Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Laurel Park
Sunday - March 05, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LRL-1   WIN (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/4)-(3/4/5/7/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/4)-(4/5/6/3)-(7/4/3/5) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
LRL-2   WIN (4/5/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/6/3)-(4/5/6/3/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    DD (4/5/6/3)-(7/4/3/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/5/6/3)-(7/4/3/5)-(5/2/1/4) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
LRL-3   WIN (7/4/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/3/5)-(7/4/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/4/3/5)-(5/2/1/4)-(4/3/7/8/5) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
LRL-4   WIN (5/2/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/1/4)-(5/2/1/7/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/2/1/4)-(4/3/7/8/5)-(6/1) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
LRL-5   WIN (4/3/7/8/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/3/7/8/5)-(4/3/7/8/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/3/7/8/5)-(6/1)-(3/1/7) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
LRL-6   WIN (6/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/1)-(6/1/4/2/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/1)-(3/1/7)-(1/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
LRL-7   WIN (3/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/7)-(3/1/7/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
LRL-8   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/2)-(1/2/4/5/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (1/2)-(1/2/4/5/6)-(1/2/4/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LRL-1   03/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($23K) 4UP M/F PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLAT OUT COOL Feb03 Jan11 Dec30 Dec23 Dec02 (mcmullen marily)GOMEZ KEVIN 126 10.00    
2  CONDUCTANCE Feb23 Jan13 Dec04 Nov04 Oct23 (smith valr)RIVERA R 115 8.00 ★    
3  CLASSIC LYNNE Feb03 Jan01 Oct07 Sep01 Aug12 (mancilla carlos )CRUZ ANGEL 126 3.50 38% 1.70    
4  HOV LANE Feb11 Jan22 Dec09 Nov07 Oct23 (cox kenneth)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 126 2.00 29% 2.40    
5  CAMELIA ROD Feb12 Dec10 Sep18 Jul28 Jul01 (allen a )BUTTERFLY L 126 4.50 ★    
6  MERGER OF EQUALS Feb12 Jan22 Dec31 Dec01 Nov10 (corrales )HERNANDEZ F 122 20.00    
7  BACKSTREET AFFAIR Feb11 Feb03 Jan07 Dec30 Nov26 (magee kieron)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 3.00 ★    
 
LRL-2   03/05/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT-12:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CONFUSION BABY BOY Feb24 Feb12 Jan25 Jan13 Dec14 (frock charle)LEWIS M 116 20.00    
2  DIALING DIXIE Feb18 Jan27 Jan13 Nov05 Oct14 (frock charle)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 3.00 ★    
3  SPRING THE BEAST Feb12 Jan27 Jan16 Dec02 Nov21 (pickett )BUTTERFLY L 123 8.00 7% 12.80    
4  BERNIE'S ON FIRE Nov11 Sep25 Sep10 Aug26 Aug05 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 123 1.00 48% 1.10    
5  MOJAC KAT Feb08 Jan27 Dec18 Dec04 Oct15 (walters he)RIVERA R 116 3.00 10% 9.00    
6  DR. RUSTY RAYMOND Feb20 Jan18 Dec09 Oct29 Oct12 (pickett crystal )CRUZ ANGEL 123 12.00 10% 9.40    
 
LRL-3   03/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($26K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADNEEDSAHANDLER Feb20 Jan28 Jan01 Dec11 Nov04 (salzman tim)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 6.00    
SCR  FLAMING EAST Feb20 Jan21 Jan01 Dec11 Nov27 (gaudet lacey)ROSADO JOHAN 123 4.50    
3  PIT STOP MAN Feb11 Jan27 Jan16 Jan01 Dec11 (cash norman )BARBOSA JEIRON 118 2.50 14% 6.00    
4  MONTAUK DADDY Feb11 Jan16 Dec31 Dec03 Nov23 (klesaris robe)KARAMANOS A 123 3.50 25% 3.00    
5  MR. MOX Nov27 Oct08 Sep05 Jul27 Jul03 (allen ferris)ACOSTA D 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  NASHVEGAS Feb25 Feb18 Jan28 Jan18 Nov17 (cash norman )LEWIS M 112 10.00 ★    
7  FREE SQUARE Feb18 Feb05 Jan06 Dec17 Nov04 (gaudet l)BUTTERFLY L 123 3.00 29% 2.50    
 
