Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Thursday - February 02, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (2/3/5/7/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/3/5/7/4)-(2/3/5/7/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/3/5/7/4)-(2/3/5/7/4)-(2/3/5/7/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/3/5/7/4)-(3/7/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/3/5/7/4)-(3/7/5)-(3/2) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
CT-2   WIN (3/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/5)-(3/7/5/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/5)-(3/7/5/2/6)-(3/7/5/2/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/7/5)-(3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/7/5)-(3/2)-(1/4/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
CT-3   WIN (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/2)-(3/2/4/6/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (3/2)-(3/2/4/6/7)-(3/2/4/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2)-(1/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/2)-(1/4/3)-(5/3/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
CT-4   WIN (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/3)-(1/4/3/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/3)-(1/4/3/5/6)-(1/4/3/5/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/4/3)-(5/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/3)-(5/3/6)-(3/8/4/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-5   WIN (5/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/6)-(5/3/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/3/6)-(5/3/6/2)-(5/3/6/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/3/6)-(3/8/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/6)-(3/8/4/6)-(6/2/5/3/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-6   WIN (3/8/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/8/4/6)-(3/8/4/6/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/8/4/6)-(3/8/4/6/2)-(3/8/4/6/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/8/4/6)-(6/2/5/3/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/8/4/6)-(6/2/5/3/7)-(7/8/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-7   WIN (6/2/5/3/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/2/5/3/7)-(6/2/5/3/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/2/5/3/7)-(6/2/5/3/7)-(6/2/5/3/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/2/5/3/7)-(7/8/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
CT-8   WIN (7/8/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/8/4)-(7/8/4/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/8/4)-(7/8/4/9)-(7/8/4/9) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   02/02/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MASTER YOO Jan13 Dec16 Dec10 Nov25 Nov04 (downie )NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 50.00    
2  REY O REYES Jan13 Jan05 Dec15 Dec09 Nov23 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 0.60 36% 1.80    
3  FIVE STAR PHIL Jan21 Dec11 Aug28 Jul31 Jul23 (pennella m)BAEZ M 115 3.00 18% 4.60    
4  TYRY TYRANNOSAURUS Jan13 Dec16 Dec02 Nov25 Nov16 (pennella rhea)ADAMS L 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  POLITICAL DECISION Dec14 Nov24 Nov11 Oct21 Oct07 (murtaugh j)CECIL Y 122 10.00 13% 6.60    
6  NEVER SILENCED Jan20 Dec29 Dec04 Nov14 Nov07 (sanchez-sal)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 122 6.00    
7  DIVINE PROPORTION Dec02 Nov11 Oct21 Sep29 Sep14 (parram derrick)ARAUJO DENIS 122 12.00 7% 12.40    
 
CT-2   02/02/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($23K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FOREVER TAKES TIME Oct29 Jul14 Jun09 May19 Apr13 (barber do)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 15.00    
2  SO COURAGEOUS Nov16 Oct01 Sep12 Aug23 Jul14 (figgins oll)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 8.00 ★    
3  THE ILLUSIONIST Jul14         (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 1.00 41% 1.40    
4  BEAR'S ESTATE Jan12 Dec14 Nov26 Nov12 Oct21 (knoblauch-pere)RIOS-CONDE A 122 6.00    
5  SPIRIT OF WINDSOR Jan07 Dec14 Aug11 Jul23 Jul02 (collins tim)PELTROCHE F 122 4.50 10% 9.10    
6  SEATTLE SAILAWAY Dec16 Oct26 Oct05 Sep14   (stehr j)NUNEZ ANAHI 122 15.00 ★    
7  DOC ELM Nov16 Oct20 Oct05 Sep08 Jun18 (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 122 4.00 26% 2.90    
 
CT-3   02/02/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GLASTONBURY Nov25 Nov04 Oct14 Sep23 Aug12 (roadcap jerr)LEWIS M 116 6.00    
  (by DIVINING ROD out of BUCKLEBURY by ALLUVIAL)
2  ALWAYS GET REVENGE Sep28 Aug16 Jul20 Jun02 May04 (shanley mark)BOCACHICA O 123 10.00 30% 2.30    
  (by CARPE DIEM (FR) out of MISS VINDICTIVE by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
3  FANEUIL HALL Jan07 Nov25 Nov04 Oct14   (gazzier kristy)RODRIGUEZ V 123 4.00 40% 1.50    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of WILD GRACE by FOREST WILDCAT)
4  SWIFT DANCER Jan20 Aug24 Aug02 Apr27 Apr15 (mcmahon thom)ARAUJO DENIS 123 3.00 ★    
  (by ADIOS CHARLIE out of AMERICAN SWAGGER by MR. SEKIGUCHI)
5  IRISH MCDOUGAL Dec30 Nov25 Nov04 Oct27 Jul30 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 123 4.50    
  (by BUFFUM out of MOJO'S PRISTINA by MIKIMOTO'S MOJO)
6  BUBBA G Aug05 Jun29 Jun01 May09   (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 3.50 ★    
  (by GORMLEY out of ABLAZE by FOREST CAMP)
7  TRICKY STRONG Jan05 Aug20 Jul17     (dollinger-st)MARRERO CARLOS 123 15.00 ★    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of TRICKY GAME by MAJESTIC LIGHT)
8  FRONT DANCER Nov25 Nov05 Oct22 Oct02 Sep07 (deiter kell)RAMGEET R 123 8.00    
  (by WAR DANCER out of MISS GOLDEN FREUD by FREUD)
 
