Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Friday - January 06, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (6/3/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/2/1)-(6/3/2/1/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/3/2/1)-(6/3/2/1/5)-(6/3/2/1/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/3/2/1)-(4/5/7/2/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/3/2/1)-(4/5/7/2/3)-(4/3/6/7) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-2   WIN (4/5/7/2/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/5/7/2/3)-(4/5/7/2/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/5/7/2/3)-(4/5/7/2/3)-(4/5/7/2/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/5/7/2/3)-(4/3/6/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/5/7/2/3)-(4/3/6/7)-(6/3/2/5) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-3   WIN (4/3/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/6/7)-(4/3/6/7/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/3/6/7)-(4/3/6/7/5)-(4/3/6/7/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/3/6/7)-(6/3/2/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/3/6/7)-(6/3/2/5)-(8/4/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-4   WIN (6/3/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/2/5)-(6/3/7/2/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/3/2/5)-(6/3/7/2/5)-(6/3/7/2/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/3/2/5)-(8/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/2/5)-(8/4/3)-(6/5/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-5   WIN (8/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/4/3)-(8/4/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/4/3)-(8/4/3/1)-(8/4/3/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/4/3)-(6/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (8/4/3)-(6/5/1)-(5/1/6/4/8) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
TAM-6   WIN (6/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/1)-(6/5/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/5/1)-(6/5/1/4)-(6/5/1/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/5/1)-(5/1/6/4/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/5/1)-(5/1/6/4/8)-(6/1/2/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-7   WIN (5/1/6/4/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/1/6/4/8)-(5/1/6/4/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/1/6/4/8)-(5/1/6/4/8)-(5/1/6/4/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/1/6/4/8)-(6/1/2/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/1/6/4/8)-(6/1/2/7)-(5/7/4/9) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-8   WIN (6/1/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/2/7)-(6/1/2/4/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/1/2/7)-(6/1/2/4/7)-(6/1/2/4/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/1/2/7)-(5/7/4/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
TAM-9   WIN (5/7/4/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/4/9)-(5/7/4/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/4/9)-(5/7/4/9)-(5/7/4/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   01/06/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($22.5K) 4UP M/F PT-12:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIZZ A BEE Dec14 Oct23 Oct08 Sep07 Aug28 (arnet)DIAZ RAFAEL 121 10.00 5% 17.40    
2  TRUE ATKA Dec23 Sep22 Sep05 Aug29 Aug08 (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 121 5.00 6% 15.60    
3  SPANISH DELIGHT Nov20 Oct19 Oct05 Sep22 Sep05 (lorito mari)SPANABEL SKYLER 121 3.00 13% 6.90    
4  MURUMBI Dec11 Oct26 Oct06 Aug07 Jul09 (bennett gerald)MARIN SAMUEL 121 5.00    
5  SOUTHERN SMILE Dec17 Oct03 Aug24 Jul20 Jun27 (granitz anth)BATISTA A 121 15.00 ★    
6  UPTOWN QUEEN Oct14 Sep04 Jul04 Jun11 May23 (arnett g)MORALES PABLO 121 1.00 51% 0.90    
 
TAM-2   01/06/2023 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHAKEM N BREAKEM Dec09 Nov23 Apr15 Mar16 Feb25 (dominguez luis)MENDEZ KEVIN 123 20.00    
2  ONE EYED JACK Dec02 Nov11 Sep25 Aug14 Jul02 (rhone berne)QUINONEZ ALONSO 123 2.50 8% 11.20    
3  TAPSOLUTE Dec09 Oct22 Sep28 Sep03 Aug01 (nunn douglas)JIMENEZ MANNY 123 10.00 8% 12.10    
4  SNAP HOOK Dec09 Sep30 May20 Apr27 Apr13 (arnet)DIAZ RAFAEL 123 1.80 44% 1.30    
5  ENGLISH LAUGHTER Dec30 Oct26 Sep27 Aug29 Aug10 (ferraro )GALLARDO A 123 4.50 10% 9.40    
6  CATCHING FISH Dec16 Nov11 Oct29 Sep24 Sep11 (garcia rodolfo)GREEN AUBRIE 123 8.00    
7  ESPECIALLEA Dec30 Dec16 Dec09 Nov25 Nov12 (gatis chri)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 123 4.50 9% 10.10    
 
