Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Saturday - January 07, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-1   WIN (3/4/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/5/7)-(3/4/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/5/7)-(3/4/5/7)-(3/4/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/5/7)-(3/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/5/7)-(3/5/8)-(1/3/5/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-2   WIN (3/5/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/8)-(3/5/8/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/8)-(3/5/8/1/2)-(3/5/8/1/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/5/8)-(1/3/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5/8)-(1/3/5/2)-(3/7/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-3   WIN (1/3/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/5/2)-(1/3/5/2/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/3/5/2)-(1/3/5/2/6)-(1/3/5/2/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/3/5/2)-(3/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3/5/2)-(3/7/5)-(10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-4   WIN (3/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/5)-(3/7/5/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/5)-(3/7/5/1/6)-(3/7/5/1/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/7/5)-(10) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/7/5)-(10)-(7/2/10/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-5   WIN (10) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (10)-(10/9/5/2/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (10)-(10/9/5/2/1)-(10/9/5/2/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (10)-(7/2/10/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (10)-(7/2/10/1)-(8/6/4/3/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CT-6   WIN (7/2/10/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/10/1)-(7/2/10/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/10/1)-(7/2/10/1)-(7/2/10/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/10/1)-(8/6/4/3/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/2/10/1)-(8/6/4/3/2)-(4/1/9) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-7   WIN (8/6/4/3/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/6/4/3/2)-(8/6/4/3/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/6/4/3/2)-(8/6/4/3/2)-(8/6/4/3/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/6/4/3/2)-(4/1/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (8/6/4/3/2)-(4/1/9)-(4/3/5/2/1) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
CT-8   WIN (4/1/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/9)-(4/1/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/9)-(4/1/9)-(4/1/9) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/9)-(4/3/5/2/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
CT-9   WIN (4/3/5/2/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/3/5/2/1)-(4/3/5/2/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/3/5/2/1)-(4/3/5/2/1)-(4/3/5/2/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   01/07/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS COREY Dec19 Dec03 Nov23 Nov09 Oct29 (badillo jona)BATISTA A 122 2.50    
SCR  CODAS HONOR Dec10 Nov25 Nov04 Sep22 Aug30 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 1.80 37% 1.70    
PRACTICALLY THERE Dec17 Nov30 Nov17 Oct28 Oct06 (haynes erne)RAMGEET R 122 8.00 17% 5.00    
SHE'S ALL COURAGE Dec09 Oct23 Oct01 May05 Mar20 (mancilla carlos )ACOSTA D 122 10.00 12% 7.20    
CASTLE OF CAYLEE Nov26 Oct20 Oct05 Sep09 Aug19 (rideout anthony)RODRIGUEZ V 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
DIVINE FASHION Dec03 Nov18 Nov04 Oct28 Oct14 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.00    
UNEXPECTEDLY Dec10 Feb04 Jan15     (rangel ricard)ADAMS L 115 20.00 5% 19.00    
CHRISTINE'S COSMO Nov30 Oct22 Sep28 May25 Apr30 (comi ralph )MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 10.00    
 
CT-2   01/07/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($23K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IN JUBALATION Sep22 Apr27       (curtis la)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 6.00    
THUNDERINREADYRICK Dec16 Nov16 Oct21 Sep30 Aug11 (bass w)RODRIGUEZ V 122 4.00    
BRIGHT DAWN Dec17 Nov16 Oct05 May05 Apr20 (allen a)ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 3.00 32% 2.10    
SPECTACULO Nov05 Oct19 Sep29 Sep15 Aug26 (mangual manolo)MONTANO JOSE 122 8.00    
SPIRIT OF WINDSOR Dec14 Aug11 Jul23 Jul02 Jun18 (collins tim)RIOS-CONDE A 122 3.50 26% 2.90    
SIENTE EL AMOR Dec10 Nov16 Oct19 Sep24 Jun17 (stehr josep)RAMGEET R 122 10.00    
EXECUTIVE PRIZE Dec13 Dec04 Nov22 Nov09 Oct18 (johnson jenn)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 12.00    
REMYS GUNSMOKE Nov23 Oct29 Sep30 Sep21 Sep09 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 4.50 16% 5.10    
 