CT-4   02/02/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36.3K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DRINKWITHTHESTARS Jan12 Dec16 Nov23 Oct29 Oct01 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 2.50 54% 0.80    
2  REMYS SHOWTIME Dec16 Nov19 Oct14 Sep08 Aug26 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 6.00    
3  HOPPING HENRY Jan19 Dec16 Nov23 Oct29 Oct01 (sterling michae)PELTROCHE F 124 3.00 7% 12.50    
4  SETTLEMENT DATE Dec16 Nov25 Nov04 Oct14 Sep07 (larrosa r)LARROSA G 120 5.00 10% 9.30    
5  AMIDSHIPS Jan12 Oct29 Oct08 Sep10   (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 2.00 ★    
6  BOSS E BOOGS Jan12         (stehr j)NUNEZ ANAHI 120 20.00 ★    
7  SIENTE EL AMOR Jan07 Dec10 Nov16 Oct19 Sep24 (stehr josep)RAMGEET R 120 30.00    
 
CT-5   02/02/2023 2970ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($36.3K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BAYTOWN WARRIOR Jan12 Dec22 Dec05 Nov02 Oct12 (mcentee pau)RAMGEET R 120 20.00    
2  E J'S REVENGE Jan22 Jan13 Jan01 Dec16 Nov14 (murtaugh j)CECIL Y 124 12.00 ★    
3  FREE DANCER Jan14 Dec17 Nov24 Nov02 Oct12 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 3.00 15% 5.50    
SCR  CAIRO CALLING Jan12 Nov17 Oct30 Sep14 Apr28 (runco c)LEWIS M 113 3.50 ★    
5  FULLY CONNECTED Jan12 Nov12 Oct12 Aug28 Aug06 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 2.50 57% 0.80    
6  GOLDEN KEY Jan12 Nov24 Oct08 Sep14 Jul16 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 5.00 6% 15.50    
7  COWBOY AT HEART Nov24 Oct19 Sep24 Jul29 Jun30 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 10.00    
8  MACY'S BOY Dec17 Sep25 May14 Apr28 Apr01 (campbell jerry )PELTROCHE F 120 8.00    
 
CT-6   02/02/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUPER JORDAN Jan12 Dec16 Nov25 Oct15 Sep24 (carson laura)THORPE DARIUS 120 10.00    
2  CANT STOP THIS MAN Jan11 Dec09 Nov23 Nov01 Oct25 (penaloza migu)SIMPSON JASON 120 3.50 ★    
3  MR TINGLES Jan21 Jan13 Nov04 Oct14 Sep09 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 2.00 29% 2.40    
4  TOLLER Jan04 Dec02 Nov09 Sep30 Sep07 (comi ralp)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 12.00 13% 6.50    
5  BUSTIN PIETRE Jan13 Nov23 Nov08 Oct17 May02 (figgins oll)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 4.50    
6  NO FOOLING DUDE Jan19 Nov23 Nov14 Oct22 Sep16 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 8.00 8% 12.20    
SCR  ROLL DEM BONES Jan27 Jan06 Dec01 Nov07 Oct14 (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 120 15.00    
8  MAJESTIC SEAS Jan13 Oct28 Jul08 Jun17 May19 (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 120 4.00 25% 3.10    
 
CT-7   02/02/2023 2970ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($36.3K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHISKEY AND RYE Jan07 Dec18 Oct23 Mar13 Feb20 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 120 6.00    
2  MY LOVELY GIRL Jan12 Dec16 Nov26 Nov15 Oct22 (larrosa r)LARROSA G 124 3.00 14% 6.00    
3  BACI Jan20 Dec16 Dec07 Nov15 Oct26 (penaloza migu)SIMPSON JASON 120 12.00 8% 11.30    
4  REIGN ON AND ON Jan12 Nov19 Oct19 Jun18 Jun04 (huet k)LEWIS M 113 15.00    
5  BENEATH THE STARS Apr16 Mar30 Mar04 Feb19 Jan29 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.80 13% 6.50    
6  ALPINE MOON Jan12 Nov19 Oct08 Sep16 Aug26 (davis r)NUNEZ ANAHI 120 3.50 31% 2.20    
7  R WORKING GIRL Jan05 Dec16 Dec01 Nov21 Nov02 (hillegass alexa)BOCACHICA O 122 10.00 8% 11.80    
SCR  MADERA Dec29 Dec16 Nov19 Jan20   (hillegass ale)THORPE DARIUS 120 15.00    
 
CT-8   02/02/2023 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($20.6K) 3UP M/F PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRETTY CASTLE Jan25 Nov30 Nov03 Sep28 Sep22 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 10.00    
2  GATTOLOTTASPARKLE Jan11 Dec15       (mcclure)NUNEZ ANAHI 122 30.00    
3  LAURA'S GRAND Jan11 Dec09 Nov18 Nov03 Oct13 (pyke joseph)SIMPSON JASON 120 20.00    
4  IMINCHARGENOW Jan11 Dec17 Nov17 Sep16 Aug12 (schottroffe e)THORPE DARIUS 122 1.60 8% 12.00    
SCR  OK EMILY         (collins tim)RIOS-CONDE A 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  BANK CARD Jan11 Dec15 Nov24     (pickett cry)RAMGEET R 122 8.00    
7  WOODSONG'S CASTLE Dec09 Nov18 Nov03 Oct20 Sep24 (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 122 4.50 47% 1.10    
8  SWISS HORIZON Jan11 Nov30 Jul07 Jun18 May18 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 3.00 19% 4.30    
9  WARRIORINTHEHOUSE Jan11 Dec15 Nov30 Nov09 Oct20 (aylor natash)MARRERO CARLOS 120 12.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.