Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Delta Downs
Tuesday - December 27, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
DED-1   12/27/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HALF A BUCK Dec08 Nov17 Nov02 Oct21 Sep11 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 119 4.00    
1A  OGA BEAR Dec16 Dec03 Nov05 Oct27 Oct12 (gonzal)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 4.00 26% 2.80    
2  BIG RUSSSS Dec08 Nov17 Oct27 Aug25 Aug13 (robbins j)MCMAHON J 119 8.00    
3  SUNSET WAR Sep24 Aug30       (roberts kennet)BACA L 120 8.00 ★    
4  MIZSPELT Nov02 Oct15       (alberto an)WEATHERLY BAILEY 115 3.00 39% 1.50    
5  CORN SOUP Dec16 Nov17 Aug25 Jul27 Jul09 (patt roland)FLORES S 119 5.00    
6  SHARP CHARLIE Nov30 Aug09 Jul16 Jun08 May21 (thomas lee)COTTO L 120 3.50 10% 9.30    
7  SONG SPECTACULAR Oct19 Jun22       (gonzalez ja)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 5.00 ★    
 
DED-2   12/27/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY BOBBY MCGEE Dec01 Nov22 Oct30 Oct22 Oct01 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 118 3.00 ★    
2  BROAD DECISION Dec14 Apr08 Mar03 Jan07   (robbins han)RAMIREZ PAULINA 115 10.00    
3  DEALMEINBUD Dec14 Nov12 Oct29 Oct06 Sep25 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 117 5.00 32% 2.10    
4  TAPPED OUT Dec01 Nov19 Nov02 Sep19 Aug14 (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 122 6.00    
5  FALCON HEAVY Nov23 Oct26 Oct08 Aug20 Jul26 (tracy greg)BIRZER E 118 4.50 20% 4.10    
6  SECULAR STAGNATION Dec10 Nov23 Apr09     (godfre)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 4.00 19% 4.20    
7  GETCHA Dec17 Nov12 Oct08 Aug10 Jul17 (mojica edit)MORALES ROBERTO 118 8.00 6% 15.20    
8  WAYPOINT Dec14 Nov12 Oct26 Jul29 Jul06 (zenon shelton)TORRES HUGO 113 12.00    
9  WITCH DOCTOR Dec09 May21 Apr29 Apr08 Mar03 (rogers andy)MELANCON G 118 15.00    
 
DED-3   12/27/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEZA SEXY ZONG Nov25 Nov12 Sep03 Jul23 Jul12 (dison philli)BARRERA J 118 1.60 34% 1.90    
2  VIKING LEGACY Oct12         (woodley j)THORNTON G 122 3.50 21% 3.70    
3  FLOWER CAT Nov25         (ingram steve)BIRZER E 122 4.50 ★    
4  BOSS MAN ZONG Dec07         (dison m)POMPELL L 122 5.00 ★    
5  SNUFFY         (vincen)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 10.00 21% 3.70    
6  STYLING HOOK Nov25 Nov11 Oct26     (guillory james)STOKES A 122 8.00    
7  TYLER'S SENSATION Feb11         (delahoussaye tom)FUSILIER C 122 10.00    
 
DED-4   12/27/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUMMER IS HOT Dec09 May26 Apr30 Apr09 Mar19 (ramirez edu)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 2.50 ★    
1A  BITSY C C LIL GIRL Dec02 Nov03 Oct07 Aug24 Jul21 (ramirez edu)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 2.50 70% 0.40    
2  RACE DAY MAE         (garza e)TORRES HUGO 118 10.00    
3  FANCY BLAZE Dec02 Apr28 Apr08     (guillory j)BIRZER E 123 8.00    
4  INPENDING BREEZE Dec14 Jul25 Jul09 Jun19   (kanhai joseph)STOKES J 123 4.50 ★    
5  CHAOS MAGIC Dec14 Dec02 Nov16 Nov03 Sep08 (dixon tim)FLORES S 122 3.50 7% 14.20    
6  T J'S SUNSHINE Dec09 Nov23 Nov09 Oct26 Aug18 (melancon do)RAMIREZ PAULINA 120 20.00 ★    
7  YES I'M A LADY Dec08 Nov18 Nov03 Oct06 Sep17 (melancon don)BARRERA J 114 6.00 ★    
8  TALTY Dec02 Nov03 Oct07 Jul23 Jun03 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 122 6.00    
9  JUDGE THIS TRIP Dec07 Nov03 Sep27 Aug28   (turner)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 20.00    
 
DED-5   12/27/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  ANOTHERINTHEFIRE Dec07 Nov19 Oct21 Oct12 Jun24 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 117 3.00 58% 0.70    
SCR  TENSAS VIRGINIA Dec02 Nov18 Nov10 Oct12 Jul22 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 116 3.00 ★    
2  MISS CHECKMARK Nov10 Oct19 Sep20 Aug27 Aug16 (lloyd carol)FLORES S 120 15.00    
3  MARILYN'S MAGIC Oct26 Oct15 Sep06 Jul11 Jun07 (ramirez rosa )VARGAS P 120 4.50 ★    
4  TAPIT'S LADY Nov26 Nov09 Oct15 Sep30 Sep16 (gonzal)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 6.00 17% 5.00    
5  MY REBEL GIRL Dec16 Aug18 Jul28 Jul09 Jun02 (landry jaco)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 12.00    
6  SEGOVIANA Dec16 Dec02 Nov18 Nov03 Sep27 (hibdon n)ROMAN KEVIN 120 12.00    
7  MYSTERIOUS STAR Dec07 Nov10 Aug27 Jun19 May22 (morrell cynthia)STOKES A 119 8.00 ★    
8  LIL HOT TODDY Jun12 May15 Feb03     (lara jorge)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 5.00    
9  CAMCORDIA Dec09 Nov23 Nov09 Oct26 Sep25 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 123 4.00 ★    
 