CT-3   01/07/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ADARA         (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 123 2.00 38% 1.60    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of MATTIE CAMP by FOREST CAMP)
BASHDAFLASH Sep23 Jul15 Jun03     (knoblauch-pere)RIOS-CONDE A 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FLINTSHIRE (GB) out of TRUC'S LOVE by NOT FOR LOVE)
FANEUIL HALL Nov25 Nov04 Oct14     (gazzier kristy)RODRIGUEZ V 123 6.00 17% 4.90    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of WILD GRACE by FOREST WILDCAT)
A THOUSAND IDOLS Nov25 Mar11 Feb25     (bass w)THORPE DARIUS 123 15.00    
  (by TAMARKUZ out of COBBLESTONE WAY by HORSE CHESTNUT (SAF))
PER DIEM Dec30 Sep24 Aug17 Aug10 Jul30 (cash norman )LEWIS M 116 4.50 16% 5.40    
  (by CARPE DIEM (FR) out of QUEEN OF THE REALM by EMPIRE MAKER)
SHANNONRUN Oct22 Oct05 Sep13 Apr28 Feb26 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 123 5.00    
  (by MAGICIAN out of BLASE by LEROIDESANIMAUX)
TARAASHOQ Oct27 Oct14 Aug30 Aug23 Jul01 (ramos m)ARAUJO DENIS 123 2.50    
  (by CURLIN out of LEAR'S PRINCESS by LEAR FAN)
SHAKIN IT BIG TIME Dec08 Oct26 Oct01 Aug31 Aug17 (oxendine adam)PELTROCHE F 123 20.00    
  (by SHAKIN IT UP out of OVERTIMEANGIE BABY by SPECTACULAR BID)
 
CT-4   01/07/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIKE SEGAL Dec17 Nov03 May14 Feb24 Jan14 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 20.00    
CURLIN'S MALIBU Oct21 Sep16 Sep05 Aug22 Aug09 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 4.00    
JUNGLE BEAST Nov12 Oct08 Sep17 Aug26 Jul23 (contre)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 1.60 44% 1.30    
SANTO Dec06 Nov03 Oct07 Aug06 Jul09 (viands r)PELTROCHE F 120 10.00    
BROTHER CORBIN Sep24 Jan15       (groves janice)RIOS-CONDE A 124 12.00 13% 6.80    
TRIKITRAKI Nov25 Sep02 May27 Apr24 Mar26 (mangual manolo)ACOSTA D 120 8.00    
BE ONBOARD Dec06 Nov09 Aug23 Jun25 May23 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 1.80 21% 3.70    
 
CT-5   01/07/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DANCIN IN DUBAI Dec13 Nov17 Jul20 Jun12 May27 (brown kel)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 8.00    
PROUD UNION Dec03 Nov18 Oct28 Oct07 Aug20 (viands r)PELTROCHE F 122 4.50    
FEARNOUGHT Dec01 Nov19 Nov03 Oct08 Sep22 (clatterbuck fre)RODRIGUEZ V 124 12.00    
STRINGFELLA Nov23 Oct19 Oct05 Aug31 Aug10 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 124 6.00    
STRONG HEART Dec13 Nov30 May15 Apr16 Mar25 (johnson jenn)TROTMAN KEIMAR 124 10.00    
LIL TOUGHMAN Dec15 Nov30 Nov19 Apr29 Apr14 (johnson jamey )ARAUJO DENIS 122 20.00    
HIDDEN ROD Nov13 Oct12 Sep28 Sep10 Aug31 (castro jeremi)TREJOS JOSEPH 122 20.00    
STORMIN ROCKET Dec09 Nov22 Nov11 Oct02 Aug26 (craig lewis)RAMGEET R 124 12.00    
MANHATTAN WEAVE Dec16 Nov23 Oct29 Oct21 Sep30 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 12.00    
10  FREEDOM RIDER Dec14 Nov23 Nov02 Oct13 Sep15 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 1.40 75% 0.30    
 
CT-6   01/07/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($29.7K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRACE ELIZABETH Dec09 Nov03 Oct08 Aug19 May20 (runco c)LEWIS M 113 10.00 5% 19.00    
CRUZ IN THE CASTLE Dec10 Dec03 Nov10 Oct20 Sep17 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 4.50 12% 7.70    
GOT YOUR NUMBER Dec08 Nov02 Oct20 Sep28 Sep03 (tobin l)BOCACHICA O 120 15.00    
JAMESTOWN ROAD Dec09 Nov26 Nov12 Oct22 Sep21 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 6.00    
SECRET CASTLE Dec09 Nov19 Nov03 Oct22 Sep28 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 124 5.00    
SCR  AZZURRA Nov05 Oct08 Aug26 Aug04 Jul01 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.80 35% 1.90    
MISS WAVE Dec09 Oct25 Aug19 Jul14 May25 (patterson kev)THORPE DARIUS 120 6.00 14% 6.00    
HERETODAYGONMANANA Dec03 Nov03 Sep30 Aug20 Jul21 (kirlew lenwo)MARRERO CARLOS 120 30.00    
CHEESE LOUISE Dec01 Nov04 Oct12 Sep28 Aug11 (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 20.00    
10  OCEAN LILLY Nov03 Oct08 Sep07 Aug04 Jul02 (jones e)HO WESLEY 120 12.00 9% 10.30    
 
