Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Saturday - December 17, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   12/17/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TURTLENECK TED Dec05 Nov26 Nov12 Sep12 Aug24 (brown kelto)MENDEZ MARSHALL 123 10.00 ★    
2  COOL DUDE Nov18 Oct29 Jun30 Jun16   (ceciliano mi)MORALES KELVIN 123 20.00    
3  PLAYING GOLD Nov26 Oct30 Oct13 Oct01 Sep24 (shanley timothy)BAEZ M 114 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  BOUBOLINO Nov26 Nov12 Oct15 Sep24 Sep02 (o'neill ton)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 20.00    
5  GANDHI'S ORION Dec07 Nov03 Oct27 Oct08   (gazzier kristy)LARROSA G 124 3.50 9% 9.60    
6  STAVANGER Oct26 Oct15 Aug28 Aug12 Jul29 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 123 2.50 28% 2.50    
7  DR WILL Dec09 Nov26 Oct26 Oct14   (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 124 20.00    
8  MY SON CHRIS Nov27 Oct30 Oct08 Feb13 Jan23 (aguirre j)HO WESLEY 121 10.00    
9  BROTHER MERLE Nov27 Nov07 Oct13     (magee kieron)BATISTA A 123 12.00    
10  ARE YOU HAPPY Nov26 Nov12 Oct06 Sep08 Aug25 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 124 3.00 34% 1.90    
 
CT-2   12/17/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 2 F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MUSIC LASS Nov19 Oct08 Sep23     (tuomisto )BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 2.50 ★    
2  CASTLE TOY Dec02 Nov11 Oct21 Oct06 Sep23 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 120 10.00    
3  XANTHE Nov04 Oct21 Sep23     (moschonas geras)RODRIGUEZ V 120 3.00 30% 2.40    
4  IMPRESSIONISM Oct29 Oct13 Sep17 Sep02   (runco c)LEWIS M 111 8.00 ★    
5  STRONG WILLED Dec03 Oct29 Oct08 Sep17 Sep02 (farrior anth)BARBOSA JEIRON 113 5.00 34% 1.90    
6  LUCKY BLONDE Nov24 Oct29 Oct08 Sep23 Sep02 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 4.00 11% 8.20    
7  KEEP ON SPURRIN Nov19 Oct29 Oct06 Sep17   (petty kristy)LARROSA G 118 6.00    
 
CT-3   12/17/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIP IT Dec09 Oct30 Sep30 Sep18 Jul31 (haughton donnovan)HO WESLEY 124 3.50 ★    
2  MY MIRACLE MAN Dec09 Sep02 Jul29 Jun30 Jun10 (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 122 8.00 21% 3.80    
3  GOLDEN METTLE Nov30 Nov16 Jul21 Jun04 May12 (hamlin kath)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  TO LIVE IS TO LOVE Aug17         (corrale)BRICENO GREGOR 123 5.00 6% 15.30    
5  HARDIN Nov05 Sep28 Jul08 Jun17   (harrison gl)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 30.00    
6  COLONIAL ROAD Nov26 Nov18       (campbell t)BAEZ M 115 30.00    
7  S S SPARTAN ENERGY Dec06 Nov14 Oct31 Oct17 Sep07 (lucas anthony)SIMPSON JASON 123 12.00    
8  GORUN Nov26 Oct15 Sep26 Sep05 Aug23 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 123 1.20 47% 1.10    
9  GHOST MINE Nov18 Oct19 Sep28 Aug27 Aug11 (pyke joseph)ADAMS L 115 30.00    
10  CHASIN CHAPIN Nov29 Oct14       (morris neil )MARRERO CARLOS 124 15.00    
 
