Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Friday - March 10, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (8/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/6)-(8/6/5/7/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (8/6)-(8/6/5/7/2)-(8/6/5/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/6)-(6/8/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (8/6)-(6/8/3)-(3/2/6/7/5) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
CT-2   WIN (6/8/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/8/3)-(6/8/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/8/3)-(6/8/3/1)-(6/8/3/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/8/3)-(3/2/6/7/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/8/3)-(3/2/6/7/5)-(2/4/9) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
CT-3   WIN (3/2/6/7/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/2/6/7/5)-(3/2/6/7/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/2/6/7/5)-(3/2/6/7/5)-(3/2/6/7/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/2/6/7/5)-(2/4/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/2/6/7/5)-(2/4/9)-(3/2/7) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
CT-4   WIN (2/4/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/9)-(2/4/9/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/9)-(2/4/9/8/6)-(2/4/9/8/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/4/9)-(3/2/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/4/9)-(3/2/7)-(10/6/5/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-5   WIN (3/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/7)-(3/2/7/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/2/7)-(3/2/7/6)-(3/2/7/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/2/7)-(10/6/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/7)-(10/6/5/8)-(3/4/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-6   WIN (10/6/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/6/5/8)-(10/6/5/8/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/6/5/8)-(10/6/5/8/2)-(10/6/5/8/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (10/6/5/8)-(3/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (10/6/5/8)-(3/4/5)-(1/7/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-7   WIN (3/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/5)-(3/4/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/4/5)-(3/4/5/6)-(3/4/5/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/4/5)-(1/7/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/4/5)-(1/7/8)-(6/4/9/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-8   WIN (1/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/8)-(1/7/8/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/8)-(1/7/8/6/2)-(1/7/8/6/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/7/8)-(6/4/9/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-9   WIN (6/4/9/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/9/3)-(6/4/9/5/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/4/9/3)-(6/4/9/5/3)-(6/4/9/5/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   03/10/2023 2970ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUBA'S YANKEE ONE Feb23 Jan11 Dec09 Nov12 Oct28 (racanelli m)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 20.00    
2  BOBBYS CASE LOAD Feb23 Jan26 Jan04 Nov30 Oct15 (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 126 2.50 ★    
3  ALLEGHENY HERO Feb23 Jan26 Jan11 Nov30   (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 126 10.00    
4  IRISH FIRE Jun24 Jun16 May26 Apr23   (atkins )NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 20.00    
5  BOO TOO Feb23 Jan11 Dec17 Oct29 Sep03 (stehr j)NUNEZ ANAHI 126 3.50 ★    
6  FRANK THE BULL         (sterling michael)BAEZ M 111 5.00 26% 2.80    
7  CHARTERED COURSE Jan26 Jan11 Jan05 Dec17 Oct29 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 124 15.00 ★    
8  TWO ROOM SCHOOL Feb17 Jan27 Jan04 Dec17 Nov26 (viands gregor)ADAMS L 111 2.00 49% 1.00    
 
CT-2   03/10/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE ILLUSIONIST Feb02 Jul14       (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 126 5.00 ★    
2  SPEIGHTS YOUR MIND Feb15 Dec09       (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 118 12.00    
3  SO COURAGEOUS Feb18 Feb02 Nov16 Oct01 Sep12 (figgins oll)MENDEZ MARSHALL 126 2.50 12% 7.30    
SCR  HE'S ON THE LINE         (racanelli mark)RIOS-CONDE A 124 15.00 10% 9.00    
5  BALI'S SHADE Feb10 Dec31 Dec02 Oct16 Jul15 (murtaug)NUNEZ ANAHI 122 4.00    
6  PRIMETIME JET Jan27 Dec16 Nov25 Nov04 Sep12 (patterson kevi)ARAUJO DENIS 124 5.00 38% 1.70    
7  SUPER KHOZAN Feb15 Jan14 Dec09 Nov25   (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 118 12.00    
8  DOC ELM Feb18 Feb02 Nov16 Oct20 Oct05 (brown ronney)LEWIS M 117 4.50 15% 5.50    
SCR  MYGIDGETMARIE Feb15 Jan25 Dec01 Oct29 Oct14 (huet k)BAEZ M 112 15.00    
 