DED-6   12/27/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRIPPER JOHN Nov16 Oct07 Aug13 Jul16 Jul02 (tracy greg)BIRZER E 120 1.60 ★    
SCR  MY MAN LOUIE Dec07 Oct07 Aug28 Aug20 Jul22 (degeyter jr)STOKES J 119 10.00 ★    
3  BIBLEMAN Dec10 Nov30 Nov03 Oct12 Aug24 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 123 3.00 44% 1.30    
4  MUCHO MARVIN Nov16 Oct19 Oct05 Sep12 Aug20 (courville ri)MAGNON H 120 6.00 ★    
5  FAREWELL TIME Dec15 Oct29 Oct05 Aug27 Aug10 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 120 3.50 29% 2.50    
6  CHEATIN CHARLIE Dec08 Nov17 Oct28 Jul27 Jun15 (mojica)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 8.00    
 
DED-7   12/27/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ITSNOTMYJOB Dec03 Oct20 Oct06 Aug14 Jul30 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 120 6.00 ★    
2  TRACK SMART Nov16 Oct04 Sep04 Jul31 Jul11 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 120 3.00 68% 0.50    
3  BUILDING HOME Dec01 Nov11 Oct06 Aug19 Jun06 (ramirez edu)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 4.50 ★    
4  ENVOYS LEGACY Dec02 Nov11 Oct06 Jul15 Jun22 (toups brent)RAMIREZ PAULINA 120 10.00    
5  SAY WHAT Nov02 Aug27 Aug01 Jul05 Jun07 (ward ronnie)POMPELL L 119 12.00    
6  BRAVE OLLIE Nov02 Oct14 Aug13 Jul21 Jun25 (mojica edit)MORALES ROBERTO 119 12.00 ★    
7  HARRIET'S DREAM Sep24 Aug17 Jul21 Jun23 May16 (landry ray)STOKES J 120 4.00 ★    
8  KNIGHTS SWORD Oct27 Oct06 Jul02 Jun24 Jun01 (roberts kenne)VARGAS P 119 10.00    
9  SEE SASSY RUN Dec10 Nov11 Oct20 Oct06 Sep06 (courville ri)MAGNON H 120 6.00    
 
DED-8   12/27/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($29K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GET THEM JUSTIN Aug26 Aug06 Jul14 Jun01 May18 (segura kearney)THORNTON G 115 4.50    
1A  MINNESOTA MIRACLE Nov26 Nov02 Aug19 Aug06 Jun22 (segura)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 4.50 12% 7.10    
2  PAYDAY TOO Nov26 Oct13 Aug20 Jul21 Jun09 (richard chr)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 8.00    
3  TAPAGE Dec03 Oct26 Aug06 Jun28 Jun06 (tracy greg)BIRZER E 118 6.00 6% 16.10    
4  UNFATHOMED Dec10 Nov03 Oct13 Jun01 May06 (landry ray)STOKES J 115 6.00    
5  DREWPOWER Nov26 Aug12 Jun18 May06 Mar17 (briley lonnie)VARGAS P 118 15.00    
6  BAYOU JAM Dec10 Oct27 Oct14 Jul20 Jun30 (fuselier jonah)STOKES A 115 15.00    
7  PINCH ASSAULT Dec10 Nov17 Oct27 Oct13 Aug20 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 115 6.00 11% 8.40    
8  EASY TO MISS Oct21 Aug19 Jul13 May28 Apr16 (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 5.00 20% 3.90    
9  UNION STATION Dec10 Nov17 Nov02 Aug17 Jul20 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 118 3.00 21% 3.70    
 
DED-9   12/27/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SCREENPLAY Nov30 Oct15 Aug27 Aug13 Jul22 (gonzal)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 3.00 27% 2.70    
2  SMOKY TOPAZ Nov09 Oct15 Oct06 Aug19 Jul09 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 120 6.00    
3  PAYNT BATTLE Dec01 Nov11 Oct29 Oct06 Mar25 (zenon shelton)STOKES A 120 10.00    
4  GRAHAM 'S CRUISER Nov17 Aug13 Apr30 Apr13 Mar24 (roberts kenneth)MCMAHON J 116 10.00    
5  DALLAS GOLD Dec15 Nov04 Oct02 Sep18 Sep04 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 119 3.50 6% 15.60    
6  GOLDEN QUALITY Nov30 Nov05 Oct12 Sep18 Aug21 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 122 6.00 18% 4.60    
7  HELIOCHROME Nov26 Oct29 Oct08 Sep03 Aug20 (beavin judy)RAMIREZ PAULINA 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  SIR OVERANALYZE Dec09 Nov02 Sep19 Aug07 Jul18 (ramirez rosa )VARGAS P 117 5.00    
9  JUSTA BUSTER Nov30 Nov17 Nov04 Aug03 Jun18 (cormier hou)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 20.00    
10  FLIT N FLOT TIME Nov09 Oct12 Aug25 Aug03 Jul16 (breaux samue)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 116 15.00    
SCR  MISTY'S FOOL Dec17 Dec07 Oct26 Oct01 Sep10 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 120 4.50 16% 5.20    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.