CT-4   12/17/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOOEY'S PRINCESS Nov26 Nov09 Oct22 Sep28 Sep15 (joy j)BAEZ M 115 12.00    
2  QUEEN OF KANTHAROS Dec02 Nov05 Sep24 Aug13 Jul21 (cipriano robe)SIMPSON JASON 120 20.00    
3  LIME AFTER LIME Nov26 Nov05 Oct15 Sep28 Aug19 (lucas antho)RAMGEET R 122 3.50 13% 7.00    
SCR  MOJO MATTERS Nov26 Nov05 Oct15 Sep24 Aug13 (davis rus)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 20.00    
5  DIVA GAL Nov24 Oct22 Oct06 Sep10 Aug06 (schottroffe e)THORPE DARIUS 120 15.00    
6  KOBE'S GIRL Nov30 Nov19 Oct08 Sep10 Sep04 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 120 8.00 6% 14.80    
7  RISKSRHIGHPAYISLOW Nov26 Nov05 Sep03 Mar11 Feb26 (atkins g)CECIL Y 124 3.00 11% 8.00    
8  RED PRIESTESS Dec03 Oct23 Oct02 Sep10 Feb26 (bailes rober)ARAUJO DENIS 120 5.00    
9  BRANDYURAFINEGIRL Nov17 Apr13 Mar16 Jan14   (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 8.00    
10  LUNAR PRAYER Nov05 Oct15 Sep29 Jul08 Jun03 (comi w)PELTROCHE F 122 4.50 12% 7.50    
11  SUPERSTASIA Dec10 Nov18 Nov11 Oct28 Oct13 (rangel ricard)ADAMS L 115 12.00    
SCR  ULTIMATE BREEZE Dec10 Nov09 Oct28 Sep23 Sep14 (sandoval michae)BOCACHICA O 118 15.00    
SCR  JALEBI BABY Dec06 Nov08 Oct21 Oct05 Sep14 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.60 34% 1.90    
SCR  RATIONALMILLENNIAL Dec09 Oct08 Sep02 Aug26 Jul29 (corrale)BRICENO GREGOR 120 12.00    
 
CT-5   12/17/2022 2970ft DIRT RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 2 ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STROLLINGINTHEWIND Nov23 Oct08 Sep14 Sep03 Aug13 (casey james)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 12.00    
2  STRYDA         (johnson jamey)LOPEZ ANTONIO 119 8.00 ★    
3  TWO ROOM SCHOOL Nov26 Nov05 Sep24 Sep14 Aug13 (viands grego)MORALES KELVIN 122 3.50 ★    
4  JUBAY         (casey a)LARROSA G 122 10.00    
5  CURB THAT TIGER         (casey w)THORPE DARIUS 122 12.00    
6  GOLD FIBER Nov26         (mckee john)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 3.00 45% 1.20    
7  ASTRAYAL         (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 6.00 ★    
8  KING KJARTAN Nov26         (stehr josep)RAMGEET R 122 30.00    
9  GETTIN SPICY         (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 8.00    
10  LA MADDALENA Dec02         (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 119 5.00 34% 2.00    
SCR  LASTWALKTOFREEDOM         (mckee john )MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 10.00    
 
CT-6   12/17/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DANCE TO THE BEACH Sep05 Jul19 Jul04 Jun19   (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.40 65% 0.50    
2  LADY KAZA Dec02 Nov05 Oct22 Sep10 Jun30 (joy kevin)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 4.50 ★    
3  SOCIAL EXCLUSION Dec03 Nov15 Oct26 Sep28 Sep15 (hillegass alexa)BOCACHICA O 124 12.00 9% 10.70    
4  TORCH CARRIER Nov25 Nov18 Oct27 Sep23 Aug27 (frock l)CRUZ ANGEL 122 5.00    
5  MORTAL STORM Nov05 Oct15 Sep24 Jul29 Jun30 (king yolonda)CECIL Y 122 20.00    
6  CHIT CHAT GIRL Dec03 Nov25 Nov12 Oct15 Oct07 (arias alfonso)CHILO JACINTO 122 20.00 ★    
SCR  CASTLE OF CAYLEE Nov26 Oct20 Oct05 Sep09 Aug19 (rideout anthony)RODRIGUEZ V 122 20.00    
8  SHINY PENNY Nov25 Nov14 Oct27 Sep17 Sep03 (pickett crys)BARBOSA JEIRON 115 8.00 ★    
9  PRACTICALLY THERE Nov30 Nov17 Oct28 Oct06 Aug24 (haynes erne)RAMGEET R 122 10.00    
10  SAX Nov25 Nov05 Oct22 Sep10 Aug18 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 120 10.00    
SCR  LADY MADISON Nov27 Nov03 Oct05 Aug01 Jun24 (viands gregory)BOCACHICA O 120 12.00    
 