CT-3   03/10/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROCKING TO HOME Jan12 Dec16 Nov16 Oct21 Sep09 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 122 20.00    
2  AREYOUGONNAKISSME Feb01 Jan07 Dec03 Nov19 Oct15 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 116 2.00 19% 4.40    
3  LORD OF CORK Feb01 Jan07 Dec03 Nov19 Oct08 (sigler g)LARROSA G 116 2.50 20% 3.90    
4  COLT ROCK Feb01 Jan07 Nov05 Oct15 Sep24 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 116 15.00    
5  IN HIGH GEAR Feb23 Feb09 Dec01 Nov12 Oct21 (mcdonald timoth)PELTROCHE F 122 4.50 10% 9.40    
6  DONNIE B Feb15 Jan11 Dec17 Nov26 Nov09 (barber do)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 6.00 15% 5.50    
7  IN THE LIMELIGHT Jan28 Dec17 Nov26 Oct20 Jul29 (greaves)NUNEZ ANAHI 124 6.00 14% 6.00    
8  STROLLINGINTHEWIND Feb01 Dec17 Nov23 Oct08 Sep14 (sigler rona)MENDEZ MARSHALL 116 10.00    
 
CT-4   03/10/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.7K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOUTHERN SAVIOUR Feb17 Dec28 Nov30 Oct21 Sep30 (schottroffe edwar)CECIL Y 124 20.00    
2  PROTA Feb18 Jan18 Dec14 Oct29 Oct06 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 2.00 34% 2.00    
3  TOP HAT TREASON Jan27 Jan06 Dec02 Nov10 Oct20 (dollinger-st)MARRERO CARLOS 124 15.00    
4  JUNGLE WARRIOR Feb01 Jan05 Dec17 Nov24 Nov03 (joy j)ACOSTA D 124 8.00 26% 2.90    
5  SHOULDA HAD IT Mar03 Feb20 Feb12 Feb05 Jan27 (serey jr)PELTROCHE F 122 12.00    
6  HAPPY CHAMP Feb18 Jan28 Jun16 May28 May06 (brown ronney)LEWIS M 115 12.00 ★    
7  NOVA BOY Feb17 Jan21 Nov17 Oct27 Sep29 (figgins ol)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 4.00    
8  RIDICULOUS Feb18 Feb01 Jan11 Oct08 Aug27 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 124 2.50 ★    
9  CAYENNE CREEK Feb18 Jan28 Dec14 Nov10 Oct13 (davis russe)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 12.00 17% 5.00    
 
CT-5   03/10/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SARAH'S WARRIOR Feb08 Jan19 Jan06 Nov26 Nov10 (viands stacey )ARAUJO DENIS 122 20.00    
2  YOLO CHARLOTTE Nov30 Nov05 Oct13 Aug26 Aug18 (lyster st)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.50 19% 4.20    
3  CHROMATIC LASS Jan19 Dec15       (walters l)PELTROCHE F 124 1.40 39% 1.50    
SCR  TENNIS TAP Feb08 Jan06 Nov24 May04 Apr15 (runco c)LEWIS M 115 10.00 ★    
5  EX RATED Feb08 Feb01 Jan06 Nov02 Oct08 (jackson ang)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 30.00    
6  XANTHE Feb16 Dec17 Nov04 Oct21 Sep23 (moschonas geras)RODRIGUEZ V 116 4.50 ★    
7  PEARLY GHOST Feb08 Jan20 Oct07 Sep16 Aug26 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 122 8.00 18% 4.70    
8  TIMETOGETUP Feb08 Jan14 Dec14 Oct22 Oct08 (petty kristy)LARROSA G 122 8.00    
 
CT-6   03/10/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($15K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEATTLE SAILAWAY Feb02 Dec16 Oct26 Oct05 Sep14 (stehr j)NUNEZ ANAHI 122 20.00    
2  LEG UP Feb25 Feb08 Jan26 Nov30 Nov16 (brown ronney)LEWIS M 117 6.00 ★    
3  MODERN DAY ROMANCE Feb08 Jan06 Dec04 Oct19 Sep21 (jones mic)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 10.00    
4  DEVIL'S CANYON Feb17 Jan20 Dec31 Dec09   (aguirre an)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 8.00    
5  THEWITCHISGONE Feb08 Jan06 Nov30 Oct26 Sep21 (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 3.50 12% 7.00    
6  WELL EQUIPPED Feb08 Jan06 Dec08 Nov16 Nov05 (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 124 3.00 26% 2.80    
7  BEAR'S ESTATE Feb02 Jan12 Dec14 Nov26 Nov12 (knoblauch-perez )BAEZ M 115 15.00    
8  SPIRIT OF WINDSOR Feb08 Feb02 Jan07 Dec14 Aug11 (collins tim)RIOS-CONDE A 122 10.00 7% 12.60    
9  SIENTE EL AMOR Feb24 Feb02 Jan07 Dec10 Nov16 (stehr p)ARAUJO DENIS 124 15.00    
10  JUBA BOUND Feb24 Feb08 Jan06 Dec08 Oct27 (petty kris)ALMODOVAR GERALD 124 4.00 29% 2.50    
 