TAM-3   01/06/2023 5400ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEAVY WEIGHT Dec23 May06 Apr03 Mar26 Mar18 (negrete javie)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 12.00    
2  J T'S MY BOY Aug27 Aug14 Jul29     (nunez mauricio)MENDEZ KEVIN 122 12.00    
3  CALZONE Dec14 Nov26 Oct22 Sep15 Aug13 (rarick lynn)FERRER C 122 4.00 24% 3.10    
4  SIDNEY'S BID Dec16 Dec02 Oct07 Sep10 Aug20 (mcgoey monica)JIMENEZ MANNY 122 2.00 31% 2.20    
5  CHARMING COUNCIL Dec16 Aug24 Aug15 Jul19   (lusk r)ARROYO S 122 2.50 ★    
6  EL MIC TIESUN Dec31 Dec23 Nov23 Sep29 Sep22 (mcgoey monica)SOSA LAUREANO 115 5.00 11% 8.30    
7  COLORS Jul10 Jun11 May08 Apr09 Mar26 (lusk brian)ROWLAND MADELINE 117 8.00 7% 12.40    
 
TAM-4   01/06/2023 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRYCENS GOLD Jun10 May25 Apr13 Mar20 Feb06 (tsirigotis jam)ALLEN D 121 6.00    
2  AUDREY Feb19 Jan12 Jan05     (lusk brian)MITCHELL RICHARD 121 20.00 6% 15.60    
3  WHAT A KNOCKOUT Dec02 Oct28 Sep23 Aug21 Jul24 (puckett dwigh)MORALES PABLO 121 3.00 14% 5.90    
4  MA COCO Dec14 Nov25 Oct21 Sep18 Jul31 (dominguez lu)ALENCAR WALBER 121 20.00    
5  MAY BEAU Dec23 Dec09 Oct27 Oct19 Sep28 (wasiluk peter)SANTOS ADEMAR 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  DIA DE SOL Dec04 Oct28 Sep28 Aug07 Jul23 (d'angelo jose )CAMACHO SAMY 121 1.60 50% 1.00    
7  LUNA'S TREASURE Dec14 Oct07 Sep23 Aug30 Jul23 (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 121 2.50 ★    
 
TAM-5   01/06/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($32K) Purse ($18.5K) 3 F PT- 2:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COLLECTIVE GOLD Dec14 Nov25 Oct21     (sacco gregory )SUAREZ ANGEL 120 20.00 ★    
SCR  AWESOME EMPRESS Dec17         (romer)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 8.00 ★    
3  TIZ A TEMPEST         (cruz jesus)BATISTA A 120 8.00 12% 7.10    
4  LOVE FOREVERAFTER         (delgado jorge)MARIN SAMUEL 120 4.50 27% 2.70    
SCR  NEOLITHIC NATION Dec09 Nov05       (lepiane )GALLARDO A 120 15.00    
SCR  MOVE TO ORDER Dec16 Nov30 Oct09 Sep18 Aug21 (barbazoniii lest)BRACHO A 120 20.00    
7  APPALACHIAN TRAIL Nov04         (paragallo jen)JIMENEZ MANNY 120 12.00    
8  WATER FIGHT Nov30 Oct12 Aug28     (delacour arnau)CAMACHO SAMY 120 0.60 40% 1.50    
 
TAM-6   01/06/2023 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAN COSTANTINO Dec09 Nov23 Oct20 Oct11 Aug31 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 121 3.50 11% 8.30    
2  LUCA DREW THE ACE Aug15 Jul11 May08 Apr16 Apr06 (posadas pedro)BUSH V 121 8.00    
3  GUNMAN Dec21 Dec02 May06 Apr22 Apr08 (manchan be)MITCHELL RICHARD 121 15.00    
4  KING CAIRO Nov25 Oct22 Jul02 Jun10 May07 (alvarado dia)BATISTA A 121 6.00 ★    
5  UNFLAPPABLE MAX Nov07 Oct03 Sep05 Aug10 Jul25 (ferraro anth)COA J 121 4.50 13% 6.50    
6  BABY BOOMER Nov27 Aug26 Jul31 Jul10 Jun05 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 121 1.40 50% 1.00    
SCR  I'M MONEY Dec16 Oct10 Sep21 Sep07 Aug22 (cahill steven )SUAREZ ANGEL 121 8.00 ★    
 