CT-7   01/07/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3 ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AREYOUGONNAKISSME Dec03 Nov19 Oct15 Oct08 Sep17 (mckee john)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 20.00    
PINNACLE REEF Dec03 Oct08 Sep14 Sep03 Aug13 (runco c)LEWIS M 111 20.00 5% 19.00    
XCELLENT START Oct08 Sep17 Aug13     (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 5.00 7% 13.70    
SPARKED A NOTION Nov26 Nov02 Oct15     (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 4.00 12% 7.10    
COLT ROCK Nov05 Oct15 Sep24     (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 118 6.00    
NO LOVE FOR JUBA Dec03 Nov19 Nov02 Sep14 Sep03 (casey w)BOCACHICA O 122 3.00 23% 3.30    
NEVERPOPTHECORK Dec03 Nov23 Nov02 Oct08 Sep14 (casey john )MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 15.00    
JUBA'S NOTION Dec03 Nov19 Oct08 Sep17 Sep03 (casey a)MONTANO JOSE 122 2.50 36% 1.80    
LORD OF CORK Dec03 Nov19 Oct08 Sep17 Sep03 (casey w)THORPE DARIUS 118 12.00    
 
CT-8   01/07/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($34.9K) 4UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LATE IN THE GAME Dec14 Nov11 Oct26 Oct08 Sep16 (casey w)LARROSA G 124 3.00 30% 2.30    
SCR  RAISE A SPEIGHTS Dec11 Nov21 Oct06 Sep18 Aug26 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 10.00 7% 13.10    
MARK DID IT Nov24 Oct27 Sep30 Sep09 Aug26 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 6.00    
YES SIR ROBERT Dec09 Nov27 Nov11 Oct14 Sep02 (maldonado jona)PEREZ XAVIER 122 4.00 31% 2.30    
SCR  MISSIONSNINETYNINE Dec14 Nov10 Oct13 Sep17 Aug25 (schiano-dic)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 5.00    
STRONG LIL KOKORO Nov30 Nov05 Oct05 Sep22 Aug05 (collins tim)PELTROCHE F 120 30.00    
SHANGHAI CANDY Dec14 Nov16 Oct29 Oct12 Sep05 (jones mic)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 15.00    
TOE TAPPIN LUKE Dec13 Nov29 Oct25 Sep30 Sep16 (morrell justin)MONTANO JOSE 120 15.00    
BURGEE Dec16 Nov25 Oct15 Sep14 Aug12 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 3.50 12% 7.30    
10  PURPLE SHIRT Dec14 Nov15 Oct20 Sep26 Aug17 (reynolds jo)RAMGEET R 120 15.00    
 
CT-9   01/07/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.7K) 4UP ALL PT-11:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FRANKEE MERCH Dec08 Nov16 Oct26 Sep07 Aug27 (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 6.00 8% 12.20    
INTERNET OF THINGS Dec02 Nov10 Oct20 Jul22 Jul09 (pickett cryst)THORPE DARIUS 120 8.00 9% 10.10    
I SEE THE STARS Nov15 Oct19 Sep23 Aug31 Aug04 (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 1.80 16% 5.20    
SUGAR DADDY Oct27 Oct19 Sep24 Aug04 Jul10 (farrior anthony)BOCACHICA O 122 1.60 28% 2.60    
BETTER BOOGIE Nov12 Oct28 Sep30 Sep09 Aug25 (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 10.00 16% 5.20    
ONE MORE FACTOR Oct28 Oct05 Sep14 Aug06 Jul07 (maldonado jo)BATISTA A 122 20.00    
HALO'S DANCE Nov21 Nov07 Oct19 Oct09 Sep26 (smith osborne)BAEZ M 115 10.00    
SUNMAN Dec07 Nov12 Oct21 Sep09 Aug19 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 120 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.