Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Hawthorne
Thursday - March 09, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HAW-1   WIN (6/1/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/5/3)-(6/1/5/2/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/1/5/3)-(6/1/5/2/3)-(6/1/5/2/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/1/5/3)-(1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (6/1/5/3)-(1)-(4/1) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
HAW-2   WIN (1) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (1)-(1/3/5/6) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    TRI (1)-(1/3/5/6)-(1/3/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1)-(4/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (1)-(4/1)-(5/4/1/6) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
HAW-3   WIN (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/1)-(4/1/2/6/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (4/1)-(4/1/2/6/3)-(4/1/2/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1)-(5/4/1/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/1)-(5/4/1/6)-(3/8/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
HAW-4   WIN (5/4/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/1/6)-(5/4/1/6/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/4/1/6)-(5/4/1/6/8)-(5/4/1/6/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/4/1/6)-(3/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4/1/6)-(3/8/2)-(5/2/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-5   WIN (3/8/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/8/2)-(3/8/2/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/8/2)-(3/8/2/7)-(3/8/2/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/8/2)-(5/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/8/2)-(5/2/1)-(5/1/6/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-6   WIN (5/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/1)-(5/2/1/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/2/1)-(5/2/1/7)-(5/2/1/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/2/1)-(5/1/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2/1)-(5/1/6/2)-(7/4/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-7   WIN (5/1/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/6/2)-(5/1/6/2/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/1/6/2)-(5/1/6/2/3)-(5/1/6/2/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/1/6/2)-(7/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
HAW-8   WIN (7/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/5)-(7/4/5/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/5)-(7/4/5/2/1)-(7/4/5/2/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HAW-1   03/09/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IT'S GREEK TO ME Jan20 Dec04 Nov18 Jun11 May22 (manley steve)BAIRD T 122 1.80 24% 3.10    
2  SWEET FRAULEIN Jan12 Dec31 Dec04 Nov18 Nov04 (hernandez)ULLOA JOAN 122 4.50 ★    
3  FROST WARRIOR Dec18 Dec09 Nov25 Oct16 Sep17 (castro is)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 6.00 7% 13.70    
4  OCEAN HONEY Feb09 Nov22 Nov02 Sep26 Sep14 (klopp ran)BERMUDEZ E 116 5.00    
5  CESSO Apr30         (wainwright )SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 6.00 10% 8.70    
6  MUD HUT Dec30 Dec18 Dec04 Jun11 Jun03 (kirby j)EMIGH A 122 3.00 29% 2.40    
 
HAW-2   03/09/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NIFF Jun10 Jun03 May07 Apr24 Jan23 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 1.40 70% 0.40    
2  SMILE AT THE STORM Dec31 Dec15 Oct13 Sep21 Apr28 (quinonez max)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 10.00    
3  ZENCHUA SKY Oct30 Oct16 Sep19 Sep04 Aug19 (tracy tanner)GILES EMMANUEL 115 8.00 ★    
SCR  FIELD DAISEY Dec31 Dec10 Nov25 Oct30 Oct14 (bigelow e)LOPEZ A 122 2.00 ★    
5  TAP N TWINE Dec31 Dec09 Nov25 Nov11 Oct23 (ryan chri)ULLOA JOAN 122 6.00 ★    
6  IRISH HALO Dec16 Dec03 Nov18 Nov12 Oct30 (perez manny)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 6.00 ★    
 
HAW-3   03/09/2023 3300ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($6.25K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SILVER MOON ROAD Jan14 Dec14 Nov21 Nov01 Oct11 (klopp ran)BERMUDEZ E 122 1.60 17% 4.80    
2  TRY TRY AGAIN Dec31 Nov20 Aug20 Aug06 Jul16 (zawitz joel)ORM CORY 122 5.00 ★    
3  SOUPER FORTUNE Nov26 Nov04 Oct15 Oct07 Sep15 (butler ge)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 8.00 ★    
4  DARK HEDGES Jan19 Dec17 Nov19 Oct28 Oct07 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 3.00 55% 0.80    
5  PERFECT WAGER Dec31 Nov26 Nov06 Oct15 Sep30 (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 4.50    
6  D'FEVER Dec17 Nov18 Oct29 Oct09 Aug26 (dizeo dino)COLON H 122 6.00 ★    
 
HAW-4   03/09/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IRISH BRUTE         (divito p)BAIRD T 118 4.50 19% 4.20    
  (by TU BRUTUS (CHI) out of IRISH MARVEL by DAAHER)
SCR  A P BLAZING GREEN Sep09 Jul08 Jun24     (sanchez osc)ORTEGA O 124 20.00    
  (by RISK AND RETURN out of SHE'S INTOXICATED by BRING THE HEAT)
3  NAGY AND DA BEARS Dec30 Dec10 Nov27 Nov19 Sep13 (sanchez o)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 20.00    
  (by RISK AND RETURN out of SHE'S INTOXICATED by BRING THE HEAT)
4  DASH TO THE CASH Dec30 Dec10 Nov19 Oct28 Jun24 (lindsay rick)EMIGH A 124 2.00 23% 3.30    
  (by RACE DAY out of SUE'S CREEK by STORM CREEK)
5  FEVER NATION Dec30 Dec10 Nov19 Oct14   (block chris)SANTIAGO VICTOR 118 1.40 31% 2.20    
  (by ALTERNATION out of CECILIA'S FEVER by STORMY ATLANTIC)
6  INSIDE THE CIRCLE Dec31 Dec03 Nov19 Nov06 Oct09 (lynch e)ORM CORY 124 15.00 6% 16.30    
  (by SECRET CIRCLE out of GO NANCY GO by LANGFUHR)
SCR  JAKES CHANNEL Feb03 Dec30       (rednour john )HERNANDEZ K 118 20.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of SETTLING IN by GREEN DESERT)
8  MAN ON ATTACK Dec17 Nov25 Sep17 Sep06   (childers vance)COLON H 118 15.00 ★    
  (by FOREST ATTACK out of SOUTHERN WONDER by CHICAGO SIX)
 