LRL-4   03/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($34.5K) 3 ALL PT- 1:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMOOTH RICO Feb12 Jan18 Dec22 Nov27 Oct22 (gonzalez )HERNANDEZ F 117 12.00 18% 4.50    
2  GABRIEL'S WING Feb17 Jan14 Dec08 Nov25 Oct28 (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 121 2.50 24% 3.10    
3  SCOOTSCOOT Jan13 Dec02 Nov09 Oct22 Sep16 (handal raymon)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 5.00    
4  RASCALLY REBEL Feb20 Feb03 Jan27 Jan13 Dec09 (serey mar)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  LORD UHTRED Feb19 Jan25 Dec16 Nov19 Oct31 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 2.00 29% 2.40    
6  BORUFF Jan27 Oct28 Sep24     (dilodovico d)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 8.00    
7  FREDDYNESS Feb11 Jan30 Jan11 Dec02 Nov14 (ness jamie)CRUZ ANGEL 121 3.50 ★    
 
LRL-5   03/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($24K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ADDY'S LADDY T N T Feb12 Jan19 Dec29 Nov26 Nov06 (walters he)RIVERA R 119 10.00    
2  SUTTON VALLEY Feb12 Jan12 Dec02 Oct13 Oct01 (rodriguez)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 126 12.00    
3  PELOTA Jan31 Jan17 Jan04 Dec19 Dec06 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 4.50 16% 5.20    
4  STRONGER THAN DEX Feb12 Jan20 Dec29 Dec10 Mar18 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 126 4.00 28% 2.50    
5  BRANCO MARIA Feb12 Jan27 Jan08 Nov25 Nov02 (sepulveda carlos)ACOSTA D 126 5.00 6% 16.80    
6  BELIEVEINROCKNROLL Jan27 Nov26 Nov06 Oct20 Oct08 (frock charle)LEWIS M 119 15.00    
7  HEADS OR TAILS Dec10 Nov12 Oct21 Oct02 Sep09 (klesaris robe)KARAMANOS A 126 3.50 16% 5.30    
8  WHAT SAY YOU Jan21 Jan01 Dec11 Nov04 Oct19 (shuman mark)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 3.00 7% 14.10    
 
LRL-6   03/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($26K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MINER'S GEM Feb11 Aug17 Jun29 Jun23 Apr27 (mcmahon hugh)LEWIS M 116 8.00 13% 6.70    
2  BEHIND THE COUCH Feb18 Feb05 Jan16 Dec29 Dec16 (salzman joh)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 2.50 ★    
3  ICY REPLY Feb26 Feb04 Jan16 Jan03 Dec16 (sanchez-salomon )CRUZ ANGEL 123 6.00 ★    
4  MISS CASEY Feb10 Jan27 Jan15 Dec29 Dec03 (gonzalez c)RIVERA R 119 1.80 ★    
5  LUCKY LIZZIE Jan28 Jan01 Dec16 Nov26 Oct20 (casey james)ZAMBRANA JADIEL 113 20.00    
6  LADY JEAN Feb10 Feb03 Jan20 Nov11 Oct27 (maldonado jo)BARBOSA JEIRON 114 4.00 47% 1.10    
7  FUNNYBET Jan07 Dec16 Nov24 Sep24 May03 (cash l)GOMEZ KEVIN 119 10.00    
 
LRL-7   03/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($54K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  B B BAD Feb13 Jan10 Dec21 Dec06 Nov14 (rodriguez miguel)CRUZ ANGEL 123 4.00 11% 8.00    
2  PHRA PHROM Feb24 Feb12 Dec09 Nov18 Oct30 (corrale)BRICENO GREGOR 123 20.00    
3  PARTICULAR Jan26 Mar05 Jan08     (trombetta m)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 2.50 53% 0.90    
4  ZEN MASTER Jan22 Jan06 Oct20 Aug24 Jul30 (barr donald )BARBOSA JEIRON 118 6.00    
5  MAGIC MULE Feb12 Jan22 Jan06 Dec16 Nov21 (hohlbein kerry)GOMEZ KEVIN 123 3.00 ★    
6  MANOLITO Feb01 Jan11 Dec11 Nov21 Nov05 (klesaris rober)BOYCE FOREST 123 15.00 ★    
7  TOP BOSS Feb18 Feb10 Jan28 Jan20 Jan07 (mohan r)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 3.00 8% 10.90    
 
LRL-8   03/05/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($25K) 3 F PT- 4:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARROGATES DREAM Feb18 Jan16 Nov18 Nov03 Oct21 (milosevic mil)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 1.80 58% 0.70    
2  GRASS CUTTER Feb12 Jan22 Dec11 Nov21 Nov12 (robb j)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 3.50 10% 8.60    
3  BUTTERMILK GIRLZ Feb12 Jan27 Dec31 Dec02   (dove j)LEWIS M 113 30.00    
4  GOLD DIGGING BROAD Feb10 Dec30 Nov24 Nov06   (trombetta michae)CRUZ ANGEL 124 2.00 ★    
5  ALWAYS FORWARD Feb12 Dec31 Dec04     (corrale)BRICENO GREGOR 120 15.00 ★    
6  SNOOZE BUTTON Feb05         (mcmahon hug)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 3.50 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.