Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Parx Racing
Monday - December 12, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PRX-1   12/12/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT-11:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EMPEROR'S CAUSE Nov19 Oct21 Sep15 Jun16 May01 (giangiuli)VARGAS A 121 2.00    
LOUIE'S LAW Nov08 Oct28 Sep21 Aug23 Jul20 (lake scott )NUNEZ Y 121 5.00 20% 4.00    
SENSIBLE JIM Nov21 Oct18 Sep27 Aug04 Jun08 (jones michael )ADORNO ABNER 124 3.00 16% 5.10    
STEVIE T Nov08 Sep14 Aug22 Jun29 May31 (reid rob)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 4.50 17% 4.80    
DEPLANE Nov09 Oct24 Oct03 Sep14 Aug22 (dotolo davi)WOLFSONT ANDREW 118 15.00    
C C GOLDRUSH Sep26 Aug19 Jun28 May31   (shaw tim)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 10.00 14% 6.00    
LIAM'S BLUE MOON Nov20 Oct15 Mar12     (taylor jos)SANCHEZ J 118 6.00    
 
PRX-2   12/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 2 F PT-12:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EQUISTAR Nov23         (servis c)PENNINGTON F 119 5.00    
HOP ON ME Nov23 Nov07       (lake a)HERNANDEZ ANDY 119 4.00 10% 9.20    
SCR  SANDY Q Nov23 Oct24 Sep24     (reid rob)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 1.80 45% 1.20    
BROADWAYCHARLYROSE Nov09 Oct19 Sep12     (coletti edward)ADORNO ABNER 119 3.00 19% 4.20    
TIPSY GIRL Nov23         (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 119 6.00    
ARROGANTE Dec02 Oct29 Oct06 Sep28 Sep14 (diaz jorge)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 119 15.00    
PRIZE DEBATE Oct22 Sep24       (rubley kelly)CEDENO CAROL 119 12.00    
 
PRX-3   12/12/2022 5940ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT-12:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR. BRIGGS Dec01 Oct28 Oct06 Jan08   (kantarma)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 4.00    
LARGE Oct26 Oct18 Oct03 Sep26 Sep14 (lake a)SILVERA RUBEN 121 3.00 36% 1.80    
LAWLESSNESS Dec05 Nov21 Sep26 Aug29 Aug01 (lake a)MILAN GERARDO 121 15.00    
COMMISSIONER DAVE Nov16 Oct26 Sep26 Sep07 Aug29 (st uriah)ADORNO ABNER 121 10.00    
D BLACK MAMBA Nov16 Oct18 Oct03 Sep05 Aug23 (wyner harold)OCASIO M 121 6.00 30% 2.30    
WILL TAKE CONTROL Nov21 Oct26 Sep28 Sep06 Aug29 (jones c)LAPRIDA JEREMY 121 10.00    
AMERICAN FORCES Nov16 Oct26 Oct03 Sep18 Sep04 (pattershal)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
ORIGO Oct19 Sep18 Aug13 Jul22 Jul01 (ness jam)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 6.00 6% 16.80    
MY BROTHER NEIL Nov21 Oct18 Sep12 Jul20 Jun14 (linder louis)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 5.00    
 
PRX-4   12/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 2 F PT- 1:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LITTLE MOOJI Nov23         (hogan )GONZALEZ JR 119 15.00    
THEARCHERORTHEPREY Nov23         (linder louis)HADDOCK DEXTER 119 5.00 36% 1.70    
TAKE IT TO THE MAX         (coletti edw)NUNEZ Y 119 8.00    
SCR  A LITTLE BIT         (montoya marya)ADORNO ABNER 119 6.00    
TELL ME IM AWESOME         (velazquez dan)OCASIO M 119 6.00    
PRECIPICE         (falcone robert )CARMOUCHE K 119 3.00 32% 2.10    
CANDY FLASH         (chacon gusta)LAPRIDA JEREMY 119 12.00    
FILTERED LIGHT Oct26         (lynch cath)SANCHEZ J 119 4.00 11% 8.30    
 