HAW-5   03/09/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SUPERSTAR DIVA Dec17 Dec03 Nov20 Aug23 Jun10 (zawitz joel)HERNANDEZ K 122 2.50 26% 2.80    
2  SINGING ALLI Dec11 Nov25 Oct21 Oct09 Aug02 (dizeo dino)COLON H 122 12.00 6% 17.00    
3  FOGGY KITTEN Dec31 Nov26 Oct22 Oct09 Sep20 (watkins jame)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 1.80 25% 3.00    
4  WANNA HAVE FUN Dec31 Dec17 Dec03 Nov20 Oct29 (hughes w)ORTIZ ALVIN 122 15.00    
5  GODSGIFT Dec31 Dec17 Oct28 Oct07 Jun17 (rose wayne)REYES ANGEL 122 20.00    
6  FRIEND Jan25 Dec30 Dec09 Nov25 Nov18 (hernandez)ULLOA JOAN 122 5.00    
7  HOPPESTRY Feb01 Dec16 Nov20 Nov01 Oct09 (jones jef)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 10.00 ★    
8  FIRST SQUADRON Dec31 Dec17 Nov27 Nov20 Oct29 (cook brian)GILES EMMANUEL 115 6.00 18% 4.60    
 
HAW-6   03/09/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIGHTNING CASHES Jan19 Dec17       (vanden britt)EMIGH A 118 6.00 13% 6.40    
  (by TAPWRIT out of PATTITUDE by CITY ZIP)
2  YOLO SANTIAGO Jan28 Jan19 Dec08 Nov19 Oct22 (razurio ramon)COLON H 124 8.00 21% 3.80    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of ROYAL CARD by CHAPEL ROYAL)
SCR  GOLD SMOKE Dec31 Dec11 May20     (bentler don)ORTIZ ALVIN 124 5.00    
  (by MINESHAFT out of ALLUVIAL GOLD by DANEHILL DANCER)
SCR  J J'S SOLUTION Dec30 Dec10 Nov19 Oct29 Oct09 (rednour john )HERNANDEZ K 124 10.00 ★    
  (by REAL SOLUTION out of LITTLE RED WITCH by KITALPHA)
5  ONASA Jan21 Dec16 Nov24     (rivelli larry)BAIRD T 118 1.80 38% 1.60    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of SILENT CANDY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
SCR  VINTAGE VINYL Sep15 Aug08 Apr16 Feb19 Jan22 (klopp ran)BERMUDEZ E 124 8.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of ANOTHER ROMANCE by SAINT ANDDAN)
7  WAR ROOM Feb11 Jan14 Nov09 Oct16 Sep22 (lejzerowicz )GILES EMMANUEL 117 4.50 ★    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of WHISPER NUMBER by FIRST SAMURAI)
8  FITZEA Sep24 Aug29 Jul30     (tracy tanner)CENTENO ALEXIS 118 15.00    
  (by LEA out of WISH WISH WISH by ARCH)
 
HAW-7   03/09/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CINDY'S G MAN Dec31 Dec10 Oct02 Jun04 May01 (watkins m)EMIGH A 122 3.00 24% 3.10    
2  C F V RED NOVA Dec30 Dec16 Dec09 Nov26   (dizeo dino)COLON H 122 5.00 10% 9.00    
3  CAN MAN DO Jan12 Dec31 Aug16 Jul21 Jul14 (kirby frank)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 4.50 ★    
4  TALKTOEACHOTHER Feb21 Jan23 Dec31 Dec10 Nov18 (candelas )ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 6.00    
5  SHANGHAI SILVER Dec16 Dec02 Nov13 Oct28 Oct09 (butler ge)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 3.50 25% 3.00    
6  EAST OF INDIA Feb16 Feb02 Dec14 Oct19 Jul09 (howard marya)GILES EMMANUEL 115 6.00 10% 8.90    
7  PINBALLER Dec31 Dec16 Feb18 Jan15   (poulos dee)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 5.00    
 
HAW-8   03/09/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANUNKA Dec16 Dec03 Nov19 Nov06 Oct09 (breaux da)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 8.00 ★    
2  CHIEF MYSTIQUE Feb14 Jan20 Dec31 Dec11 Nov20 (hernandez)ULLOA JOAN 124 6.00 ★    
3  PRINCESS TONI Feb14 Jan11 Dec11 Dec02 Nov12 (hernandez j)ORTEGA O 113 15.00    
4  DERRICKS MEDALLION Feb08 Jan06       (childers va)SANTIAGO VICTOR 118 5.00 18% 4.60    
5  C F V NOBODYCARES Mar09 Feb25 Feb12     (gonzalez lili)SANCHEZ DIEGO 124 4.50 12% 7.60    
6  LOOKING SALTY Dec31 Dec03 Nov16 Oct31 Oct04 (cook brian)REYES ANGEL 124 10.00    
7  WICKED SUPRISE Dec31 Dec16       (cook brian)BAIRD T 124 3.00 50% 1.00    
8  SOVIET STANDARD Dec17 Dec09       (perez manny)GILES EMMANUEL 111 12.00    
9  PERFUMER Dec31 Dec16       (quinonez max)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.