TAM-7   01/06/2023 5280ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($18.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VAN DUSEN (GB) Dec03 Nov05 Sep22 Aug22   (thoma)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 2.00 14% 6.30    
2  ANVIL Nov26 Oct14 Oct08 Sep06 Aug09 (parra hernan)ARROYO S 121 10.00    
3  JUST PRAISE Dec21 Dec02 Oct19 Oct06 Sep21 (guciardo kathy)CAMACHO SAMY 119 6.00    
4  SMART AS ME Dec16 Nov04       (smith ro)ALLEN D 123 8.00 7% 14.10    
5  NORTH CAROLINA Oct19 Sep14 Jul25 Jul10 Jun11 (guciardo kathy)FERRER C 119 3.00 43% 1.30    
6  THE SKIPSTER Dec21 Nov25 Sep16 Sep03 Jul21 (posadas pedro)GREEN AUBRIE 119 5.00 8% 12.30    
7  MAGICAL ADVENTURE Dec21 Dec02 Jun10 Apr27 Apr13 (manning j)BRACHO A 119 8.00    
8  GAMBLING TZAR Nov06 Sep23 Jul23     (alvarado dia)BATISTA A 119 12.00 6% 14.60    
 
TAM-8   01/06/2023 5400ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($28.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HELIUM Sep28 Aug13 Jul09 May22 May01 (casse mark)FERRER C 121 2.00 17% 4.90    
2  MUNQAD Dec10 Nov05 Oct14 Sep29 Sep15 (escobar alison)MARIN SAMUEL 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  PRENDIMI Oct22 Aug28 Jul19 Jun12   (carvajal l)MITCHELL RICHARD 121 8.00    
4  BUMPERDOO Dec17 Nov05 Oct20 Sep30 Aug25 (rigattieri jo)MORALES PABLO 121 8.00 ★    
5  MOTAWAAFEQ Dec10 Oct28 Oct13 Sep18 Jul14 (escobar alis)SUAREZ ANTHONY 121 12.00    
6  MIGHTY HEART Nov06 Sep17 Jul30 Jul01 May29 (county patrick )CENTENO E 121 1.40 53% 0.90    
7  SEVENTYSEVEN STONE Dec11 Dec04 Nov13 Oct24 Oct14 (lepiane )GALLARDO A 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-9   01/06/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLY FLY AWAY Dec10 Nov25 Sep29 May07 Apr23 (cahill steven )SUAREZ ANGEL 121 10.00    
2  CALL BROS Dec14 Sep30 Aug13 Jul23 Jul10 (mccarthy b)ROWLAND MADELINE 116 20.00    
3  BEAR CREEK Dec16 Oct18 Oct03 Sep12 Aug02 (ward dennis)CAMACHO SAMY 121 8.00    
4  FRANZ JOSEF Oct12 Sep26 Sep07 Aug22 Aug08 (wismer glenn)ALENCAR WALBER 121 6.00 6% 15.50    
5  SOUTH SEA Dec10 Oct25 Sep28 Aug06 Jul22 (rodrigue)GALLARDO A 121 2.50 53% 0.90    
6  TREASURE RUN Dec28 Dec14 Nov25 Nov05 Aug31 (rarick lynn)DELGADO DAVID 121 15.00    
7  MAJOR SPARKS Nov09 Oct24 Oct08 Sep29 Aug24 (granitz anthony )FERRER C 121 3.00 16% 5.30    
8  SEA SPLENDOR Aug20 Jul31 Jul22 Jul09 Jun18 (smith r)MORALES PABLO 121 12.00    
9  MOTATAABEQ Dec28 Dec10 Nov25 Oct10 Sep07 (escobar alison)MARIN SAMUEL 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
10  LUCKY LOVER BOY Dec22 Dec09 Oct21 Sep30 Sep10 (nunn douglas)JIMENEZ MANNY 121 12.00    
SCR  HARD LIGHTING Dec24 Dec07 Sep30 Aug27 Jul23 (posadas pedr)BATISTA A 121 3.00 ★    
SCR  CHAOS KID Dec10 Sep28 Sep13 Aug22 Aug03 (guciardo kat)ALENCAR WALBER 121 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.