PRX-5   12/12/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MANOLETE Nov15 Oct25 Oct11 Sep05 Aug01 (pino micha)SANCHEZ J 121 3.00    
CLASSIFIED INFO Oct11 Sep21 Aug24 Aug15 Jul19 (crowell sus)OCASIO JONATHAN 121 12.00    
DRENA'S BULLET Nov08 Sep28 Sep19 Sep05 Aug23 (taylor bryant)RANGEL JOEZER 121 4.50    
KEEPING THE PEACE Aug04 Jul11 Jun25 Jun14 Jun06 (velazquez dan)OCASIO M 121 6.00    
SCR  CREA'S BKLYN LAW Oct19 Sep27 Sep14     (rosado rober)HERNANDEZ ANDY 121 20.00    
SCR  KOWBOY KARMA Nov08 Oct17 Jun28 Jun13 May17 (taylor bryan)BARBOSA JEIRON 116 20.00 7% 12.60    
THIS ILL DEFEND Nov22 Nov02 Sep30 Mar08 Feb08 (ness jam)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 3.50 28% 2.50    
MISSION OBERON Nov23 Oct19 Jul26 Jun21 Jun01 (castillo mi)DE KEMICH 114 12.00    
CAPE MAY STYLE Nov28 Nov08 Oct19 Oct03 Sep05 (hamilton step)PEREZ M 121 20.00    
10  ILOVECHARLYBROWN Nov22 Oct18 Sep23 Sep10 Jul25 (soto- marti)RAMOS C 116 8.00    
11  PANSTER Nov20 Sep30 Jun26 May15 Apr21 (diaz jorge)SILVERA RUBEN 121 15.00 8% 11.80    
12  BROOKS ROBINSON Dec05 Oct12       (gallimore tr)BURKE JERMAINE 121 15.00 25% 3.10    
 
PRX-6   12/12/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LA NEBLINA Oct10 Aug02 Jun09 Apr21 Feb23 (jones michael )ADORNO ABNER 118 5.00 16% 5.30    
SCR  MILWAUKEE BAY Nov12 Oct24 Oct11 Sep13 Aug18 (linder louis )OCASIO M 118 8.00    
MAARTY'S DILEMMA Oct10 Aug26 Aug06 Jul09 Jun17 (brown howar)WOLFSONT ANDREW 118 12.00 9% 9.90    
SWEET SUGAR BABY Oct24 Aug23 Jul25 Jul11 Jun15 (englehart jef)SILVERA RUBEN 118 1.60 24% 3.20    
SPRINKLE THIS Nov15 Nov02 Sep14 Aug18 Aug03 (farro patri)DE KEMICH 111 8.00    
SCR  FAR HEART Nov16 Oct10 Sep23 Sep17 Sep03 (servis ty)RAMOS C 116 4.00    
MISQUILLO Nov30 Nov13 Oct22 Oct12 Sep23 (hawthorne bo)HERNANDEZ ANDY 121 6.00 23% 3.30    
 
PRX-7   12/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($57K) 2 F PT- 2:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MADELINE'S GROGU Sep10 Aug21 Jul08 Jun17 Jun04 (spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 118 5.00    
CREATIVE COPY Nov29 Nov01 Oct11 Sep12   (mosco ro)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 118 12.00    
EMPRESS ARIANA Nov23         (chacon gusta)LAPRIDA JEREMY 121 8.00 19% 4.40    
CLASSY NANCY Nov02 Oct19 Oct06 Sep23 Sep07 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 118 1.80 34% 2.00    
SCR  MAGIC MISS Oct16 Oct02       (ryerson ja)SANCHEZ J 118 4.50 14% 6.10    
SCR  MY TRUE PASSION Oct29 Sep13 Aug29 Aug11 Jun04 (lake a)HADDOCK DEXTER 118 10.00    
WARRIOR'S RANSOM Oct24 Sep29 Sep20 Sep05 Aug16 (lake a)PENNINGTON F 118 3.50 7% 12.60    
 
PRX-8   12/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHYISSHESOOLUCKY Jun14 May23 May10 Apr26 Apr13 (gonzalez-mili)PEREZ M 121 4.50    
VITAEMI Nov21 Sep22 Aug04 Jun17 May29 (jones michael )ADORNO ABNER 121 6.00 24% 3.20    
THIS ROUND'S MINE Nov23 Oct31 Oct03 Aug19 Aug01 (linder loui)NUNEZ Y 121 6.00    
STARSHIP ROGUE Nov23 Nov08 Oct11 Sep28 Sep21 (smith evert)DE KEMICH 114 10.00    
EXCITABLE LADY Nov21 Nov09 Sep27 Sep14 Sep05 (correnti)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 4.00    
HIGHTIME VALENTINE Nov18 Oct26 Oct05 Sep14 Jun01 (castillo mich)OCASIO M 121 3.50 21% 3.90    
JET FORCE Nov23 Sep14 Aug25 Aug05 Jul13 (hogan )GONZALEZ JR 118 8.00 25% 3.10    
MINDING MILLIE Nov04 Oct07 Sep08 Aug19 Jul25 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 121 6.00    
 
