Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Delta Downs
Wednesday - December 07, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
DED-1   12/07/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUDGE THIS TRIP Nov03 Sep27 Aug28     (turner)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 12.00 7% 12.80    
2  SATISFY U Oct29 Oct08 Aug14 Jul03 Jan28 (tracy greg)BIRZER E 122 6.00    
3  CHARLIE SKY Aug12 Jul16 Jun18 Jan29 Jan05 (thomas lee)POMPELL L 123 6.00 ★    
4  ROARING QUINN Oct28 Oct06 Aug27 Jul28 Jun23 (nelson eric )BARRERA J 118 4.50    
5  CUSTOM GUITAR Oct29 Oct14 Aug10 Jul20 Jul07 (hibdon n)ROMAN KEVIN 122 2.50 26% 2.90    
6  IN FOR A PENNY Nov03 Oct14 Aug24 Jun22 Jun01 (larrosa a)FUSILIER C 123 6.00 9% 10.40    
7  MOODY RAFAELA Nov16 Sep12 Aug27 Aug01 Jul03 (ramirez rosa )VARGAS P 123 3.50 30% 2.40    
8  ABSOLUTELY MINDY Nov19 Aug25 Aug06 Jul15 Jun25 (charles jonatha)BOURQUE J 123 12.00    
 
DED-2   12/07/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANOTHERINTHEFIRE Nov19 Oct21 Oct12 Jun24 Jun09 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 120 4.00 39% 1.60    
1A  HIGH VALUE TARGET Nov12 Oct21 Oct05 Sep25 Sep06 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 120 4.00 ★    
2  TAKENFORGRANTED Nov12 Aug26 Aug12 Jul30 Jul08 (breaux samuel)THORNTON G 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  SASSY SUE'S BAND Nov26 Nov12 Oct21 Oct12 Aug21 (nelson r)ROMAN KEVIN 120 4.50 18% 4.60    
4  APRIORITY LADY Jul30 Jul03 Jun08 Mar09 Feb12 (thomas lee)POMPELL L 120 6.00    
5  LA SMOOCHIE Aug26 Jul16 Jun18 Jun04 May07 (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 5.00 ★    
6  EL CALIENTE LADY Nov22 Nov03 Sep12 Aug29 Jul25 (nelson r)TORRES HUGO 114 12.00    
7  THINKING OF HER Aug18 Jul28 Jun24     (delahoussaye)EDISON JOCELYN 115 12.00    
8  MO BELLA Nov03 Oct07 Aug24 Jul28 Jun29 (charles keith)BIRZER E 119 3.00 16% 5.30    
9  WHO DAT GREY Nov19 Oct28 Oct12 Sep20 Sep06 (beavin judy)FLORES S 120 12.00    
 
DED-3   12/07/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLASSIC RED RACER Nov18 May25 Feb23 Feb03   (zenon shelto)BARRERA J 118 6.00    
2  ETBAUER'S SECRET Oct12 Aug20 Jul29 Jul15 Jun17 (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 5.00    
3  BOSS MAN ZONG         (dison m)POMPELL L 122 10.00 9% 9.60    
4  IRON N STEEL Nov12 Oct26 Sep03     (b)DE CRUZ 122 3.50 13% 6.50    
5  WILLIE THE MAN Nov25 Nov11 Oct27 Oct07 Sep18 (hibdon n)ROMAN KEVIN 122 4.50 ★    
6  LITTLE PUCK Nov25 Nov04 May06 Apr21 Mar24 (robbins j)MCMAHON J 123 2.00 35% 1.90    
SCR  CALCULATED         (cordero an)TRUJILLO ANTONIO 122 8.00 9% 9.60    
 
DED-4   12/07/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOT STOVE LEAGUE Nov24 Aug25 Jul29 Jul06 Jun09 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 120 2.50 29% 2.50    
1A  DREAMS OF VALOR Oct28 Oct13 Jul24 Jun18 Jun04 (broberg kar)RAMIREZ PAULINA 120 2.50    
2  ALWAYS A CATCH Nov09 Oct19 Sep18 Aug19 Jul03 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 120 4.50 16% 5.30    
3  WITT'S TAQUITO Nov05 Oct12 Aug27 Jun19 May27 (lloyd )GUERRERO ANDRES 120 15.00    
4  MIAS MOONBEAM Nov16 Oct19 Aug17 Jul16 Jun10 (larrosa a)STOKES J 120 3.50 ★    
5  OUTLAW X. Oct19 Sep10 Aug24 Jul09 Jun10 (bruno j)TORRES HUGO 115 6.00    
6  TOUGH COMPANY Nov25 Oct27 Sep25 Sep18 Aug19 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 120 5.00 19% 4.20    
7  GUITARZAN Nov25 Nov03 Jul23 Jun03 May26 (segura kearney)FUSILIER C 117 10.00 12% 7.00    
8  DISIDE Oct19 Sep26 Aug30 Jul24 Jun19 (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 8.00    
 