CT-7   12/17/2022 2970ft DIRT RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DONNIE B Nov26 Nov09       (barber do)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 123 4.00 17% 4.80    
2  NEEDNOEXPLANATION Nov26 Nov09 Sep03 Aug13 May14 (bowman d)ADAMS L 117 15.00    
3  HARLEY SIOUX Nov26         (straughn willia)RODRIGUEZ V 123 3.00 39% 1.60    
4  BOO TOO Oct29 Sep03 Aug13 May14 Apr27 (stehr joseph )SIMPSON JASON 123 30.00    
5  IT'S ONLY MONEY Dec06 Oct15 Sep03     (pickett g)CULLUM W 124 10.00    
6  IMINCHARGENOW Nov17 Sep16 Aug12 Jul23 Jun12 (schottroffe edwar)CECIL Y 120 8.00    
7  CHARTERED COURSE Oct29 Oct19 Sep28 Aug20 Jul09 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 123 20.00    
8  MY PHOENIX Nov26 Mar16 Feb12     (mckee d)BAEZ M 116 2.50 ★    
9  NICE BUT NAUGHTY Nov26 Nov09 Oct29 Sep09 Jul09 (jackson angelo )BOCACHICA O 123 20.00 ★    
10  IN THE LIMELIGHT Nov26 Oct20 Jul29 Jun17 May25 (greaves)NUNEZ ANAHI 124 5.00    
SCR  OFFICER STONE         (figgins oll)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 4.50 19% 4.30    
 
CT-8   12/17/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STAR LUCK Nov29 Nov03 Oct17 Jun14 Jun06 (volpe john)LEWIS M 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BETTER BOOGIE Nov12 Oct28 Sep30 Sep09 Aug25 (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 10.00 7% 14.30    
3  STRETCH THE TRUTH Nov09 Oct27 Sep30 Jul21 Jun30 (king yolonda)ADAMS L 117 10.00    
4  ATTUCK Dec07 Nov19 Oct13 Sep15 Aug10 (patterson kev)THORPE DARIUS 124 6.00 21% 3.80    
5  HEY CONGRATS Nov05 Oct21 Sep29 Sep22 Aug11 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 5.00    
6  JUNGLE WARRIOR Nov24 Nov03 Sep29 Aug18 Aug06 (joy kevin)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 5.00 18% 4.60    
7  RESPECT FOR ALL Oct12 Sep24 Sep03 Aug22 Aug01 (hillegass a)RAMGEET R 122 15.00    
8  MOSS BOSS Nov30 Oct21 Sep08 Jul08 Jun16 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 4.50    
9  FATHER WALSH Nov23 Oct11 Sep14 Aug29 Aug02 (figgins olli)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 4.00    
10  U ROCK IT Dec01 Oct14 Sep04 Aug04 Jul01 (hillegass alexa)BOCACHICA O 124 12.00    
11  CAMPEADOR Jul10 Jun17 Apr24 Apr01 Mar04 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 3.00 24% 3.20    
 
CT-9   12/17/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP M/F PT-11:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHESAHUMBLEHUSTLER Nov25 Nov05 Oct07 Sep23 Sep03 (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 121 4.00 51% 0.90    
2  AMERICAN LEGACY Dec02 Nov17 Jun11     (huet k)CULLUM W 123 20.00    
3  JASIRA Dec02 Nov17 Oct15     (arias alfonso)CHILO JACINTO 124 30.00    
4  BUFFUM'S BEAUTY Dec03 Nov25 Nov17 Oct29 Oct21 (mohan r)PELTROCHE F 123 20.00    
5  LITTLE MISS MINION Nov25 Nov06 Oct02 Aug27 Aug22 (johnson jam)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.50    
6  CAN'T FIGURE Dec01 Nov18 Nov02 Oct07 Sep16 (stahlin)NUNEZ ANAHI 123 2.50 11% 8.40    
7  WHY LEA Dec02 Nov05 Oct14 Sep23 Apr23 (gazzier kristy)BAEZ M 116 3.00 ★    
8  LICENSE TO CARRY Dec02 Nov02 Sep23 Sep16 Sep03 (espinosa vict)LOPEZ ANTONIO 121 20.00    
9  BLUE BONNIE Nov11 Oct21 Oct05 Sep05 Aug22 (schottroffe e)THORPE DARIUS 123 6.00 7% 13.70    
10  SUDDEN FLARE Dec02         (dollinger-st)MARRERO CARLOS 123 15.00 5% 18.40    
SCR  CONDUCTANCE Dec04 Nov04 Oct23 Oct02 Sep04 (smith valrie)HO WESLEY 123 1.60    
SCR  I HAVE COURAGE Dec04 Nov13 Oct23 Oct08 Sep10 (frock charle)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.