PRX-9   12/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUMP SHOT Nov14 Nov01 Oct04 Sep23 Aug29 (lee hale)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 8.00    
GOLDEN SPOKE Nov21 Nov07 Oct18 Sep27 Sep07 (hogan william)OCASIO M 121 12.00    
OFF THE MEDS Nov15 Oct19 Oct10 Sep28 Sep19 (farro patrici)RIVERA D 121 12.00 6% 17.10    
SCR  FEDERAL CASE Nov28 Nov01 Oct17 Sep28 Sep14 (arce josue)HERNANDEZ ANDY 121 10.00    
NIMBLE BEAST Nov12 Oct20 Oct01 Aug24 Jul27 (soto- marti)RAMOS C 116 4.00    
AHSAD Nov30 Nov07 Oct18 Oct03 Sep19 (wyner harold)SILVERA RUBEN 121 12.00    
PORTAL ONE Mar09         (brennan reg)OCASIO JONATHAN 121 8.00 23% 3.30    
YES IT'S ROO Nov28 Nov08 Oct14 Sep16 Aug26 (kreiser tim)WOLFSONT ANDREW 121 4.50    
FLOAT ON Nov14 Oct19 Sep28 Sep14 Aug30 (velazquez da)HADDOCK DEXTER 124 3.00 39% 1.60    
 
PRX-10   12/12/2022 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($35K) Purse ($58K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NURTURING Nov23 Oct31 Sep14 Aug27 Aug06 (brown howar)WOLFSONT ANDREW 124 6.00    
PRECIOUS Oct24 Aug22 Jul04 Jun04 May10 (servis c)PENNINGTON F 121 4.50    
OUT DANCING Oct24 Oct04 Sep20 Aug30 Jul01 (solis jacint)HADDOCK DEXTER 118 6.00    
MIDTOWN ROSE Nov13 Oct24 Sep06 Aug20 Aug01 (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 121 6.00 12% 7.60    
GOLDEN EIB MICRPHN Nov01 Sep19 Aug29 Aug06 Jul20 (smith everto)LAPRIDA JEREMY 118 10.00    
JACKIE THE JOKER Nov23 Oct28 Oct04 Sep27 Aug31 (mosco ro)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 118 6.00    
PLANE DRUNK Nov11 Oct24 Sep27 Sep08 Jul30 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 121 4.00    
CENTRE COURT CHAMP Oct31 Oct14 Aug30 Jul13 Jun21 (mosco robert)OCASIO M 121 3.50 58% 0.70    
 
PRX-11   12/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ADHWAA Nov23 Oct26 Oct05 Sep28 Sep14 (arce josue)TREJOS JOSEPH 121 2.50 17% 5.00    
QUIET PLEASE Nov23 Nov02 Oct19 Oct10 Sep20 (gallimore tr)BURKE JERMAINE 121 20.00    
PENANCE Nov14 Oct26 Sep26 Sep14 Aug31 (pollara fr)SANCHEZ J 121 6.00    
LEVIOSA Nov15 Oct24 Sep03 Aug14 Jul17 (pino michael)HERNANDEZ ANDY 118 4.00 21% 3.80    
SOUTHERN CENTS Nov16 Oct03 Aug29 Aug21 Aug01 (king cla)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 8.00 10% 8.80    
WHAT A BEAUT Nov29 Sep09 Aug25 Aug04 Jul14 (linder lou)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 121 8.00 8% 11.60    
STORMBEAM Nov30 Nov14 Nov04 Sep20 Sep10 (diaz jorge)RIVERA D 121 12.00 11% 8.30    
ANGINETTI Nov14 Oct24 Oct05 Sep19 Aug29 (lee r)CASTILLO A 121 5.00    
KENAI COOL Nov14 Oct24 Aug29 Aug01 Jul18 (crowell sus)OCASIO JONATHAN 121 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.