DED-5   12/07/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOT ARTIE Nov17 Oct29 Sep27 Sep13 Aug29 (hibdon n)ROMAN KEVIN 120 12.00    
2  GETTINHOT'NHERE Nov19 Nov10 Oct21 Sep16 Sep03 (gonzal)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 3.50 34% 1.90    
3  THE FEATURE Nov10 Aug24 Jul14 May08 Apr16 (landry ray)STOKES J 120 4.50 18% 4.50    
4  MY MAN LOUIE Oct07 Aug28 Aug20 Jul22 Jul09 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 116 3.00 10% 9.40    
5  CAJUN UP         (delahoussay)MORALES ROBERTO 117 8.00    
6  BOATING PARTY Oct08 Aug13 Jul23 Mar16 Feb23 (tracy greg)BIRZER E 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  MOVE IT Nov17 Oct21 Jul29 Jul01 May28 (cox l)THORNTON G 120 5.00 13% 6.50    
8  FLUFFPOINT Nov17 Oct29 Aug24 Jun08 May14 (gelner scott)BARRERA J 112 10.00    
9  KENSLEY'S HIPPIE Apr21 Feb24 Jan29 Jan06   (segura kearney)BOURQUE J 117 15.00    
 
DED-6   12/07/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOVELYREDSTILETTOS Oct27         (thomas lee)BACA L 116 5.00 25% 3.00    
2  MOM'S PRAYER Aug13 Jul16 Mar12 Feb23 Jan21 (ramire)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 6.00 29% 2.50    
3  FABS Oct26 Sep16 Aug18 Jul23 Jun29 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 119 1.80 ★    
4  SHELLEY'S MONEY Jul11 Jun14 May28 May16 Mar24 (duhon joseph)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 4.00 ★    
5  MISSHEARTBREAKER Aug28 Jun29       (delahoussay)RAMIREZ PAULINA 120 8.00    
6  HAMAZING LACE Nov19 Oct15 Sep08 Aug14 Jul28 (richard chris)BIRZER E 120 3.00 13% 6.90    
 
DED-7   12/07/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCKY PROMISE Nov05 Oct14 Sep18 Aug17 Jul17 (gustafson austi)MCMAHON J 120 2.00 23% 3.30    
2  FELLER Nov10 Oct19 Jun24 May28 May14 (cormier houston)TORRES HUGO 115 12.00    
3  SPORTY FLYER Nov19 Nov04 Aug05 Jul04 Jun10 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 120 3.00 19% 4.40    
4  WYMAN Nov26 Nov10       (melancon do)FLORES S 120 12.00    
5  BAYOU BEAUX Nov10 Oct21 Sep13 Sep03 May14 (ward ronnie)STOKES J 120 5.00 20% 4.00    
6  MY LITTLE JUNIOR Oct29 Oct08 Aug11 Jul15 Jun30 (zenon shelt)LEDET THEODRICK 120 8.00    
7  WARRIORS HAVEN Nov16 Oct21 Jul04 Jun16 May29 (gonzal)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 6.00 ★    
8  FULL POWER Nov10 Jul14 Jun24 May18 Apr21 (derousselle pet)ROMAN KEVIN 117 10.00 10% 9.40    
 
DED-8   12/07/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OLIVIAN Sep14 Aug27 Aug14 Jun05 May06 (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 120 1.80 19% 4.20    
2  MYDEALOFTHEDAY Oct29 Aug27 Aug13 Jul27 Jul02 (constantine)RAMIREZ PAULINA 116 6.00 ★    
3  VALLEJO Mar02 Feb11 Jan22 Jan01   (nelson r)ROMAN KEVIN 120 4.50 ★    
4  GRACESSPECIALTOUCH Oct12 Jul22 Jul02 Jun11 May05 (dixon tim)FLORES S 117 6.00 16% 5.20    
5  BLUEBIRD SING Aug08 Jun13 May16 Feb24   (duhon joseph)BARRERA J 115 2.50 39% 1.60    
6  MYSTERIOUS STAR Nov10 Aug27 Jun19 May22 May12 (morrell cynthia)STOKES A 119 8.00    
 
DED-9   12/07/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($22K) 2 ALL PT- 9:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DONOVANS WARRIOR         (reeves jeffery )TORRES HUGO 114 12.00 12% 7.50    
2  RED OCTOBER         (diodoro robert)THORNTON G 122 5.00 11% 7.80    
3  TOP HONORS Jul23         (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 2.00 33% 2.00    
4  PINK HIGGINS Nov25 Nov11 Oct14 Aug13 Jul31 (dunn ray)STOKES J 119 4.00    
5  NERKY ROSE Oct06         (diodoro roberti)MCMAHON J 122 6.00    
6  CALL ME FIREY         (dison m)POMPELL L 122 8.00 12% 7.50    
7  QUIET AS MIDNIGHT Oct06         (chatters benard)STOKES A 122 3.50 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.