CT-7   03/10/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3 ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DR RENDEZVOUS Jan27         (contre)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 15.00    
  (by ALDRIN out of FRENCH OAK by ARCH)
2  COURT TUDOR Feb17 Jan27       (kirlew lenwort)RIOS-CONDE A 124 30.00    
  (by SARATOGA SYNDICATE out of WORK WIFE by PHILANTHROPIST)
3  BORN TO SIN Feb17 Jan27       (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 1.20 43% 1.30    
  (by OXBOW out of ROCKY'S ANGEL by ROCK SLIDE)
4  J. WICK         (brown ronney)LEWIS M 117 3.50 25% 2.90    
  (by EXCLUSIVE QUALITY out of CHIPPEWA DREAMER by GEROSA)
5  O'RIGSBY Feb17         (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 124 8.00 7% 13.50    
  (by UPSTART out of SHE'S GRUMPY by NORTHERN AFLEET)
6  ONE CANDY CASTLE         (petty kristy)LARROSA G 124 6.00 ★    
  (by WINDSOR CASTLE out of CANDY ONE by YANKEE VICTOR)
SCR  CHASENJOHNATHAN         (viands greg)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 10.00    
  (by JUBA out of SENSATIONALISM by TIGER RIDGE)
8  MAKIN' GOLD         (campbel)NUNEZ ANAHI 124 12.00    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of NEWS MAKIN by MAKIN)
9  EL PACHO Feb17         (reyes d)ARAUJO DENIS 124 20.00    
  (by SARATOGA SYNDICATE out of I'VEGOTADATE by KOKAND)
SCR  KING KJARTAN Jan25 Jan04 Dec17 Nov26   (stehr josep)RAMGEET R 124 20.00    
  (by MR. PRANKSTER out of LOVE THAT KELLY by DOMESTIC DISPUTE)
SCR  CHARITABLE WINDSOR         (petty kris)ALMODOVAR GERALD 124 8.00 ★    
  (by WINDSOR CASTLE out of CHARITABLE BOUND by CHARITABLE MAN)
 
CT-8   03/10/2023 2970ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STORM BOARDER (CHI) Jan21 Oct12 Sep14 Aug06 Jul08 (patterson kev)THORPE DARIUS 124 1.20 64% 0.60    
2  SETTLEMENT DATE Feb23 Feb02 Dec16 Nov25 Nov04 (larrosa r)LARROSA G 122 12.00 ★    
3  COWBOY AT HEART Feb09 Feb02 Nov24 Oct19 Sep24 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 10.00    
SCR  LOADED SNIPER Feb16 Jan25 Jan14 Dec10 Nov19 (frock )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 15.00    
5  FREEDOM IS RINGING Feb22 Feb08 Jan14 Nov19 Oct28 (pennella m)BAEZ M 119 15.00    
6  FATHER WALSH Feb17 Jan25 Dec17 Nov23 Oct11 (figgins oll)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.50 ★    
7  QUALIFLY Nov15 Oct24 Sep27 Sep12 Sep05 (treharne d)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 3.00 14% 6.30    
8  CAPE LOOKOUT Nov02 Oct22 Sep27 Aug27 Jul16 (viands gregory)BOCACHICA O 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
9  STRETCH THE TRUTH Jan25 Dec17 Nov09 Oct27 Sep30 (king yolonda)ADAMS L 115 20.00    
 
CT-9   03/10/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP M/F PT-11:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHESAHUMBLEHUSTLER Mar04 Jan25 Jan04 Dec17 Nov25 (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 122 20.00    
2  PRETTY SPECTACULAR Mar04 Feb11 Jan25 Jan04 Dec10 (montilla car)LEWIS M 115 20.00    
3  MOONLIGHT MISS Mar02 Dec03 Nov09 Oct19 Oct01 (shanley timothy)BAEZ M 115 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  LOVE TO ZOOM Feb16 Feb01 Nov18 Oct28 Oct12 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 126 2.00 21% 3.80    
5  CEDARS BULLS EYE Dec10 Nov18 Nov04 Oct13 Sep10 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 126 2.50 ★    
6  BONNIE BLUETOOTH Nov12 Oct05 Sep09 Aug05 Jul13 (butts e)RODRIGUEZ V 126 3.00 43% 1.30    
7  BOCA BIRDIE Feb16 Jan05 Dec10 Nov23 Oct29 (atkins )NUNEZ MAURICIO 126 20.00    
8  STACIAS RUBY Dec19 Oct24 Sep21 Sep13 Aug14 (vega richard)HO WESLEY 124 15.00    
9  EXTRA CRUNCHY Jan25 Dec07 Nov19 Oct29 Oct12 (perri gina)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 124 10.00 11% 8.30    
SCR  LIL SWEETHEART Feb09 Oct05 Sep28 Sep20 Aug17 (collins tim)RIOS-CONDE A 124 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.