug12 (condon sc)MEDINA ANGEL 125 5.00 ★    
3  TROUBLE IN RED Mar04 Feb04 Jan11 Dec09 Nov26 (lemburg mark)MARTINEZ A 125 8.00    
4  RETRO RITA Mar11 Feb24 Nov25 Oct28 Aug12 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 6.00 16% 5.10    
5  RAINBOW DASH Mar11 Feb18 Sep24 Aug28 May20 (dieter dalton)MARTINEZ R 125 2.50 ★    
6  VIRTUALLY Mar11 Feb25 Sep16 Aug10 Jun24 (rushton templ)CARDOSO DAVID 125 1.60 25% 2.90    
 
FON-5   03/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHEZA SAVAGE Mar10 Feb25 Dec31 Dec17 Dec09 (anderson )MEDINA ANGEL 125 6.00 17% 4.80    
2  STARLIGHT TWIST Oct03 Aug31 Aug21 Aug11 Jun29 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 125 15.00 17% 4.80    
3  BRINEE Mar12 Feb01 Jan12 Nov18 Nov10 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 1.60    
4  BOLD LEGEND Mar10 Feb25 Sep19 Aug08 Jul18 (arceo salvador)MARTINEZ A 125 5.00 ★    
5  BLUEBIRD DAY (IRE) Mar05 Feb10 Jun03 May28 May15 (ducheneaux ja)FACKLER CHRIS 125 15.00 15% 5.80    
6  REMARKABLE CHARM Feb25 Oct01 Sep19 Sep06 Aug21 (roberts brian)CARDOSO DAVID 125 6.00    
7  NEBRASKA RED Mar18 Mar05 Feb18 Feb10 Jul24 (mcclain stanley)MARTINEZ R 125 2.50 19% 4.10    
8  UNHERDOF Mar12 Feb26 Jan13 Dec17 Nov09 (thomsen paula)RAMOS B 125 10.00    
 
FON-6   03/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($3.5K) Purse ($7.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PARLAY PETE Mar11 Feb25 Feb11 Jan05 Dec21 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.50 52% 0.90    
2  OLD TRAFFORD Mar11 Feb25 Feb11 Dec16 Dec09 (wise jason)HAAR NATHAN 125 3.00 9% 10.50    
SCR  CATS GOTTA CHANCE Nov08 Oct18 Oct03 Sep26 Sep06 (long vaughn)MARTINEZ A 125 3.50 11% 8.50    
SCR  THREE BALL Feb25 Oct01 Sep19 Sep05 Aug28 (roberts m)MARTINEZ R 125 12.00 ★    
5  SILVER MAKER Mar11 Feb19 Sep11 Aug23 Aug01 (anderson )MEDINA ANGEL 125 8.00 5% 17.60    
SCR  GAME DAY DECISION Sep27 Aug23 Aug01 Jul05 Jun17 (rushton templ)CARDOSO DAVID 125 12.00    
7  RANDOM AFFAIR Sep25 Sep11 Aug28 Aug07 Jul25 (burns dale)RAMOS B 125 15.00    
8  HOT ARTIE Feb19 Feb11 Feb03 Jan13 Dec21 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 4.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.